Chris Bowers is doing a great job tracking Senate races to help us target contributions,
but I miss the excellent spreadsheets he did for House races in previous cycles.
This is an effort to help fill the gap.
Below the fold is a table with 18 House races deserving late contributions IMO.
My criteria include: strong progressives, with high ADA ratings for 2009
(plus three challengers for open seats held by progressive Dems),
running races identified as competitive by Pollster and/or 538,
mostly in states with close Senate races,
so contributions will do double work by boosting Dem turnout.
House Races 2010 Oct 26
|AZ 07||Grijalva||100||Toss||D||McCain||Prog leader O2B|
|CA 11||McNerney||100||R+4||75%||Lean R||Toss||D||Boxer||Strong envir|
|CO 07||Perlmutter||95||R+1||55%||Toss Up||Ln D||D||Bennet|
|FL 08||Grayson||100||R+7||88%||Lean R||Ln R||D||Crist?||Strong prog O2B|
|IL 17||Hare||90||R+1||83%||Lean R||Toss||D||Giannoulias|
|KY 03||Yarmuth||100||D+22||95%||Strong D||Ln D||D||Conway||Prob safe|
|KY 06||Chandler||80||D+6||80%||Lean D||Toss||D||Conway|
|MO 03||Carnahan||100||D+11||88%||Lean D||D||Carnahan||Rel of S cand|
|NC 02||Etheridge||95||Tie||66%||Toss Up||Ln D||D||Marshall||S longshot|
|NH 01||Shea-Porter||95||R+9||90%||Lean R||Ln R||D||Hodes||S longshot|
|NH 02||Kuster||||Tie||58%||Toss Up||Toss||OD||Hodes||Hodes seat; O2B|
|NY 19||Hall||100||Tie||53%||Toss Up||Toss||D||2 Safe Ds||Top race in NYS|
|OH 15||Kilroy||100||R+9||89%||Lean R||Ln R||D||Fisher||Strong prog|
|PA 07||Lentz||||R+4||83%||Lean R||Ln R||OD||Sestak||Sestak seat|
|PA 08||Murphy,P||90||R+2||57%||Toss Up||Toss||D||Sestak|
|WA 02||Larsen||100||D+3||76%||Lean D||Ln D||D||Murray|
|WIS 7||Lassa||||R+7||85%||Lean R||Toss||OD||Feingold||Obey's seat|
|WIS 8||Kagen||95||R+7||84%||Lean R||Ln R||D||Feingold|
Close House race,
high* ADA liberal quotient on House votes (2009 only, latest available)
running in states with competitive Senate race
and/or progressive leader.
ADA ratings based on 20 votes in 2009 http://www.adaction.org/...
*KY 06 Chandler's ADA is only 80%, but he could help Conway take down Paul,
while Yarmuth KY 03 with 95% ADA may not need the help.
[bracketed ADA ratings are for outgoing Dem incumbents from open seats]
All are current D seats; D: candidate is incumbent; OD: Open Dem seat;
O2B: Orange to Blue candidate.
Pollster data from http://www.huffingtonpost.com/... Oct 25 evening
"Mrg" is the margin between what I assume are polling averages in this race;
"Win %" I assume is Pollster's current estimate of odds favoring whoever is leading.
538 rating from http://elections.nytimes.com/... Oct 25 evening
NY has 2 Sen candidates, Schumer and Gillibrand, both safe
but I want to help John Hall, strong progressive in very close race.
Help getting table columns to line up is appreciated (h/t jgnyc),
but not as much as contributions on ActBlue.com