Quick Update -
Only playoff spot in realistic doubt is AL Wildcard.
If Boston scores 18 runs a game going forward, they are in ...
If they give up 9 a game, they are out ...
As of today ...
Boston Wins WC - 80.33%
Tie - 10.46%
TB Wins WC - 9.21%
Updates tomorrow ...
Playing Baltimore rather than New York is a huge benefit to Boston. This assumes the Yankees actually are playing to win. This is a reasonible assumption, as baseball is not football. You want your players to play. Pitchers wan to pitch every fifth day. Tweaking the rotation will probably happen while Tampa Bay is playing the Blue Jays.