I think we not will have surprises in Maryland in 2010. I would can stop the diaries in this side but i have interest in came to Ohio, because Ohio will be very interesting in 2010. Maryland is the last step, like we can see in our rank and in this diary:
Republicans in Maryland are really very weak. If we make our habitual list for republicans in this state only they have two names, former governor R Ehrlich, and former Lieutenant Governor M Steele, defeated by B Cardin for Senate in 2006 and recently elected chair of GOP. After republicans break with former congressman W Gilchrest, R Ehrlich get like the best republican candidate with high difference, and was defeated like incumbent by current governor M O'Malley in 2006.
Like in very much states, republicans are making sound their best for 2010 races. Maybe poor, but they make sound, because they like stop the democratic advances. We can see what feel and think the people about R Ehrlich for future elections in these links:
R Ehrlich not make feel special danger and not is viewed like very solid candidate.
In democratic side, this is the list of possible candidates:
- Martin Joseph O'Malley: DC MD 1963 Governor of Maryland 07- .
- Parris Nelson Glendening: NY MD 1942 Governor of Maryland 95-03.
- Elijah Eugene Cummings: MD 1951 USHRep 96- .
- John Peter Spyros Sarbanes: MD 1961 USHRep 07- .
- Frank Michael Kratovil: MD 1968 USHRep 09- .
- Christopher Van Hollen: MD 1959 USHRep 03- .
- Donna F Edwards: NC MD 1958 USHRep 08- . Lost for House 06.
- Charles Albert Ruppersberger III: MD 1946 USHRep 03- .
- Michael Darr Barnes: DC MD 1943 USHRep 79-87. Lost for Senate 86.
- Charles Thomas McMillen: NY MD 1952 USHRep 87-93.
- Royden Patrick Dyson: MD 1948 USHRep 81-91. Lost for House 76 and 90.
- Kweisi Mfume: MD 1948 USHRep 87-96. Lost for Senate 06.
- Albert Russell Wynn: PA MD 1951 USHRep 93-08. Lost for House 08.
- Anthony G Brown: NY MD 1961 Lieutenant Governor of MD 07- .
- Samuel Walter Bogley III: DC MD 1941 Lieutenant Governor of MD 79-82.
- Kathleen Hartington Kennedy Townsend: CT MD 1951 Lieutenant Governor of MD 95-03. Lost for Governor 02. Lost for House 86.
- Douglas F Gangsler: NJ? MD 1962 MD Attorney General 07- .
- Peter V R Franchot: CT MD 1947 MD State Comptroller 07- .
Surely M O'Malley governor not will have (serious) opposition in primaries, but we can see strong difference with the republican list (only two members for same criteries). High difference.
Like i try make habitually, strongest against strongest in the poll.
In a 0-10 scale, like this:
--- 00,000 ---
--- 01,429 ---
--- 02,857 ---
--- 04,286 ---
--- 05,714 ---
--- 07,142 ---
--- 08,571 ---
--- 10,000 ---
The states with democratic incumbents what seems more easy for win again are:
NH-Gov: Incumbent J Lynch (D-1952) win in 2008 with 70%.
CO-Gov: Incumbent W Ritter (D-1956) win in 2006 with 56%.
IA-Gov: Incumbent C Culver (D-1966) win in 2006 with 54%.
WI-Gov: Incumbent J Doyle (D-1945) win in 2006 with 53%.
MA-Gov: Incumbent D Patrick (D-1956) win in 2006 with 55%.
We can see results for these states in next link:
More interesting races:
AR-Gov: Open R vs M Beebe (D-1946) ? after 13 votes = 09,231 => Safe Democratic
MD-Gov: R Ehrlich (R-1957) vs M O'Malley (D-1963) ? af 16 votes = 08,750 => Safe Democratic
IL-Gov: Open R vs P Quinn (D-1948) ? after 21 votes = 08,571 => Safe Democratic
NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs A Cuomo (D-1957) ? af 18 votes = 08,333 => Likely Democratic
OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs J Kitzhaber (D-1947) ? af 12 votes = 08,194 => Likely Democratic
2 OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs ? after 06 votes = 08,056 => Likely Democratic
OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 15 votes = 07,889 => Likely Democr
CA-Gov: Open R vs J Brown (D-1938) ? after 32 votes = 07,865 => Likely Democratic
ME-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 07,778 => Likely Democratic
HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs N Abercrombie (D-1938) ? af 11 votes = 07,727 => Likely Democr
VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs H Dean (D-1948) ? aft 30 votes = 07,667 => Likely Democratic
2 HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs ? after 16 votes = 07,396 => Likely Democratic
NJ-Gov: C Christie (R-1962) vs J Corzine (D- 1947) ? af 17 votes = 07,353 => Likely Democratic
NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ? after 22 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democratic
2 OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs ? after 12 votes = 07,083 => Leans Democratic
2 CA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 44 votes = 07,045 => Leans Democratic
2 NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs D Paterson (D-1954) ? af 33 votes = 06,768 => Leans Democr
NV-Gov: J Gibbons (R-1944) vs ? after 21 votes = 06,746 => Leans Democratic
RI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 06,528 => Leans Democratic
PA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 15 votes = 06,000 => Leans Democratic
MI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 30 votes = 05,889 => Leans Democratic
VA-Gov: R McDonnell (R-1954) vs ? after 27 votes = 05,494 => Toss-Up
AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,907 => Toss-Up
MN-Gov: T Pawlenty (R-1960) vs M Dayton (D-1947) ? after 39 votes = 04,573 => Toss-Up
2 VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,352 => Toss-Up
FL-Gov: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican
And for see about other difficult races for democrats like:
TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
AK-Gov: Incumbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
ID-Gov: Incumbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.
NE-Gov: Incumbent D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.
visit next diaries:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Guvernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat II
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Hardest gubernatorial races.
All the polls are open if you like to vote.
PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes go up and when end the procedure.