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Senate:

MA-Sen: Did Scott Brown just say he'd vote for the Ryan budget when Harry Reid brings it to the Senate floor? Why yes, yes he did. God bless him. And if for some reason he changes his mind between then and now, I believe that'd make him for it before he was against it. Perfect.

In other news, Rep. John Olver now becomes the third Democratic Massachusetts congressman who needs quit gabbing about his state's Senate race. First we had Barney Frank repeatedly slagging Newton Mayor Setti Warren, who recently announced his candidacy. Then we had Richie Neal singing Scott Brown's praises. Now comes Olver, talking smack about the entire Democratic field that's emerged so far. Hey, jackasses: If you're in a position to improve things — you know, by, like, running yourselves — but you're instead sitting there doing nothing, then you need to drink a tall glass of STFU.

MI-Sen: I never really imagined GOP Rep. Thad McCotter would challenge Debbie Stabenow, despite some pussyfooting around the race. So it's not a surprise that he finally announced he wouldn't run. Hell, good ol' Thaddeus might not even seek re-election. The Detroit Free Press's Todd Spangler says that McCotter is waiting on the outcome of redistricting, and will wait "until closer to the filing deadline next May" to decide whether to run again.

MN-Sen: Former GOP state Rep. Dan Severson will supposedly become the first Republican to launch a campaign against Sen. Amy Klobuchar later today. Severson ran for Secretary of State last year and lost by three points to incumbent Mark Ritchie.

MO-Sen: Another dude I was sure wouldn't run for the Senate is GOP Rep. Blaine Leutkemeyer, who said no on Friday. Leutkemeyer would have almost certainly faced fellow Rep. Todd Akin in the primary, which couldn't have been an appetizing thought. A separate Roll Call piece says that rich guy businessman John Brunner, whom we've mentioned in the past, is "poised to enter" the Senate race.

Gubernatorial:

MN-Gov: A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll taken by Princeton Survey Research Associates International shows new Dem Gov. Mark Dayton with a surprisingly good job approval rating of 54-20. I say "surprisingly" only because so many governors, especially in the Midwest, have had such rough numbers.

NJ-Gov: Hah, well, here are some job approval numbers that are not quite so good, though I'm sure the Beltway media will happily ignore them. GOP Gov. Chris Christie is at a truly terrible 38-56 in SurveyUSA's newest poll, which also includes some other amusing comparisons (Christie vs. Obama, Christie vs. Bush). Believe it or not, though, these figures represent an improvement for Christie, who a year ago (when SUSA last tested) was at 33-62.

House:

AK-AL: This is almost the definition of "Some Dude": Eagle River electrician Doug Urquidi, who lost a state Assembly race earlier in the year by a 6-to-1 margin, is announcing a bid for congress. He'll challenge GOP Rep. Don Young as a Democrat. I can almost feel the Mumpower!

CT-05: I think this is pretty close to Some Dude-level, too: 31-year-old Mike Williams says he'll seek the Dem nomination to replace Rep. Chris Murphy. It's not clear from the writeup what exactly he's doing now, but he's done some work for Obama and Biden and has worked in American embassies overseas, so maybe he has a few Beltway connections.

MO-02: Another name is piling into the clown car that Rep. Todd Akin hasn't quite left with the valets just yet: Former GOP state legislator Mike Gibbons, who narrowly lost to Republican-turned-Dem Chris Koster for state AG in 2008, is supposedly thinking about getting in.

NY-10: Heh: City Councilman Charles Barron, who isn't term-limited out until 2013, says he may not run against Rep. Ed Towns in the Dem primary… but not because he's afraid of Assemblyman Hakeem Jeffries, who is on the verge of making the race. Oh no: He plans to step aside only if Real World star and two-time failed candidate Kevin Powell gets into the race once more. Uh-huh.

OH-10: This is exactly the kind of research-intensive thing the University of Minnesota's Smart Politics blog is good at. They sum it up: "No U.S. Representative has won reelection in back-to-back cycles after moving to a new state in the history of the House." I doubt Dennis Kucinich will care, but it's certainly instructive. Only twenty-three men have won House seats in two different states. Six didn't have to move: They wound up in new states when Maine split from Massachusetts and West Virginia left Virginia, respectively. Another fifteen did indeed move from one state to another, but only three have pulled off the feat since the 19th century. The last person to do so was Republican Ed Foreman, over forty years ago (he lost his seat in Texas and later won one in New Mexico). But I encourage you to read the full article, since it's chock-full of interesting historical tidbits.

TX-08: Sometimes, you know somebody's a Some Dude not because of how his bio page reads but because of what his website looks like. Click through to Chris Irish's site and tell me you disagree. Anyhow, the teabagger and local school board member apparently plans to challenge GOP Rep. Kevin Brady in the primary. Brady's not a name you hear a lot, but he is on Ways and Means, so I don't think you can call him a back-bencher. That alone, though, probably makes him insufficiently pure for the teabag set.

Other Races:

NJ-St. Sen.: Though Carl Lewis's ballot status is still in legal limbo, Burlington County sent out primary ballots with his name on them, unable to delay any further. Lewis is the only Democrat running for state Senate in the 8th district, but his legal case may not get resolved until after the June 7th primary.

PA-AG: Montgomery County DA Risa Vetri Ferman raised $235K in the first quarter, despite being unopposed, which has some folks thinking she might instead be interested in running for state AG. Meanwhile, ex-Rep. Patrick Murphy, who is actually running, just scored the endorsement of Philly DA Seth Williams.

Wisconsin Recall: Republicans are, unsurprisingly, trying to ram through a package of voter suppression reforms before any recall elections take place. Click through the link for all the shenanigans.

Grab Bag:

501(c)(4)'s: The IRS is potentially moving to tax big-dollar gifts to non-profits which are classified as 501(c)(4)'s. These groups have played an increasing role in the world of politics lately, but in order to maintain their preferential tax status, their primary purpose cannot be political. If they cross the line, a gift tax bill might come due. See more here (PDF) in this client advisory from the law firm of Covington & Burling.

Voter Suppression: Uh guys, what are you doing? A voter ID bill just passed the Dem-held Rhode Island state Senate, which really makes absolutely no sense. It's not clear what will happen in the House (which is also controlled by the Democrats), and indie Gov. Lincoln Chafee hasn't said whether he'd sign such legislation, but I can't believe we're even having this discussion. Meanwhile, new voter ID laws will soon be going into effect in Texas and South Carolina.

Redistricting Roundup:

Alabama: Some Democrats in Alabama are mooting the idea of second majority-minority district, but it seems like a tough sell. Alabama's black population is 26.2%, which would appear to fall short, especially since it's the same proportion as it was ten years ago. What's more, the GOP-dominated state legislature would never go in for such a thing unless forced.

Arizona: A tea leaf? Arizona's independent redistricting commission was required to hire a pair of law firms (one D, one R), and the lone independent on the board sided with the two Democrats to select their preferred firms. Perhaps this is a sign of things to come, with any luck.

Illinois: Republicans in Illinois are filing a lawsuit challenging the way tiebreakers are handled in redistricting… but it seems like a weird suit, given that Dems can just completely dial the GOP out this time.

Louisiana: Black legislators are asking the Department of Justice to deny preclearance to the new state House map that was recently passed into law. While the details of this particular map may not be especially interesting, I believe that this is the first redistricting plan currently going through the preclearance process, so it's worth watching to see what the DoJ does here.

Nevada: It's curtains for the kabuki cartography in the Silver State: As expected, GOP Gov. Brian Sandoval vetoed the maps that Democrats passed through the state legislature. So now we move to the courts, where lawsuits had already been filed some time ago (evidently in anticipation of this day).

Oregon: Jeff Mapes at the Oregonian has voter registration breakdowns for both the new Democratic and Republican maps. Click here for the full spreadsheet.

Texas: Republicans have released their proposed map for redistricting the state Senate; you can see a copy at the link. Interestingly, Texas only has 31 Senate districts, fewer than it has Congressional districts!

Virginia: The state legislature will reportedly reconvene on June 9 to take up congressional redistricting. I'm sort of surprised to hear that, since I figured the GOP would prefer to take a shot at winning back the state Senate this fall and then give mapmaking a go; if they fail to pick up seats in November, then they're in the same boat they are now. If Democrats roll over for the map that is currently on the table, then they're idiots (but I think we already knew that). It's already an 8-3 plan, and the GOP can't possibly draw anything worse than that, so we're better off forcing things to go to court. The only thing holding us back, I'm sure, is fear that our three remaining congressmembers could find themselves with a map they like even less if a judge creates one.



This diary is brought to you by Daily Kos Elections, an official Daily Kos sub-site. Please read our Mission Statement. Our focus is on electoral politics rather than policy. Welcome aboard!


Originally posted to James L on Sun May 15, 2011 at 09:48 PM PDT.

Also republished by lundi channel, Daily Kos Elections, and Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  If Scott Brown actually votes (19+ / 0-)

    for the Republican budget, he will immediately even the odds. If Republican leadership forces him to walk this plank, they're not serious about actually trying to win the Senate. Is John Cornyn actually that stupid?

    Ok, so I read the polls.

    by andgarden on Sun May 15, 2011 at 10:10:24 PM PDT

    •  I don't think it's the (13+ / 0-)

      leadership. Brown just isn't that much of a moderate. He's more in the Ayotte wing of the New England Republican party. He's nowhere near Massachusetts political center, no matter how hard he tries to act like it.

      Democrats just need to get a real challenger to him, with a united backing. I think Setti Warren might actually turn out to be that candidate because I feel like Deval Patrick's considerable statewide campaign apparatus is quietly lining up behind him, and that Capuano, (most likely redistricting casualty), is going to sit and bide his time for Kerry's seat, (where he might have to run against Scott Brown again if he loses).

      Truth becomes fiction when the fiction's true; Reality becomes illusion where the unreal's real. -Cao Xueqin

      by ArkDem14 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 05:26:05 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  all mr. warren needs to have (0+ / 0-)

        is that "brush off your shoulders" stamina, while getting the work of a Mavericks-sized wave of a campaign built.

        best thing for MA would be to wash away all memory of Naughty Scotty with a great win and lots of good votes.

        The Addington perpwalk is the trailhead for accountability in this wound on our national psyche. [...you know: Dick Cheney's "top" lawyer.] --Sachem

        by greenbird on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:10:12 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  I wouldn't say odds are "even," but... (3+ / 0-)

      ...he definitely loses some impossible-to-quantify-this-early percentage of votes that he otherwise would get.

      Whether that translates to "evening" the odds is way too early to say.  We need Medicare abolishment to remain salient into next year, and we need a good candidate (whether that's a current one or a new one) who runs a good campaign.

      43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:34:36 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  One thing that makes me a little wary... (0+ / 0-)

        The Republicans were demonized (rightfully) on Medicare back in 1995, when they actually shut down the government to get Medicare cuts. While that helped ensure Clinton's re-election, it didn't seem to help the Dems running for the House or the Senate (the Repubs lost a handful of seats in the House, and actually gained seats in the Senate). So it's possible it could disappear as an issue after this year.

        That said, it's hard for me to imagine this will not help Brown's opponent, at least a little. But I suspect it will take more than this.

        •  Was there a vote on it? (0+ / 0-)

          If not that, then was there some sort of way to tie them to it?

        •  It'd hurt Brown, but the D candidate must be solid (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          DCCyclone

          You can't run an uninspiring candidate like Massie or Khazei and expect D registration to save the day. The center-right must be persuaded that Brown's too right-wing to represent them. That's the race. If Brown can against make the sale that he's a true centrist who speaks for a majority of Massachusetts voters, he'll win. If the Democrat can paint Brown as a right-wing conservative masquerading as a moderate, that candidate will win. However, that Democrat must be skilled and competent to draw that comparison in the first place. I have little doubt Brown will run a boffo campaign. Setti Warren? Not so sure about that.

          For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

          by andyroo312 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:29:54 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  They need to hang this around his neck. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone

        Is there any other possible vote that would come close to being offensive to Democrats, even conservative ones, and left-leaning Independents? I'm trying to think of one that he might have cast, but I'm coming up with nothing.

        But then, it's entirely possible that some of the smaller, less offensive votes become a lot more unacceptable once it becomes clear he voted to abolish Medicare. It'll be something along the lines of, "I can't believe he wants to slash Medicare. It's no wonder he voted to...."

    •  Here's TPM's writeup (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike

      http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/...

      "The leaders will bring forward (Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan's) budget, and I will vote for it, and it will fail," Brown said, according to the Newburyport Daily News. "Then the president will bring forward his budget, and it will fail. It will be great fodder for the commercials."

      Except, unlike the President's proposal, the Ryan Budget is much more effective when used as an attack ad.  I knew Brown wasn't very bright and here is the proof.

      Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo! So little time, so much to know!

      by KingofSpades on Mon May 16, 2011 at 09:56:07 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  The Justice Department should deny preclearance (4+ / 0-)

    to any map in Alabama or Louisiana that doesnt create a second black majority district.  

    •  There's a strong (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gabjoh

      Strong case in Louisiana. I've already shown it's very easy. The NOLA district is no longer majority black, but under my configurations it remains majority minority, with sizable Asian and Hispanic populations and a much more liberal white population than in the rest of the Louisiana's districts.

      Meanwhile, a south-central district, including North Lafayette, Baton Rouge, the Felicianas, St. Helena, Point coupee, Iberville, St. Landry and the Pineville-Alexandria cities, would be a compact majority black district, (which would favor Baton Rouge mayor Kip Holden).

      Truth becomes fiction when the fiction's true; Reality becomes illusion where the unreal's real. -Cao Xueqin

      by ArkDem14 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 05:31:32 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Khazei (0+ / 0-)

    is the one to support for the MA Democratic Senate race.  Warren won't get his hometown support.

  •  While the Voter ID laws are odious (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DCCyclone

    They aren't death knells. I'm not sure exactly how it compares to this new crop of bills, but Indiana had, at the time, the strictest Voter ID law in the country and Obama still won the state.

    23, Solid Liberal Democrat, DKE Gay Caucus Majority Whip, IN-02 (home), IN-03 (birth), SC-03 (early childhood), IN-09 (college); Swingnut

    by HoosierD42 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 05:15:14 AM PDT

    •  Still, they're voter suppression to the core (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      drhoosierdem

      And any democrat who backs them can go to hell.

      •  i think that's extreme (0+ / 0-)

        rhetoric. i'd wager that most democrats actually support voter id (i do), and i've seen polls where over 2/3 of americans do, which would mean most democrats or at least close to that.

        it also makes less difference to democrats (coming back to elections) in a place like RI where democrats basically always win

        18, D, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college next year). Economic liberal, social libertarian, fiscal conservative. Put your age and CD here :) -.5.38, -3.23

        by jncca on Mon May 16, 2011 at 03:54:48 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Read this post (0+ / 0-)

          http://www.dailykos.com/...

          And tell me if you still support voter ID. It sounds like a good idea to someone not intimately familiar with the process, but the type of voter fraud that it would prevent (people impersonating other voters) is virtually non existent. When the Wisconsin bill passes, it will probably disenfranchise a majority of voters at my school. These bills are bad news, period.

          •  alright (0+ / 0-)

            but i won't post here since it'd be a derail from politics.

            i'll message you after

            18, D, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college next year). Economic liberal, social libertarian, fiscal conservative. Put your age and CD here :) -.5.38, -3.23

            by jncca on Mon May 16, 2011 at 06:25:05 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  RI has one of the more lenient laws (0+ / 0-)

          because it requires the state to provide free IDs (where's your fiscal conservatism now, Reeps?), but not every state is doing that. Some states' laws like Wisconsin would put the burden on voters to get and pay for an ID. All of this to challenge a problem which has never really been proven to exist significantly.

          Also, I'm not sure about other states, but in the case of RI they don't require photo ID, just normal ID which has your name on it. Well, I wasn't planning on committing voter fraud before, but maybe now I'll go steal someone's wallet and vote as them for the lulz ;)

          21, male, RI-01 (voting)/IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

          by sapelcovits on Mon May 16, 2011 at 05:43:49 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Wisconsin's law actually offers free IDs (0+ / 0-)

            but you can't get an ID if you have an out of state driver's license, which means most out of state college students ineligible.

            •  I stand corrected (0+ / 0-)

              although RI's law allows student IDs and doesn't deny free IDs to anybody.

              21, male, RI-01 (voting)/IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

              by sapelcovits on Mon May 16, 2011 at 06:07:50 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

            •  Neutralizes Madison (0+ / 0-)

              Absolutely suppresses the vote in Madison, especially college freshman, almost none of which would have an ID using Madison as a home address.  This move is canny and calculated and does cost Democrats votes.  

              BTW, in Minnesota, the GOP has passed a Voter ID law which eliminates vouching and limits student IDs.  They have promised to submit this as a constituional amendment if Dayton vetoes.  

              I suspect Dayton will check with his legal eagles to see if such a proposed constitutional amendment is legal.  If they believe so, he almost has to sign the bill before him, because surveys are indicating as much as 80% support for such an amendment and trying to repeal such an amendment would be nearly impossible.  A Photo ID law could be repealed by the next legislature if Democrats retake control.

    •  I agree (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      BeloitDem

      It isn't that the law will change matters that much.  It gives those that are reluctant to vote a reason to not vote. And those that only care about the election on election day will find out they aren't registered and can't register on election day.  It might amount to a percent or two of the vote and unfortunately, the unaware and the unconcerned tend to vote Democratic.  

      The thing is that restricting our rights is sort of Step 1 of the GOP voter suppression handbook.  It goes against everything I believe in about elections to limit voting as this bill would do.

      Further, in Minnesota, I dislike the law because the rhetoric infers that this is a way to fix a flawed system as was evidenced by the last two recounts ('08 Senate and '10 Governor) when the fact is that the system works very well, the Republicans just lost two close races.  It irritates me greatly to see the Republican meme that fraud must be stopped as a justification for Photo ID.

  •  voter id laws (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bay of arizona

    I'm wondering if there is a possibility for Dems to actually gain in this discussion:

    Embrace mandatory photo id laws and get rid of voter registration. It's what we have in Germany. Everybody has a mandatory photo id, but on election day the only thing we need to do, is to go to our local polling station. ´Makes it much easier for low information voters to actually vote.

  •  daytons job approval. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zornorph

    Taking a look at the unemployment rates of several midwestern states: http://bit.ly/... Minnesota (as the other "upper midwestern" states iowa and wisconsin) actually wasn't hitten as hard as ohio, michigan and indiana.

    So it might be a lot easier to be governor of minnesota than of michigan.

    •  i am not sure i trust this poll (0+ / 0-)

      Call me skeptical, but I don't see Dayton.at +34 and challenging klobuchar's status as the most popular politician in the state. He may very well be above water but 54-20 seems way off to me.

      •  Has having (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        itskevin

        a far-right Republican legislature, and massive controversy in Michigan and Wisconsin helped make Dayton look very good perhaps? Particularly to moderates? And it also gives him cover in that he doesn't have to stand and take the heat for many of the most pressing issues; the legislature does.

        I have a feeling the GOP is going to get killed in 2012 legislative races, especially if Obama seriously contests this state and spends money and ads and GOTV. I think he can easily expand his margins if he does. Really, Obama's key focus areas should be the midwest, Florida, the upper south, and the Southwest.

        Truth becomes fiction when the fiction's true; Reality becomes illusion where the unreal's real. -Cao Xueqin

        by ArkDem14 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 07:30:41 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  possibly (0+ / 0-)

          He may have 54% approving of him (i personally think that is even a little high), but there his absolutely no way his disapproval is only 20 percent. No way. The republicans have done him a lot of favors by being as obnoxious as they have been. And Dayton has been getting some good press for getting closer to a new Viking stadium (this is a BFD here, and really a very hot button issue in how to pay for it). But the man didn't stand for reelection in 2006 because he was losing the hypothetical matchups. I just don't see a way for him to be as popular as klobuchar, I just don't see it.

    •  Dayton (0+ / 0-)

      He has managed to look reasonable compared to his predecessor or the the state legislature.  Dayton is so not Pawlenty (no pandering, no looking longinly to higher office).  The legislature is going hard right and Dayton's numbers will suffer whether it is because he compromises with the legislature or if there is a shutdown due to not having repaired the budget.

  •  Virginia (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DCCyclone, sulthernao

    The state constitution specifically states "The General Assembly shall reapportion the Commonwealth into electoral districts in accordance with this section in the year 2011 and every ten years thereafter." which is why they might not have the option of waiting until next year. I'm not sure if a failure to do so (since they could just pass their map in the House, the Democrats could pass their map in the Senate, and each could go nowhere) would send it to the courts, though.

    •  Well (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, itskevin

      Under the constitution (the US constitution, as interpreted by the Supreme Court) every state has to re-draw lines every ten years lest they create one-person, one-vote violations. If the legislature can't or won't, then that's why we have the courts to draw new maps instead.

      I think the VA constitution just lays things out a little more explicitly - but if the lege can't actually fulfill its duties, then what solution could there be other than the courts? You could envision a hypothetical scenario where no redistricting takes place and no one files suit, in which case there simply wouldn't be any redress for the constitutional violation. But I'm pretty sure that won't happen. :)

      Political Director, Daily Kos

      by David Nir on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:47:19 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  So how crazy is the WV GOP? Meet Raese 2.0! (0+ / 0-)

    Establishment Betty Ireland was defeated Saturday by drilling millionaire Bill Maloney. And Shelley Capito R-WV02 coud  not be happier.

    We couldn't get our daughter of Arch Moore to admit she is a Republican during most of the Bush years, except on the 4th of July when he was in the state, but Maloney won by billing himself as the conservative Republican.

    The dumbo that used other **mbo words for POTUS and Leader Pelosi got about half his votes form his old state delegate district. They love crazy down in the Valley.

    Pray for the dead and fight like hell for the living~~Mother Jones

    by CA Berkeley WV on Mon May 16, 2011 at 06:37:57 AM PDT

  •  TX-8 Kevin Brady (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gabjoh

    Well, well, well, looks like Kevin Brady is gonna have some stiff competition in this election.  This county is a strong hold of Tea Baggers so this is going to be verrrry interesting.  

  •  CT-05 Mike Williams has academic cred but (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gabjoh, Christopher Walker

    will need a ground game and he may appeal to another demographic as well:

    He lives in New Preston with his partner and their two dogs.

    I am off my metas! Präsidentenelf-maßschach; Warning-Some Snark Above join the DAILY KOS UNIVERSITY "Nous sommes un groupuscule" (-9.50; -7.03)

    by annieli on Mon May 16, 2011 at 06:50:12 AM PDT

  •  another NJ-GOV poll (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gabjoh, sulthernao, DCCyclone, nimh, itskevin

    discussed at Blue Jersey is a Zogby (yes, I know) phone poll for the local Hughes Center at Stockton University.

    poll PDF.

    It shows Obama would crush Christie, that voters don't want Christie to run for PResident, and that he's tied for re-election and under 50%.

  •  kabuki cartography (9+ / 0-)

    I got a hat tip in today's digest. Go me!

  •  And of course "kabuki cartography"... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gabjoh, Zornorph, borodino21

    Is the latest addition to the glossary.

    Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Mon May 16, 2011 at 06:51:52 AM PDT

  •  I prefer Potemkin Cartography /nt (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Marcus Graly

    I am off my metas! Präsidentenelf-maßschach; Warning-Some Snark Above join the DAILY KOS UNIVERSITY "Nous sommes un groupuscule" (-9.50; -7.03)

    by annieli on Mon May 16, 2011 at 07:04:49 AM PDT

  •  Honor for Ben Masel (11+ / 0-)

    I actually posted this comment yesterday in an Open thread diary that hardly anyone saw so I am reposting it again here.

    On Tuesday May 17th at 6:30pm, Madison's Common Council will honor the life of Bennett "Ben" Masel and his contributions to the community and formally declare April 20th as "Ben Masel Day" in the City of Madison.

    Ben Masel was a former DailyKos Member who passed away earlier this month from lung cancer.

    "My name's Dr. Multimillionaire and I kicked your ass." --Rep. Steve Kagen D-WI to Karl Rove

    by walja on Mon May 16, 2011 at 07:19:53 AM PDT

  •  "Some Dude" (0+ / 0-)

    This phrase has always bothered me. Are you basing this on previously-elected positions, name recognition or access to money? Shouldn't the grassroots be the champions of the "some dudes" as they are most likely to be average American citizens? Instead, you guys treat it as a pejorative.

    •  true (8+ / 0-)

      but I think we look at this as just an issue of electoral viability. I mean, Christine O'Donnell was a Some Dude but she was eventually able to get press and energized her campaign. I think you start of as a Some Dude and can change from that if you're smart. When you're asking people about a race, and you're listing candidates, oftentimes I refer to people I don't think stand a chance as Some Dudes. It's a little pejorative, but what are you gonna do? The 1st candidate I worked for was a Some Dude and now he's considerably better known as a local party chair.

    •  We don't really do much championing here. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      HoosierD42

      Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:14:01 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Some Dude (0+ / 0-)

      I'm waiting for some enterprising candidate to legally change his name to 'Some Dude' before running.   We already had 'Absolutely Nobody' a few years back - though I thought it would have been funny if they had abbreviated it on the ballot to 'A Nobody' as that would have been more appropriate.

  •  front page (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SaoMagnifico

    AND tip jar? how's that work...? a republish?

    moving on, you are FABULOUS when you're crabby, and your opener is Brown's Grounder.

    The Addington perpwalk is the trailhead for accountability in this wound on our national psyche. [...you know: Dick Cheney's "top" lawyer.] --Sachem

    by greenbird on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:07:20 AM PDT

    •  Yeah, it's a republish (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      itskevin

      From Daily Kos Elections, which is an official sub-site. We're actually trying to clear out the tip jars from these sorts of posts. We're also trying to make them non-rec-list-able, since that doesn't seem fair. But these changes require some re-programming, which is presently underway.

      Political Director, Daily Kos

      by David Nir on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:13:36 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  i know. (0+ / 0-)

        it just doesn't happen often, and, damnit, it made me think.
        it's monday...that's not fair.

        a republish "deserves" its tip jar.
        and front pagers republished or not "deserve" recs.

        now, let me finish the Mirror, and we can talk more.

        The Addington perpwalk is the trailhead for accountability in this wound on our national psyche. [...you know: Dick Cheney's "top" lawyer.] --Sachem

        by greenbird on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:27:36 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Any updates from Wisconsin? (0+ / 0-)

    Is there any major movement from anyone to jump into the Senate race within the next few days?

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:12:22 AM PDT

  •  John Gregg to announce his run for (11+ / 0-)

    Indiana Governor today.

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:17:23 AM PDT

    •  Great news (0+ / 0-)

      Would love to see Vi Simpson on as lieutenant governor. Do lieutenant governor candidates in Indiana run on a ticket with candidates for governor, or separately?

      Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:19:33 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  They run together. (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        HoosierD42, SaoMagnifico

        19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

        by ndrwmls10 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:38:36 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  IN Gov (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Christopher Walker, drhoosierdem

        I like Vi Simpson a lot as well, and I think she's someone any nominee has to give consideration to (here, typcially the Gov candidate picks a running mate after the primary, and it is ratified by the state convention).  A Gregg/Simpson ticket would be the most state-government experienced offering in Indiana history.  Of course, that could also be spun as "lifelong insiders" -- but no doubt they would be a highly, highly qualified duo.

        That said, I wouldn't be suprised if Gregg (assuming he is the nominee) looks to either the Indianapolis area or northern Indiana for his running mate.  He's from Sanborn -- a tiny town in the far SW of the state, and he might want some geographical balance (if that really means anything).

        More broadly (and I think my fellow Hoosiers will agree with me here), along with re-electing the President, this is the most important 2012 race for me.  Governor Pence is a horrifying thought, especially with the loony legislature we have now.  A few months of that and we'll all look back with nostalgia to the days of the Daniels Administration.

        So PLEASE let John Gregg and any other candidates who jump in play nice with each other.  Ideally, he's the presumptive nominee, but if others get in the race, fine -- but let's not have a repeat of 2008 and the fall-out from the Democratic Primary.  It was one of the many reasons the Jill Long Thompson campaign never got off the ground.  The stakes are as high as they get for the state.

        •  Balancing the ticket would be unnecessary (0+ / 0-)

          With a Gregg/Simpson ticket. Gregg is a former House Speaker, Vi is the current Senate Dem Leader; their profiles are already statewide when it comes to state insiders.

          23, Solid Liberal Democrat, DKE Gay Caucus Majority Whip, IN-02 (home), IN-03 (birth), SC-03 (early childhood), IN-09 (college); Swingnut

          by HoosierD42 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:30:54 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  NY-10 blues (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SaoMagnifico

    I know it's too much to hope for but just once I'd like to have a congressperson who is actually worthy of our district. Barron and Powell are clowns but Jeffries is definitely no prize. When oh when will Tish James run for this seat? We need her!

  •  holy cow, is this great news for Rush !?? (0+ / 0-)

    unbelievable what californians can do. will rush spin it?

    can they prove it was really what they said it was ?

    is it an omen ?

    The Addington perpwalk is the trailhead for accountability in this wound on our national psyche. [...you know: Dick Cheney's "top" lawyer.] --Sachem

    by greenbird on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:31:36 AM PDT

  •  NY-26: Rothenberg says Hochul winning! (10+ / 0-)

    OK, not quite, but Rothenberg flips his rating to tossup/lean D.  Yes, that's lean DEM.

    http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/...

    The write-up doesn't say so explicitly, but it's obvious from reading it that private polling has Hochul out in front.

    So I now toot my own horn for a comment I posted a few days ago saying I believed just that, that the private polling has had Hochul on top.  I said in that comment that the tea leaves of polling trend (a weak tea leaf) and the timing of outsiders jumping in with ad buys (a stronger tea leaf) suggested that Hochul had jumped in front.

    43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:41:52 AM PDT

    •  Call me paranoid... (6+ / 0-)

      But I really wish the election was this week and not next week.

      Then again, Corwin and Davis seem perfectly capable of beating the tar out of each other and embarrassing themselves even more over the next seven or eight days, so...

      Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:44:34 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Interesting. Rothenberg says (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, itskevin

      that Hochul is holding her own even as Davis deflates. That implies that this race could have more national meaning than it would have with a mere spoiler effect.

      Ok, so I read the polls.

      by andgarden on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:49:12 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Right, because reading between the lines further (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone, itskevin

        There's a strong implication that Hochul might win because of the Ryan plan and Corwin's endorsement of it. If that proves out, it has huge national implications.

        I was thinking about this over the weekend - if Gingrich's attack on Ryan's plan is because he's seen polls that indicate how unpopular it is, even with Republicans.

        •  It would certainly matter more (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          DCCyclone

          in some districts than in others, but it would give any Democrat running in any district a chance to make some noise. Is it too much to suggest that it basically doubles the number of seats that could be in play? I'm not sure it is. Think of Florida, for instance. There will be a few seats that we don't hold that will be in play in any election, but given the large senior population there, we'd almost certainly be able to seriously contest a few more.

          Or rather, think of it this way. When the Democrats are deciding whether to contest the seats of Joe Barton and Kevin Brady of Texas and automatically assuming that they will contest and probably flip the seats of Jim Gerlach of Pennsylvania, the Republicans are in trouble. And no, in reality, it might not be that extreme, but it could be.

          •  This is too optimistic for me at this point... (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            LordMike

            It's too early to say how the Ryan plan will play on a national level in 2012. What happened in 1995-96 makes me a bit skeptical it will have this kind of falling out, especially if the Republicans end up abandoning the plan before the end of this year.  Ironically, a Hochul victory could actually hasten this result.

            It's not that Dems can't run on this in 2012. But one difference between this and HCR is the Dems didn't pass HCR until April of an election year, so it was difficult to get it off the table come November. Republicans have a bit more time to put it behind them.

            OTOH, never underestimate the ability of the current Republican party to commit suicide. For all I know, they will keep the Ryan plan in play through next year. Then I think your scenario above is very plausible.  

            •  Caveat (0+ / 0-)

              I can see a scenario where (unlike in 1996, where Dole ran away from the Medicare cuts proposed by Gingrich), the Republican presidential candidate strongly embraces the Ryan plan. In which case, I think the "Republicans go down in flames" scenario looms larger.

              •  DeMint has said you have to support it (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                jncca

                If you want the nomination. You better believe it.

              •  I agree. (0+ / 0-)

                My comments were built on the assumption that they would in fact embrace it, from the top on down, and suffer as a result. The effect is less painful if this is not the case.

                But then, what if we use it to drive a wedge between the Republican candidates and their base? It might not make a difference in the more marginal districts, but in the legitimate toss ups, it could shave a few points off of the Republican candidate's total. At the very least, the Democrats should force the Republicans to take a position on this.

            •  Of course... (0+ / 0-)

              That horrible plan could wind up becoming law if that's the price the Republican leadership demands for agreeing to keep the U.S. from defaulting on its debt.

              Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

              by SaoMagnifico on Mon May 16, 2011 at 02:50:50 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

          •  Gerlach PA-06 (0+ / 0-)

            Alas, I'm beginning to worry that putting "probably flip" and "Gerlach" in the same sentence is some form of karmic jinx, because that's what we heard in 2004, 2006 and in 2008. Phil English (PA-03) is gone, Melissa Hart (PA-04) is gone, the Wilkes-Barre Strangler (PA-10) is gone, but Gerlach clings like a barnacle to that damned seat... so far.

            A Republican is a person who says we need to rebuild Iraq but not New Orleans. - Temple Stark

            by Christopher Walker on Mon May 16, 2011 at 12:04:50 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  Gingrich's attack on Ryan was a gaffe... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          itskevin

          He's already walking it back today, claiming that he never said such a thing.

          Never assume anything Gingrich does is the result of any significant thought or planning.  If he has a strategy, he rarely follows it.

          GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

          by LordMike on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:44:38 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Looks to me like his strategy (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            DCCyclone, SaoMagnifico, jncca

            Might be to out flip-flop Romney if that were possible.

          •  No, not a gaffe (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            drhoosierdem, itskevin

            It was politically stupid, yes, and if you mean nothing more than that, then I recede on your characterization of it as a "gaffe."

            But I think of a "gaffe" as a slip of the tongue, Seinfeldian in nature, raising the memory of Elaine's constant foot-in-mouth syndrome in that episode where she struggled mightily not to offend her Native American friend.

            Gingrich didn't have a slip of the tongue, he said exactly what he really thinks.  He thinks abolishing Medicare is a bad idea and he opposes Ryan's budget because of it.

            His walk-back today is a bald-faced lie.  And he can't get away with it, because his honest opinion is on video.

            43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

            by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 11:18:38 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  You really think Gingrich doesn't want (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              LordMike

              to abolish Medicare?

              It's sort of the mirror image to the question of whether Obama really wants Medicare for all.

              Ok, so I read the polls.

              by andgarden on Mon May 16, 2011 at 11:24:20 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  He told the truth on Meet the Press (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                LordMike, itskevin

                He said what he thinks.

                The thing about Newt, or anyone else who talks like he does, is that whatever he says first is what he really thinks.  Any backtracking later is dishonest political re-posturing.

                43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

                by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 12:03:23 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

            •  Well, isn't that what a "gaffe" really is? (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              DCCyclone, SaoMagnifico

              Revealing what you really think?  At least that's what they say a political gaffe is.

              Anyways, this is classic Newt.  It's not really flip flopping 'cos he isn't really changing positions--he has no firm position on anything.  He just constantly contradicts himself all the time.  He did it all the time in the 90's and he's doing it now.

              As conspiracy noted, it's much harder for him to get away with it now.  The media always gave him a pass 15 years ago.

              GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

              by LordMike on Mon May 16, 2011 at 11:30:31 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  I think of "gaffe" as meaning... (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                SaoMagnifico

                ...when one mangles words or turns a phrase that comes off badly but doesn't reflect what the speaker really thinks or feels.

                That's what Elaine did in that Seinfeld episode.

                It's what I think Joe Biden did in 2008 when he called Obama "articulate."  Did he say "clean," too?  It came off as awful, but no Biden is not racist, not even latently so, he's just Elaine Bennis sometimes.

                Gingrich said what he really thinks.  He was stating his opinion on a major issue of the day.  He didn't misspeak.  Today he's saying he did, but today he's lying outright, which he does.

                43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

                by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 11:41:10 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

            •  I like the Seinfeld ref. (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              DCCyclone

              Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9. Was hoosierdem on SSP, but that username was already taken here :(

              by drhoosierdem on Mon May 16, 2011 at 01:11:49 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

          •  This is exactly why I want Gingrich to win... (0+ / 0-)

            the nomination. He's the worst of all possible worlds for the Republicans, he excites no one, he has no coherent position on anything, and he's still an excellent motivator for our side.

            Honestly, for all of someone like Palin's or Bachmann's flaws (and believe me, there are plenty) they at least have the ability to excite the right, Gingrich doesn't even have that working in his favor!

            Politics and more Handle name DGM on Swing State Project

            by NMLib on Tue May 17, 2011 at 12:33:45 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  No it's not polling, because he also said... (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          itskevin, NMLib

          ...he supports the individual mandate in health care reform.  This in the very same interview.

          That's very unpopular, and his party is on the right side of public opinion (wrong side of policy, but right side of public opinion), and you don't need private polling to know that.

          Gingrich just said what he really thinks.  Now he's struggling to stop the bleeding.

          43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 11:21:01 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, itskevin
  •  Is Scott Brown an Idiot? (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ndrwmls10, DCCyclone, itskevin

    Maybe he's not as smart as I suspected he was.

    I simply don't get this, at all. While it's not clear that the public has the best understanding of what the Ryan plan does, it's clear that they hate the specifics, when told. Most Republican legislators are going to find all sorts of shit thrown at them for their support. Considering how much of a target Brown has on his back, he's going to find H-Bombs lobbed at him. Or do they think people just won't care? If so, why? Is there some sort of mental block I have, considering I am not a Republican?

    •  I still maintain that his win was pure luck (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      The Caped Composer, itskevin

      with a little pretty boy mixed in. He faced a candidate who's implosion was his only path to victory. He won't have that luxury this time around. I've never been as worried as others have been about this.

      19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

      by ndrwmls10 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 09:02:40 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I'm worried (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        The Caped Composer, DCCyclone

        because, well, I'm always worried. It shouldn't be that hard to defeat him, even if we as a party have to invest resources in the state in a way that we haven't had to do so in a while*, and once it's done, I'm not sure he will come back at the federal level. But it doesn't look like Democrats are making their job any easier, which is frustrating.

        *I actually think this is an underrated point. I can't remember the last time the Democrats invested money in the state in any serious way, and for good reason. But that means that, unlike in, say, Ohio, they aren't close to be tapped out. In other words, if they threw down some money to mobilize voters, they'd be giving themselves votes that Brown simply doesn't have access to. And given that this is a race that's bound to be within single digits either way, that's huge.

      •  I think a good D candidate will defeat Brown (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        long2024

        Problem is, that solid Democrat has yet to emerge. I don't doubt that support for the Ryan plan would hurt Brown's re-election. However, if there isn't a strong Democratic candidate to lay out why the Ryan plan is so flawed, Brown can spin and paint that vote in an inoffensive light. I'd still bank on Brown, Ryan vote or not.

        For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

        by andyroo312 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:34:05 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  A *lot* of pretty boy mixed in (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        itskevin

        He won with looks and charm and that's about it, which is why so many Dems are afraid to run against him.  It's very difficult to defeat a good looking and charming candidate.

        GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

        by LordMike on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:45:58 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Just conservative (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, BeloitDem
      •  Sure, but he's been smarter than this... (4+ / 0-)

        ...before.

        I have no doubt he's departed from his own true self a few times with his voting defections against his party.  I don't doubt some of the time his defections have been sincere, but I have a very hard time believing some of them haven't been political.

        In this case, it's a no-brainer how to handle this:  say something nice about Ryan and something broad about how "we have to do something about entitlements," but then express discomfort with "some things" about Ryan's approach.  It's easy enough to be wonderfully vague, and then vote no.

        But a "yes" vote on this really costs him vote share.  No matter what the outcome in his reelection effort, he'll end up having done worse for this "yes" vote than he would have done with a "no" vote.

        43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 11:01:51 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Even his voting record is conservative (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          LordMike

          The ACU rates his lifetime score at 74.00 in comparison to Collins 50.47 and Snowe 48.39.  

          •  That's a bit misleading (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            LordMike

            If those are all "lifetime" scores, then they're not apples-to-apples.

            I'd be interested in comparing Brown to Snowe and Collins only on votes and publicly-stated positions after Brown was sworn in.  A lot of Republicans dissented from their party in years prior.  But it was in the 111th Congress that Republican Senators all walked in lock-step together, except for a rare few occasions.

            43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

            by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 12:05:52 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  In a word . . . (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike

      . . . yes.

      (For evidence, look at how easily he was duped by fake Bin Laden photos on the web. Or the way that, when a reporter asked him about the aspects of last year's financial regulatory reform bill that he thought were unsatisfactory, he replied, "Well, what areas do you think should be fixed? I mean, you know, tell me. And then I'll get a team and go fix it.'' The guy doesn't know up from down!)

      28, chick, solid progressive, NY-14 currently, FL-22 native, went to school in IL-01.

      by The Caped Composer on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:32:40 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  It'd be really neat (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    borodino21, drhoosierdem, xanthippe2

    if you guys could do a post detailing what the voter I.D. bills entail. We talk about them so frequently and disparagingly, I thought it might be a good idea to let new readers know just why Team Blue hates their guts. Also, I'm curious as to the specifics of these new laws myself. How much do the laws vary by state? Where else do they stand a realistic chance of passing? What are the historical precedents for such legislation? Could there be serious legal challenges against them?

    •  Why don't you do a diary? (4+ / 0-)

      David et al. always encourage people to do their own diaries here.  It's a community.  We're not subscribers to the David Times, we're a community of people, of whom David is the cat-herder, who all bring a valuable contribution to the table.

      43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 11:03:44 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  It varies by state (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Christopher Walker

      But I can give you a general overview of why these bills are bad, as well as some specifics on the bill pending here in Wisconsin.

      The Walker bill, as it currently stands, would force any student with an out of state driver's licenses to pay money to vote, either for a passport or an out of state driver's license conversion. There is a nominal student ID provision, however, very few schools are likely to change their IDs to match the requirements laid out in the law due to security risks. The IDs would be required to have dates of birth and addresses, with the address requirement being particularly problematic as most school's IDs double as key cards to the dorms, which could lead to break ins in a student lost their ID.

      On a more general note, this bill is just bad in that it adds an extra step to the voting process. It's hard to get many of the core democratic constituencies (poor people, minorities, college students). Informed about the election far enough in advance to get them a photo ID. In addition, many of these people have inflexible work hours which make it hard for them to get to the DMV during work hours. Without same day registration, this can be especially hard. Many of these people struggle to get home in time to vote for regular elections, and now they have to do it on two separate days. DMVs typically close earlier than polling places, making this requirement even harder. In short, these bills are nothing more than a blatant attempt to suppress the vote of core democratic constituencies rapped in some good framing.

      I realize that doesn't get into some of the specifics of a lot of the bills, so if someone wants to do some research and do a diary comparing the bills in different states, it would be greatly appreciated.

  •  Illinois (3+ / 0-)

    The logic, as I understand it, is to force the courts to throw a monkey wrench in the entire process, delaying a remap past the end of "normal" session on May 31st -- at which point the legislature needs a 3/5ths majority to pass anything, making Republicans relevant again. So there's some sense in it, though it's considered a long shot.

  •  PA-SEN: Could Ferman run againts Casey? (0+ / 0-)

    Someone was speculating about that here, and I think that's all that was. But since she is fundraising, could she go for Senate instead of AG I wonder?

  •  Kevin Brady's problem is that he isn't a loudmouth (4+ / 0-)

    He's very conservative, but he's not a firebrand, he just does his job and doesn't run around being inflammatory. A lot of these Tea Party are strictly about temperament, they consider anyone who doesn't behave like Michele Bachmann and Steve King to be a RINO.

    As for Scott Brown, I knew he'd eventually start giving Democrats things to use against him and if he voted for that budget, it would big thing.

    25, Male, CA-24, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

    by DrPhillips on Mon May 16, 2011 at 09:06:45 AM PDT

  •  MN-Sen (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    alswearingen

    Keyboard broken comment copy and paste

    by SheriffBart on Mon May 16, 2011 at 09:20:57 AM PDT

    •  interesting (0+ / 0-)

      The whole Christian superiority complex may not play that well here in Minnesota. It is not an overly religious state, and the people that are religious either are Catholics, or elca members (not exactly conservative sects of Christianity, ala Baptists or Methodists). Bot to mention Minnesota has had 4 Jewish senators in the last 21 years, and 3 in the last 9. We are also home to the first Muslim in congress (he is a total douchebag, but that doesn't matter for the sake of this argument). We also had a governor that said "religion is a crutch for the weak minded." Amy would destroy this guy either way, bit this kind of rhetoric will make the margin 30 points instead of 25.

      •  Re: Interesting (0+ / 0-)

        The fundie crowd is growing in numbers and influence, but the middle doesn't want to hear that kind of stuff from a statewide candidate.  The thing about statewide elections in Minnesota is that minorities win.  Pawlenty never got a majority, neither did Ventura or Dayton.  An active Independent party which has staked out the middle ground changes the dynamics of most races and allowed Ventura to win with less than 40% of the vote.

    •  Severson (0+ / 0-)

      I found him a particularly disagreeable wingnut when he ran for Secretary of State.  Despite the GOP wave in Minnesota, he couldn't beat Mark Ritchie, so I doubt he would be much of a challenge to Klobuchar.  Severson is another of those supposed "voter integrity" idiots and he was much insufferable because he implied that voter fraud won the '08 Senate election for Franken.  

    •  Whatever, this seat is Safe D (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone

      D - 38
      R - 37
      I - 25

      Klobuchar - 96/13/64 = 57%
      Severson - 4/87/36 = 43%

      Don't be fooled by the tightness of the voter model. Klobuchar is a VERY popular Senator and Severson would be a pathetic nominee. Of course, besides Coleman and Emmer, just about the whole MN GOP bench is rather anemic.

      For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

      by andyroo312 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:39:18 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  except emmer? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone

        Emmer was a terrible nominee. Paulsen is not anemic, and would be a far more formidable candidate statewide than Emmer or Coleman (whose only statewide win was against a dead guy, and that was a narrow plurality victory.

  •  Trump is out (4+ / 0-)

    http://thepage.time.com/...

    Obviously there was no path without Huckabee!

    •  Too bad (0+ / 0-)

      I found Trump entertaining in an odd sort of way.  And I was curious to see if his 'bash China' message would gain any traction.  I guess he couldn't take the heat.

    •  Now the crazy vote can flock to Herman Cain (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      drhoosierdem

      For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

      by andyroo312 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:40:42 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  no (0+ / 0-)

        michele bachmann is donald trump's band of crazy.

        the bigot vote can go to herman cain, except most bigots also dislike black people, and herman cain is a black bigot who dislikes muslims.

        so maybe the racists will go to bachmann as well?

        18, D, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college next year). Economic liberal, social libertarian, fiscal conservative. Put your age and CD here :) -.5.38, -3.23

        by jncca on Mon May 16, 2011 at 04:16:00 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  I'd make a distinction (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    David Nir, drobertson

    Between the comments made by Olver and Frank and those made by Neal. Olver and Frank's comments were dickish but its still pretty inside baseball as I don't think saying someone is not a strong political candidate is an argument that would have a lot of salience to the larger electorate. But anytime you praise someone on the opposite side you do so knowing that there is a very good chance your words will end up in a campaign ad.

  •  Kucinich needs to STFU — now. (0+ / 0-)

    As further proof that his district will continue to exist and that his alarm-sounding is merely a fundraising ploy, Dennis has drawn his strongest opponent ever, already — the chairman of the county Republican party, Rob Frost. Frost is emphatically not crazy; he's a well-spoken attorney who has a track record of doing reasonable things. He just stepped down from the county board of elections to run. He didn't do anything particularly outrageous while on the BoE. I talked to him about his run the other day — he lives in inner-ring suburb Lakewood, just a tad west of where Dennis lives and a place Dennis could easily move if they moved his boundaries westward. He says there absolutely will be a district encompassing the western part of the county. I suspect he has a pretty good inkling of what his state colleagues are thinking, and it makes no sense to eliminate this district.

    So now you've got Dennis strewing broad hints that he'd move to another state if his district is eliminated - that it's about him and his being in Congress, more than about them. I'll tell you how this will strike people on the west side of our county: very very very badly, almost Lie-berman-esquely egotistic. They will hate it. In 2008 when he drew four primary challengers, voters didn't dislike Dennis' stands — they were angry he was running for president and felt neglected. Imagine how they will feel now.

    I mentioned up top that Dennis has his strongest challenger ever — sane, well-funded, savvy about organizational and grassroots politics. Dennis may actually be talking himself out of Congress. He needs to stop and focus on his district.

    Jennifer Brunner for Governor of Ohio 2014

    by anastasia p on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:36:08 AM PDT

    •  Is Frost planning to run (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      BeloitDem

      Even if there really is nothing resembling the 10th CD come next year?

      Political Director, Daily Kos

      by David Nir on Mon May 16, 2011 at 10:45:48 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Who? Frost would still lose... (0+ / 0-)

      But, it's irrelevant.  If the 10th still exists, I don't think that my friend Dennis survives the primary.  They certainly will shift it west and southward (expanding Fudge's district across the cuyahoga river a bit), diluting Dennis' ethnic base in Westpark and Parma enough that he probably won't survive, especially if he's against an established incumbent like Sutton.  She's not a very strong campaigner, but his base will be very diluted and it will be hard for him to compete with anyone.

      GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

      by LordMike on Mon May 16, 2011 at 11:23:16 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  MN Senate (0+ / 0-)

    Check out Severson's facebook page. Yeah he's a great fit for MN, lol. Seriously from everything I read on his FB page he sounds like an Angle type.

    I can't believe he was within 3%, Richie must not have been a good candidate. I really can't wait to see this one play out.

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9. Was hoosierdem on SSP, but that username was already taken here :(

    by drhoosierdem on Mon May 16, 2011 at 01:18:17 PM PDT

  •  Rahm is officially Mayor today. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    itskevin, askew

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9. Was hoosierdem on SSP, but that username was already taken here :(

    by drhoosierdem on Mon May 16, 2011 at 01:25:24 PM PDT

  •  Wait...McCotter for Pres??? (MI-11) (0+ / 0-)

    Talk about burying the lede!

    http://www.freep.com/...

    Take it with a grain of salt, but in the article mentioning how Lord Voldemort (what? his name sounds like a Harry Potter villain!) won't be running against Sen. Stabenow next year, there was this interesting quip:

    "[McCotter] has been talked about in some conservative circles as an outside prospect to run for president."

    (In John Oliver voice): Oh, please God, please let it be so.  This would be like a white(r) version of Steve Urkel taking on the post-"Fresh Prince of Bel-Air" Will Smith...

    "Is it possible that we should prepare against other threats besides terrorists?" - Al Gore

    by Simply Agrestic on Mon May 16, 2011 at 02:51:16 PM PDT

  •  Berg announces in North Dakota (0+ / 0-)

    Here's the video link.

    24, DKElections Gay Caucus Policy Chair; CA-14 (law school), CO-05 (home)

    by Kretzy on Mon May 16, 2011 at 04:38:09 PM PDT

  •  Romney raises $10 million in one day (0+ / 0-)

    For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

    by andyroo312 on Mon May 16, 2011 at 05:11:13 PM PDT

    •  Pretty impressive, though he also (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, DCCyclone, NMLib

      raised $6.5 million in one day last time around (and look where that got him). He's probably been getting word-of-mouth commitments all along, and just grouped them in with today's tally.

      The former Massachusetts governor began his 2008 presidential bid with a similar show of force, raising $6.5 million at a call day in Boston.
      •  Yup, but my Twitter feed says that's forgotten (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike, NMLib, itskevin

        Romney is successfully playing the political media like a fiddle today.

        This is all about scaring off the competition, specifically now Daniels.

        He'd love it if others, too, dropped out who have already dipped their toes in the water.

        I don't think it will work, the other candidates and their advisers know that Romney was the big-spending frontrunner last time and imploded.  And Daniels certainly has been getting so much love from Bushworld and some other big-money quarters that nothing will scare him off except his marital history.

        43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Mon May 16, 2011 at 08:01:17 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  It's less impressive (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          NMLib, itskevin, SaoMagnifico, DCCyclone

          considering how it was done. As Politico says:

          Romney convened over 700 of his friends, donors and bundlers to spend much of the day raising cash from their own Rolodoxes in a cavernous convention center here as part of what he described on a phone call with supporters as the unofficial kick-off to his campaign. The fundraisers arrived as early as 5:30 in the morning to begin calling their friends on the East Coast.

          To be fair, it's still a huge haul, but how many times can he tap the same people? Obama can do the same thing, but he's also got the small donor base that Romney doesn't have now and might never have.

          By the way, when will Obama's fund raising totals be released?

          •  Obama's & others' totals won't be known until... (0+ / 0-)

            ...the start of July, i.e., after the end of Q2.

            Obama doesn't need to release monthly or other periodic or episodic numbers this time because he's the sitting President.

            Romney has a purpose to releasing good numbers, even from one day.

            Obama, too, had that purpose last time.

            But not this time.

            Don't be shocked if we hear nothing about Obama's numbers until after the July 15 filing.

            43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

            by DCCyclone on Tue May 17, 2011 at 11:41:00 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  2-Live Crew singer running for mayor (0+ / 0-)

    Miami-Dade County mayor, to be specific. This is hilarious

    http://news.yahoo.com/...

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