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CT-Sen: Linda McMahon says that she hasn't "made up my mind yet" but that she is "leaning in [the] direction" of another senate run. As Daniel Kelly, ED of the state Dem party rightly points out, she can swamp the GOP field in the primary with her zillions, but she'd be the same tainted goods in the general as she was last year – and, I would add, this time, she'd be running in a blue state in a presidential year. Good luck, lady!

Meanwhile, another much-lesser-known Republican, state Sen. Scott Frantz, says he won't "rule out" a senate bid, but that he has "no plans to run."

FL-Sen: Obama alert! Barack Himself (and DSCC chair Patty Murray) will host a March 4th fundraiser for Sen. Bill Nelson in Miami Beach, with proceeds to be split between the Nelson campaign and the DSCC. I draw two things from this bit of news. First, if you're facing a competitive race and want presidential help, it's a good idea to live in a swing state. Second, it's nice to see that Nelson isn't shying away from Obama.

On the GOP side, the St. Petersburg Times has an interesting (and lengthy) profile of likely senate candidate Connie Mack. Mack is a hardcore conservative, but remember – it's not just about how you vote, it's about how you belong. And Mack has taken a few stances that put his tribal membership into some doubt, such as "supporting stem cell research, defending WikiLeaks and denouncing Arizona's tough immigration law as Gestapo-like." Still, with the possible exception of the Arizona law, these are mostly second-order concerns for teabaggers, and Mack would still probably have to be considered the favorite in any primary.

ME-Sen: If Olympia Snowe is going to get teabagged, we finally have a potential name that's a notch of above Some Dude: wealthy real estate developer Eric Cianchette (a cousin of former Republican gubernatorial candidate Peter Cianchette) is reportedly considering the race. But the guy who originally broke the news, Dennis Bailey, says that Cianchette may actually be having second thoughts and considering another race.

NV-Sen: Ah, the blind quotes are out to get John Ensign. "One Republican lobbyist" says he (and everyone else) is supporting Dean Heller, while "another Republican lobbyist" says he's pushing John Cornyn to have Ensign fitted for some new Ferragamo cement wingtips. On the flipside, one lobbyist with an actual name, Kenneth Kies (who is supporting Ensign), claims "Cornyn's been clear that he doesn't get involved in these things." I guess when you're a Republican lobbyist, you are either very good at believing things which aren't true or at least just saying them out loud.

FL-Gov: Usually, when the headline is "Criminal Behaves Like Criminal," it's not really news. But when that criminal is the sitting governor of Florida, it is. Zillionaire creepster Rick Scott followed through on a campaign promise to sell one of the state's two planes. The problem is, he used the proceeds from the sale to pay off the lease on the other plane – and, says Republican state Sen. J.D. Alexander, it's up to the legislature, not the governor, to decide how to appropriate state funds. It's kind of amazing how frequently Rick Scott has already gotten on the wrong side of his fellow Republicans during his very short tenure. Actually, when I said "kind of amazing," I meant "totally predictable and expected." Florida is damn near turning into a cat fud factory.

AZ-08: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand and Reps. Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Adam Smith are hosting a fundraiser for Rep. Gabby Giffords on March 15th in DC.

FL-25: When Republicans vetted Rep. David Rivera, they must have used the same crew of CHUDS and mole-people who blessed Bernie Kerik's bid for homeland security chief. Now comes word that in just a few short years, Rivera funneled at least $817,000 to a consultant and "close friend," Esther Nuhfer, through an often-complicated series of arrangements that remind me of a South Florida version of BMW Direct. Ferinstance, Nuhfer's firm raised an astounding $1 million for Rivera's state senate campaign (before he switched over to the FL-25 race)… but he burned through $700K by February of last year, and at least a quarter mil of that went to Nuhfer. Also, this.

IN-02: Jackie Walorski is now saying she'll decide whether to see a rematch against Joe Donnelly (who himself may not run again) in a "couple of weeks." She also says she has no interest in running for Senate or Secretary of State.

NY-26: I doubt this matters much, since there won't be a primary here, but Kieran Lalor's conservative Iraq vets PAC is pushing one of their own for the GOP nomination: David Bellavia. Even though Assemblywoman Jane Corwin appears to be the frontrunner, Bellavia will be interviewed by local party leaders.

OR-01: This is deeply, deeply disturbing. Days before the election last year, David Wu's staff confronted him and "demanded he enter a hospital for psychiatric treatment." He refused, and went on to win re-election anyway, but as you know, he faced a staff exodus earlier this year. Read the article for the full (and scary) details – excerpting it won't do it justice. Wu seriously has got to go – and has to get the help he needs. Blue Oregon has more.

PA-10: Did someone crack out of turn? Last week, Steve Israel said he didn't want to talk up potential recruits for 2012 lest they get pre-redistricted into oblivion in 2011. Former Rep. Chris Carney seems like exactly the sort of person who would fall into that category, yet an unnamed source told Politico's Dave Catanese that Carney was just in Washington to meet with DCCC officials about a potential rematch with Tom Marino. Now the GOP will probably try to find a way to move Carney's house to the District of Guam.

Philly Mayor: 2007 candidate and richie rich Tom Knox said he might change his mind and run in the Democratic primary once again, rather than as an independent (which is what he previously claimed he would do). He says he's waiting on the results of a poll to decide – I like the honesty! He'd face incumbent Michael Nutter in the primary if he chose that route. Also, Milton Street, bother of Nutter's two-term predecessor John Street, said he's getting in the game, too.

Nassau Co. Exec: On the list of doomed Republicans, Nassau Co. Executive Ed Mangano ranks pretty high. He ran his super-wealthy county's finances into the ground almost immediately after his upset victory over Dem Tom Suozzi in 2009. Just a few weeks ago, the state took control of the county's finances. Now, Mangano is lashing out against unnamed enemies like sweat-drenched victim of night terrors. He's running a campaign-style ad in which he attacks "opponents." Yeah, "opponents." NWOTSOTB, of course, but he's got quite a few more years to keep digging this Death Valley-depth hole down to Dead Sea levels.

NRSC: Like a bunch of mathletes tired of being picked last for everything in gym class, it seems that Republican senators have managed to give just about everyone who wants one some kind of title down at the No Homers NRSC clubhouse. My favorite are "low-dollar chairs" Johnny Isakson and Kelly Ayotte.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 06:30 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos Elections.

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Comment Preferences

  •  The link to Blue Oregon is broken (5+ / 0-)

    for the item on David Wu here is the right one, I hope.

  •  Shouldn't there be... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    litho, abgin, gabjoh

    ... a group or a tag for this feature?  Something to follow so it can show up on my stream?

    jest sayin'

    exmearden: Grab every minute of joy you can. 8/30/09

    by Land of Enchantment on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 06:38:07 AM PST

  •  Any word on Elizabeth Warren? n/t (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    filby, Donkey Hotey

    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all the people. Noam Chomsky

    by willkath on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 06:46:05 AM PST

  •  Any Democrat Candidates coming forward in CT.?n/t (0+ / 0-)

    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all the people. Noam Chomsky

    by willkath on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 06:46:37 AM PST

  •  No go by FL Dems on a primary of Nelson? (0+ / 0-)

    Ohz wellz.

    So much for Better Dems in Florida, which may well lead to Less Dems... thereby putting a pounding on both DKos goals.

    But maybe it'll change. Time shall tell.

    Given the talks of primaries (or lack thereof), it's beginning to look a bit more like the beginning of the days of "get behind our guy...now!".

    Ho-hum.

    More and Better Democrats

    by SJerseyIndy on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 06:47:44 AM PST

    •  Are you confusing Bill Nelson FL (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Goobergunch

      with Ben Nelson of Nebraska, perhaps?

      How come the dove gets to be the peace symbol? How about the pillow? It has more feathers than the dove and doesn't have that dangerous beak. Jack Handey

      by skohayes on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 07:42:17 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Nah. Both are somewhat odious in my view. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        filby

        With the latter moreso than the former.

        And with the latter, that seat looks a lost cause anyway... regardless. Of course, it'd be nice to see NE Dems rise up and topple the tool and run someone else as opposed to having the NE GOP do the deed of ridding the Senate Dem caucus of Ben. But it is what it is. That seat's pretty much a goner, as many have acknowledged.

        I'm not convinced the FL is a goner. Though, I am convinced it's more likely to be if Nelson is the candidate... for a variety of reasons to include his troubles in hitting the magic 50% re-elect numbers and the feel of the electorate still being in a "change" mood (regardless of what the "change" is represented as). As a result of electoral, paired with policy, concerns... I would think a healthy primary challenge would at least be considered in FL.

        More and Better Democrats

        by SJerseyIndy on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 08:00:29 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  He is the only D statewide elected official in FL (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          gabjoh

          For a reason. Who could beat him in a primary AND win the general? And please don't say Alan Grayson.

          •  What's the reason? (0+ / 0-)

            He's personally liked? He's tied to NASA in a NASA state?

            I'm unsure, as I'm not a resident. And I will readily admit I'm looking at things from the outside in, which will obviously give me a differing perspective.

            I know one reason contributing him being so is his complete lack of anything nearing what could've reasonably been referred to as a respectable Republican opponent in his last election bid.

            Any respectable Republican (oxymoron though it seems) nominee and, while Nelson still would've likely won in a Dem sweep in '06, it's possible it may have at least been a race.

            It's certain this year will be.

            I'm not convinced personal likability wins the day in an atmosphere of discontent and desire for "change". There is certainly that underlying current. And if his opponent is equally likable enough, it may just be that FL voters, in the general atmosphere of changing things, decide to say "You're likable enough, Bill, but sorry.".

            I suppose only time can tell. I just am of the basic inherent belief that more voices more choices makes for a healthier Democracy.

            More and Better Democrats

            by SJerseyIndy on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 11:02:55 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  A moderate in a moderate to GOP leaning state (0+ / 0-)

              All a primary would do is soften him up for the Republican since he would need to move left. See FL-01 last cycle. Boyd probably would have lost anyway but the primary challenge from Lawson only served to make it impossible. Anyway, that was 2010. 2012 could be very different and indeed is shaping up that way already. For instance there is no enthusiasm gap according to PPP - Democratic core constituencies are more excited about next year than Republicans. If the economy continues to improve it could well become quite a neutral year where incumbents are re-elected across the board. But it is far too early to know for sure.

              •  I'm not of the opinion that a primary... (0+ / 0-)

                softens him up too much, provided he wins it. Not many people argued as much in the 2008 Dem Presidential. In some ways, some of the campaigning and campaign made for better candidates.
                But I have a tendency to inherently reject the notion that relies on the "moderate in a moderate State" and uses it as a means to argue against providing Dem voters their own choice of candidate in primaries, as voters in varying states have shown time and again they are willing to look beyond ideologies and the like. How does WI go from Feingold to Johnson? MN from Wellstone to Coleman? Then to Franken? There's more to it than "too left for a moderate state" and "moderate in a moderate state". And operating in that mode of thinking only assures us of having a Democratic Party that is the same as it always is "moderate".

                Except, of course, when it's not busy moving right...

                More and Better Democrats

                by SJerseyIndy on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 11:48:46 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  Wisconsin is a Dem leaning swing state (0+ / 0-)

                  So is Minnesota. When did a liberal last win statewide in FL? I don't ascribe to the view that a primary for the sake of choice is worth it when an incumbent is involved who IMO has done a decent job.

                •  Nelson is a fine Senator representing his state (3+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  The Caped Composer, abgin, jncca

                  well.  Anybody who thinks they can do a better job and are called to service can primary anyone they want, but there isn't the slightest reason to primary Nelson, and even less reason to use up space on something that both isn't going to happen and would be an utter waste of time if it did.

                  http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/11/13/21516/201/804/660248

                  by tommypaine on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 01:44:36 PM PST

                  [ Parent ]

                •  I agree with you about the need of have (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  jncca

                  about the need of have of have more liberal to progressive democrats. It is necessary like we can see in Wisconsin.

                  I think also it is necessary to have enough democrats for have a majority, and sometimes that mean we need to have less leftist politicians than I would like.

                  I would not primary Bill Nelson.

          •  Why not? (0+ / 0-)

            If someone want Alan Grayson should be free for tell it. I respect Alan Grayson.

  •  leaning backward, going over the top rope (0+ / 0-)

    Linda McMahon says that she hasn't "made up my mind yet" but that she is "leaning in [the] direction" of another senate run.

    Präsidentenelf-maßschach; Warning-Some Snark Above "Nous sommes un groupuscule" join the DAILY KOS UNIVERSITY "makes Beck U. and the Limbaugh Institute look like Romper Room"

    by annieli on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 06:53:27 AM PST

  •  Nothing about Chicago Mayor tomorrow? (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    litho, Curt Matlock, skohayes, filby

    There's a real excitement over whether Rahm Emanuel is going to gain 50% plus one, thereby avoiding a runnoff election.

    "It's too soon to tell". Mao, when asked about the consequences of the French Revolution.

    by Inland on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 07:03:08 AM PST

  •  McMahon came up short against Blumenthal (0+ / 0-)

    but he was one of the most popular politicians in the state, and had been for years.  Will the Dems have a quality first tier candidate to put up against her this time around?

    Give me your tired, your poor, Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free
    ¡Boycott Arizona!

    by litho on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 07:03:32 AM PST

    •  Yes (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      filby, jncca

      His name is Rep Chris Murphy.

    •  Blumenthal . . . (0+ / 0-)

      . . . had some problems on the campaign trail, such that many worried that he would be rather Coakleyesque against a charismatic GOP opponent. For awhile, the polling looked as if it was trending toward a squeaker race. Fortunately, Blumenthal ended up decisively defeating Linda McMahon, despite his own shortcomings and the fact that it was a wave Republican year. If McMahon couldn't hold her own against a somewhat gaffe-prone and stiff Dem in the political climate of 2010, I highly doubt she'll get much traction in a more neutral environment, with higher turnout for a Presidential election.

  •  I don't like this Wu whispering campaign. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DaNang65

    OK, so maybe the stress got to him and he was acting like McCain for a couple weeks.

    Big, frickin' deal. It's not like he'[ll have his finger on the button.

    Lay off the smears.

    Fox News is a Religion.

    by Bush Bites on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 07:03:59 AM PST

    •  How is it a smear? (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Goobergunch, skohayes, gabjoh

      The people closest to him seem to think the situation is quite serious.

      Do you think it's impossible he could be having problems serious enough to warrant a change?  If so, why?

    •  This is the most appropriate way to deal with it (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      filby

      I don't really understand what the problem could be - the media is trying to report fairly on his condition, it hasn't been used as a political attack against him, and people seem to want to get get him help before 2012 roles around and the circus goes on again.

      Similar thing happened up here in VT - Ed Flanagan, former US Senate candidate, State Auditor, and then a State Senator, had suffered a traumatic brain injury and as a result, his public behavior became a little off.  Furthermore, he decided to run for higher office when the scandal became known, rather than step away.  Democrats quickly aligned behind a capable challenger, thanked Flanagan for his service, and he was retired without a campaign that damaged his character and caused him more issues than need be.

      It would be irresponsible for Democrats to not be at least trying to address this - Rep. Wu is his own man and ultimately gets to make the final choice, but trying to get him to help himself doesn't seem wrong in any way.

    •  I hope he gets help (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      filby, jncca

      and if he's not willing to do that or step down, then he ought to face a primary challenge of some sort.

    •  My favaorite Wu quote ever (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      filby, supercereal

      Klingons in the White House!

    •  The fact that people think it's a smear . . . (0+ / 0-)

      . . . speaks volumes about the stigma attached to mental illness in our society. If Wu had cancer or some other "acceptable" disease, we would all be expressing our hope that he would seek the necessary treatment, hopefully recover, and, if necessary, step down from his post in order to do so, depending upon the severity of the condition. Mental illness is just as much an illness as any other kind; the brain is an organ of the body, and its chemicals can become unbalanced. It is not-- or, at least, shouldn't be-- considered a "smear" to point out as much.

  •  NWOTSOTB? Interpretation, please. (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    skohayes, abgin, gabjoh

    eom

    For relevant sci-fi and fantasy, go to http://www.betty-cross-author.net/

    by Kimball Cross on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 07:06:46 AM PST

  •  FYI - Philly mayor (0+ / 0-)

    Milton Street just got out of prison. His brother John isn't much better.

  •  "Low Dollar Co-Chairs." (4+ / 0-)
    Sen. Johnny Isakson (Ga.) and freshman Sen. Kelly Ayotte (N.H.) are chairing the low-dollar Network program targeting the younger downtown donor crowd that wants to be involved but doesn’t have the means to write a large personal check.

    I used to live in Georgia. I know about Johnny Isakson. Somehow he doesn't seem like a good fit for the "younger downtown donor." He and Kelly need to hire Michael Steele as a consultant. Steele knows all about that urban-suburban hip-hop stuff.

    For relevant sci-fi and fantasy, go to http://www.betty-cross-author.net/

    by Kimball Cross on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 07:10:45 AM PST

  •  Anybody know anything about the Giffords (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Donkey Hotey, gabjoh

    fundraiser mentioned in the article? Is this to defray medical expenses or for her campaign fund? If the latter, is it to retire debt or can we take this to mean Gabby's hat is in  the ring for 2012? For AZ-08 or Kyl's seat?

    Baja Arizona Libre!

    by DaNang65 on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 07:11:30 AM PST

  •  Your link to Blue Oregon (0+ / 0-)

    is broken. It has a snippet of html code in it at the end. Here is your link:
    http://www.blueoregon.com/...

    That code at the end is a
    code and should be removed to make the link work.

    He who makes a beast of himself gets rid of the pain of being a man...Dr. Johnson (HST)

    by mikeypaw on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 07:33:42 AM PST

  •  Not good - Day the Government shutdown (0+ / 0-)

    FL-Sen: Obama alert! Barack Himself (and DSCC chair Patty Murray) will host a March 4th fundraiser for Sen. Bill Nelson in Miami Beach, with proceeds to be split between the Nelson campaign and the DSCC. I draw two things from this bit of news. First, if you're facing a competitive race and want presidential help, it's a good idea to live in a swing state. Second, it's nice to see that Nelson isn't shying away from Obama.

  •  nutter will win the Philly mayoral reelection (0+ / 0-)

    by a landslide.  knox will be a spoiler, but not to any great extent.

    the person who conventional wisdom said was going to win the last election was Chaka Fattah but he ran a very lazy campaign, and nutter ran the best one.

    oh... the link to the david wu story isn't working.

    "Wake the town and tell the people!" ~Ewart Beckford, O.D.

    by mallyroyal on Mon Feb 21, 2011 at 09:19:57 AM PST

  •  About Oregon's Wu.... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    liberte

    A little more substantiated facts in the article would help to convince me.If you are gonna claim bizzare behaviour and then only mention 3 or 4 E-Mails, then that just doesn't make the case for me.If there is more evidence then the writer should include it in the article.

  •  The future of Snow is turning... (0+ / 0-)

    black... or blue...

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