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Okay guys and gals it's official, Tammy Baldwin is running for Senate!

Rep. Baldwin sent out an e-mail to her supporters earlier this morning announcing her official candidacy, the Journal Sentinel reports:

Baldwin is the first Democrat in the field and likely the front-runner for her party's nomination.

Baldwin's early entry puts pressure on potential Democratic rivals U.S. Rep. Ron Kind of La Crosse and former U.S. Rep. Steve Kagen of Appleton to make up their minds about entering the race, even though a possible primary is about a year away.

Even if Rep. Kind and/or Former Rep. Kagen jump into the race. She will probably win the primary. The best possible outcome is to avoid a major primary battle, in which Kind would try to paint her as too liberal.

So far the only declared candidate on the Republican side is former Rep. Mark Neumann. State Senate President and all around bad guy Jeff Fitzgerald and Former Governor Tommy Thompson are all but in. Don't count on a Thompson victory in the primary. Jeff Fitzgerald is a hero with the Wisconsin Republican electorate.

Baldwin can definitely win the General Election. She is a great campaigner and is very affable, but she will need plenty of money and a lot of the now famous Wisconsin grassroots for her to win.

Hopefully Wisconsin will elect the United States first openly LGBT Senator!

http://www.jsonline.com/...

2:41 AM PT: On the Recommended List! Spread the word!


3:07 AM PT: Tammy Baldwin's website has officially been updated! Democrats are taking back the color red! http://www.tammybaldwin.com/

3:20 AM PT: If you would like to donate directly to her campaign, here is the link:
https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/entity/27778?ref=splash

4:42 AM PT: As expected Baldwin has been endorsed by the Victory Fund! http://www.victoryfund.org/...

Originally posted to ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 05, 2011 at 11:25 PM PDT.

Also republished by Milk Men And Women.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Exciting news! (8+ / 0-)

    It's a tough race to be sure,  but I have faith in my fellow Badgers.  Thanks for the news!

    "A liberal is a man or a woman or a child who looks forward to a better day, a more tranquil night, and a bright, infinite future." - Leonard Bernstein

    by outragedinSF on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 12:09:00 AM PDT

  •  and if you're in Quivey's Grove Sept. 19 (4+ / 0-)

    She's got a BBQ coming up on the 19th at 5:30

    http://www.tammybaldwin.com/

  •  Man, between her (12+ / 0-)

    and NV-Sen and MA-Sen we could end up with three more Democratic women in the senate.

    I changed by not changing at all, small town predicts my fate, perhaps that's what no one wants to see. -6.38, -4.15

    by James Allen on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 12:49:55 AM PDT

    •  Don't forget about HI-Sen! (7+ / 0-)

      I'm still holding out hope for AZ-Sen, too. This is definitely going to be an exciting election cycle.

      19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 12:52:18 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Then of course there's (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Zutroy, SCFrog

      the possibility of Snowe being primaried. Two possible Democratic candidates are Hannah Pingree, Emily Cain, and Rosa Scarcelli.

      There's also the possibility (although seemingly unlikely) that Susan Bysiewicz could be the Democratic nominee.

      19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 01:03:56 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I think it appears Snowe will be primaried (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        SCFrog, jncca, Tiger in BlueDenver

        out, like Lisa Murkowski, she will run Indy and win. She'll probably still caucus with the GOP, but it will present another chink in the GOP's united front, as I am sure it do nothing to fortify her loyalty to the party. She'll probably lunch with Murkowski a lot and bitch about the party's stupidity.

        "My purpose is to tell pissed off progressives how stupid they are."--Adept2U

        by Scott Wooledge on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 06:25:44 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Murkowski didn't run as an Indy (0+ / 0-)

          and Maine is much bluer than Alaska.

          21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

          by sapelcovits on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 07:31:56 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Oh Murkowski (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            SCFrog, Clarknt67

            She get's a "You go girl" a million times over for her win.  Only other person to win as a write-in was Strom Thurmond, and he did so for horribly racist reasons.  Cheers to Murkowski being the first moral write-in Senate win!

          •  OK. Write in... (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Odysseus

            against the GOP nominee... a distinction without a difference. It was her seat and the the general electorate agreed whatever the primary voters thought. I think the same dynamic would play out in Maine.

            "My purpose is to tell pissed off progressives how stupid they are."--Adept2U

            by Scott Wooledge on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 08:38:03 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Someone mentioned (0+ / 0-)

              on Daily Kos Elections that she has very bad back pain. If that's true I could see her just giving up if she lost in the primary.

              19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

              by ndrwmls10 on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 08:42:35 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  History suggests... (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                ndrwmls10

                voters keep sending the same folks over and over again, much as we wish that was not the case. I'm not in Maine, so I can't much say how blue it is. But Teabagger Paul LePage did just win the Governorship and they voted down marriage equality just 2 years ago, so it's blue wave credentials look a little suspect to me.

                A Republican who loses a primary for just not being popular enough with the tea party? Hmmm... Sounds like something a smart strategist could play to their advantage.

                I just wouldn't count out a long-time incumbent, unless she counts out herself.

                "My purpose is to tell pissed off progressives how stupid they are."--Adept2U

                by Scott Wooledge on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 08:51:30 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Lepage won with 38.1% (0+ / 0-)

                  against a left leaning split field. They also barely voted down Marriage Equality. It was a lot closer than California in 2008.

                  My feeling is she wanted to retire this cycle, but Republican "convinced" her to run one more time. If she looses the primary I believe she will just end her political career.

                  19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                  by ndrwmls10 on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 08:55:28 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Yes, I know... (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    Odysseus
                    Lepage won with 38.1% against a left leaning split field.
                    But that still serves to illustrate how a minority of right leaning voters can defeat a majority of left leaning voters in Maine, unfortunately. I just wouldn't count Snowe out, unless she does so herself. People like have a Senator that is an institution all their own. And in the NE there is an affection for old-style Republicans.

                    "My purpose is to tell pissed off progressives how stupid they are."--Adept2U

                    by Scott Wooledge on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 09:17:44 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  While I agree with your point (0+ / 0-)

                    mostly, I should point out that Question 1 in Maine passed 53-47, while Prop 8 in California passed 52-48.

                    21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

                    by sapelcovits on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 05:49:44 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                •  Snowe is polling very poorly (0+ / 0-)

                  among Republicans, while still doing well statewide.  She's very vulnerable to a primary challenge.

                  I changed by not changing at all, small town predicts my fate, perhaps that's what no one wants to see. -6.38, -4.15

                  by James Allen on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 12:28:31 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

            •  Not a distinction without a difference (0+ / 0-)

              Murkowski clearly did not turn her back on the Republican party, even though she did turn her back on the will of Republican primary voters.

              21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

              by sapelcovits on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 05:48:50 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

    •  Agree. It could happen, and we'd all be (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ndrwmls10

      a lot better off for it if it did.  

      •  I completly agree! (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Remediator

        This next year will be the "year of the woman" unlike 2010.

        19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

        by ndrwmls10 on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 02:46:19 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I'm trying to forget 2010 all around, but (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          ndrwmls10, bluesheep

          there is a lot to root for in this next round of Senate and House races.  

          IMO, Tammy Baldwin is not just tough, fair, and capable.  She is luminous.  She would be a very formidable alternative voice to all those idiot Baggers eleced in 2010.

          •  Agreed! (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Remediator

            We also have to remember, she was elected to a house seat that was much more competitive in 1998 and held it in 2000. Redistricting made the seat much Democratic. She has faced and won tough battles. She can do this!

            19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

            by ndrwmls10 on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 02:54:59 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  Bachmann running is very indicative of this (0+ / 0-)

          It's about damn time a woman realized you don't need the pedigree of Hillary Clinton, you just need to have the goods.  She has batshit crazy Republican goods, but she's got a following.  Pretty sure Hillary will puke if Bachmann get's to be the first female nominee of a major political party.

  •  Hell yes! (8+ / 0-)

    Tammy Baldwin is my Rep, and I'm damn proud to have her! It's about time she took a stab at something bigger.

    Woo Hoo!

    The fundamental delusion of humanity is to suppose that I am here and you are out there. - Yasutani Roshi

    by lotusmaglite on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 01:03:02 AM PDT

  •  republish this, somebody ! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ndrwmls10, Cedwyn

    it deserves a WIDE audience.

    oh, and see those buttons below the title... ?

    Addington's perpwalk is the trailhead of accountability for this wound to our national psyche. 48forEastAfrica - Donate to Oxfam

    by greenbird on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 02:28:11 AM PDT

  •  Electing Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ndrwmls10, Clarknt67, Odysseus

    to the U.S. Senate would be an enormous plus.  

    In Wisconsin I'd love to see the handful of Republican candidates maul each other in a primary, while I hope Congressman Kind's internal polling persuades him to clear a path for his colleague, Tammy Baldwin.  

    •  That would be the best possible outcome. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Remediator

      I have a feeling he'll avoid the race. Why give up a relativity safe house seat to take on a more powerful and popular Democratic figure.

      19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 02:44:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  And when you have Sen. Johnson to take out (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        jncca, Tiger in BlueDenver

        in 2016, in another Presidential year.  There is room for both, and they both perfectly encapsulate the WI Dem Party between the two of them.

      •  Though to play devil's advocate, (0+ / 0-)

        Baldwin's district is blue enough that there are still serious doubts about her statewide electablity, even though she typically beats her WI-02 opponents by 30-40 points. No matter which opponent she faces, she'll have to work hard for the senate seat. Thompson, if nominated, would be tough to defeat because moderates would vote for him and conservatives for "anyone but Baldwin". Neumann would probably run a dog-whistling social conservative campaign to distract from the real issues, which she would have to hammer home. Fitzgerald's campaign would probably be so dirty as to make Rove look like Russ Feingold. I'm proud to have Baldwin as my congresswoman, but don't assume she'll win the senate seat.

  •  This is Tammy Baldwin's time - Yes! (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ndrwmls10, exterris, Clarknt67

    She would be my rep if I still lived in Beloit where I was born, grew up, and got a great education. Tammy Baldwin has the best qualifications and experience and has the potential to be a great US Senator. She has done good things for Beloit and everywhere else in her district. I am sad that Janesville got gerrymandered out of the district years ago. My friends and family in Janesville really got screwed. I can't imagine any two adjacent congressional districts so badly polarized. Tammy Baldwin and Paul Ryan. The thought goves me the shivers.

    I'm convinced that 2012 is Tammy Baldwin's best shot at winning a Senate seat. Any Democrat, actually. So why not choose the best candidate? That would be Tammy Baldwin, hands down. There's no incumbent. Her record is very good. Women teachers who have lost benefits and employment will be attracted to vote for an educated woman. I doubt if her sexual orientation will be a significant factor. A nice bonus, imo.

    What I can predict with certainty is that whoever the Democratic candidate is, there will be overwhelming mud slinging and dirty tricks everywhere. I think that Tammy Baldwin can deal with this, but I also think that the negative attacks might be effective. I also think that any other candidate would get the same treatment. No matter who's voting record or personal history gets attacked, the big money and the right wing spin machine will turn it into a horror show.

    In this context, voters are more likely to chose a party rather than a specific candidate.

    I can also predict with certainty that momentum will be on our side in 2012. Maybe at its peak. The presidential election year, higher Democratic voter turnout, buyer's remorse, and a focus on state issues in Fitzwalkerstan coupled with a strong GOTV effort, provides a lot of momentum. If this was enough to overcome some of the flood of money spent in the recall challenges, there's a decent chance that it a Democratic Senator can surf into office on the wave's momentum. If Joanne Kloppenberg can come from nowhere and almost win a State Supreme Court seat against an incumbent, Tammy Baldwin will definitely do well.

    She will need a lot of support to build name recognition and she will need to shake hands with half the population. A little national exposure will help, too.

    She probably won't win in Waukesha County, though.

    I'm pumped. Go, Tammy, go!

    "All people are born alike - except Republicans and Democrats" - Groucho Marx

    by GrumpyOldGeek on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 03:08:03 AM PDT

    •  She'll definitly need the money (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GrumpyOldGeek, Odysseus

      and grassroots activism to win, but she'll do it! I'm from Chicago and I'm going to school in Bloomington, Indiana right now, but I hope to go to Wisconsin next summer to volunteer for Baldwin.

      19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 03:12:03 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  If Tammy wins in Waukesha County (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GrumpyOldGeek, jncca

      then 2012 will make 2008 look like a Republican wave year.

      21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

      by sapelcovits on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 07:33:39 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  outside of Madison/Milwaukee (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GrumpyOldGeek

      She will need to be very much in rural and suburban areas of Wisconsin outside of the solid Democratic areas of Madison and Milwaukee.

      No matter how NEGATIVE the Teapublicans get, TAMMY AND SUPPORTERS MUST MAINTAIN A POSITIVE CAMPAIGN!!!!  This will benefit her in places like up in my part of the state.

      As far as her orientation, it will not have an impact on the solid Democratic or Teapublican voters.  But it could sway the middle-road people.  This is where negative ads, if run by Baldwin, could be devastating as these are the folks so sick of negative ads.  Let the Teapublicans throw the mud....  it will turn middle-road people off and either not vote or vote for Tammy.

      Tammy, KEEP IT POSITIVE, Baldwin!

      Citizen from WI-07 (Marathon County)

      by CentralWIGuy on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 07:35:04 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I assume that Tammy Baldwin would remain positive (0+ / 0-)

        You are absolutely correct about the need to campaign positively. I'm more familiar with her history of campaigning and her ability to work a crowd. She is naturally positive.

        I should remember that she isn't well-known in other parts of the state even though she's a 7 term Congresswoman.

        She got some national exposure last night on Rachel Maddow's show, the first appearance after her formal announcement. And she did a great interview. She addressed the negativity and the anger up front.

        True story:
        Years ago, I lived in Minneapolis and travelled a lot. I belonged to a flying club and had reserved the airplane to attend a meeting in Wausau the next day. But I started to come down with a cold or something, chills, aches, etc. So I decided not to fly myself and caught the midnight twin prop Convair commuter to Wausau, via La Crosse and Eau Claire, a true puddle jumper. I showed up at the Wausau Best Western(?) at about 2:30 am, still feeling awful.

        It turns out that I was their "Guest of the Day". They usually held a little ritual when that person shows up. The one guy there handed a picture of the welcome sign to me and sent me to a better room.

        So I enjoy boasting that I was once the "Guest of the Day" in Wausau. Kinda like "My mother was a Bozoette!". Oh wow!

        I like Wausau and the area. Had some good friends who used to live there. Good times, good memories.

        "All people are born alike - except Republicans and Democrats" - Groucho Marx

        by GrumpyOldGeek on Wed Sep 07, 2011 at 04:01:27 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  This is going to be a harder race (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ndrwmls10, dc1000, WisVoter

    than it looked like a few months ago. But we don't have anyone stronger, and I would love to have Tammy in the Senate.

    Ok, so I read the polls.

    by andgarden on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 06:00:44 AM PDT

  •  So sorry for the HR (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    walja

    So odd that I was able to do it without a warning.  Was not my intent.

    "The first rule of pillow fight club is do not talk about pillow fight club." --Keith Olbermann

    by Julie Waters on Tue Sep 06, 2011 at 02:29:27 PM PDT

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