We know that Rassmussen and Gallup are probably skewed toward Republicans because
1.) Their forecasts model a "wave" election where there is an enthusiasm gap.
2.) They are doing cheap robo polls which undersample the young and minorities because they only call landlines rather than cell phones.
3.) They have overwhelmed the polling process with some 2500 polls as the election closes.
4.) Republicans are believers. Somehow though the polling shows only 12% of the public actually polls enthusiastic for Republicans
(While this is true for Rasmussen, Gallup does live interviews and also calls cell phones.)
Gallup's problem is mainly with their likely voter model, which presumsd a fixed turn out of 40%, and forces all respondees to their poll to compete for inclusion that that fixed pool.
There are about 10 teabagger Senate races where the spread is tight, within the margin of error. Suppose most Democrats are just as angry as you are and fired up they get out the vote. Democrats could win.
Teabaggers are already laying the groundwork to cry fraud.
In the most prominent teabagger Senate races where the spread is tight, within the margin of error teabaggers are angry enough to act like thugs and bullies to try to force the results they want by intimidating us wimpy democrats.
The stomping, handcuffing, marching with guns, angrily bullying town meetings by shouting down anyone who wants to maintain decorum, and all the while promoting some of the craziest ideas you have ever heard of is designed to look fierce. The way it actually comes across is weak and desperate.
I'm pretty sure we hold the Senate, the margin in our favor could range from 51-55, but maybe we hold the house too, the range there could break differently than projected because all politics is local and some Democratic candidates are just well liked in their home districts. I'm thinking that regardless of how you feel about republicans and democrats, people who do a good job for you stay your friends.