Just read this new survey released a few hours ago.. It says that If this bill passes approximately 1.1 million voters in Wisconsin will sign a RECALL PETITION for Walker and the 8 state senators who vote for this bill.
A BIG WARNING SHOT HAS BEEN FIRED!!
Survey shows Walker and eight Republican State Senators vulnerable to recall
An estimated 1.1 million Wisconsin voters would sign a recall petition if asked
Microtargeting survey shows opposition to Walker's plan to end collective bargaining for state employees, and strong support for recalling Walker. Based on these results, the eight Republican State Senators subject to immediate recall are in significant jeopardy if they support Walker’s proposal.
Microtargeting surveys are different from polls in that they seek not only to find the overall support or opposition to a given proposal, but also to determine the likelihood that any individual voter will support or oppose the individual in question. This makes it possible to determine the number of voters who would be likely to support recalling Scott Walker, and the number who would be willing to take some action like signing a recall petition. Perhaps more significantly, the microtargeting models provide estimates of the number of voters who would be likely to support recalling their State Senators in districts where Republican State Senators are acting or voting against the wishes of their constituents by supporting Walker's radical proposal.
Scott Walker and his allies have been trying to dismiss the unprecedented number of protesters at the Capitol as either Madison liberals, or out‐of‐state agitators. However, the results of a recent microtargeting survey indicate that Walker and Republican State Senators are in serious jeopardy if they continue to push Walker's immensely unpopular plan to end collective bargaining rights for state employees
70% of those who oppose the elimination of
collective bargaining feel strongly enough to agree that Walker should be recalled. 62% of these voters would be willing to take some action such as signing a recall petition.
Strategic Telemetry was able to compare the results of this most recent survey to a number of microtargeting models in order to predict by State Senate district the number of voters who would support recalling Walker, and the number who would be willing to take action. Walker will not be subject to a recall until he has served one year in office. After he has served one year, a recall would require the signatures of approximately 532,970 voters (25% of the total 2010 gubernatorial vote). Based on the results of this most recent survey and microtargeting models, it is estimated that more than 1.1 million voters statewide would be willing to sign a recall petition if asked.
Recall of State Senators
Although the survey did not ask about specific State Senators, if one assumes that voters who want to recall Walker would also want to recall State Senators who support Walker's plan, the results are truly troubling for the eight Republican State Senators who were elected in 2008 and are subject to immediate recall.
In six of the eight districts, it is estimated that a majority of voters are opposed to Walker's budget. Even in the two districts where a majority of voters support the budget, opponents are sufficiently energized that the estimated number willing to sign a recall petition is well in excess of the number needed.
Check out the chart as to how many signatures each of the 8 GOP senators needs and how much they won in the last election. A lot of them won in deep blue districts.