Following up on my last diary entry, where I indicated that at least a couple of teabagging candidates are headed for a likely defeat this November, more polling data has come to light. And it ain't good for the tea party. Rasmussen now has given Harry Reid a 2-point lead over Sharron Angle.
Rasmussen recently reported that Harry Reid is leading Sharron Angle 45-43. This is in striking contrast with earlier polling in the March through June timeframe, which had Angle staked to a double-digit (11-point) lead over Reid.
How did this happen? The key reasons are clear:
- She's an extremist, opposing popular government programs such as Social Security and Medicare. She even goes so far as to insult the beneficiaries by implying they're "welfare" recipients. Never mind the fact they paid payroll taxes for 40 years!
- She's a coward, fleeing from the media every time they ask about anything that makes her feel even vaguely uncomfortable.
- She's being overpackaged and overproduced by her handlers, created an impression of inauthenticity.
- She ideologically refuses to directly help her constituents in dire need of jobs and other assistance. Guess she hasn't heard of constituent service?
- She has no positive agenda to speak of, and never has.
While I realize that politics rarely goes in a straight line, she's such an awful candidate that I'm willing to make an exception here. I bet that her combined liabilities prove such a turnoff that only the right-wing crazies will show up to fill in the oval for her in November. Overall, this amounts to predicting a double-digit defeat (10+ points) for her in November. Here is the Rasmussen data and my projection for November right now: