Zogby's
latest national numbers herald good news for Dean and Gephardt. MoE +/- 4.2%. (September results)
Not sure 34 (43)
Dean 15 (12)
Clark 10 (12)
Gephardt 9 (6)
Lieberman 9 (7)
Kerry 7 (7)
Other 6 (3)
Sharpton 4 (4)
Edwards 3 (2)
Kucinich 2 (1)
Moseley Braun 2 (4)
Let me crib Zogby's subgroup poll results.
Dean has a slight edge in the East and South. In the West, Clark enjoys 22% compared to Dean's 17%. In the East, Dean (18%) is followed by Lieberman (15%) and Gephardt (11%), and Kerry trails with just 8%. Dean is the leader in the South with 13%, followed by an 8% tie of Edwards, Lieberman, and Sharpton. Gephardt has a slight lead on Dean in the Central-Great Lakes area, 16% - 15%.
Democrats favor Dean with 16%, followed by Clark (13%), Lieberman (10%), and Gephardt (9%), while Independents like Dean (13%), Gephardt (11%), Lieberman (6%), and Clark (5%).
Whites favor Dean (17%), followed by Gephardt (11%) and Lieberman (9%), while African-Americans support Sharpton (14%) over Dean (11%). Hispanics give a slight edge (19%) to Clark over Dean (18%).
Men favor Dean first (16%), followed by Clark (13%) and Gephardt and Lieberman (9% each). Women like Dean best (15%), followed by Gephardt and Lieberman, both at 9%.
Dean's appeal seems to miss those under 30 years of age, who give 16% each to Sharpton and Clark, compared to Dean and Edwards at 4% each. Those ages 30-49 like Dean best (16%), with Kerry and Lieberman tied at 11%.
Likely Democratic primary voters ages 50-64 favor Dean (18%), Gephardt (12%) and Clark (11%), while Seniors (ages 65+) are divided in their support of Clark and Dean at 14% each, followed by Gephardt and Lieberman at 12%.
Note that these subgroups represent only a handful of poll respondents, so the MoEs on these are through the roof and probably not all too useful. In other words, there were a total of 558 individuals polled. Perhaps 100 of those are southerners. Maybe 50 are under 30 years old. Perhaps 30 were African American, etc. So those results must be taken with a grain of salt.