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This is part of a proposal outlining one possible way to redistrict California.

This post will concentrate on Orange County.

Orange County

The population of Orange County is enough to support a bit more than four congressional districts.

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More below.

CA-40 (Firebrick):

Population – 30.1% white, 2.1% black, 35.5% Hispanic, 29.9% Asian, 0.2% Native American, 2.3% other

Over-18 Population – 33.9% White, 31.0% Hispanic, 31.0% Asian

Majority-Minority District

This district takes in the Orange County suburbs closest to Los Angeles. These suburbs can be characterized as quite diverse, moderately conservative, and well-off but not quite rich.

CA-46 (Tomato, located along the shore):

Population – 63.7% white, 1.1% black, 17.1% Hispanic, 14.7% Asian, 0.2% Native American, 3.3% other

This district unites the coastal communities of Orange County. Demographically and politically, the district fits well with the stereotype of Orange County as a place full of wealthy white conservative suburban warriors.

CA-47 (Thistle):

Population – 19.2% white, 1.3% black, 65.8% Hispanic, 12.2% Asian, 1.3% Native American, 1.3% other

Over-18 Population – 23.2% White, 60.1% Hispanic

Majority-Minority District; Majority-Hispanic

If CA-46 fits the Orange County stereotype to a glove, then CA-47 runs counter to it in almost every way. Anchored by Anaheim and Santa Ana, the district is (drawn to be) strongly Hispanic, poorer than the rest of Orange County (although certainly richer than downtown Los Angeles), and not very conservative.

CA-48 (Sandy Brown, located in the center-right of the map):

Population – 56.8% white, 1.5% black, 21.0% Hispanic, 17.2% Asian, 0.2% Native American, 3.3% other

CA-48 takes in the inland suburbs of Orange County. Most of the people actually live in the northeastern part; west of Irvine the population density is much less.

.

Orange County is quite simple to draw; there are no conflicts between the VRA and communities of interest that one encounters elsewhere. The next post will take a look at the Inland Empire, part of the overall Southern California area:

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--Inoljt

Originally posted to Inoljt on Wed Jul 13, 2011 at 05:11 PM PDT.

Also republished by California politics.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, atdnext, dufffbeer

    http://mypolitikal.com/

    by Inoljt on Wed Jul 13, 2011 at 05:11:02 PM PDT

  •  awesome, but purely academic (0+ / 0-)

    unless you're willing to submit these maps to the Citizens Redistricting Commission--they make all the decisions around here.

    oops. I hope the gate wasn't too expensive.

    Twitter: @DanteAtkins

    by Dante Atkins on Wed Jul 13, 2011 at 05:48:40 PM PDT

  •  What color is thistle? =s (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    atdnext

    Also, good job on this. :)

    Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo! So little time, so much to know!

    by KingofSpades on Wed Jul 13, 2011 at 08:06:12 PM PDT

  •  Interesting map. Do you have... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades

    the partisan #s on it? Just curious.

    At least you preserved CA-47 as a Latin@ majority seat. That is critical. There will be law suits if the commission doesn't change its tune soon.

    And your proposed CA-46 may surprise folks. It's historically quite Republican, but Obama won a number of the cities in it and Prop H8 fared far worse along the Orange County coast (losing in Laguna Beach, Aliso Viejo, Irvine, and Costa Mesa) than it did in most of the rest of SoCal. If the GOP nominates someone too teabaggy, it could allow for a HUGE surprise in the general election.

    •  Nope. (0+ / 0-)

      This map entirely ignored partisanship, so I didn't look at partisan numbers.

      I highly suspect, however, that the map would go 3-1. I don't think it's possible to do 2-2 in Orange County with seats entirely located within it.

      http://mypolitikal.com/

      by Inoljt on Wed Jul 13, 2011 at 09:34:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  CA47 (0+ / 0-)

      The Cal Redistricting Commission has redrawn CA47 to reflect the old district, It included eastern Garden Grove.

      CA47 will now be likely D.  The only reason it will not be safe D is the potential offyear dropoff in Hispanic votes, as happened in 2010.

      The other seats in Orange county will be lean or likely R, according to maps I have drawn using Daves Redistricting Maps. There is an option to draw according to Daves Maps, using both voter information by election district with partisan data, which is as accurate for race and ethnicity as the option this diarist used.

      There is another option for a Hispanic seat, which would be as fully Hispanic as the one drawn, which would be composed of Anaheim, Santa Ana, and Orange city. The percentages of Hispanic population in Orange city are very high.

  •  really nice work! (0+ / 0-)

    on both Los Angeles and Orange County, and in describing the districts in ways that those of us who don't live there can understand.
    How much longer until CA-40 (as you drew it) turns Democratic?

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