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Down here in VA-01, which is safe Republican territory, a local Tea Bagger announced this week that God has called her to challenge our incumbent Republican Congressman.  Last fall she almost knocked off our Democratic representative in the Virginia General Assembly, so, she has a following.

Is a Republican civil war in VA-01 likely?? Who would benefit??

More:

Catherine Crabill announced this week that God has called her to run against our incumbent Republican Congressman, Rob Wittman, in the Republican primary.

You may have heard of Crabill -- last year she ran for a seat in the Virgnia General Assembly held by Democrat Al Pollard and she came close --Pollard won by 52-47 percent in a district he should have carried handily.  Crabill's strength came from an active 99th General Assembly District Tea Party.  They meet twice a month, have signs along the roads in the district, and their recent meeting featured a conservative African-American telling them they need to attract more African-Americans.

You also may have heard of Crabill because of her comment at a 4 July 2009 Tea Party rally where she proclaimed  "If we don't win at the ballot box, we'll take it to the bullet box."

In case you're wondering, Crabill is full-tilt, industrial-strength batshit crazy.  She's off the Bachmann-Palin Crazy Scale and she's about 2/3 strength on the Orly Taitz Wackjob Meter.

She has a loyal, almost rabid, following among the local Tea Baggers and there are a LOT of them around here.

Now -- here's what makes this interesting.  VA-01 Democrats have two strong candidates that we must choose between at our convention in early May.  

Scott Robinson, a retired Army colonel, is a local boy with deep roots in Northumberland County.  Since he retired, he's been all over the district, speaking to civic clubs, meeting the ol' boys at the coffee shops, and raising money.

Krystal Ball (yes, that's her name), also has deep local roots but has not been campaigning as vigorously as Robinson.

One of Robinson's strengths is his military background because VA-01 includes the very large military presence -- active and retired -- in the Norfolk-Hampton-Newport News-Virginia Beach area.

VA-01 has been a safe Republican seat since about the time John Smith explored the Chesapeake Bay.  However, this year, if Crabill and Wittman split the Republicans with a civil war between the Tea Baggers and the Real Republicans, and if we VA-01 Democrats select a strong candidate and work our butts off . . .

Can we be bold enough to hope for an unexpected Congressional pick-up?

Originally posted to Old Redneck on Fri Mar 19, 2010 at 06:59 PM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Krystal Ball (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    lcork, Nulwee, VA Breeze, Tchrldy

    How can you lose with a name like that?

    We could use her in Congress this weekend.

  •  Three things: (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Nulwee
    1. Krystal ball will be the nominee.
    1. Crabill is seriously considering running as a third party candidate.
    1. Any other Republican could have won that 99th district House race. That Pollard "should" have won easily is crap. Pollard ran 20 points higher than Creigh Deeds in that district.  
  •  It's not so bad when (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    exNYinTX, cosette, Nulwee, Tchrldy, sturunner

    people talk to God. But when someone says God talks to them, all I can think is "schizophrenia".

    This ain't no party. This ain't no disco. This ain't no foolin' around!

    by Snud on Fri Mar 19, 2010 at 07:11:39 PM PDT

  •  umm, none of Norfolk, Hampton, VA Beach (5+ / 0-)

    in 1st District.

    Hampton is in 2nd and 3rd

    Va Beach is in 2nd

    Norfolk is in 2nd and 3rd

    and so forth

    Black parts in 3r - Bobby Scott

    white parts in 2nd -  Glenn Nye, formerly Thelma Drake

    do we still have a Republic and a Constitution if our elected officials will not stand up for them on our behalf?

    by teacherken on Fri Mar 19, 2010 at 07:13:05 PM PDT

  •  Oh my! (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Woody, Nulwee, Predictor

    I am in VA 01.  Just wrote and called Rob Wittman today (holds nose).  I have heard of Krystal Ball, a few friends have called me about supporting her.  I did not know Scott Robinson had the military background.  We are on the far north end of VA 01.  Less than a mile inside that district.  If there could be a chance.... please tell more.  I like what I have heard about Krystal Ball but this area is heavily pro-military and it was a close race in this district between Webb and Allen. That there might be a chance to win this district with a Dem just boggles the mind.

  •  This isn't exactly safe Repub territory (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Nulwee, Tchrldy, don mikulecky, sturunner

    McCain only got 51 percent of the vote here in 2008.  Still, the Repubs have a prohibitive advantage here.

    I'm wondering, though--how crazy is Crabill compared to Jo Ann Davis?  They both sound similar--at least from what I know about Davis.

    GOP=Grand Obstructionist Party

    by Christian Dem in NC on Fri Mar 19, 2010 at 07:44:30 PM PDT

    •  I know how (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Woody

      hard we worked for Obama in this district and the difference it made. We doubted we could win the district but wanted to move the state and we did help alot with that.  But when it comes to Congress people, well, the district is very conservative. It is hard to imagine that we could have a dem as our representative.  

      •  District isnt that Republican (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Woody, don mikulecky, sturunner

        It was held by Democrats since reconstruction until 1976 and it was the scene of several close races in the 1980's and early 1990's.  

        •  Democrats since reconstruction held the district (0+ / 0-)

          because from reconstruction until Nixon's Southern Strategy, Democrats were the party of segregation.  Southern Democrats were the arch conservative party of white primaries and poll taxes and the Republicans were the liberal party of Lincoln.  While there may have been some close elections in the 80's and 90's --note the word "Close".  The dems may have come close but they didn't win.  I would love to have a democratic congress member from this district.  It will be very difficult to make that happen and a democratic candidate would act very much like a republican candidate on many issues.    

    •  Until the last redistricting. (0+ / 0-)

      It was made safe then.

      An idea is not responsible for who happens to be carrying it at the moment. It stands or falls on its own merits.

      by don mikulecky on Fri Mar 19, 2010 at 08:31:46 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  We did a good job of getting republicans to vote (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Woody

      for Obama.  Then look at last year's State elections.  It went right back like a rubber band.

      An idea is not responsible for who happens to be carrying it at the moment. It stands or falls on its own merits.

      by don mikulecky on Fri Mar 19, 2010 at 08:33:53 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  This is certainly safe republican territory. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Woody

    They have about a 2 to 1 edge.  Interesting thing this.  I held a health care teach in last summer in front of the Food Lion in "downtown" Mathews (2 blocks long at best...not a traffic light in the County) and was besieged by the Mathews Tea Baggers.  One of them actually threatened the president (and me) and has been investigated by the Secret Service.  We have tried hard here to overcome the odds.  The Mathews Democratic Committee has been a phoenix over the last ten or so years.  I went to Wittman's "Town Hall Meeting" at Christopher Newport.  It was a farce and he sounded very much like a Tea Bagger.  

    Oh and we have had a mixed history in the 1st.  The last redistricting was the clincher for the republicans.  The district stretches from Fredricksburg to Tidewater and was drawn in this inane way to make it safe.   Before that we have had the Lou Puller vs Paul Tribble fiasco.  This was a classic destruction of a wounded veteran who also happened to be son of a very popular USMC Commandant.  

    Anything is possible.  I don't think the incumbent has much to worry about.  Lots of Republicans I know voted for Obama.  The funny thing is that most folk around here are "independents" who talk like Tea Baggers.  It should be interesting.   Gives our local Dems some hope.

    An idea is not responsible for who happens to be carrying it at the moment. It stands or falls on its own merits.

    by don mikulecky on Fri Mar 19, 2010 at 08:30:40 PM PDT

  •  Had to tip and rec just for bringing (0+ / 0-)

    Krystal Ball to my attention.  

    Great name.  May the best Democrat win.

    'The votes are in, and we won.' - Jim Webb, 11/07/2006

    by lcork on Fri Mar 19, 2010 at 10:44:48 PM PDT

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