Big news! In the latest independent poll on the race released today, we have pulled to within single digits of Senator Burr (48%-40%), and surged a +6% in the past week. This poll shows that our hard work has completely changed the state of the race! Read the full memo from PPP here.
The good news for Marshall is that she's picking up undecided voters and closing the gap against Burr. She now trails by 8 points, 48-40, after facing a 13 point deficit against Burr three weeks ago. She's starting to shore up her support with the base, getting 73% of Democrats compared to 65% in the previous poll.
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And that base is getting larger as the level of interest from Democratic voters picks up with the election moving closer. In late September the likely voter pool for this year voted for John McCain by a 9 point margin, suggesting a massive drop in Democratic turnout given that Barack Obama actually won the state. Now the likely voter pool reflects an electorate that supported McCain by 4 points, still pointing to a decline in Democratic turnout but perhaps not as massive as it looked like it would be earlier in the cycle.
Two big debate wins, incredible energy at campaign stops across the state, and huge endorsements from the likes of the Raleigh News and Observer, have all helped us take back the momentum. Don’t forget our TV ads and the hard work you’re putting in everyday.
But we can’t let up. This poll was conducted over the weekend, which means our TV ads hadn't even been on air for a full week. These are great results. Help us keep it going!
There will never be a more critical time to contribute to our campaign. Help us meet our online Election Day goal of $200,000 from 4,000 donors by chipping in $5 or more!
Your support has meant so much to me, and I know we can make this goal and win this race.
Thank you for your support over the last year.
Elaine