Nice little news item out of Fitzwalkerstan. We've got some polling out on the Sandy Pasch/Alberta Darling race that noise of rain and others have been working so hard on.
Over the course of two months, Democrat Pasch has gone from -9 pts to +1 (MOE 5.2%). Details here from www.wispolitics.com.
This has been viewed as possibly one of the toughest races. Darling has raised nearly a million dollars, and a half million in the last reporting period. That this race is close shows we've got a real chance.
Oh, and as always, if you can spare a dime, here's our list of Democratic candidates for the Senate.
Some details from the polling:
Significant movement by Pasch.
In our May survey, Darling led Pasch by a 9 point margin (39% Pasch, 48% Darling). Now, with less than four weeks to go until the election, Pasch holds a 1-point lead over Darling (47% Pasch, 46% Darling). Among the 79% of voters in the district that know both candidates, Pasch leads by a 51% to 46% margin, suggesting further potential for growth. Pasch’s significant movement in this race can be ascribed to a marked deterioration of support for Darling among independents. In our May poll, Darling led among independents by a 47% to 34% margin. Now, the race is tied among these crucial swing voters, with each candidate garnering 42% of the vote.
Marked deterioration in Darling's support among independents? Nice.
Pasch’s strength in this race can be ascribed to her stronger image among voters, particularly independents. Forty-four percent (44%) view Pasch favorably, while 35% view her unfavorably, a net favorability rating of +9 points. By contrast, a plurality of voters has an unfavorable view of Darling (45% favorable, 48% unfavorable). This difference is even more pronounced among independents, who tend to view Pasch favorably (46%favorable, 29% unfavorable), and Darling unfavorably (44% favorable, 47% unfavorable).
Ouch. Look at those unfavs for Darling.
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