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Justice Kloppenburg may pull off this Wisconsin Supreme Court election - she leads by 16,579 votes as of latest report with 97% of the votes counted.

. As per Wausaa Daily Herald

Justice David Prosser held a 7,316-vote lead over challenger JoAnne Kloppenburg before a statewide recount began April 27. The state Government Accountability Board is providing daily updates on the recount's progress by precinct. Here's a look at where the recount stood as of Monday afternoon:

_Precincts recounted and given a preliminary review by board staff: 3,502 of 3,602

_Prosser's current total: 714,097

_Kloppenburg's current total: 730,676

_The board reported that counties have recounted 1,446,495 votes, which is approximately 97 percent of the total votes cast. Waukesha County is the last county still counting votes.

Assuming these numbers are accurate (yes, yes - I can see Uma Thurman already) then:

the total outstanding votes are appx 44,738 votes:

  97% of total votes = 1,446,495
100% votes = 1,446,495/.97 = 1,491,232
The outstanding waukesha votes are 44,736 votes

As per the reported figures,  Kloppenburg currently is ahead  
by 16,589 votes after 97% of the votes have been counted:

k - 730,676
P - 714,097
diff: 16,579

So in order to beat Kloppenburg by one vote Prosser must take 16580 votes more than Kloppenburg in Waukesha
To get the specific figure first take total Waukesha votes and subtract from that the number of votes Prosser must capture to win by one vote. The remainder will be divided by 2 to represent the 50/50 split of votes to both Kloppenburg and Prosser:

44,736 - 16580 = 28156

28,156 / 2 = 14,078 votes

Prossers total to win by one vote is 16,580 + 14,078 = 30,658

So Prosser must beat Kloppenburg 30,658 to 14,078 in Waukesha to win by one vote

That means Prosser must take 68.5% to Kloppenburg 31.5% to win by one vote.

For Prosser to win by the reported 7,316 votes add half of 7,316 to Prossers total while subtracting the same from Kloppenburg to get the following total:

Prosser          34,316
Kloppenburg    10,420

In the case of the supposed 7,316 vote Prosser victory made for the reported totals  to be accurate Prosser must win the Waukesha vote by 76.7% to 24.3%

Poll

Did you do the math?

16%15 votes
9%9 votes
30%28 votes
15%14 votes
8%8 votes
20%19 votes

| 93 votes | Vote | Results

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