Skip to main content

UPDATE:  I was beat to it.  Please head over to nirbama's diary for a good discussion.

You'd think that after dumping over $140 million of her own money into the race for Governor of California, that Meg Whitman would have something more to show for it than these results from today's LA Times poll:

Brown, the Democratic attorney general and former governor, led Whitman 52% to 39% among likely voters, the poll found.

That's brutal.  Brown has now claimed a 13 point lead in this race and has spent about an eighth of what Whitman has spent.  And it seems like as time goes on, (and Meg spends more money), the results for her are getting even worse. Based on this type of behavior, we'd expect Meg to get the message that Californians are probably burned out on her blitz of the airwaves.  

In fact, if this dynamic continues to hold, her best strategy is to hide in a hole and pull all her ads off the air, just in order to preserve what little support that she has left.

And there is even more good news for Democrats in California.

The abrupt movement in the race for governor came as Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer held onto her 8-point margin over Republican Carly Fiorina in the U.S. Senate contest. Boxer's 50% to 42% lead was statistically unchanged from September's 51% to 43% edge.

For both Democrats, the month between the two polls found the party's strongest supporters rallying to the candidates' sides: liberals, women and Latinos either solidified or expanded their backing for Brown and Boxer. Nonpartisan voters, whom Republicans had counted on to overcome the Democratic advantage in voter registration, moved away from the two Republican candidates, and moderate voters also tilted toward the Democrats.

We've known for a while that California Democrats were not suffering from the same purported 'enthusiasm gap' as in other parts of the country.  The question has always been, was California an outlier or a leading indicator for the rest of the country.

Most of the nation has seen pronounced enthusiasm by Republican voters as the midterm elections approach. In California, however, Democrats have gained strength and GOP motivation has ebbed slightly in the last month, the poll showed. The current standings represent a reassertion of a more typical profile for the state after an election year convulsed by a foundering economy, widespread discontent about the future and record-breaking spending by Whitman, who has dropped more than $141 million of her own money into her campaign.

Based on what we've seen from early voting data, I don't think they're an outlier.  

Nine days out from an election, California is making a bold statement to the rest of the nation.  Let's hope we're all listening.


Originally posted to Bonsai66 on Sun Oct 24, 2010 at 01:16 PM PDT.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site