Skip to main content

In recent days, there has been some talk of attempting to recall WI Gov. Scott Walker over his attempts to eliminate collective bargaining rights for public employees. However, by law, Walker could not become the subject of a recall effort until 2012, and it would take over 500,000 signatures to put the issue on the ballot. (Wisconsin's total population is just 5.65 million.)

But the state senate is elected in alternating cycles, and eight Republicans - all of those in even-numbered districts, i.e., who last ran in 2008 - are eligible for recall now. That's state Sens. Robert Cowles, Alberta Darling, Sheila Harsdorf, Luther Olsen, Randy Hopper, Glenn Grothman, Mary Lazich and Dan Kapanke. (Of course, Dems elected in 2008 are potentially subject to recall as well.) And it would take about 15-16K signatures apiece for a successful recall petition, according to ThinkProgress.

So here's a look at the presidential vote breakdown in all 33 Wisconsin state senate districts to help gauge who might be most vulnerable to such an effort. The "Margin" column is the incumbent's margin of victory in his or her last election. Remember, you can click on each column header to sort the table, so you can see which incumbents had the narrowest victories, or which Republicans sit in the bluest seats, and so forth.

District Senator Party Age First
Elected
Margin Seat Up Obama McCain Kerry Bush
1 Frank Lasee (R) 49 2010 20.2% 2014 53% 45% 44% 55%
2 Robert Cowles (R) 60 1987 99.4% 2012 52% 46% 42% 57%
3 Tim Carpenter (D) 50 2002 22.5% 2014 63% 36% 58% 42%
4 Lena Taylor (D) 44 2004 98.8% 2012 86% 13% 80% 19%
5 Leah Vukmir (R) 52 2010 4.5% 2014 51% 47% 46% 53%
6 Spencer Coggs (D) 61 2003 98.9% 2012 89% 11% 83% 16%
7 Chris Larson (D) 30 2010 14.4% 2014 61% 38% 56% 43%
8 Alberta Darling (R) 66 1992 1.0% 2012 51% 47% 46% 53%
9 Joe Leibham (R) 41 2002 46.3% 2014 53% 46% 47% 52%
10 Sheila Harsdorf (R) 54 2000 12.9% 2012 50% 48% 48% 51%
11 Neal Kedzie (R) 55 2002 50.8% 2014 40% 59% 33% 66%
12 Jim Holperin (D) 60 2008 2.5% 2012 53% 46% 46% 53%
13 Scott Fitzgerald (R) 47 1994 38.4% 2014 48% 51% 41% 59%
14 Luther Olsen (R) 59 2004 99.4% 2012 52% 47% 43% 56%
15 Tim Cullen (D) 66 2010 18.0% 2014 63% 35% 57% 42%
16 Mark Miller (D) 68 2004 99.3% 2012 66% 32% 58% 41%
17 Dale Schultz (R) 57 1991 25.2% 2014 61% 38% 51% 48%
18 Randy Hopper (R) 45 2008 0.2% 2012 51% 47% 42% 57%
19 Michael Ellis (R) 69 1982 99.0% 2014 54% 44% 45% 54%
20 Glenn Grothman (R) 55 2004 60.6% 2012 36% 63% 30% 69%
21 Van Wanggaard (R) 58 2010 5.1% 2014 55% 43% 50% 49%
22 Robert Wirch (D) 67 1996 33.4% 2012 57% 41% 51% 48%
23 Terry Moulton (R) 64 2010 8.5% 2014 55% 43% 49% 50%
24 Julie Lassa (D) 40 2003 35.4% 2012 59% 39% 51% 47%
25 Robert Jauch (D) 65 1986 2.6% 2014 59% 40% 56% 43%
26 Fred Risser (D) 83 1962 99.1% 2012 81% 17% 75% 23%
27 Jon Erpenbach (D) 50 1998 23.7% 2014 67% 32% 59% 40%
28 Mary Lazich (R) 58 1998 99.2% 2012 39% 60% 35% 64%
29 Pam Galloway (R) 55 2010 4.6% 2014 53% 45% 46% 53%
30 Dave Hansen (D) 63 2000 32.2% 2012 56% 42% 47% 52%
31 Kathleen Vinehout (D) 52 2006 0.7% 2014 58% 41% 52% 46%
32 Dan Kapanke (R) 63 2004 2.9% 2012 61% 38% 53% 46%
33 Rich Zipperer (R) 36 2010 99.5% 2014 37% 62% 32% 67%
One name which stands out here is Dan Kapanke. He's in the bluest district held by a Republican, and he won by less than 3% last time he faced voters. If his name sounds familiar, that's because he waged a pretty high-profile challenge against Dem Rep. Ron Kind (WI-03) last year, losing narrowly. I'm sure Kind has a pretty fat oppo file on Kapanke he'd be willing to share....

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site