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Indiana and Kentucky both have elections this year. Kentucky is electing statewide officials and Indiana is electing mayors and city councils. Here is a preview of both states with ratings. The incumbent party in the race is listed first.

Kentucky

Governor: Gov. Steve Beshear (D), State Senate President David Williams (R), and Gatewood Galbraith (I)
David Williams has had this problem during the campaign: people don't like him. In fact, the more people get to know about him, the bigger Steve Beshear's lead gets. Williams had little money, so his father in law created a shadowy group called Restoring America to attack Beshear and dumped over $3 million to finance it. He tried to hide his identity, but relented when a judge in Frankfort pulled the ads for violation of Kentucky campaign finance laws. Williams claims there was no coordination. Judge for yourself. The "Bully from Burkesville" is going down hard. The only question is the margin. Some polls have suggested it could be by more than 30 points. Will his enormous defeat push someone in the Senate to oust him as President? Probably not likely since most GOP Senators are afraid of him. Here is the only question I have in the race: Fletcher lost by 18 points and carried 28 counties. How many will David Williams be left with? My guess is 15, all in Southern Kentucky, except Lewis County. SAFE DEMOCRAT

Attorney General: Jack Conway (D-Inc.) and Hopkins County Attorney Todd P'Pool (R)
Republicans really had a lot of hope here after Conway's 10 point loss to Rand Paul last year. P'Pool has attracted national Republicans campaigning for him, and has tried to run against President Obama, but the latest polling shows he has not made a dent in Conway, who in one poll, gets a higher number than Gov. Beshear. This should be an easy one for the home team. SAFE DEMOCRAT

Secretary of State: Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) and Bill Johnson (R)
The Democrat here beat appointed incumbent Elaine Walker in the primary and is the daughter of Jerry Lundergan, the former State Democratic Party Chairman. She is a young attractive candidate that has run some of the best ads of the season in this area. The Republican is on the extreme right. When he was running for the U.S. Senate in 2010 before he dropped out, he called President Obama "a threat to the nation" at Fancy Farm. His only claim to fame this year was complaining about homeless people voting, which even got a smackdown from Trey Grayson. Republicans clearly blew it here. Grimes led by about 10 in the latest poll with a great number undecided, but that was before her "grandmother" ad. She should win easily. SAFE DEMOCRAT

State Treasurer: Todd Hollenbach (D-Inc.) and Lexington Council Member K.C. Crosbie (R)
Republicans seemed to have had high hopes for Crosbie, but she has not impressed. Hollenbach, who has a famous name in Jefferson County has easily led in the race and there are few signs that will change. This will be a big margin for him. SAFE DEMOCRAT

State Auditor of Public Accounts: Former Beshear Chief of Staff Adam Edelen (D) and John Kemper (R)
If you are running for Auditor, having two bankruptcies are not an attractive trait, which was been driven home against Kemper. Edelen has taken advantage of his big finanicial edge and has expanded his lead. There are a number of undecided voters, but the Beshear landslide should easily put Edelen over the top. SAFE DEMOCRAT

State Commissioner of Agriculture: State Rep. James Comer (R) and Bob Farmer (D)
Bob Farmer is running some slick ads now and Comer is attacking Farmer for some remarks he made about Eastern Kentucky. Farmer benefits from his name, but is by far the weakest Democrat on the ticket, but it might not matter. This race tightened somewhat, but it is going to be hard for Comer to overcome the top of the ticket. Comer is touting being endorsed by the Courier-Journal, a paper that rarely endorses Republicans. This is the race to watch in Kentucky on election night. LEAN DEMOCRAT

Indiana

Let's face it, the Democratic Party in Indiana is pretty pathetic. No Senators, only three House seats, which may dwindle to 2 next time. Only 13 State Senate seats out of 50 and 40 State House seats out of 100, which may go down even more after redistricting. Plus, no statewide offices or control of Indianapolis. Add to that numerous local offices lost across the state in 2010, especially in Southern Indiana. Pretty sad. The only bright spot right now are some of the Democratic mayors. The big three this year are Indianapolis, Ft. Wayne, and Evansville. Either side could sweep all of them. If Republicans do this, the Democratic Party will be with less power than they have ever had in the state in a long time. The entire Democratic Party in Indiana had been under the thumb of Evan Bayh since 1988. Now they are on their own. You might think Evan Bayh might let loose of some of his $11 million he is still sitting on to help a few races here? You may notice a lot of Libertarian candidates. They have their own automatic line on the ballot.

Indianapolis Mayor: Mayor Greg Ballard (R) and Melina Kennedy (D) and Chris Bowen (L)
Greg Ballard is somewhat of an accidental mayor, having surprised Bart Peterson in 2007 after the property tax revolt in Marion County. Indianapolis covers nearly all of the county except Lawrence, Speedway, Beech Grove and Southport. This county in 2008 voted 64% for Obama but 57% for Daniels. It is amazing that in just 1996, Bob Dole won here, so the county moves more Democratic everyday as Republicans move to the suburbs. Democrats nominated Melina Kennedy, the deputy mayor under Peterson and the losing 2006 Democratic candidate for Prosecutor. This race may come down to turnout. The Carsons have a strong turnout operation in the black community, and there will be early voting on Sunday, a traditional day for black turnout after church. Kennedy also has won the endorsement of the Republican Indianapolis Star. There has been only one public poll, showing Ballard ahead 44-33. Early voting is twice what it was four years ago, which is a great sign for Kennedy, since early voting in Indiana favors Democrats. TOSSUP

Indianapolis City-County Council Control- R-15, D-13, L-1
Democrats need to gain two seats to regain the Council control. Members are still running in the old districts. The main place Democrats can gain is the four at-large seats which are current 3-1 Republican. Those seats almost always go 4-0 to the party that wins the mayor's race, but that was not the case in 2007. Ballard could win with no coattails. Democrats have a few other district seats they are actively pursuing as well. LEAN DEMOCRAT CONTROL (PICKUP)

Fort Wayne: Mayor Tom Henry (D) and Allen County Commissioner Liz Hughes (R)
Henry got elected four years before due in large part to Matt Kelty getting the GOP nomination and then getting indicted. When former Mayor Graham Richard annexed Aboite Township, the city of Ft. Wayne got a lot more Republican. The GOP thinks they can win here and Hughes is getting a lot of money. It comes down to the GOP lean of the city versus people generally approving of Henry. TOSSUP

Evansville: Vanderburgh County Treasurer Rick Davis (D) and Vanderburgh County Commissioner Lloyd Winnecke (R)
I am worried here. Evansville has done annexing as well and this has added more Republicans. Democrats here are divided, with two Democratic city councilmen endorsing Winnecke. Mayor Weinzapfel is also fairly silent here, but many think he is for Winnecke. Davis has serious problems and this is slipping away from him quickly. TOSSUP

Muncie: Mayor Sharon McShurley (R) and Rep. Dennis Tyler (D)
This is a race Democrats should win. McShurley won only after the GOP controlled county election board disqualified some Democratic ballots on technicalities. She has had to impose massive budget cuts and can't get along with the City Council. She is not popular. However, Delaware County Democrats are notoriously divided, so that could give her an opening. LEAN DEMOCRAT (PICKUP)

Anderson- Mayor Kris Ockoman (D) vs. former Mayor Kevin Smith (R) and Rob Jozwiak (L)
This is a rematch of the bitter 2007 election. Ockoman has had problems over his term, but will voters want to put Smith back in office? TOSSUP

New Castle- John Nipp (R) vs. Greg York (D) and Debra Baker (I)
GOP Mayor Jim Small is not running for reelection, and Democrats hope to regain the mayor's where they held it for most of the last 60 years. TOSSUP

Terre Haute- Mayor Duke Bennett (R) vs. Fred Nation (D)
Bennett won a surprise victory in 2007, defeating Democrat Kevin Burke. Then he had to fight off potential Hatch Act violations. He now faces former Evan Bayh aide Fred Nation. This is a strongly Democratic city, but will voters throw out Bennett? TOSSUP

West Lafayette- Mayor John Dennis (R) vs. John Polles (D)
Those of you in Indiana should recognize Polles, who blew the HD-26 open seat in 2008 in a district where President Obama won nearly 60%. But this is Tippecanoe County, where the local Democratic Party's ability to win elections is pathetic, losing every office in 2008. However, West Lafayette is competitive, so this will be too. TOSSUP

South Bend- Pete Buttigeig (D) vs. Wayne Curry (R) vs. Patrick Farrell (L)
This is an easy one for Buttigeig, who ran for State Treasurer last year. He is very young and is a potential rising star for Democrats. SAFE DEMOCRAT

Mishawaka- Mayor Dave Wood (R) vs. Rep. Craig Fry (D)
Rep. Fry is running here and it is not going so well for him. If he does lose, he will have to run in a more GOP friendly state House district. Mishawaka is not nearly as Democratic as next door South Bend. LEAN REPUBLICAN

Columbus- Priscilla Scalf (D) vs. Kristen Brown (R)
Longtime Democratic Mayor Fred Armstrong is retiring in Republican leaning Columbus. Scalf has his backing as well as several Republicans. But will it be enough? But either way, Columbus will have its first female mayor. TOSSUP

Jasper- Former County Commissioner John Burger (D) vs. Terry Seitz (R) vs. Jeff Steffen (I)
This is a relatively small city, but I picked it since it is an open seat. Will Democrats hold it or are Republicans continuing to rise in Southern Indiana. This race and Jeffersonville will help to answer that question this year. TOSSUP

New Albany: City Councilman Jeff Gahan (D), D.M.  Bagshaw (R), Jack Messer (I), Thomas Keister (L)
These races in New Albany and Jeffersonville may have one problem with turnout: the Sherman Minton Bridge is closed and commuting to Louisville has moved from a short drive to a one to two hour nightmare to get across the Kennedy Bridge or 2nd Street Bridge. While Floyd County is moved to the Republicans, New Albany has continued to shrink. Doug England managed to defeat popular former Sheriff Randy Hubbard four years ago. England switched to running for the city council this year, but his hand-picked successor lost the primary to City Councilman Jeff Gahan. The England people quickly got behind Gahan. There is a four way race here, with a Republican, a Libertarian, and a Democratic City Councilman Jeff Messer, who was suspended from the New Albany Police Department for racist remarks. Republicans only appointed their candidate after no GOP candidate filed in the primary. The only Republican hope is a divided vote, but it isn't likely to happen. SAFE DEMOCRAT

Jeffersonville: Mayor Tom Galligan (D), County Commissioner Mike Moore (R), and former Surveyor Bob Isgrigg (L)
Galligan easily won a four way primary and now faces Moore, who switched parties to run as a Republican when he saw he couldn't win the Democratic primary. Galligan supports a canal in Jeffersonville. There was a big annexation which added more Republicans to the city, but this is still fairly Democratic. After the drubbing Clark County Democrats took in 2010, they will look to city and town elections to make a comeback. Isgrigg is courting the Tea Party, so the right vote may split. LIKELY DEMOCRAT

Originally posted to SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:00 PM PDT.

Also republished by Community Spotlight.

Poll

Of the Mayor's races in Indianapolis, Ft. Wayne and Evansville, how many will Democrats win?

20%16 votes
20%16 votes
43%35 votes
16%13 votes

| 80 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (25+ / 0-)

    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

    by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:00:04 PM PDT

  •  Times like these (7+ / 0-)

    make me pine for the days I lived in Louisville. I think we will squeak one out in FT. Wayne, but lose Indy and Evansville. We need some serious reforms in the state party. I'm not necessarly for ousting Parker, but I am not saying no either. It is hard to believe that not long ago Barack Obama won our state, we had a 5-4 D delegation and Evan Bayh. Oh how times have changed. I sincerely hope either Gregg or Donnelly can win, we need a win bad.

    The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

    by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:30:15 PM PDT

    •  I hear Evansville (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bythesea, Setsuna Mudo

      might already be gone. Evan Bayh really screwed us bad in 2010.

      "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

      by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:32:35 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  About Bayh (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Setsuna Mudo

        If he had ran, he would have been reelected.
        Ellsworth would have run and defeated Buschon.
        Van Haaften would have run and won.
        Dieg would have ran for reelection to the Senate instead of losing the House race to Wendy McNamara.

        Nice job Evan!

        "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

        by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:34:33 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Yep (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Wary, Setsuna Mudo

        I know some close Weinzapfel supporters going Republican. Had Bayh run then we would have 4 seats in Congress, and probably could have kept a few more state house seats.

        The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

        by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:35:02 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I would really have liked (0+ / 0-)

          to have picked up Indy, but it may not be possible this year. I have met Melina Kennedy and liked her, but then I remember that she was the only 2006 Democrat to lose in Marion County, so she might not have been the best candidate in hindsight.

          "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

          by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:37:38 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  She was the only one (0+ / 0-)

            to take the challenge, so we really didn't have much of a choice. I'm really not that familiar to know which candidates would have been more electable, but I'm sure there are some. Off topic but any word on potential challengers in the state house. Would either Van Haaften or Dieg run for it?

            The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

            by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:45:20 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  I was told that (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              drhoosierdem

              Dieg will run against McNamara a few months ago by a Democratic state legislator. He also told me that Sue Ellsperman is target #1 for Democrats and that a school chief from Spencer County is the preferred Dem candidate.

              As far as Kennedy, I think it was more that the field was cleared very early for her, and all other Dems saw the writing on the wall. Hopefully Ballard will have no coattails and we can regain the City County Council.

              "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

              by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:53:00 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

      •  You may be correct (0+ / 0-)

        Davis I believe has done a decent job of playing the outsider and Winnecke is definately the insider, I have seen calls for a tea partiers to vote split ticket, Davis for mayor and the rest republican, and also Ows could play a factor being Winnecke is well connected to 1%ers. With that said who ever 1% like thats who wins .

        •  One thing is (0+ / 0-)

          that I believe Davis signaled he wanted to run even when people thought Weinzapfel was running for another term. Some establishment Dems never forgave him for that.

          "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

          by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:03:51 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I agree with that but you assume (0+ / 0-)

            people will vote with the establishment. Still lots of anger on the stadium issues, MCcurdy issues, which are tied to Winnecke far more than Davis. Lots of folks not happy with the establishment dems so Davis not getting those endorsements may actually benefit him.  Winnecke is in the drivers seat though.

    •  I have to say the IN Democratic party (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      optimusprime, Setsuna Mudo

      needs some serious reform. They seemed to be on a upswing now they are just dead in the water. With money and the right leadership this state should be much more competitive.

      -1.63/ -1.49 "Speaking truth to power" (with snark of course)!

      by dopper0189 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:53:08 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  You are correct (0+ / 0-)

        For the last twenty years, it has been completely owned by Evan Bayh. It really still is with Dan Parker as chair. He has only allowed his people to rise up and the potential young leaders did not develop.

        Pete Buttigeig is a new leader emerging with his near certain win in South Bend. I had hoped Sam Locke would run for Congress in the 9th, but he just had a new baby and declined. I hope he thinks about running in HD-72 against Ed Clere though. Codie Ross ran a very strong campaign in Northeast Indiana in 2010, and could be a good future leader in that area too.

        "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

        by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:56:35 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Locke now lives in Indy (0+ / 0-)

          He is floating a potential challenge to Parker from what I have heard.

          The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

          by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:02:16 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I did not know that (0+ / 0-)

            thanks for the update. How much of a chance do think he would have with the Central Committee if it came to a vote. I know the Harrison County Central Committee would advise Wayne Vance and Jeanette Hackman to cast our two votes for Sam Locke.

            The state party is a mess. They had two people, Mark Lee and Jonathan Hall who you could call or e-mail and they would get back to you almost instantly. Not the case today, except I am told Jordan Smeltzer is helpful, but has a lot of responsibilities on her.

            "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

            by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:08:48 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Yeah, (0+ / 0-)

              Locke posted on facebook that he was upset with Parker, and that it might be time for new leadership. I do not know if he meant himself or not. He also updated his current city as Indy, which I am not sure why he moved. I have no idea if he would stand a chance to be quite honest with you, I would root for him if he did run though.  

              The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

              by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:14:31 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

        •  Pete Buttigeig is someone I intend to watch and (0+ / 0-)

          support even though he isn't in my district.

  •  Apparently Bill Clinton did a (5+ / 0-)

    telephone message for Kennedy.

    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:56:26 PM PDT

  •  Is Rep. Craig Fry a Democrat? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SouthernINDem, Setsuna Mudo

    He is listed as a Republican.

    19, male, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -7.88, -4.26, With all the crap Scooter is doing, I should move, but that would be one less vote to end the FitzWalkerstanian police state by recalling Scott Walker!!!!

    by WisJohn on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 07:57:58 PM PDT

  •  My prediction for 2012, Indiana dems will get one (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TofG, Setsuna Mudo

    Since 1988, generally Indiana has been electing 1 democrat statewide while going for republicans in the other races. 2008 was Obama, 2004 was Bayh, 2000 O'Bannon, and so on. In 2010, it was the first time in a while where both senators and the governor of Indiana were all republicans. So in my opinion, democrats will either win the open governor's seat, or the likely open senate race, but only one of them.

    •  I hope so (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      417els

      but do most people realize that Democrats control zero statewide offices today as you noted? Democrats have not won single downballot race since Jeff Modisett since 1996.

      Democrats lost all the downballot races in 2006 and 2008 by extremely narrow margins. The incomptance of the state party contributed to this. The GOP put a lot of money behind them. Democrats left them on their own.

      "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

      by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:17:25 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  thats why i said you only get 1 including the (0+ / 0-)

        down the ballot races. Personally, I think it will John Gregg.

        •  John Gregg (0+ / 0-)

          will try to put together the Frank O'Bannon winning coalition of 1996 more than the Obama 2008 win, but he should try to combine them in my opinion. He can do well in Southern Indiana, Indy, NW Indiana, and the small union cities. But he should also try to get the big vote from Indy and NW Indiana too.

          "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

          by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:38:37 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I wonder whom he will choose (0+ / 0-)

            as his running mate?

            20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

            by ndrwmls10 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:52:27 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Good Question (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              libnewsie

              I wouldn't be suprised if he picked a woman from the Indianapolis area.  My choice, if he could convince her to do it, would be Joanne Sanders, the outgoing Democratic Council leader.  She declined to stand for another term to devote more time to her job with a trade union, but maybe could be talked into it.  Former Lake County Sheriff Roy Dominquez gets mentioned from time to time as well for higher office.

    •  I don't think these "patterns" mean as much (0+ / 0-)

      as people often think. If you look at enough states, you'll eventually some sort of "pattern" in one of them. I can't think of a reason for someone to regularly vote for exactly one democrat for statewide office, nor for them to all pick the same democrat.

  •  On the bright side (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV, Setsuna Mudo

    we may be able to win Bloomington and Gary.

    The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

    by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:44:41 PM PDT

    •  Don't forget Kokomo (3+ / 0-)

      Greg Goodnight could be a future shining star.

      "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

      by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:46:18 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  That was my try at a joke btw. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      IndianaProgressive, Setsuna Mudo

      Seriously though Karen Freeman-Wilson winning will be a positive. She will be IN's first black female Mayor.

      The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

      by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:46:59 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I know but I realized (0+ / 0-)

        I did not mention Kokomo in my diary. Freeman-Wilson should make a good mayor but she was not a great pick for AG when Modisett resigned. Evidence to that: she lost when Frank O'Bannon won big.

        "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

        by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:50:54 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Electorally it was probably (0+ / 0-)

          a bad choice, but symbolically it was nice to see and heck she may have been decent for her short term. How old is she? Maybe she can primary Pete Visclosky.

          20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

          by ndrwmls10 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:54:43 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  We think (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            ndrwmls10

            alike! She is in her early 50's I think. She actually wasn't even the state's first AA female AG.

            The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

            by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:59:37 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  The minority vote increased (0+ / 0-)

              in the district. One can hope, right?

              20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

              by ndrwmls10 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:01:08 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Well (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                ndrwmls10

                she isn't going to run with just a year on the job. This was her third Mayoral race in a row, she has to prove herself a bit first. Maybe in 2014 though. Or maybe we can run someone else now. I would really like to get rid of Visclosky.  

                The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

                by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:03:20 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Someone with a strong base. (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  drhoosierdem

                  20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                  by ndrwmls10 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:04:47 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  They would have to have a very strong base (0+ / 0-)

                    Visclosky is known as the boss of the area and has always intimidated would be challengers from running against him. The area is very machine driven, and him leading the machine makes it hard for someone to get any traction. It would be nice to see someone try though. His corruption and voting record do not belong. I know the area is used to corruption, but still he is way too conservative for that district.

                    The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

                    by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:13:34 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                •  Well, no. (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  drhoosierdem

                  I meant further down the line.

                  20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                  by ndrwmls10 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:05:23 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

              •  The growing minority vote in NW Indiana (0+ / 0-)

                is the Hispanic community, especially in East Chicago.

                "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

                by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:09:38 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  I meant from redistricting. (0+ / 0-)

                  The push East, along the lake. It wasn't significant, but it was something. At least from what I can remember.

                  20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                  by ndrwmls10 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:13:32 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                •  Which makes it all the more odd that (0+ / 0-)

                  Visclosky voted against the Dream Act.

                  The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

                  by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:16:30 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Viscolsky is lazy too (2+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    drhoosierdem, jncca

                    I was an intern for an Indiana member several years ago and I was told Visclosky did not like to get up early and he could have no appointments before 10:30 in the morning.

                    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

                    by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:20:03 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  Never heard that. (5+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      jncca, sapelcovits, bythesea, WisJohn, 417els

                      I can believe anything of him though. He really has no business being a Congressman. I have heard he is awful at constituent service and everything. I mean if you are corrupt, don't vote the right way, and don't even bring home the bacon then what use are you?

                      The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

                      by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:25:08 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  A sitting duck. (0+ / 0-)

                        20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                        by ndrwmls10 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:30:31 PM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                      •  He is one of the (0+ / 0-)

                        many former staffers that won a seat. This is a machine seat, so an opponent will be a difficult pick to find.

                        "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

                        by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:40:57 PM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

        •  Yeah (0+ / 0-)

          Being from Gary hurts a lot statewide I think. She was a decent AG though as far as on the job goes. Should Visclosky ever step down (he won't, but I can dream) then she might be a good successor for him.

          The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

          by drhoosierdem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:58:35 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Despite "The Region" (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            drhoosierdem

            being heavily Democratic, voting even without a Democratic primary would have some racial polarization. If an African American could win the seat, I would put my money on Lake County Prosecutor Bernard Carter. Hammond Mayor Tom McDermott controls the Lake County Democratic Party, so he would be the favorite if he ran.

            "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

            by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:06:20 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  I don't know... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      drhoosierdem

      I think we may loose Bloomington, forever! It's kind of ridiculous that Republicans didn't put up a nominee for Mayor. They are going to have some serious trouble holding on to their only seat.

      20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 08:56:27 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  If there was a viable (0+ / 0-)

      person running against Rudy Clay in Gary, I'd vote for them, even if they were a Republican!

  •  The current Democratic leadership (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV

    under Dan Parker seems to only take for most county parties. Harrison County with a population of less then 40k was assessed $900 for convention delegates. If any of you wen to the 2010 convention, it was a disaster. Delegates were told they needed to return promptly by 1:00 after leaving caucsuses only shortly after noon. Many delegates skpped lunch, fearing to miss the ballot for Secretary of State, which did not happen until after 4:00 PM. Results were not until after nearly 6:00, when many delegates that traveled 2-3 hours have headed home. Most delegates learned of the Secretary of State result later by text message.

    For this, a small county gets $900 taken for this, plus the costs to the delegates that spent their own money to come to Indianapolis that might have went to the local party for local candidates. This could have added several thousand local Democratic mailers instead of giving the state party this money. In some close local elections, the state taking this money could have been used to keep more local Democrats in office.

    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

    by SouthernINDem on Sat Nov 05, 2011 at 09:32:06 PM PDT

  •  I'm glad KY's Governor is a Democrat.. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    djMikulec

    but KY government has plenty of room for improvement - Penny pinching examples - 1. Some useful positions in state government are going unfilled as current workers retire. 2. KY has decided to have a hunting season for Sandhill Cranes. It's the only Eastern state to do so. I expect the reason is to scrape up a bit of revenue through hunting permits. 3. If you mistakenly overpay your state income tax, good luck on getting a refund. I filed an amended return more than a year ago and am still waiting for my refund.

  •  Muncie IN Mayoral Election (0+ / 0-)

    I live in Muncie and I'd bet on McShurley. The Democratic majority on the city council here are seen as being as obstructionist as the Republicans in Congress. Even if Tyler wins, he may face a Republican-majority city council. Also, a recent annexation to the city added what is likely to be a Republican-majority neighborhood.

  •  The Democratic party in IN (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, libnewsie

    I have almost as much contempt for much of the Indiana Democratic establishment as I have for the national Republicans.  The hubris and arrogance, lack of quality leadership, and perspective "what's in it for me" are ridiculous.  Parker's performance has been poor at best; Bayh could have shown some real leadership - much like his father - but didn't; and people like Fry and Bauer are good excuses to vote Republican.  Fry's run for Mayor in Mishawaka has been characterized by advertisements so misleading even I couldn't vote for him.  Much of the party apparatus has been dominated by old-timers like Butch Morgan, county chair for St. Joe County (South Bend) who have been looking out for their own interests.  (Morgan just recently was forced to resign over allegations that he played a role in submitting forged signatures to get Clinton and Obama's names on the 2008 primary ballot.)  I am cautiously optimistic about Buttigeig but concerned that he will be co-opted by the machine, and he did win the primary with the support of the machine over two other solid candidates that were outsiders.  There is virtually no "bench" of strong candidates to run for higher office.  Donnolley is a nice guy but not exactly charismatic and not exactly what I'm looking for in terms of being a progressive voice - although he would be infinitely better than someone like Pence!

    Sorry for the rant, but until the people currently running Indiana's Democratic party either retire or are forced out, there will be very little electoral success here.

  •  Great rundown, one request, please do not take it (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV, Setsuna Mudo

    wrong but instead of safe Democrat can you write safe Democratic that is our name for our party Democrat is what Republicans call us to annoy the shit out of us which they do very well.

    •  no that's only (0+ / 0-)

      when they say "democrat party"

      you're basically complaining about us calling someone a democrat instead of a democratic

      18, D, new CA-18 (home) new CA-13 (college). Economic liberal, social libertarian, fiscal conservative. Put your age and CD here :) -.5.38, -3.23

      by jncca on Sun Nov 06, 2011 at 11:00:45 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Democrat is a noun (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        libnewsie

           Democratic is an adjective. I am a Democrat; the party of which I am a member is the Democratic Party.

            You could say that a seat is safe for the Democrat, or it is safe Democratic. Or you could be like us Californians and use a bunch of acronyms and abbreviations. I am part of DP/SFV, which is part of the LACDP and the CDP.

            KY AG is Safe Dem.  Mishawaka is Lean GOP, etc...

        Diehard Swingnut, disgruntled Democrat, age 53, new CA-30

        by Zack from the SFV on Sun Nov 06, 2011 at 12:04:33 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  I hate that! (0+ / 0-)

      We should start calling them the "republic party".

      19, male, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -7.88, -4.26, With all the crap Scooter is doing, I should move, but that would be one less vote to end the FitzWalkerstanian police state by recalling Scott Walker!!!!

      by WisJohn on Sun Nov 06, 2011 at 03:09:58 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Cool! (5+ / 0-)

    Is Louisville the most liberal in Kentucky? Is it tolerant of liberal beliefs? I was looking at a school there, so I was curious.

    I love reading these type of diaries, even if they have no effect on me (Live in Oklahoma).

    I guess I am a real political junkie.

    •  You better (5+ / 0-)

      believe it. Louisville is a very liberal place. Though it has a lower PVI, it is not reachable for Republicans. The fact that Greg Fischer won election as Mayor shows that. You also get John Yarmuth as a Congressman, who is one of the best Representative in the country in my view.

      Are you thinking of University of Louisville? That was my school. Also you should check out the Daily Kos Elections page a lot if you want to follow races throughout the country.

      The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

      by drhoosierdem on Sun Nov 06, 2011 at 09:46:22 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  You'd love Louisville! (6+ / 0-)

      Come visit and see!  The waterfront, the Muhammad Ali Museum, the new basketball arena, and downtown development get most of the hype, but don't miss Bardstown Road.  I'd heard about Greenwich Village and its charms for years, and when I finally visited, I looked around and said, "For God's sake, I'm on Bardstown Road."  Lots of cool specialty shops, bars, pubs, music, windows decorated with pictures of John Lennon and Jimmi Hendrix, people walking around all hours of the day and night.  

      And, oh yeah, Keep Louisville Weird. :)

      •  Thinking about it! (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Setsuna Mudo

        When I get some extra money saved up, that's what I intend to do. :) What about attitudes toward gay people? With it being in Kentucky, I wasn't sure!

      •  LOL. I first misread your last sentence. (0+ / 0-)

        As: "People walking around on all fours day and night."

        I'm a Hoosier from Indpls. and southwest IN....thought, WHOA! I've never seen that part of Louisville.  However, it would add some weirdness.

        "Evil is a lack of empathy, a total incapacity to feel with their fellow man." - Capt. Gilbert,Psychiatrist, at the end of Nuremberg trials.

        by 417els on Sun Nov 06, 2011 at 06:48:47 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  I still gotta ask... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, kefauver

    What the f*** was on Bayh's brain when he made that decision to not run at the last minute.  He had the tools to dispatch Coats and had the support, but he chickened out(?).  Has he suddenly grown so selfish that he let the party decline while he goes and gets a steady job at Fox?  It reminds me of Montana, where Max Baucus for ages has been the nexus of the MT Democratic Party.  Without him, Dems there would be in poor shape.  Only recently has his machine been rivaled (by Schweitzer).  Of course, unlike Bayh, Baucus never cut and run like a coward.

    For that reason, I hope John Gregg wins in 2012, it may help give the party a new jolt of life.  

    'An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind.' -Mahatma Gandhi

    by KingofSpades on Sun Nov 06, 2011 at 05:08:08 PM PST

    •  The (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, libnewsie, bumiputera

      last minute backing out was not a last minute decision at all. It was long planned out. He did not want Mike Pence or Mitch Daniels to run. Either easily could have had he given advanced notice. But he dropped out when it was too late for either to successfully get in the primary. I know Pence was pissed after. Doing what he did kept the GOP field weak. Though it ended up not helping much in the end anyway.  

      The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

      by drhoosierdem on Sun Nov 06, 2011 at 07:22:01 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Kept the Dem field hobbled, too. (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        libnewsie, kefauver

        Can't stand Evan Bayh!

        Twenty years from now, you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn't do than by the ones you did do. Throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe harbor. --Mark Twain

        by Debby on Sun Nov 06, 2011 at 09:05:47 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  No it didn't (0+ / 0-)

          No other candidates ran so dems were able to pick a rising star Congressman at the ballot convention. It was a smart move on Bayh's part. Not saying the retirement was, but the way he did it was.

          The ABC's of voting in Kentucky A- Abramson B- Beshear C- Conway D- Democrats E- Edelen F- Farmer G- Grimes H- Hollenbach

          by drhoosierdem on Mon Nov 07, 2011 at 04:55:50 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  Evan has not suddenly grown selfish. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Debby, libnewsie

      He has always been selfish.

      He is the polar opposite of his father in every way except his surname.

      My belief is he dropped out to avoid damning revelations that were on the way to being exposed.  Details of his and Susan's waltzing cheek to cheek with big health insurers and big Pharma - for starters.  

      His attempts to undermine the new administration with his Blue Dog Leadership shenanigans was shameful and ended up souring a lot of Democrats in Indiana as well as elsewhere.

      Perhaps it was pure spite and retribution for not being selected as VP. Perhaps his $11 million war chest is being hoarded to finance a future run for office as a Republican.

      His last name and his frozen Mona Lisa smile could only get him so far; beyond that, there's no THERE there.  It took a long time for many Indiana Democrats to accept what we'd really known from the start...Evan is the antithesis of his father.

      I'm not certain, after all the fleshing out which probably would have occurred, that he would have beaten Coats.

      "Evil is a lack of empathy, a total incapacity to feel with their fellow man." - Capt. Gilbert,Psychiatrist, at the end of Nuremberg trials.

      by 417els on Sun Nov 06, 2011 at 07:53:22 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Evan Byah (0+ / 0-)

        was a reasonably solid Democrat for Indiana. I'd be shocked if he ever switches parties. And he couldn't win a Republican Primary, anyways.

        •  Evan is capable of morphing into anything that's (0+ / 0-)

          to his advantage - including a politician who could run in a Republican primary and win.  He could woo the GOP with his "stepping away from the Democratic Abyss", repenting and seeing The Light.  Actually, he'd be a big catch for them.

          However, I agree with you that it's unlikely he would switch parties.  At this time, anyway.  But he is not above doing it; there are no principles involved, only calculation.

          "Evil is a lack of empathy, a total incapacity to feel with their fellow man." - Capt. Gilbert,Psychiatrist, at the end of Nuremberg trials.

          by 417els on Mon Nov 07, 2011 at 01:28:45 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  Can't Wait to Vote Tomorrow! (0+ / 0-)

    Me and the mrs.'s will be voting straight Democratic ticket in Lexington tomorrow!

    Will Rogers was right.

    by kefauver on Mon Nov 07, 2011 at 06:53:28 AM PST

  •  KY-Treasurer is a 3-way dance.. (0+ / 0-)

    I was kinda hoping the Rep could go down so far that the Lib could finish second, but Beshear has Big Coattails, or is it Williams is so bad....

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