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Comment Preferences

  •  I see your Prince (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    atdnext, James Allen, drobertson, James L

    And raise you flight of the conchords

    23, Solid Liberal Democrat, DKE Gay Caucus Majority Whip, IN-02 (home), IN-03 (birth), SC-03 (early childhood), IN-09 (college); Swingnut

    by HoosierD42 on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 03:10:45 PM PDT

  •  Nevada GOP will have NV-02 nominating... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen, MichaelNY, itskevin, TMBJon

    convention tomorrow. Hmmm, I wonder who they will pick...

  •  Meanwhile in NV-Sen... (7+ / 0-)

    Byron Georgiou apparently has a history of money troubles.

    Records show he’s been slapped with tax liens of varying sizes in counties in California about 10 times, dragged into court to settle outstanding debts of hundreds of thousands of dollars, and had property seized to cover money owed to consumers in one of his former business enterprises.

    Although most of those matters have been resolved, it appears Georgiou is still scrambling to get the appearance of his financial house in order. Congressional lawmakers and candidates were to file financial disclosure reports in mid-May. Georgiou, the first of the mainstream candidates to declare his Senate bid, received a 90-day extension.

    Since then, in late May, he closed the books on a pending lien worth $162,138.04 against a property in Mono County, Calif., that had been lingering since 2003. It’s a tax lien Georgiou had paid almost $40,000 toward several years ago, which originally stood at $204,279.01 — but on June 1, Mono County registered that the rest of the lien had been released because it had been “recorded in error.”

    The Sun article also notes his past financial woes in California, as well as the interesting factoid that most of his campaign donations so far have been coming from California and New York.

    Meanwhile,Ralston caught wind of Georgiou's hired pollster bolting from his campaign. Perhaps if his "insurgent campaign" keeps going like this, Harry Reid won't have to worry too much about shutting this down.

  •  DoJ approves Virginia legislative maps (6+ / 0-)

    http://hamptonroads.com/...

    Not surprising, since it maintains the status quo as far as VRA districts are concerned.

  •  Candidate update from NN (4+ / 0-)

    I just got back from NN and the last thing I went to was a candidate forum where candidates could give a 30 sec speech and talk to people for a little while. There were a few current members of Congress - Sen. Cardin and Reps. Polis and Naddler. There were also a couple of House/Senate candidates.

    Some candidates I knew -

    MN-08: Tarryl Clark: She mentioned that "because of redistricting, I'm going to win back Jim Oberstar's seat with your help." Because of redistricting? She already moved to Duluth so she doesn't need St. Cloud to be drawn into the 8th. Maybe she thinks Cravaack will be drawn out. I have no clue what she meant by that.

    FL-22: Not That Patrick Murphy

    Candidates I didn't know

    MN-03: Sharon Sund said she is considering a run against Erik Paulsen. She hasn't made a decision yet but will soon. She is looking for people to pledge to her to help make up her mind.

    NM-03: Sean Closson has said that he is running against Ben Lujan. I thought he was running against Pearce until I got back since he never mention the primary challenge in his speech.

    CA-Riverside (?): Mark Tonko said he is considering a bid here since this is ther first time in a while that his red county of Riverside has been included in a D+ congressional district (D+3 now according to him). I forgot to take a picture of his info on the screen so I'm not sure what he's currently doing. He works for a college, I think, but I'm not sure which one.

    21, Progressive Democrat, MN-08 (home), MN-05 (college)

    by JonathanMN on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 05:32:52 PM PDT

    •  A couple more... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      atdnext, MichaelNY

      CA-06: Norman Solomon wasn't there to talk but apparently he's running.

      CA-SEN: David Levitt is running against Feinstein. This has the potential to be interesting with the new top two system though with it being statewide, I don't expect the general to be any different than under the old system.

      21, Progressive Democrat, MN-08 (home), MN-05 (college)

      by JonathanMN on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 06:04:35 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Who is David Levitt (4+ / 0-)

        And does he really have the potential to run well against Feinstein?  I would think a challenger from the left would run better in a classical primary than in the new system.  I'm not her biggest fan but she's usually the most popular politician with the overall state electorate.

        25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

        by Xenocrypt on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 03:52:29 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Which is funny, considering (0+ / 0-)

          Boxer always seems to do better. Even though she is supposed to be the one always in danger of loosing.

          19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

          by ndrwmls10 on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 08:27:27 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  What? (4+ / 0-)

            Feinstein always does better:

            1992 Sen: 54.3
            1994 Sen: 46.7
            2000 Sen: 55.8
            2006 Sen: 59.4
            Average: 54.05

            Boxer:

            1992 Sen: 47.9
            1998 Sen: 53.1
            2004 Sen: 57.7
            2010 Sen: 52.2
            Average: 52.73

            21, Nice Calm Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat, NM-2 (Childhood), TX-23 (School), TX-10 (Home); SSP: wmayes

            by wwmiv on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 08:37:37 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Really? (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            wwmiv, ndrwmls10, MichaelNY

            Feinstein got 59.4% in 2006, 55.8% in 2000, 46.7% in 1994, and 54.3% 1992.

            Boxer got 47.9% in 1992, 53.1% in 1998, 57.7% in 2004, 52.2% in 2010.

            So Boxer's percentages, from smallest up: 47.9, 52.2, 53.1, 57.7.

            Feinstein's: 46.7, 54.3, 55.8, 59.4.  (And the Gov. election, but I don't know if that's comparable.)

            So Feinstein's worst was a bit worse than Boxer's worst, but Feinstein's other three percentages have been higher.  Indeed, only once has Boxer done better than Feinstein's second-worst percentage.

            (That's all from their respective electoral histories on Wiki)

            25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

            by Xenocrypt on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 08:37:57 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  Never heard of David Levitt (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          ndrwmls10

          But I would like to propose that the SSP/DKE Gay Caucus consider making an appeal to a candidate to run who would instantly make the race incredibly interesting (and probably make Feinstein feint to the left).... Lt. Dan Choi.

          The top two thing really makes this tricky, but no strong Republican is going to want to run against DiFi so they'll get someone second-tier plus a gaggle of Tea Parties, who might split the right-wing vote, sufficiently to leave Feinstein the center and Choi a swath of the left. If Choi can put together a coalition of centrist military folk and Asians, plus liberal-leaning LGBTs and urban progressives. The real battle will be over Latino & AA voters, whom Choi would have a chance with thanks to DiFi's being an incredibly rich out-of-touch old white lady.

          Bottom line: can anyone please come up with a decent, sparky, feisty candidate to take her on? Because I will donate to that person's campaign.

          Kansan by birth, Californian by choice and Gay by the Grace of God.

          by arealmc on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 11:58:54 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I'm okay with her having (0+ / 0-)

            one last term, because I know the person who will be amazing.

            19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

            by ndrwmls10 on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 12:07:01 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  She is an incredibly rich out-of-touch old lady (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            But that doesn't mean she's automatically going to lose any of those groups after 20 years in the Senate to a one-issue non-white political novice.  Not when 68% of Democrats approve of her.  (Which is higher than Boxer's approval rating among Democrats, despite how Feinstein has a reputation as someone with lukewarm base appeal to Boxer's love from the base.)  And again, I'm not the biggest Feinstein fan, but we can't just assume no one else is either.

            25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

            by Xenocrypt on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 06:46:54 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Why (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            SaoMagnifico, MichaelNY, Inoljt

            Not sure I understand all of the hatred of DiFi from the left. What is the big problem with her? I really would prefer not having a huge Dem-on-Dem bloodbath to further the Dems In Disarray myth.

    •  re CA-Riverside (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      atdnext, MichaelNY, JonathanMN

          Perhaps this was Mark Takano, who ran for Congress in that area back in 1992 and came within about 1000 votes of winning the race. Unfortunately he was defeated by the odious waste-of-space that is Ken Calvert in what was then a new district.

           I think that Takano serves or has served on a local community college board of trustees. He would probably be an improvement over other possibilities like Joe Baca Jr for the Democratic nomination but would be considered an underdog, I suspect, if only because there are many more Latinos in that area than Japanese Americans. It is even possible that there could be a rematch with Calvert if Calvert decides to run in that riding rather than farther south.

      I'm not a Limousine Liberal; I am a Prius Progressive

      by Zack from the SFV on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 06:39:27 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yeah that was him. (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, Zack from the SFV

        I didn't realize that he already ran and got so close. Has anyone else announced here?

        21, Progressive Democrat, MN-08 (home), MN-05 (college)

        by JonathanMN on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 07:01:58 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I don't know (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          JonathanMN

             as I live in Los Angeles which is not that far from Riverside in distance (maybe 60 miles) but several districts away and not really the same local media market.

               There have been some early announcements by some candidates to try to scare off competition and stake their claim to a seat, but there are probably many others who are waiting for the official version of the lines to decide what to do. I believe the final version will come out some time in August. I read that this version was supported unanimously so the commission should get the votes required to pass a set of maps.

          I'm not a Limousine Liberal; I am a Prius Progressive

          by Zack from the SFV on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 09:06:47 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Considering? (0+ / 0-)

      http://sharonsund.com/

      I'd say she's already been convinced.

      I fear that if Paulsen wins this cycle he may be so entrenched by 2014 it would take a mean redistricting cycle/demographic shifts in MN-03 for him to lose, and by that time he may already retire or run for higher office. In an even district that's gone for both Bush and Obama, I'm hoping our candidate in 2012 will be a solid one.

      Sharon Sund seems interesting. It doesn't sound like she's held political office but her background on the website is pretty fleshed out, so hopefully she can pull it out. But I feel like we'd be better off if Terri Bonoff made a run.

      •  Sharon Sund doesn't stand a chance (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        And to be frank, a black person stands at a very large disadvantage in MN-3.  My own personal experiences has taught me to differentiate racism versus classism and I think MN-3 has a classist attitude against everyone when it comes to Congress.  Not saying that that is necessarily a bad thing but more so a product of a democracy; they are highly educated and wealthy so they want one of their own representing themselves.  And that gets translated to a very unfair result and stigma towards AA's in MN as our people of color, by comparison, are some of the least educated and most poor in the country.  I think which suburb she is from is going to make the difference in how she is perceived.  She could be the black candidate from Brooklyn Park or the Michele Obama from Edina, even though her resume pushes her towards the later.  (A degree from Macalester is widely respected in the Twin Cities, even if they are a hippy college.)

        I personally think only two people could beat Paulsen, state sen. Terri Bonoff and state rep. Melissa Hortman.  It's a shame rep. Denise Dietrich is such an uber suck* as I'm pretty sure she's the only one in 2010 to get re-elected in a district McCain won, and that's with DFLers going down in nearby suburban seats Obama won by double digits.  And also note that I also personally think the DFL has a shot with a woman candidate to beat Paulsen.  This is the quintessential soccer mom district and it is definitely in the realm of possibility for a female DFL candidate to get 60% of women voters in MN-3, which should be enough to carry her over the finish line.

        Although if T-Paw somehow is the nominee for Pres, MN-3 is almost certainly a lost cause even if we get Bonoff as our nominee.

        *Only DFLer to vote for the marriage amendment and for Photo ID.  At least she doesn't discriminate who to discriminate against, I guess.

        •  What class is Sund from? (0+ / 0-)

          From "About Me"on her website:

          [M]y brothers and I are all small business owners.[...]I worked as a scientist in research and development for 9 years in the disk drive industry and I’ve done technical communications consulting for several major corporations and medical device companies.

          Doesn't sound lower class, does she? So what would the basis be for classist prejudice, rather than racist prejudice, against her?

          Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

          by MichaelNY on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 11:54:08 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  Alan Lowenthal to run for Congress in Long Beach (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    atdnext, MichaelNY

    http://www.presstelegram.com/...

    He's termed out next year and could force a three-way primary if Laura Richardson decides not to move to the Compton-Gardena seat. I have no idea whether he will be a serious threat to Linda Sanchez but he's been in Long Beach politics for a couple of decades at least so I figure he has at least a small chance to upset an incumbent.

    •  A glass of water (8+ / 0-)

      would be an improvement over Richardson.

      http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/11/13/21516/201/804/660248

      by tommypaine on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 06:02:42 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  It would make a messy situation... (3+ / 0-)

      Even messier. When Laura Richardson first ran in 2007 after Juanita Millender-MacDonald passed away, it was a highly ethnically charged primary fight between her and the late Jenny Oropeza that Richardson only won because African-American turnout was better than Latino turnout.

      But with this new district, it adds a whole bunch of white Long Beach "creative class" progressives that had previously been dumped in CA-46, as well as some Asian-American communities in Cerritos and La Palma.

      Lowenthal definitely has the potential to strike a serious threat to Richardson in the primary, but it all depends on what Linda Sanchez does and how racially charged that primary becomes.

      •  I apparently really need to catch up on CA (0+ / 0-)

        Just realized I didn't read the CA racial demographics broken down by district post (probably a first for me to skip a post, it was an accident!) as wtf, Linda Sanchez has decisions to make?  Leave Britney Linda alone!

    •  Richardson (0+ / 0-)

      Won't she run in the Carson-based seat?  That's where she lives and I think the current 37th takes in a lot of that turf.  As far as I know, no other incumbent is running in that district.  Bass and Waters are in the 2 districts to the north.

      Regarding Lowenthal, I don't know much about him but I don't like the little I've heard.  It seems like he'd have an uphill battle against Linda Sanchez.

      •  As far as I know Richardson lives in the LBC (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Zack from the SFV, M Riles

        I think she is from Central Long Beach but Carson is just a few miles west and it has a lot of her turf so I think she will move when the districts get finalized. That article I posted got updated today in print and it noted that Assemblyman Isadore Hall is running for the Compton-Carson seat so Richardson will have a fight either way.

  •  WI-Recall Primaries Double the Cost (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    itskevin, MichaelNY, arealmc

    http://host.madison.com/...

    This was just for SD-14 Luther Olsen that the total cost of the recalls will be 350,000 for clerks throughout the district, but they would have been half if it were not for the primary.  

    All Wisconsin, All the Time, Social Democrat, WI-05 (Home), Oxford East (Study Abroad), NY-22 (College)

    by glame on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 06:50:35 PM PDT

  •  Cuomo thinks Gay Marriage will pass in NY (8+ / 0-)

    http://www.nytimes.com/...

    ALBANY — Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said Friday that he expected same-sex marriage legislation to be approved before the end of the legislative session next week, and indicated that to win passage of the measure he is prepared to yield to Republican concerns for greater protections of religious groups.

    Apparently, 31 are committed (including 2 Rs), and additional Rs appear to be open to voting for.

    For regular DK'ers, I know this isn't what's normally discussed at DKE. But there's a substantial GLBT population of DKE'ers from SSP. So we've frequently kept up.

    "I hope; therefore, I can live."
    For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

    by tietack on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 07:54:02 PM PDT

    •  Adding up the numbers (0+ / 0-)

      Does anyone know which person is the lone democrat holding out?

    •  Do we even need one more? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      tietack, MichaelNY

      Can't LG Robert Duffy act as a tiebreaker?

      23, Solid Liberal Democrat, DKE Gay Caucus Majority Whip, IN-02 (home), IN-03 (birth), SC-03 (early childhood), IN-09 (college); Swingnut

      by HoosierD42 on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 08:54:34 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I think so, but it's in dispute (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        andgarden, MichaelNY

        http://www.brennancenter.org/...

        /

        But there's no indication in the constitutional text on whether the "casting vote" is for all votes, or just procedural ones, leading to some back and forth as to what the "casting vote" entails. In the words of one interested party, "The Constitution is clear, very clear. . . The Constitution gives certain rights to duly elected members. The lieutenant governor is not a duly elected member and is limited to certain procedural votes." Or so said John McArdle, spokesman for Majority Leader Bruno, just a week ago. The Dems, for their part, believe "it can be used for organizational matters, for procedural matters, motions made on the floor as well as passage of legislation." For now, the conflict is just hypothetical, but if it does come to pass, look for a fair amount of constitutional do-si-do.

        From the NYS constitution

        �6. The lieutenant-governor shall possess the same qualifications of eligibility for office as the governor. The lieutenant-governor shall be the president of the senate but shall have only a casting vote therein. The lieutenant- governor shall receive for his or her services an annual salary to be fixed by joint resolution of the senate and assembly.

        aka: what's a casting vote?

        "I hope; therefore, I can live."
        For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

        by tietack on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 09:43:31 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  I'd rather it pass w/o basis for another lawsuit (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, DCCyclone

        So to me, I applaud Cuomo's efforts to appease the concerns of some Rs on the issue.

        That means trying to pass it without testing Duffy's voting power.

        "I hope; therefore, I can live."
        For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

        by tietack on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 09:47:03 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Agree, get the clear legislative majority (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          tietack, MichaelNY

          This needs to be done with no controversy, especially a legal one, over the process.

          43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 06:25:28 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I've been following it closely (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY, askew

            It doesn't appear that it will come to that.  Lots of GOPers are "undecided" simply because they don't want to be the 32nd vote and like hell will they be the one to get tossed out of office for giving cover to their colleagues.  It'll probably pass with a few votes to spare, if Cuomo obliges them on religious obligations.  And I hate reading about Catholic churches shutting down orphanages because then they'd have to allow gay couples to adopt, it's certainly not my fault but I don't like news stories about kids without families because I want to get married.  This is what the GOP wants to avoid and the GOP should be excited to pass gay marriage under the conditions they are currently under.  If they don't do it now, the Dems will do it in two years and they will force religious organizations to abide by non-discrimination under many more circumstances.

  •  NC has posted VRA legislative districts (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ChadmanFL, MichaelNY

    and WOW are they ugly.  

    http://www.ncleg.net/...

    There's no way that this won't violate the "whole county provision" that they sued us over in 2002-2003.  These are insane lines.

    In the House, this puts at least 4-5 incumbent Democrats in trouble (hard to tell yet since more detailed maps are not yet available).

    In the Senate, the lead drawer drew the white Winston-Salem Democrat, Linda Garrou, out of her district saying that the "blacks there should have a better chance to elect someone they want."  This coming from a northern transplant.  

    Anyway, if they're doing this to the legislative level then I've been way too cautious thinking of what they'll do federally :(

    28, M, NC-13, formerly SSP user app state

    by Otis Campbell on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 09:10:43 PM PDT

    •  Bloodbath: (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY
      The 2011 House plan, recommended by Chairman Lewis, consists of 24 majority African American House districts and two additional districts in which the TBVAP percentage exceeds 43%. Moreover, the 2011 Senate plan proposed by Chairman Rucho consists of 9 majority African American Senate districts.

      link (PDF).

      Ok, so I read the polls.

      by andgarden on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 09:19:36 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I'm speechless looking at that map (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      SaoMagnifico, TofG, itskevin

      Easily one of the worst I've ever seen.

    •  Think this will get struck down? (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, TofG, itskevin

      Probable, looking at how they violate whole-county seats as is required.  The NC A-G will likely submit this for preclearance or sue in court for violating the constitutional requirements THEY demanded.

      Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo! So little time, so much to know!

      by KingofSpades on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 09:43:48 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  How does this violate whole counties (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, itskevin

      let's count the ways:
      20
      21
      12
      23
      27
      2
      8
      9
      48
      47

      Yep, this won't pass the smell test.

      Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo! So little time, so much to know!

      by KingofSpades on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 09:48:43 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Also, federally... (0+ / 0-)

      I don't see them going past 9-4 (on paper).

      Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo! So little time, so much to know!

      by KingofSpades on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 09:51:30 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Damn these guys must be going camping (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      itskevin, drobertson

      because they're doing a whole lot of packing...

      These are the same bozos who want the Guilford County board of commissioners to be reduced to 9 members with 4 at large seats... I think these guys have a severe misunderstanding (or should that be misunderestimating?) of the VRA.

    •  Gee, could it be that (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Xenocrypt, KingofSpades, MichaelNY

      maybe African American voters in Winston Salem are fine with reelecting Garrou even if her skin tone doesn't match theirs?   (rolleyes)

      This strikes me as the same kind of patronizing Republican idiocy that led them to believe that black voters would flock to GOP hacks such as Ken Blackwell and Michael Steele simply because of their color, never mind how they'd actually govern or vote on issues.

      Meanwhile, someone should call out the Repugs. in the lege or in court, on their apparent amnesia on creating districts that cross county lines.

    •  How do they know who black voters would choose? (4+ / 0-)

      This is a clear move to try and get rid of White Democrats in the state, but I think that will prove to be an exercise in futility. It's not Texas, North Carolina is far more open to Blue Dogs and there's only so racially gerrymandering that can be done that will actually be effective.

      25, Male, CA-24, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

      by DrPhillips on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 10:42:20 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I think that's exactly what this is (4+ / 0-)

        It's another attempt by Southern Republicans to make "W=R" and "B=D."  They've effectively done that in some places, to the point that there are no white Democrats in Congress representing Louisiana (save Mary Landrieu), Mississippi, Alabama, or South Carolina.  Arkansas is down to one white Democratic congressman (and Sen Pryor), Tennessee down to two (including Steve Cohen), Georgia is down to just John Barrow.  Yes, I know that state legislative districts are somewhat of a different animal than Congressional ones, but the strategy is the same.

        But I agree with you what it's not going to be as easy in North Carolina.  There are many more whites who will vote for more conservative Democrats, and an increasing number of transplants that might vote for (somewhat) more progressive ones.

        •  . (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          SaoMagnifico, MichaelNY

          You forgot Texas, where only Doggett and Green are white Democrats.

          21, Nice Calm Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat, NM-2 (Childhood), TX-23 (School), TX-10 (Home); SSP: wmayes

          by wwmiv on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 02:19:01 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Of course, if Republicans have their way... (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            Doggett will be gone. In response to Republicans insane congressional map, I attempted to split Texas into 8 different states, and man is it ugly (even though population-wise, there is no deviation above 100k).

            One of these days I'll have to post my map.

            Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

            by NMLib on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 05:15:15 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Post it! (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MichaelNY

              Now! I'd like to see.

              21, Nice Calm Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat, NM-2 (Childhood), TX-23 (School), TX-10 (Home); SSP: wmayes

              by wwmiv on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 05:56:07 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  I still have about 20K of unallocated population (0+ / 0-)

                Large states are a real pain when trying to finish up.

                Well, as a bit of a preview, I'll say that in order to make four Democratic states, I had to be very careful of what I did with the super-Republican suburbs outside of Austin, San Antonio, and Houston (not to mention Dallas and Fort Worth).

                I'm not totally confident of how well it would stand up in a really Republican year, but still... my goal was to cancel out Texas's senate delegation if at all possible (and, hopefully, give us a few new House seats, as we'd have a much better chance of controlling the trifecta in 4-8 states).

                Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                by NMLib on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 06:13:44 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  ? (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  MichaelNY

                  Two things:

                  1. San Antonio has no true suburbs. I'm not kidding. San Antonio itself is suburban in nature.

                  2. Austin has just as many Democratic suburbs as it does Republican ones (Round Rock balances with San Marcos, etc., etc.)

                  DFW and Houston's suburbs are the reason Texas is red.

                  21, Nice Calm Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat, NM-2 (Childhood), TX-23 (School), TX-10 (Home); SSP: wmayes

                  by wwmiv on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 07:14:29 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Well, I'm saying suburbs (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    MichaelNY

                    Of course, when you see my map, you'll see that not only did I not really respect county lines, I didn't totally respect city lines either. (Dallas and Forth Worth are obvious, but you'll probably see that in Austin, San Antonio, and Houston).

                    One of the things I noticed (particularly in Austin and San Antonio) is that Obama did a lot better than other Democrats did, it made me nervous about allowing parts of Austin's suburbs into the actual Austin-San Antonio state (I saw areas where Obama won over 60% of the vote while the Dem vote was actually lower than the Rep vote).

                    Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                    by NMLib on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 07:25:44 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  . (0+ / 0-)

                      That would be typical in Round Rock and Cedar Park in Austin and the Alamo Heights area closer to DT in San Antonio.

                      21, Nice Calm Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat, NM-2 (Childhood), TX-23 (School), TX-10 (Home); SSP: wmayes

                      by wwmiv on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 07:40:03 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  You'll see what I did with those suburbs (1+ / 0-)
                        Recommended by:
                        MichaelNY

                        As I said, my goal was to make four Democratic seats, counties and cities be damned!

                        I'm hoping to have it ready very soon, but in the meantime, here's probably my ugliest state of the bunch:

                        http://lorddegreespace.files.wordpress.com/...

                        Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                        by NMLib on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 07:47:30 PM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                        •  ... (1+ / 0-)
                          Recommended by:
                          MichaelNY

                          Wow.

                          21, Nice Calm Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat, NM-2 (Childhood), TX-23 (School), TX-10 (Home); SSP: wmayes

                          by wwmiv on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 07:49:12 PM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                          •  Yeah (0+ / 0-)

                            Hey, if Texas Republicans can split Travis County 5 ways (and Austin 6 ways) I figure this is fair game!

                            Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                            by NMLib on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 07:50:06 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  On the plus side (0+ / 0-)

                            Obama won all five of the Democratic states by at least 10 and Democrats won all of them by at least 5 (the one that absorbs the Austin suburbs with El Paso is the one that makes me nervous, but that was the best I could do without turning both San Antonio and Austin into swing states (I'm sure as hell not giving Republicans four safe seats while not having at least 3 likely to safe Democratic states)

                            Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                            by NMLib on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 08:03:55 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  . (0+ / 0-)

                            Seats or states? You keep switching back and forth.

                            21, Nice Calm Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat, NM-2 (Childhood), TX-23 (School), TX-10 (Home); SSP: wmayes

                            by wwmiv on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 08:11:57 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  I mean states (0+ / 0-)

                            Texas is divided up into 8 states with 2 senators, a governor and a set number of congresscritters, not sure how many each ones as I'm way too lazy to do that calculation lol

                            Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                            by NMLib on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 08:14:30 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  Why? (1+ / 0-)
                            Recommended by:
                            NMLib

                            They're states, they don't have to have equal populations. You could dump all the republican areas into one state and then make a bunch of democratic states with like 50K population :P

                          •  Well, it's an internal rule I set up (0+ / 0-)

                            I don't like that states are so absurdly unequal in population, so I am trying to correct for it somewhat.

                            Of course, that's certainly not a bad idea either, of course if we did do it that way, I'd just create 20 different states, 19 of the Democratic ;)

                            Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                            by NMLib on Wed Jun 22, 2011 at 12:17:07 AM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  Stats (0+ / 0-)

                            Obama    McCain    Dem     Rep
                            59.40%    40.60%    54.90%    45.10%
                            56.40%    43.60%    52.70%    47.30%
                            58.60%    41.40%    55.20%    44.80%
                            35.60%    64.40%    35.10%    64.90%
                            27.70%    72.30%    29.90%    70.10%
                            59.10%    40.90%    54.10%    45.90%
                            35.10%    64.90%    30.50%    69.50%
                            32.20%    67.80%    35.10%    64.90%

                            The first one is the Austin-San Antonio-Brownsville monstrosity, the second one is the border area plus Austin suburbs, the third one is (mostly) Houston proper, the fourth one is the Houston suburbs, the fifth one is the panhandle area, the sixth one is ahem parts of Dallas and Fort Worth, the seventh one is the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs, and the final one is Eastern Texas plus whatever else wouldn't fit in the rest of the districts.

                            Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                            by NMLib on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 08:13:21 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  States, not districts n/t (0+ / 0-)

                            Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 24 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                            by NMLib on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 08:15:00 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

    •  Court Precedent has large power. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      I think that the precedent over whole counties could be an effective tool in a state court lawsuit.

      Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo! So little time, so much to know!

      by KingofSpades on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 07:46:08 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Jobs package of 2010 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    I'm watching the repeat of "Real Time with Bill Maher," which has this woman named Gretchen Hamel, whom I don't remember hearing about, as one of its guests. As she was saying "been there, done that" in regards to stimulus spending, she mentioned the stimulus package of 2009 and "jobs package" of last year, 2010. At the risk of revealing a huge hole in my awareness, what the hell is she talking about? Is she describing something in an usual way, or is she referring to something so small as to be almost pointless?

    By the way, as much as he infuriates some people and espouses polemic opinions, I'm loving Maher more than usual lately because he's calling out Republicans for trying to intentionally sink the economy. They'll bitch and moan, but it's true.

    •  I think (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      It refers to this.

      •  Oh, thanks. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        Given that, as Wikipedia says, "employers are eligible for a payroll tax credit when the employer hires certain new employees after February 3, 2010, and before January 1, 2011," it's clear why it's not having any effect any longer. I guess the new payroll tax cut took its place. Actually, it sounds similar, if not exactly the same, as what David Leonhardt proposed earlier this week.

        •  The payroll tax cut was actually passed? (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          See, the Obama administration did so much to try to fix the economy that the people who read this shit every day don't even know.  And another example of tax cuts for businesses not creating jobs.

          •  No, it didn't pass, although I hope it does. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            I mean, I don't think it's even been formally introduced. There was just word that the administration was thinking about it, given the shitty information last month and the constant GDP downgrades.

            I'm not sure what the effect of the legislation in question, the HIRE Act, had in 2010. I'd guess not much, given that it was quite brief. I'd hope the latest call for an employer-side payroll tax cut does mean we get one. I'm not sure of the exact effect, but smart people like Christina Romer and Larry Summers say it could help. Anything that moves us in the right direction would be a good thing. Do I worry about it making it harder to put Social Security on a sounder footing? I do, but from a policy stand point or a political stand point, it wouldn't be the worst in the world for a permanent payroll tax cut--with some very big ifs, of course. I'm not sure how much the ceiling needs be raised in order to make up the difference, but there's that. Or we could try to make up the lost money through a carbon tax or some financial transaction tax.

            I've got a few ideas marinating in my head, but without getting into specifics, I think the administration is currently passing up a big opportunity to grab the left, the center, and the center-right with tax reform. There's no shortage of smart people that have proposals or that could come up with proposals, so why not have them draw plans? As I've said before, if the numbers could be worked out so that the incentives are realigned for stronger growth in coming years, I doubt a tax cut for the middle class is going to destroy us when it comes to the deficit. I'm thinking along the lines of a progressive consumption tax as a main focus, but I'm hardly an expert. I'd also hope the economists working with Obama aren't afraid to be creative or to throw a bone to the other side, if they are in fact working on tax reform. If they are going to permanently lower the payroll tax like I suggested, why not make up for it with a pollution tax? Or why not trade all corporate taxes or some of the investment taxes for pollution tax? Whatever the case, a few nods to the other side would go a long way towards helping him define himself in the election.

  •  I haven't seen this here yet (5+ / 0-)

    I suppose it's being covered elsewhere on DailyKos, but this involves elections:

    Aides To Former Maryland Gov Indicted For Ordering Calls To Suppress Votes

    Key paragraph of the article, probably:

    Schurick, Ehrlich's communications director when he was governor and a top campaign aide during his return campaign, allegedly created "The Schurick Doctrine" which was "designed to promote confusion, emotionalism, and frustration among African-American Democrats."

    Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

    by MichaelNY on Fri Jun 17, 2011 at 11:51:29 PM PDT

    •  And that does it (0+ / 0-)

      A Republican will never be elected to major statewide office in Maryland again during our lifetimes.

      Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 12:29:48 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I wouldn't go that far (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        I get the impression you're only a few years older than me, which would mean that we're probably gonna be around at least another 50 years or so. A lot can happen in that amount of time. Although I do have trouble seeing a republican elected in Maryland again without an ideological realignment, given demographic trends.

        •  An ideological realignment would help... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          But they are going to have to do major damage control to the brand itself now. This has all the hallmarks of a story that is only going to get bigger, and I think there's an entirely realistic possibility if not likelihood that it will implicate Ehrlich himself.

          Add that to the fact that the Maryland Republican Party basically is Bob Ehrlich, who was obliterated by 15 points last year in probably the best Republican election cycle since the 1920s, and I think it's going to take them a long, long time in the wilderness.

          Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

          by SaoMagnifico on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 01:01:23 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Ideological realignment decades away (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          I agree one should never say "never."  At one time, 140 years ago, a "radical Republican" as the term was used referred to the most vocal and aggressive advocates of civil rights for newly-freed black slaves.  So "radical Republican" was what a century later was regarded as the far left.

          But ideological realignment today is decades away.  Republicans and conservatives are doubling down on racism and xenophobia, and dismanting the safety net, actually going in the opposite direction from the Dubya era.

          Maryland is so dark blue already, and it's only getting even moreso with increasing nonwhite population and vote share growth.

          Maryland will be on the last states to become competitive again.  Republicans have been virtually hopeless for a long time, and Ehrlich is the last GOP Governor they'll see in decades.

          43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 06:50:07 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Not necessarily (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            If we keep the Presidency through the '12 and '16 elections, and get a solid left of center majority on the Supremes (and lower courts), I think socons will get disillusioned.

            Under those circumstances, I could see the Rs going all David Cameron or Stephen Harper on us by '18 or '20.

            "I hope; therefore, I can live."
            For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

            by tietack on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 08:45:10 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Opposite direction from the Dubya era? (0+ / 0-)

            Please explain, because that's the one part of your post that I didn't understand.

            Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

            by MichaelNY on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 11:56:37 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  I'm thinking of... (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MichaelNY

              ...Dubya embracing comprehensive immigration reform, a Medicare prescription drug benefit, and an aggressive federal role in steering public education through NCLB.

              These things make you a traitor in today's GOP.

              43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

              by DCCyclone on Tue Jun 21, 2011 at 07:33:12 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

          •  Well Maryland has always been an interesting state (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            Democrats have for the most part always held some form of power in the state. Even as the two parties shifted their ideological views Maryland still continued to elect democrats.
            http://en.wikipedia.org/...

            Republicans only had a few brief periods of total control over the state.

    •  You beat me to it. (0+ / 0-)

      I meant to post this last night and forget.  Thanks! :)

      Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo! So little time, so much to know!

      by KingofSpades on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 07:52:31 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  CA-36 (0+ / 0-)

    Assuming Janice Hahn wins the runoff this summer, and given the first draft of California redistricting which seems to be including Santa Monica and Palos Verdes, and further given the Top Two runoff system, do you think Hahn is more likely to face a serious challenge from the left or right in 2012?

    •  I'm not sure how much room there is to her left (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, SaoMagnifico, drobertson

      There is potentially room for a "my turn" challenge from another liberal, but I suspect her opponent in the general will be a republican.

    •  Left mostly, but also both in another way (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      because even though adding Santa Monica adds left, and adding Palos Verdes adds right, the vast bulk of notable politicians in the area will be Democrats.  It's more likely someone with a strong following will come from the Dem side than the Republican side.

      But "serious challenge" turns out to be not that simple. She could also come in third similar to the special.  Suppose there was a race next year featuring Hahn, Bowen and Mike Gin.  Hahn could lose to both as the Republicans coalesce behind Gin (or whoever), but also lose out to Bowen if the Winograd and miscellaneous other votes coalesce around Bowen (or another left challenger).

      http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/11/13/21516/201/804/660248

      by tommypaine on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 03:00:41 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Winograd will never not run for that seat (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        drobertson, MichaelNY

        Not on your life will she demur from a bid, even at the cost of bringing the candidate in the race closest to her on policy down. The primary proved that.

        Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

        by SaoMagnifico on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 05:09:04 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  not quite (0+ / 0-)

          I think she is prevented from ever running again. Isn't there a three strikes rule to prevent perennial candidates?

        •  Nice to exhibit the kind of confidence (0+ / 0-)

          that can only emanate from ignorance.  As her spouse, I'd inform you that it is bloody unlikely that Marcy will run again for Congress in 2012 or in the foreseeable future.  And btw, the Repub who no one was predicting to get in the runoff -- Craig Huey -- because of that unexpected performance is much more of a likely perennial contender than Gin or the other Repubs who contended in the May primary.  And finally, your observation reeks of the entitlement demanded of those electeds, like Hahn and Bowen, who hopskotch their current positions in order to continue their careers, which too often become more important than their performance.  

          "The true revolutionary is guided by a great feeling of love."

          by Budlawman on Mon Jun 20, 2011 at 09:22:38 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Do you really think Bowen (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Zack from the SFV, MichaelNY

        Will see it as worth trying again?  Assuming Hahn wins, I don't think she'll have too many objectionable votes or gaffes, and the new seat is 67% from the current seat, so it'll be more like running against Hahn as an incumbent than like a de facto open seat.  What would Bowen's argument be?  She'd be better off figuring out her statewide options for the next few cycles.

        25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

        by Xenocrypt on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 05:47:04 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  no (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          jncca, MichaelNY

          Trying to primary an incumbent who beat you in a previous primary isn't nearly the same thing as running for an open seat. I think Bowen would look like a chump and a sore loser if she did that. She'll run for senate or governor if anything.

          SSP poster. 41, CA-5, -0.25/-3.90

          by sacman701 on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 07:41:41 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  I was just using her as an example (0+ / 0-)

          http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/11/13/21516/201/804/660248

          by tommypaine on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 02:43:33 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I gotcha (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            BeloitDem, MichaelNY

            But I still think it would be a de facto primary challenge--and a primary challenger needs an argument.  I suppose if Hahn comes really close to losing, but wins, then she could be seen as damaged goods, and power brokers and high-info voters could desert her--but I would imagine that wouldn't be to a candidate to her left, if the new district is more conservative.  (And, of course, if Hahn loses, then you wouldn't think she'd get a second chance--but hey, look at Dan Seals.)

            25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

            by Xenocrypt on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 06:17:35 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  NY-09 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    I'm reading some concern over holding this seat because there seems to be a Republican trend. But I wonder though if we might see something similar to the FL-19 special. Yes, that seat is quite a bit more Democratic but there were rumblings at the time because Obama did about the same as Kerry. I would think that as long as the pick is "pro-Israel" and he or she bashes Ulrich or whoever over medicare then is should still be a hold similar to the PVI.

  •  Keep an eye out for Mary Jo Kilroy. (0+ / 0-)

    At a NN panel on social media in campaigns (with Reps. Ellison and Walz and Denise Cardinal), Ellison hinted that Kilroy might run again in 2012. He said, "Is Mary Jo Kilroy here? She's not? Well if you see her, give her a big hug - but not too big because we need her to beat Stivers."

    I know this is a little bit speculative bit Ellison seems to know her and likely has information that hasn't been made public yet. On the other hand, maybe she's just planning on campaigning for the eventual nominee.

    21, Progressive Democrat, MN-08 (home), MN-05 (college)

    by JonathanMN on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 10:26:22 AM PDT

  •  Education Level of State Legislators (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    Yo, sorry if this has been posted but I've been out and about a lot this week and may have missed it. Here's a fun interactive chart where you can compare the relative education levels of state legislators. As you might expect, there are a LOT of lawyers around. But it's fun! And way to go, Nebraska, with your surprisingly well-educated legislators. Kudos.

    http://chronicle.com/...

    ....via the Chronicle of Higher Education

    Kansan by birth, Californian by choice and Gay by the Grace of God.

    by arealmc on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 12:07:41 PM PDT

  •  IL-13: former State Rep. Jay Hoffman considering (0+ / 0-)

    http://www.news-gazette.com/...

    He's from the southwestern end of the district.

  •  For (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ndrwmls10, MichaelNY

    those following politics in Australia, the Gillard Labor government's standing in the polls continues to deteriorate as the latest poll out shows the Liberal/National Coalition opening up a 59-41 lead against Labor. Even larger than the polling leading up to the 1996 election where John Howard was swept in as PM.

    Opposition leader Tony Abbott has surged into a tie with PM Julia Gillard in the preferred prime minister poll which is significant because usually in Australian politics even when a government is defeated, the incumbent Premier/PM will usually lead in the preferred premier/PM polling. When an opposition leader surges into a tie or is ahead, the government is in for a blowout as we saw in NSW this March.

    (Oh and its bad that Tony Abbott is where he is right now in the polling because he's very right wing. They don't call him the "Mad Monk" for nothing.)

    http://ghostwhovotes.files.wordpress.com/...

    President Barack Obama and Democrats: Moving America forward since 2008.

    by ehstronghold on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 12:28:32 PM PDT

    •  Don't you just love (0+ / 0-)

      right wing governments!

      19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 12:30:38 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Perfect (0+ / 0-)

      Ok, so I read the polls.

      by andgarden on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 12:54:29 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Awesome (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      No point dragging out the inevitable, I guess.

      This seriously bums me out, though. Abbott would be probably the most right-wing leader in postwar Western history with only the possible exception of Margaret Thatcher.

      Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 03:47:41 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  It's (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        bad but the one thing Gillard had that Rudd didn't was time. And really its the whole carbon tax debate that's dragging Labor down. The best hope is that when Labor finally passes the carbon tax, people realize it won't be the end of the world.

        But Gillard has to make sure the Greens doesn't form an unholy alliance with the Coalition and bring down the government in a disapproval resolution. The Greens and the Coalition already joined forces to censure the government over immigration this week.

        And Kevin Rudd's dreams of returning to power need to be squashed now. There's a reason why you were sacked Rudd, and it wasn't just because of the poll numbers. Swapping leaders every few months didn't help Labor in NSW. Don't import that flawed judgement to Canberra.

        President Barack Obama and Democrats: Moving America forward since 2008.

        by ehstronghold on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 04:32:50 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  it will probably given kevin rudd (0+ / 0-)

      some leverage if he hopes to take pull a switch before an election is called and become prime minister again.  

  •  GOP straw poll results (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Minnesota Mike, tietack, jj32

    RLC straw poll: Paul 612, Huntsman 382, Bachmann 191, Cain 104, Romney 74, Gingrich 69, Palin 41, Santorum 30, Palwenty 18

  •  The results from the first ballot (0+ / 0-)

    at the Nevada Republican Central Committee Meeting. Mark Amodei has won the first round.

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 12:46:39 PM PDT

  •  Mark Amodei gets Republican nod in NV-02 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32
  •  Stay Classy GOP (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ndrwmls10, KingofSpades, askew, DCCyclone

    Obama impersonator makes racial, gay jokes at GOP gathering.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

  •  Does anybody know (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    much about the San Fran mayoral race? I know there is an openly gay candidate, Bevan Dufty, but what are his chances in a primary?

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 02:52:13 PM PDT

  •  NM-SEN (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Xenocrypt, itskevin, askew, MichaelNY, jj32

    Endorsements continue to roll in for Martin Heinrich. Yesterday, former Senator Fred Harris; today, State Rep. Joni Gutierrez (Las Cruces), State Senator Jerry Ortiz y Pino (Bernalillo County),  and Commissioner Joe Calderon (Hobbs ). The ethnicity of those surnames is probably significant.

    A Republican is a person who says we need to rebuild Iraq but not New Orleans. - Temple Stark

    by Christopher Walker on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 04:35:15 PM PDT

  •  Some people... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, drobertson

    ... should never run for office.

    21, Nice Calm Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat, NM-2 (Childhood), TX-23 (School), TX-10 (Home); SSP: wmayes

    by wwmiv on Sat Jun 18, 2011 at 06:15:13 PM PDT

  •  Is Obama going to endorse gay marriage this week? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    There have been a spate of stories in recent days about the president "evolving" on gay marriage. It seems almost certain he will came out in favor, but whether he does so during the 2012 campaign is somewhat open to question.

    The thing is, he's scheduled to speak before a gay donor gala this Thursday in New York, and that seems to be feeding speculation that he may endorse it next week, especially considering the (hopeful) passage of NY's same-sex marriage law.

  •  Mike Rawlings elected Dallas mayor (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, KingofSpades, Nickers

    I think he is a Dem(he was endorsed by Ron Kirk). Outgoing mayor Tom Leppert, is a running for the GOP nomination for Senate.

  •  LG of mass (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    does MASS have a system where the gubernator candidates select their LG's or is it a primary?

  •  The rarest person of all: (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, drobertson

    A black, openly gay, and racist Tea Partier.

    21, Nice Calm Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat, NM-2 (Childhood), TX-23 (School), TX-10 (Home); SSP: wmayes

    by wwmiv on Sun Jun 19, 2011 at 08:33:23 PM PDT

  •  Is anybody getting the absolutely awful (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SaoMagnifico, jncca

    Countdown background now?

    Kos shouldn't do this - not everybody is a fan of him.

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