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Senate:

HI-Sen: Hahah! Suck it, Ed Case. Hawaii's veteran Democratic senators, Dan Inouye and the retiring Dan Akaka, were both seen at a recent DC fundraiser for Rep. Mazie Hirono. While neither of the Dans have formally endorsed Hirono, the fact that they're openly helping her raise money is a great sign. I'm also pleased to see that the AFL-CIO and AFSCME hosted the event. I'm really wondering if the conservaDem Case thinks he has a path to victory that doesn't involve bogus polls.

NE-Sen: Interesting: The Nebraska Democratic Party is going up with a very early $200,000 ad buy on behalf of Sen. Ben Nelson. It's a pretty boring spot, though amusingly it features a collage of Scary Nancy Pelosi and Scary Emanuel Cleaver among the people whom Ben Nelson is Nothing Like. What's weird, though, is that the NEDP decided to release detailed data about how much they're spending, but the version up on YouTube appears to be taped off someone's TV with a camcorder. Whut?

PA-Sen: Republican Party chair Rob Gleason is still trying to scare up a Senate candidate, and in addition to the usual veteran congressmen on his wishlist (Jim Gerlach and Charlie Dent) is a new name: freshman Rep. Pat Meehan. So what's everyone saying? The usual:

Gerlach "has no plans" to run for the Senate, a campaign consultant on his team told us.

And a spokeswoman for Meehan gave us the standard "he's focused on his district" reply.

Dent did not respond to our request for comment yesterday.

One Republican is moving closer to the race, though: teabaggish ex-state Rep. Sam Rohrer, but try parsing this statement: "My effort to get the pieces I need to have in order to do this, I am pursuing 100 percent." That's "up," I suppose, from being "50-50" back in April. Earlier this year, Rohrer became head of the Pennsylvania chapter of the David Koch front group Americans for Prosperity.

WA-Sen: Freshman Republican state Sen. Michael Baumgartner, whose name only seemed to emerge as a possible candidate in the last couple of weeks, says he'll probably decide whether he'll challenge Sen. Maria Cantwell by October.

Gubernatorial:

LA-Gov, LA-AG: Filing close in Louisiana, and as expected, GOP Gov. Bobby Jindal drew pretty much bupkes in the way of opposition. Perhaps the most interesting news is Republican ex-Rep. Joe Cao's pulling the trigger on a challenge to AG Buddy Caldwell, a former Democrat who switched parties earlier this year. (Cao had been making plans at least as far back as April.) Meanwhile, potential redistricting victim Jeff Landry did not make the leap into the AG's race, even though Republican officials had suggested it as an escape hatch.

MO-Gov: John Danforth will not be riding to the rescue. The 75-year-old former Republican senator (who hasn't held office since 1995) says he won't seek his party's gubernatorial nomination and in fact happily shoved Peter Kinder a couple more steps toward the plank, saying he's "all for" the embattled Lt. Gov. (Interesting side note: The guy everyone is worried will keel-haul Kinder was actually handily dispatched many years ago by Danforth: Jay Nixon was crushed by Danforth in the 1988 senate race, 68-32. Ouch!)

ND-Gov: Democratic state Sen. Minority Leader Ryan Taylor said on Friday that he's considering a run for governor and is planning what sounds like the proverbial "listening tour." If Taylor gets in, he'd be the first Democrat to do so. Republican Gov. Jack Dalrymple (elevated from the LG spot after John Hoeven got elected to the Senate last year) still hasn't made up his mind, but said last week he'd decide this fall.

House:

CA-46: The Kinde Durkee story is pretty amazing, and if you haven't caught wind of it yet, this is as good a hook as any. Durkee served as treasurer to many, many major California campaigns and is now in jail on charges that she's stolen hundreds of thousands of dollars, perhaps much more. Adding to the pile, Dem Rep. Loretta Sanchez says that he campaign account has been "nearly wiped out" — even though she had some $379K in the bank as of June 30. Durkee's client list was quite stellar, and included Sen. Dianne Feinstein and Reps. Linda Sanchez, Bob Filner, Laura Richardson, and Susan Davis, among others. This won't be the last we hear of this story.

NC-06: GOP Rep. Howard Coble always winds up on retirement watch lists because of his anonymity and age (now 80). Now he's cranked the speculation way up, since he recently told the Greensboro News & Record that he wouldn't decide whether he'll seek another term until December. Last month, Coble pointed out that he has a bunch of new territory to worry about under the new redistricting map, which could give an up-and-comer an opening in a possible primary even if Coble decided to make another go of it.

NV-02: The final tally of early voting numbers in Nevada look bad — real bad. Republicans cast 53% of votes while Dems cast just 34%, far out-stripping the GOP's 43-35 registration edge. Obviously, just because a member of a certain party cast a ballot doesn't mean they voted for their party's candidate, but that hardly seems relevant at this point.

NY-09: I really couldn't even finish watching this silly ad put out by the House Majority PAC (a Democratic super PAC). FWIW, it's backed with a $100K buy, but you've gotta wonder if it's too little, too late — especially if you've seen the latest polling. Click here for our full post on PPP's final-weekend survey, which shows Republican Bob Turner on the verge of a major upset over Democrat David Weprin. Meanwhile, Colin Campbell's got a good round-up of the last-minute goings-on in New York 9th CD, and in general, check out his blog The Brooklyn Politics for other late-breaking developments in this race.

OK-02: Former state Rep. Wayne Pettigrew (previously mentioned as considering a run) will officially join the GOP field in the open-seat 2nd CD race.

Other Races:

Special Elections: Johnny Longtorso does some serious yeoman's work this week. When you see him in comments, give him a pat on the back:

Along with Tuesday's special election in NY-09, there are six special elections to the New York Assembly. All six were previously held by Democrats. Here's the rundown:

AD-23: This seat is in Queens; the candidates are Phillip Golfelder (D/WF/IP), who has worked for the city council and the mayor's office, and Jane Deacy (R/Cons), a retired NYPD officer. This seat went 67-33 for the old incumbent in 2010.

AD-27: This seat is also in Queens; the candidates are Michael Simanowitz (D/WF/IP), who was the retiring incumbent's chief of staff, Marco Desena (R/Cons), a consultant and adjunct college professor, and Justin Jacobs (New Yorkers for Reform), a nonprofit CEO. The past incumbent was unopposed in 2010.

AD-54: This seat in Brooklyn has become something of a circus. The former incumbent is Darryl Towns, son of Rep. Ed Towns. Democrats nominated Rafael Espinal, chief of staff for an NYC Council member; he also got the nominations of the Republican and Conservative Parties (along with something called United We Can). The Working Families Party was unhappy with this, I guess, so they nominated Jesus Gonzalez, a community organizer. Not content to make this a bland two-way race, Darryl Towns' sister, Deidra Towns, jumped into the race on the Community First ticket.

AD-73: This one's in Manhattan. The candidates are both attorneys, Dan Quart (D/WF) and Paul Niehaus (R/IP). The previous incumbent in 2010 won 65-33.

AD-116: And now we're outside New York City: This district is based in Utica. Candidates here are attorney Anthony Brindisi (D/WF/IP) and Marcy Town Council member Gregory Johnson (R/Cons). The former incumbent won 60-40 here in 2010.

AD-144: Finally, we have a district in northwest Buffalo and Grand Island. The candidates are attorney Sean Ryan (D/WF), Sean Kipp (R/Cons), and small businessman Gregory Horn (G). The prior incumbent here won 53-27-20 in 2010 (against separate Republican and Conservative Party nominees).

Redistricting Roundup:

FL Redistricting: A big, if expected, decision out of Florida: A federal judge rejected Reps. Mario Diaz-Balart and Corrine Brown's challenge to the state's new "Fair Districts" constitutional amendments, which still leave redistricting in the legislature's hands but try to depoliticize the line-drawing. The unlikely pair — Diaz-Balart is a conservative Cuban-American Republican, Brown a liberal African-American Democrat, united only because they fear the consequences of the amendments — have vowed to appeal, but I'm befuddled as to how they think they have a shot.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (7+ / 0-)

    Political Director, Daily Kos

    by David Nir on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 05:00:05 AM PDT

  •  So Perry has widened his lead (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, Eileen B, jncca, itskevin

    30% to Romney's 18% according to CNN. His "ponzi scheme" remarks have not hurt him with the primary electorate.

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 05:05:35 AM PDT

  •  Poor Ed Case... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bozepravde15

    He just can't catch a break!

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 05:12:50 AM PDT

  •  Tim Pawlenty has endorsed (7+ / 0-)

    Mitt Romney. I'm sure this will be the thing that sends Mitt surging to front runner status..... Ha!

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 05:31:41 AM PDT

  •  Nuclear Power Plant explosion in France! (0+ / 0-)

    WTF happened?

    How The Doctor does redistricting: 'I'm going to need a SWAT team ready to mobilize, street-level maps covering all of Florida, a pot of coffee, twelve jammie dodgers and a fez.'

    by KingofSpades on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 05:36:27 AM PDT

  •  An interesting article on the (3+ / 0-)

    increasing influence of progressive women in the US.

    http://www.milwaukeelabor.org/...

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 06:20:21 AM PDT

    •  Also Tammy Baldwin is (0+ / 0-)

      looking a bit like a WASP, now. That would probably help neutralize the negative "lesbian image".

      19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 06:38:11 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  PPP poll of NV-02 (0+ / 0-)

    Amodei leads 50-37 which was the same margin I predicted a couple days ago.  Move along, nothing to see here, this is not the race you're looking for.

    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...

    •  sorry (0+ / 0-)

      PPP is not getting a pass from me on this one.  They blew it.  They polled this a few weeks ago and showed it a one point race.  Then the vote totals start coming in and PPP changes their model to match the results (ie a lot more Republicans).  Not buying these shenanigans.  It's obvious this race was never ever close.  Now really makes me wonder if PPP had an ulterior motive for posting the bogus poll.  Get us to donate more money to Marshall?

      •  It's possible but I doubt that's the case (0+ / 0-)

        Then again I don't particularly care to do any statistical analysis of their underlying data (presuming the released it like usual).

      •  Seriously? (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades, redrelic17, jncca

        So can you also explain to us PPP's motive for putting out an NY-23 poll showing Hoffman 17 points ahead on Hoffman? Since obviously PPP doesn't conduct actual polls, but just puts out pretend polls based on narratives.

        21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

        by sapelcovits on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 06:50:24 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  yes i'm serious (0+ / 0-)

          We don't need PPP to blow smoke up our ass.  Didn't we learn our lesson from Research 2000?  

          Those Wisconsin senate races turned on us awfully quickly and now this NV-02 fiasco.  I'm sorry, but nothing has fundamentally changed in NV-02.  The biggest difference is PPP's model - this second one has a D/R/I more Republican than the first - which is more inline with the data that we've received since voting began.

          I'm just a little bit irked because I thought PPP could be trusted, but with this, Bill White last year (remember being "tied" with Rick Perry?), and the Wisconsin races, my trust in them is quickly disappearing and I have to now ask myself, how bad is it really for Obama?  Are PPP's polls much more favorable to him right now?

          •  The Wisconsin races? (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            KingofSpades

            What?

            "Every daring attempt to make a great change in existing conditions, every lofty vision of new possibilities for the human race, has been labeled Utopian."

            by xcave on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:18:39 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Why are you blaming PPP? (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            KingofSpades

            A lot of pollsters show races close at first and then moving away as the district/state's natural lean kicks in. That's not unique to PPP. I think you might be a little unfair towards PPP here.

            21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

            by sapelcovits on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:27:40 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Their last poll before (0+ / 0-)

            the recall races showed Holperin and Wirch ahead by double digits, which is what they ended up winning by.  They predicted Kapanke would get a spankin' and that the Olsen and Hopper recalls would be down to the wire, which they were.

            How The Doctor does redistricting: 'I'm going to need a SWAT team ready to mobilize, street-level maps covering all of Florida, a pot of coffee, twelve jammie dodgers and a fez.'

            by KingofSpades on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 08:57:59 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

      •  Undecideds obviously broke (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades

        And it was clear from the first poll that Marshall was not doing well and had a climb. It's completely unfair to even say that PPP put out a "bogus" poll.

        25, Male, CA-24, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

        by DrPhillips on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:57:16 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Extraordinary claims (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades, redrelic17, jncca

        Require extraordinary evidence — that's part of this site's operating credo. You haven't provided any extraordinary evidence at all. In fact, you've only provided extremely prosaic non-evidence — just a couple of outlier polls... and if you follow polling at all (which you do), then you know that outliers simply happen sometimes.

        On the flipside, you make the truly extraordinary claim that PPP is engaged in "shenanigans" and might have "ulterior motives." That is not only ugly, but absolutely unsupported by the meager evidence you've put forth.

        Political Director, Daily Kos

        by David Nir on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 08:03:25 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  elucas has selective memory on their polling (0+ / 0-)

          I don't mind elucas here at all, but if he's equating PPP with R2K, then he is outright slandering PPP.

          How The Doctor does redistricting: 'I'm going to need a SWAT team ready to mobilize, street-level maps covering all of Florida, a pot of coffee, twelve jammie dodgers and a fez.'

          by KingofSpades on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 08:59:26 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Blew it like WAA blew it on Holperin vs. Simac? (0+ / 0-)

        How The Doctor does redistricting: 'I'm going to need a SWAT team ready to mobilize, street-level maps covering all of Florida, a pot of coffee, twelve jammie dodgers and a fez.'

        by KingofSpades on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 09:24:24 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  So what can we expect out of FL redistricting? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bear83

    Do the redistricting amendments that were passed really change anything? Are the 2011 maps going to be any better than 2001's for the House or the state legislature?

    It's going to suck if we're locked out of Texas and Florida for another 10 years.

  •  Special elections tomorrow (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Christopher Walker

    All of the open seats in New York were held by Democrats? Weird. As always, excellent work Mr. Longtorso.

  •  Please give a new Kossack / Democratic candidate (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Christopher Walker, xcave, GradyDem

    a warm welcome to Daily Kos. We need to show him we're a force!

    To quote myself from early this morning.....

    We're about electing more Democrats, right? Right.

    So, please, take some time to read about Democrat (veteran and attorney) Wayne Powell. He's running against Eric Cantor. Sure, his candidacy is new and therefore still bit rough around the edges, but we can help, can't we?

    He posted his first diary last night and it was summarily ignored. I was the only person to even comment! What's that about?

    Yeah, we all have 9/11 fatigue. But…..this man is putting himself out there against Eric Cantor! Lets give him a once-over, at the very least.


    I'd love to see a few comments in his diary so he knows it's worth spending time here. If we ignore him, he'll ignore us. So please.....visit his first diary. Ask a few questions. And, you know....Kossacks, activate! Shape of.....a progressive powerhouse!

    The future isn't what it used to be. ~George Carlin
    48forEastAfrica - Donate to Oxfam

    by Eileen B on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 06:40:26 AM PDT

    •  Not trying to sound like a jerk (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      drhoosierdem

      or anything, but is this type of thing allowed on DKE?

      I didn't think it was.

      Or does this not fall under cheerleading for Dems? If it doesn't I need to understand exactly what cheerleading for one side or the other really means here.

      DKE! “Music speaks what cannot be expressed, soothes the mind and gives it rest, heals the heart and makes it whole, flows from heaven to the soul.” anonymous

      by aggou on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:03:52 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Gee, I'm sorry. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        xcave

        Obviously I'm insane for talking about a Democratic candidate in a diary about Democratic candidates.

        ....and, cheerleading? Did you even read my comment?
        ....and, "allowed on DKE"? WTF does that mean? Comments are censored here?

        Here's a tip: anything you feel the need to preface with "not trying to sound like a jerk" maybe isn't worth the energy it takes to type it.

        The future isn't what it used to be. ~George Carlin
        48forEastAfrica - Donate to Oxfam

        by Eileen B on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:10:40 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Yeah, (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          drhoosierdem

          this is a sub-site of DK, and the focus is different. Others can explain it better.

          We focus on horse-race politics and not on policy.

          DKE! “Music speaks what cannot be expressed, soothes the mind and gives it rest, heals the heart and makes it whole, flows from heaven to the soul.” anonymous

          by aggou on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:15:29 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Here's the missions statement. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          drhoosierdem

          DKE! “Music speaks what cannot be expressed, soothes the mind and gives it rest, heals the heart and makes it whole, flows from heaven to the soul.” anonymous

          by aggou on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:17:06 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I don't think Eileen's post (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Eileen B

            constituted cheer-leading. She's merely calling attention to a race where a Democratic candidate is running and where Democratic support would be useful. We focus on elections here, but we aren't obligated to hide the fact that we're Democrats.

            "Every daring attempt to make a great change in existing conditions, every lofty vision of new possibilities for the human race, has been labeled Utopian."

            by xcave on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:21:45 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  I never said you should, (0+ / 0-)

              but I just want to understand what the line is for cheerleading.

              I don't think I hide the fact that I'm a Republican either.

              DKE! “Music speaks what cannot be expressed, soothes the mind and gives it rest, heals the heart and makes it whole, flows from heaven to the soul.” anonymous

              by aggou on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:23:21 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  The one thing you are mistaken about (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                aggou, jncca

                is assuming that Democrats and Republicans have equal rights here. No one has to hide their affiliation, but we definitely get a lot more leeway for "cheerleading" than you do--and the reverse at RRH.

                21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

                by sapelcovits on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:28:53 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  I get that. (0+ / 0-)

                  No question, I guess ill just watch the comments for a while and see where others get called out here. I'm actually about to say something to someone over at RRH cause he's getting on my nerves.

                  DKE! “Music speaks what cannot be expressed, soothes the mind and gives it rest, heals the heart and makes it whole, flows from heaven to the soul.” anonymous

                  by aggou on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:32:16 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                •  It's not meant to be mean. (0+ / 0-)

                  It's just the way it is. I wouldn't go over to RRH advocating for Tammy Baldwin or Elizabeth Warren in my signature. Not that aggou has ever done anything like that here!

                  19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                  by ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:33:21 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Exactly (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    jncca

                    in fact, I will give aggou credit for at least being open about his affiliation. Back in SSP many people would go on the site and pooh-pooh Democratic chances in every race and it took a while before they openly admitted to being a Republican.

                    21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

                    by sapelcovits on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:36:26 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  Yeah that's not right. (0+ / 0-)

                      Don't hide your affiliation. I wouldn't want the Dem's to do that on RRH and I would hope no R's would do that here anymore.

                      DKE! “Music speaks what cannot be expressed, soothes the mind and gives it rest, heals the heart and makes it whole, flows from heaven to the soul.” anonymous

                      by aggou on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:41:13 AM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                  •  Wait, (0+ / 0-)

                    I did what? I don't think I've ever put anything like that in my signature.....

                    DKE! “Music speaks what cannot be expressed, soothes the mind and gives it rest, heals the heart and makes it whole, flows from heaven to the soul.” anonymous

                    by aggou on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:39:22 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  Oh I wasn't being sarcastic. (0+ / 0-)

                      I generally try not be. I'm saying you've been pretty respectful of the process here.

                      19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                      by ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:42:21 AM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  It's really not as hard as (0+ / 0-)

                        people say it is.  

                        A lot have left, both here and at RRH but I don't plan to. I like having a different opinion in the convos, because if you just eco one another, you don't really accomplish as much as you do if you have someone who views an issue differently, and can show you a different way to look at it that you otherwise wouldn't think of.

                        DKE! “Music speaks what cannot be expressed, soothes the mind and gives it rest, heals the heart and makes it whole, flows from heaven to the soul.” anonymous

                        by aggou on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:50:17 AM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

      •  Uh (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        aggou, xcave, Eileen B

        100% fine.

        Political Director, Daily Kos

        by David Nir on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 08:08:57 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  thanks for the pointer (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Eileen B

      I stopped reading the front page when the firing circle took over in the closing days of the 2008 campaign, so if something's going on up there it's good to have a pointer.

      A Republican is a person who says we need to rebuild Iraq but not New Orleans. - Temple Stark

      by Christopher Walker on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:11:57 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  The good news is that PA Dems have... (0+ / 0-)

    ...one unassailable incumbent, who can serve pretty much at will for the rest of his life.  The not-so-good news is that he's Bob Casey.  The problem isn't so much that he is anti-choice, it's that he seems (to this casual observer) to do very little to advance the interests of the party in our state, a fact that may be tied to his anti-choice views (such that he's reluctant to expend political capital on pro-choice candidates), or to the idea that he's successful as a Casey rather than as a Democrat.  

    The Rent Is Too Damn High Party feels that if you want to marry a shoe, I'll marry you. --Jimmy McMillan

    by Rich in PA on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 06:41:32 AM PDT

    •  but the good news he is very pro labor (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, Christopher Walker

      and has strong union support and credentials in that area.  That is very important in this day and age where unions are being being bashed and trashed.

      He is a reliable Democratic vote in the Senate.  His voting record is very good in that regard.

      •  Like I said, I can live with him. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wishingwell

        He's got one big flaw, but only one that I know of, policy-wise.  I just don't think he does anything to parlay his personal popularity into success for other Democrats, in a state where we need all the help we can get!  It's not his fault that other Democrats are so talentless, of course.

        The Rent Is Too Damn High Party feels that if you want to marry a shoe, I'll marry you. --Jimmy McMillan

        by Rich in PA on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:41:58 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  I mentioned this in a diary last night... (0+ / 0-)

    can we get Debbie Wasserman Schultz to weigh in on what the DNC's strategy will be for taking back the House? What teaparty members are vulnerable - who on our side needs our help...I hope she has a strategy. In lieu of that, maybe Howard Dean could weigh in on what our strategy should be.

  •  PA-Sen (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TofG, wishingwell, jncca

    if anyone recognizes Sam Rohrer's name, it's cause he was last seen getting utterly destroyed by Tom Corbett in the gubernatorial primary last year.

    21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

    by sapelcovits on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 06:46:34 AM PDT

  •  CA redistricting (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TofG

    Republicans have gotten the green light to gather signatures for a referendum to overturn the congressional maps.

    http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/...

    The effort to overturn the state senate maps is already underway. They have 90 days, so we'll know by mid-December.

    21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

    by sapelcovits on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 06:52:29 AM PDT

  •  promise me there will be (0+ / 0-)

    a key:

    "• AD-73: This one's in Manhattan. The candidates are both attorneys, Dan Quart (D/WF) and Paul Niehaus (R/IP). The previous incumbent in 2010 won 65-33."

    cos i'm so old i forgot what "R/IP" and "D/WF" even mean.
    but i know i like how they look...
    ----------------------

    Addington's perpwalk is the trailhead of accountability for this wound to our national psyche. 48forEastAfrica - Donate to Oxfam

    by greenbird on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 06:57:37 AM PDT

  •  Anyone want a laugh? Here ya go (0+ / 0-)

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/...

    Is Sarah Palin irrelevant in every possible way? You betcha!

    Mas eu tenho certeza que se eu não morrer, nada nessa vida vai me surpreender.

    by bozepravde15 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 06:58:50 AM PDT

  •  FYI Re AD-73 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Adam B

    This race is not as comfortable as indicated.  This is the most Republican AD in Manhattan, a seat held by Republicans until the previous Democratic Assemblyman won the seat.  Quart is a nice guy who has run a lackluster campaign and the Republican already had an operation geared up from 2010.  I'm hopeful we hold here but it would not be surprising if the R's grab this, especially if turnout is low.

    Fact are stubborn things. -John Adams

    by circlesnshadows on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:14:43 AM PDT

    •  And Niehaus is a solid guy (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      izengabe

      Okay, as previously noted, he was my roommate in law school.  But here's more:

      Niehaus praises Bing’s focus on education, echoing his opposition to the current teacher lay-off policy of “last in, first out,” and calling for better methods to retain the best teachers. He diverges on tax issues, denouncing Bing’s votes for increased taxes during his tenure.
      “Small businesses in the city face a combined city/state tax corporate rate of 15 and a half percent,” said Niehaus. “That is a ridiculous rate for small businesses to take on, and that simply has to be reduced.”
      He also advocates repealing the metropolitan commuter transportation mobility tax, which levies a 0.34 percent tax on payroll for many employers.
      “New York cannot sustain the financial path that it is on,” said Niehaus. “We have some very serious fiscal problems that are structural in nature and state government isn’t rejecting intelligent proposals, it’s not even debating how to fix things. We end up with Band-Aids from year to year, and the underlying structural problems, like state employee pensions, like Medicaid costs, like all of the fixed cost items that we have—they’re simply not being addressed.”

      He calls marriage equality “a great first step,” but also thinks that the state should stay out of all marriages he supports abortion rights, placing him in line on social issues with most of his potential constituents. Still, he faces an uphill battle in a Democratic district.
  •  Ugh (5+ / 0-)

    Had to get up at 345 AM to get to work today because of the Sherman Minton bridge closure. I am seriously debating spending the night in my office.

    SouthernINDem brought up the idea this weekend of President Obama coming to Louisville and giving a speech about the jobs plan, and highlight the Sherman Minton bridge as one of the things it would cover. He needs to do this ASAP.

     Over 80,000 people use the bridge daily and it has all of Louisville clogged up. People are walking and biking to work because it is faster than driving. Of course buses are a real mess, kids will likely have to start getting up at 5 and getting home between 6-7. They say people are moving 1 mile every 10 minutes. Some are saying 1 mile for every 15 minutes. It will not be fixed for at least 6 months.

    This is a golden political opportunity that only happens once in a lifetime.

    Hoosierdem's progressive candidate of the week: Alison Lundergan Grimes, candidate for Secretary of State of Kentucky. Yes, a Progressive in KENTUCKY! Learn more at. http://alison2011.com/

    by drhoosierdem on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:15:45 AM PDT

    •  Man (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      itskevin

      I really feel for you. No one should have to get up that early, except maybe people who host morning radio shows. Maybe you should become drbluegrassdem...

      21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

      by sapelcovits on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:31:33 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  WATN: Remember Krystal Ball? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    drhoosierdem, KingofSpades

    Of course! Well now you can see her on MSNBC as one of their on-call pundits.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:18:44 AM PDT

  •  Some interesting polling from NY-9 (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, LordMike

    I looked through the crosstabs of yesterday's PPP poll and this is what I found.

    69% of the voters regard Israel as very or somewhat important. Approval on Obama vis-a-vis Israel is: 30/54. If you break out the Jewish vote (which is a plurality in the district) 88% consider it important and Obama’s approval on Israel is 22/68. Jews favor Turner over Weperin 56/39. The district polls as 59% Democrat and 25% Republican. The lack of loyalty to the Democratic party is shown by 29% of Democratic crossover to 10% crossover for the Republicans.

  •  WA-Sen (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    arpear
    Freshman Republican state Sen. Michael Baumgartner, whose name only seemed to emerge as a possible candidate in the last couple of weeks, says he'll probably decide whether he'll challenge Sen. Maria Cantwell by October.

    Of course, this is in Politician Time, so what he really means is by MLK Day.

    21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), working in MA-08 for the summer, hopeless Swingnut

    by sapelcovits on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 07:53:48 AM PDT

  •  50 richest members of the 112th Congress. (0+ / 0-)

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 08:00:10 AM PDT

  •  The Kinde Durkee story… (0+ / 0-)

    …explains why I've had such a tough time getting paid by some of those campaigns.

    Teh stoopidTM, it hurts. Buy smart, union-printed, USA-made, signs, stickers, swag for everyone: DemSign.com.

    by DemSign on Mon Sep 12, 2011 at 08:58:30 AM PDT

  •  WA State Auditor Brian Sonntag announcement (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    arpear

    The News Tribune reported this morning that Brian Sonntag (D) will not seek re-election. Last spring Sonntag considered entering the governor's race. In July he announced that he would not. Today he announced that he will retire after finishing out his 5th term in his current office.

    Sonntag is a moderate/conservative Democrat who served as Pierce County Auditor before election to his current post.

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