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Joe Biden

FL-Sen: Biden alert – confirmed! There was a rumor that Joey Jo-Jo Biden Shabadoo would soon be doing a fundraiser for Bill Nelson. It turns out he's doing two, on March 25th: One near Orlando and the other in Tampa.

OR-01: Not a particularly good addition to the resume for Rep. David Wu (D). As The Oregonian puts it, Wu "crashed his vehicle into a parked car in Northwest Portland last year, but passed a police field sobriety test and the incident never showed up in a police report." A police official notes that a lack of a report is not uncommon, and says that Wu didn't identify himself as a congressman.

VA-11: Republican Keith Fimian, who lost to Rep. Gerry Connolly in 2008 and 2010 (by a whisker), says he'll run again – but only if the 11th CD "redistricts well," something he doesn't expect to happen… nor should he, given the likelihood that the state lege will adopt an incumbent-protection map.

LA-Gov: He doesn't have any declared opponents for the November election, he's got an astounding $9 million in the bank, and Democrats have been getting their asses kicked in Louisiana for years, but that's not stopping Gov. Bobby Jindal from going on the air with his first television ad. The buy, according to a Jindal spokesman, is for "six figures," so I guess that means anywhere from $100,000 to $999,999.

SC-LG: Republican Lt. Gov. Ken Ard has just been charged with 92 counts of violating ethics rules, in which he's accused of putting campaign money to personal use and failing to properly disclose his spending. Among other things, Ard spent campaign funds to attend the SEC championship football game in Atlanta last year (the University of South Carolina got crushed), and he also bought his wife a gown to wear to the state's Inaugural Ball.

Wisconsin Recall: The linked article has some vague but somewhat more specific figures on the number of signatures gathered in the recall efforts. One interesting detail: If some collection efforts finish earlier than others, that means we could have staggered recall elections. I personally think we'd be better off waiting to submit all our signatures at once so that we can have a unified effort. (And also, we should keep gathering sigs until the last day, to ward off challenges.)

Greg Sargent also has a new version of an ad in support of the recall from the PCCC and DFA (NWOTSOTB). Oddly, the final title card calls out Alberta Darling, Glenn Grothman, and Mary Lazich by name – but as you'll recall, Grothman and Lazich are the two pretty much untouchable senators, thanks to their super-red districts.

On a related note, Think Progress observes that Michigan's state constitution has similar recall provisions to those in Wisconsin. Republican Gov. Rick Snyder is also pushing anti-union legislation there, and he and his allies in the legislature could be subject to a recall movement as early as July.

WI Sup. Ct.: In other Wisconsin news, Republican Supreme Court Justice David Prosser is up with an oddly narrated ad that touts some healthcare-related decision he once made. I find it pretty gross and unseemly that high court judges are elected in the first place, and to see them speaking of judicial decision-making in such nakedly political terms is disturbing. But it's the system we've got – and with any luck, Democrat JoAnne Kloppenburg will have a fighting chance against Prosser in next month's election.

Models: Harry Enten has published a model for forecasting the results of House races in presidential years. He predicts that Republicans will win 238 seats, which, assuming the GOP holds NY-26, would mean a loss of only four seats for the party in power. But the model has a margin of error of ±10 seats, so conceivably the Republicans could hold as many as 248 seats and as few as 228. Obviously, you'll have to click the link for the full details of Harry's model.

Votes: Seven House Republicans voted against banning all federal funding to NPR: Rob Woodall (GA-07), Chris Gibson (NY-20), Richard Hanna (NY-24), Pat Tiberi (OH-12), Steve LaTourette (OH-14), Dave Reichert (WA-08), and Sean Duffy (WI-03). Weirdo teabagger Justin Amash (MI-03) voted "present." And yeah, I had to look up Rob Woodall, too: He's the freshman who replaced the retired John Linder last year (Woodall was Linder's chief of staff). This vote really stands out because GA-07 is one of the reddest districts in the nation (it gave 40-point margins to Bush, though "only" 20 to McCain), and all the others on this list have quasi-semi-some-of-the-time moderate reputations.

WATN?: In case you really care about Joe Miller, I guess you can click the link….

Redistricting Roundup:

Louisiana: State Rep. Rick Gallot, who chairs the LA House's redistricting panel, released three different preliminary proposals. (Scroll down to the bottom for PDFs of the maps.) All of the plans involve pitting Republican incumbents against each other: two of the maps throw freshman Rep. Jeff Landry in with Charles Boustany; the third combines Landry with Bill Cassidy. A fourth plan (not linked in the article) by Rep. Joe Harrison (R) would combined John Fleming and Rodney Alexander. By the way, Gallot is a Democrat, yet he's apparently heading up the GOP-controlled House's redistricting efforts. Louisiana confuses me.

Mississippi: Uh, wow. Dem House Speaker Billy McCoy absolutely flipped out and seems to have turned what was a winning situation for the Dems into a disaster. For a moment there, it looked as though Republicans (who control the Senate) were ready to agree to incumbent protection plans for each chamber – and give the kiss-off to Lt. Gov. Phil Bryant, who wanted to take a more aggressive approach. But McCoy crumbed the play, releasing a statement saying… well, click the link for the whole thing – it's really berserk. He says he won't recognize any further maps from the Senate, he considers the whole thing a done deal, and he's sending the maps to the Department of Justice for preclearance – even though they haven't been passed into law! I have a strong feeling that he'll get an envelope back marked "Return to Sender," but the more important fact is that this now strengthened Bryant's hand and probably makes Senate Republicans much more likely to jettison a bipartisan gerrymander and take Bryant's approach. Ah, well, it's just delaying the inevitable – even with the most favorable of maps, I can't imagine Dems in MS holding the House for very long.

New Jersey: It's a classic problem, and one that puts Republicans in the rare position of siding with minority communities, while the Democrats are on the outs. Hispanic and Asian political leaders in New Jersey are unhappy with their communities' under-representation in the legislature, and they want to see more majority-minority districts drawn. Republicans are all too eager to help – and Democrats are, of course, unhappy, because that means packing Dem voters into darker-blue districts, rather than spreading them around to make more seats competitive. This is a miniature, state-level version of what happened in the early 90s on the federal level and reflects an ongoing, hard-to-resolve tension.

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Comment Preferences

  •  TV time (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    AnnieR

    I have noticed that President Obama, seems not to have the TV exposure that Bushy did.
    I remember bush constantly on tv saying things like WMD's, terrorists, nuwclr, just the same old stuff.
    these days the news just says "oh and obama said" and thats it. no real coverage.
    Maybe its me, or maybe the msm is just gaffing him off.

    What I can not tolerate is intolerance

    by rageagnstmach on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 06:13:42 AM PDT

  •  BidenWatch (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    AnnieR, David Nir, Ray Radlein

    In Philadelphia today for a D-Trip fundraiser.

  •  Joey Jo Jo Biden Shabadoo? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    AnnieR

    I do not see that in the tas

    "I've taken up sculpting recently. Landscapes mostly." ~ Yogi Bear

    by eXtina on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 06:21:18 AM PDT

    •  To dream of the Biden-Obama ticket (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      AnnieR, eXtina

      I'm not ready for calling him "Joey Jo-Jo Biden Shabadoo" because that seems to denigrate Joe Biden, and I don't think he deserves that at all.

      Consider this. If you put up a poll:

      "After some time to observe their performance in office, would you prefer to see Obama-Biden or Biden-Obama?"

      How would that poll turn out?

      I'd certainly vote for Biden at the top over Obama.

      Yes, Obama would have made a very nice VP. He certainly could have used the remedial tutorials from President Biden on how to fight for the principles, and the members, of the Democratic Party.

  •  As To Joey.... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    AnnieR, Woody

    Take a hike over to my diary and listen to him as to collective bargaining and workers he made last night to union members and others streamin it!!

    CCR:"If you're a torturer, be careful in your travel plans. It's a slow process for accountability, but we keep going."

    by jimstaro on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 06:22:34 AM PDT

    •  Biden for President! (0+ / 0-)

      I'd vote for Joe Biden in a heartbeat.  This may sound weird but the fact that he has experienced so much loss in his personal life, and is so resilient still, even happy most of the time, makes him the perfect man for this challenging job ahead.  

      IMHO, Obama is not up to the task.  He's all suit and no substance.  He relies too much on sketchy advisors; he doesn't have the sixth sense Biden has.

      Moreover, Biden's tactless approach to problems is bracing, refreshing.  This is what people are craving.  We're craving a leader that takes no prisoners and tells it like it is.  And he doesn't fear the GOP.  From his past, he has already "died" inside and come back to life.  Once you do this, you are never the same.  Death doesn't scare you anymore.  

      He is the perfect soldier/politician.  The middle would line up to vote for him in droves.

  •  I got an invite for the Bill Nelson affair (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    se portland, AnnieR

    No mention that it's a fund raiser, but obviously...

    I like Joe Biden quite a lot, but can't stand the weak, weaselly Bill Nelson.  In 2008, Barack, Hillary, and Nelson appeared together in Orlando.  We all wildly cheered Barack and Hillary.  I was the only Dem, I think, who booed Nelson. An ABC reporter turned his camera my way and I ducked to stay off TV.

    •  I'm not a huge Bill Nelson fan BUT (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      thematt523, flhiii88, Ray Radlein

      I like the fact that he's not shying away from the administration at all - he's already done a fundraiser with Obama, too.

      •  How is that a plus? nt (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        deben
      •  Not a fan myself of protecting ineffective Dems, (0+ / 0-)

        and Bill Nelson is worse than ineffective.  He's sneaky, saying one thing (if he takes any public stand at all on an issue) and doing the opposite.  It takes constant pleading with him to get him to do the right, decent thing.

        Many incumbent Dems need to be primaried from office in my opinion, out of the way of new, better Democrats: ones with ideas and fire.

        Sunday mornings are more beautiful without Meet the Press.

        by deben on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 08:57:27 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  To me (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Ray Radlein

          The alternative to Bill Nelson is almost certainly going to be a Republican. The art of the possible.

          •  The road from conservaDems (0+ / 0-)

            to liberal Dems in elected office seems usually to require a Republican getting elected in between.

            As far as I can tell, The People is doing the replacement but the pace is frustratingly slow.  It seems to want to keep a rough balance of partisan power while forcing D's to reform to the left and to limit the R's to wrecking only the right things.

            Maybe you or another SSP alum can do a front page article on the slow electoral eradication of the 'Democrat Party'?  There's not much left in the way of conservative Blue Dogs, Gang of 14ers, or conservative D governors or state legislature majorities.  And even where they are in the minority in state legislatures, they're being carved down.  E.g. the white rural Georgia state House Reps who switched Republican after the last elections.  There's also a serious amount of turnover of the more conservative members of the CBC.

            •  You may be right (0+ / 0-)

              But I think very, very few of the seats where conservative Dems lost last year will be held by a Dem again - and if they are, it'll be another conservative. We need to concentrate on the less-red seats now held by Republicans.

              Political Director, Daily Kos

              by David Nir on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 05:12:24 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

          •  Is Bill Nelson your Senator? (0+ / 0-)

            He's been mine interminably.  He lied to me about FISA and about health care reform.

            Fed up.  Not another six years of this guy.

            Sunday mornings are more beautiful without Meet the Press.

            by deben on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 03:49:34 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Your alternatives (0+ / 0-)

              Include Sens. Mike Haridopolos, Vern Buchanan, George LeMieux, and Connie Mack, among others.

              I ask in all seriousness: Assuming a progressive primary challenge is impossible or would not success, would you prefer a Republican to Nelson?

              Political Director, Daily Kos

              by David Nir on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 05:11:13 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  What happened to the primaries? (0+ / 0-)

                Did I miss them?

                The obvious problem with the DCCC, with the DSCC, and with the President's fund raising for Bill Nelson now, are that our primary system is rendered useless.  It's a job security racket for incumbents, whether they deserve it or not.

                As for Bill Nelson, I have already told his office on several occasions that after his lying to me on FISA and on health care reform, after his taking two million dollars from health insurance companies and sabotaging our party's chance to reform the system and provide for health, I will never, ever vote for him again.  Period.  That includes the general election.  It amazes me that I still get an invite to come give him money.  I even got a letter from his office asking me to attend the state Democratic convention.  It shows just how much attention he pays to what people like me believe.

                Sunday mornings are more beautiful without Meet the Press.

                by deben on Sat Mar 19, 2011 at 07:26:17 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Well (0+ / 0-)

                  That's why I asked you that hypothetical. There's no one who can successfully primary Bill Nelson. So that choice is off the table. Your choice is between Nelson and a Republican, and I'm asking which you'd prefer.

                  Political Director, Daily Kos

                  by David Nir on Sun Mar 20, 2011 at 03:06:59 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

  •  Wu is toast (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    AnnieR, Woody, Odysseus

    His senior staff has already resigned because of his erratic behavior. That and the fact that he has no legislative record.

    We need to  start looking for a strong candidate in OR First District to replace him.

    It is possible to read the history of this country as one long struggle to extend the liberties established in our Constitution to everyone in America. - Molly Ivins

    by se portland on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 06:27:57 AM PDT

  •  Prosser: Let me rule on union-busting! (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    se portland, LordMike, AnnieR, AnnieJo

    Prosser's efforts to run away from his allegiance to Scott Walker and his far-right Republican history (including his time in the state Assembly) is being undone by stuff like this:

    http://uppitywis.org/...

    And there's of course this:  http://phoenixwoman.wordpress.com/...

    Visit http://theuptake.org/ for Minnesota news as it happens.

    by Phoenix Woman on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 06:30:42 AM PDT

  •  Ugh. Refuglycans to keep House? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    flhiii88, AnnieR

    I tried to ignore these awful prognostications for the 2010 cycle and got shellacked along with the rest of us. Are our prospects in 2012 really that awful?

    Senate races not looking too good either. Too many seats to defend.

    Refuglycan spending cuts tank economy, voters respond by electing more Refuglycans? Beautiful. Might as well gear up for President Romney.

    It is better to light one candle than to curse the darkness - Eleanor Roosevelt

    by Fish in Illinois on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 06:41:17 AM PDT

    •  He said nothing on Obama's chances (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Fish in Illinois

      or the Senate's chances. All he said was that basic political predictions show that a House takeover is unlikely.

      For all we know, he could be wrong. Even the best political prognosticators predicted that the Dems would keep the House at this point.

      I'd wait until early 2012 before we take him at his absolute word.

      People panic too much on this site.

      by thematt523 on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 08:14:41 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Obama keeps job (0+ / 0-)

        That much is given, unless they can find somebody more appealing than the pack of losers they have on display now. The Senate map is absolutely brutal, however, and will remain that way in 2014.

        It is better to light one candle than to curse the darkness - Eleanor Roosevelt

        by Fish in Illinois on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 12:05:48 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  It is possible (0+ / 0-)

          to keep the Senate after 2012. 2014 is brutal, though, but by 2016; it should be favorable again; all those Senators last year elected in blue states, like Toomey, Kirk, and others, plus a few retirements might help us, like Grassley.

          People panic too much on this site.

          by thematt523 on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 12:37:07 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  NPR and NY-20 (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, AnnieR, Ray Radlein

    Chris Gibson just incurred the wrath of one of the most powerful men in our region: Alan Chartok, president and CEO of the massive public radio congolmerate, WAMC.

    Alan's got sway - in addition to WAMC, he publishes the Legislative Gazette, and he's been both vocal and influential in the region. We, the faithful WAMC listeners, get tired of him (he's got a grating voice), but we respect and admire his abilities, knowledge, and power.

    In other words, Chris is now officially in Deep Doo-Doo.

    "I must stand with anybody that stands right, stand with him while he is right, and part with him when he goes wrong." - Abraham Lincoln

    by Word Alchemy on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 06:51:18 AM PDT

  •  Joe should walk from Tampa to Orlando (5+ / 0-)

    on the route where the train would have gone and call it a 'whistleless stop tour'.

    We have only just begun and none too soon.

    by global citizen on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 07:02:45 AM PDT

  •  Woodall in GA 07 voting against defunding (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus, Ray Radlein

    NPR.  That just brightened up my day a little, living in his district.  Of course, it's probably a fluke, but we'll take what we can get.  I've lived here over 20 years. These folks spoon feed their right wing righteousness to their kids from day one.  It's been a battle trying to raise my kids to think for themselves.  There were several incidents of verbal abuse early on, especially from the "christian" kids.  Go figure.

    The GOP will destroy anything they can't own.

    by AnnieR on Fri Mar 18, 2011 at 07:29:56 AM PDT

  •  Hey, y'all. If you cain't make it to the Bill (0+ / 0-)

    Nelson affair, the tea party would like you to "stand with them" in Vero Beach on the 25th.  Their darlin' Marco Rubio will be the speaker.  Rah.

    http://www.indianriverteaparty.com/

    Please note:  The first 5000 to arrive will receive a copy of the Constitution.  Also, no alcoholic beverages are allowed.

  •  Breaking News Wisconsin (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ray Radlein

    Judge issues temporary restraining order barring publication of law stripping workers of their collective bargaining rights

  •  Wisconsin link (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ray Radlein

    to Milwaukee Journal Sentinel story

  •  WI Supreme Court (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ray Radlein

    I can see why the ad touts Prosser's opinion in that health case. It was his one good deed, restoring funds that the governor had raided to help plug the deficit. (The Governor was a Democrat, perhaps not unrelated to Prosser's decision against him.) But when you look at the rest of Prosser's record, he is every bit the GOP hack he was expected to be when Tommy Thompson appointed him. He can safely be predicted to uphold anything Walker and the GOP legislature ram through.

  •  Today I am going to start (0+ / 0-)

    work on a diary (which will be updated) on the Senate races.

    Not sure if I will post it today.

    Founder Math and Statistics Geeks . Statistics for progressives

    by plf515 on Sat Mar 19, 2011 at 03:37:05 AM PDT

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