Skip to main content

California is offering the GOP a preview of coming attractions if it doesn't start attracting brown people.
A new analysis by the Field Poll shows that even as California's total voter registration grew by more than 2 million voters over the past 20 years, Republican registration declined by 285,944 voters, to 5.3 million.

The party's share of statewide registration declined eight percentage points, to 31 percent.

Meanwhile, the proportion of registered voters who are Latino grew by about 2.3 million, from 10 percent of the state's registered voters in 1992 to 22 percent today, according to the poll. In the 2008 presidential election, those Latinos provided Democrats an advantage of more than nine percentage points.

"No one's talking about the sleeping giant anymore," said Jaime Regalado, executive director of the Pat Brown Institute of Public Affairs at California State University, Los Angeles. "The giant is here now, and Republicans aren't recruiting it."

Got that? While California gained 2 million new voters over the past 20 years, GOP registration has dropped by over a quarter million. And the driving force? Demographic changes that dramatically favor Democrats.

Thing is, those demographic changes don't have to favor Democrats. Fast growing Latino and Asian communities may be heavily Democratic, but they're also fairly socially conservative. Republicans could reach a significant number of these voters by appealing to religion and/or their sense of "traditional" family. But Republicans have decided instead to scapegoat immigrant communities to bolster their share of the dwindling anglo vote.

In California, it's relegated them to deep-minority status. If you believe the census' projections, the rest of the country is only a few decades behind.

Originally posted to kos on Thu Sep 08, 2011 at 12:58 PM PDT.

Also republished by California politics, APA Kos : Asian/Pacific Americans at DailyKos, and Daily Kos.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Angie in WA State, teacherken, PeterHug, wu ming, Buckeye in Los Angeles, SallyCat, Creosote, dweb8231, Morgana, joyous, concernedamerican, JohnInWestland, CoolAqua, Wee Mama, Loquatrix, oceanview, jted, Chrisfs, tomephil, Getreal1246, pat bunny, Ender, cosette, HeyMikey, wdrath, ybruti, Josiah Bartlett, Sybil Liberty, Maggie Pax, Gowrie Gal, vcmvo2, mrmango, maybeeso in michigan, bloomer 101, historys mysteries, UncleCharlie, Alice Venturi, bagman, citizenx, Carnivorous Plantling, flying shams, Pinko Elephant, vigilant meerkat, Kimball Cross, raptavio, cookseytalbott, sleipner, Wary, hideinplainsight, blueoasis, praenomen, Rosaura, tim woods, shaharazade, Hedwig, christomento, bluicebank, camlbacker, Mary Mike, Unbozo, Orange County Liberal, stratocasterman, jhop7, dizzydean, Assaf, TomP, mconvente, zerone, poligirl, Senor Unoball, Involuntary Exile, bythesea, TomFromNJ, Jake Williams, catly, magicsister, lissablack, Tennessee Dave, legendmn, cybrestrike, Mindmover, kevinpdx, stevenwag, rebel ga, JEnviro, Larsstephens, Railfan, sgtlejeune, amk for obama, kjoftherock, Herse182, cordgrass, manyamile, ItsSimpleSimon, OnlyWords, dlemex, jojothecat, nosleep4u, stevenaxelrod, Mr MadAsHell, TexasDan, FarWestGirl, marleycat, BarackStarObama, rexymeteorite, enhydra lutris, yaque, Caddis Fly, Vatexia, jolux, KingofSpades, jham710, Nightshade Q, googie, The BigotBasher, Mathazar, jeopardydd, AZ Independent, sow hat, Poetic Mind, foucaultspendulum, nellgwen, AnnieR, Trotskyrepublican, joeschmeaux, evilhoodedcrow, supercereal, hardart, MartyM, doroma, notdarkyet, wxorknot, SunshineOnAStick, George3, pandaman, Canis Aureus, GoGoGoEverton, blueoldlady, rbrockelmann, Jason The Greek, Dancun74

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site