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Someone mentioned in the comments the other day that it's high time the House increased in size; it's become increasingly unrepresentative and unaccountable. I've done a series of Canada-style diaries (and plan to continue it), where the size of a district is shrunk to a mere 110,000, bringing the house to 2,806 members. While that would be great, it may be too much too fast. So I thought I'd try just doubling the size of the House to 870 members. Under this system, Wyoming, Vermont and North Dakota would still only get 1 district; Alaska would be the first state to have two.

I thought I'd start things off with New Mexico and Idaho.

New Mexico

New Mexico get 5 districts.

District 1 (Blue)
VAP: 37.1 White, 53.2 Hispanic
67.1 Obama, 61.8 average Dem performace

Albuquerque. Probably would be a better district for Eric Griego than the current NM-01. Safe D

District 2 (Green)
VAP: 33.9 White, 32.7 Hispanic, 30.9 Native
65.7 Obama, 62.2 Dem

Practically every Native American hub (sorry Mescalero Apaches!) and Santa Fe. Current Rep. Ben R. Luján would probably want to run in this district, but he may have stiff competition from a Native politician. Safe D

District 3 (Purple)
VAP: 58.3 White, 33.0 Hispanic
54.1 Obama, 48.1 Dem

Remainders of Albuquerque and Santa Fe County, Rio Rancho and San Miguel County. Possibly a better district for Marty Chavez than the current NM-01 Tossup/Tilt D?

District 4 (Red)
VAP: 43 White, 52.4 Hispanic
58 Obama, 54.9 Dem

Z-shaped district from Los Alamos all the way down to Las Cruces. Likely D

District 5 (Yellow)
VAP: 53.8 White, 40.1 Hispanic
37.9 Obama, 37 Dem

Clovis, Roswell and Hobbs. A good district for Steve Pearce. Safe R

So instead of the current 2-1, this creates a 3-1-1, with the tossup favoring Democrats.


Idaho gets 4 districts. Only 2 counties split! I'm pretty happy.

District 1 (Blue)
VAP: 88.5 White, 5.9 Hispanic
46.8 Obama

Funnily enough, Ada County alone is almost perfect for a district under Doubling. Raúl Labrador lives in this district but would probably rather run in District 2 or 3 under this map. A decent Democrat by Idaho's standards could win in this district without too much difficulty. Lean D?

District 2 (Green)
VAP: 77.9 White, 18.4 Hispanic
29.8 Obama

Dominated by Nampa and Twin Falls. Safe R

District 3 (Purple)
VAP: 92.3 White
37.7 Obama

The Panhandle. Safe R

District 4 (Red)
VAP: 87.2 White, 9 Hispanic
31.1 Obama

Dominated by Pocatello and Idaho Falls. Mike Simpson lives here and would be even safer than in his current district. Safe R

So from 0-2 to 1?-3.

Hope you like the concept!


Would my ID-01 elect a Democrat?

25%12 votes
18%9 votes
56%27 votes

| 48 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (9+ / 0-)

    23, Solid Liberal Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut

    by HoosierD42 on Tue Dec 06, 2011 at 08:38:44 AM PST

  •  Get to PA! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    WisJohn, HoosierD42

    I'm an impatient man.  If we have a Democrat in Idaho, I'm guessing we'll see a Republican in Massachusetts.  Looking forward to seeing the results.

    •  Haha I already (0+ / 0-)

      Have several small states in the can, as well as Indiana. And I just started working on Illinois. Maybe PA after!

      23, Solid Liberal Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut

      by HoosierD42 on Tue Dec 06, 2011 at 10:11:56 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Do Wisconsin soon. (0+ / 0-)

      Keep WI Rapids, Stevens Piont, and Wausau together. Also, Eau Claire and La Crosse should stay together as well.

      19, male, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -7.88, -4.26, With all the crap Scooter is doing, I should move, but that would be one less vote to end the FitzWalkerstanian police state by recalling Scott Walker!!!!

      by WisJohn on Tue Dec 06, 2011 at 10:13:35 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Minnick would be a good candidate for your ID-01 (0+ / 0-)

    If your plan went into action, I think that someone like Walt Minnick (who Labrador replaced) would have a decent shot at getting elected again.  Problem is, that Minnick would still be a blue dog.  I know that Ada County is bluer than it was ten years ago, but it's still very conservative.  

    On a separate note, I agree with you that the House should probably double in size.  600k plus per representative (especially out West) just doesn't seem to be a proper ratio for adequate democratic representation.  I doubt that it will happen, though, because of the increased cost.

  •  Your Ada Co. District (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen, blue yotie, KingofSpades

    would elect a Dem 70-80% of the time, depending mainly on the candidate.  The problem there is that the three Boise Dems in the State Senate are good progressives as are most of the seven in the State House.  I'd love to to have Nicole LeFavour or Elliott Werk, but I'd say our best bets would be State Reps. Elfreda Higgins or Phyllis King.  I doubt Boise Mayor Dave Bieter would be our best candidate. And there's certainly no need for a Walt Minnick (though if given a liberal district, I'm fairly certain he'd be a pretty good progressive, which is what he seemed like the six or so times I met him).

    -8.88, -4.21 Why does the most beautiful place in the world (Idaho Panhandle) have to get dumped with thousands of Cali GOP doofuses?

    by Whitty on Tue Dec 06, 2011 at 10:10:06 AM PST

    •  You're confident that (0+ / 0-)

      There'd be a lot of ticket-splitters and/or Congress-but-not-Presidency voters in the district?  Because 47% Obama is, a priori, pretty rough.  But iirc there are more Democrats in the Idaho legislature than districts with a D+ CPVI.  (Or something.)

      26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

      by Xenocrypt on Tue Dec 06, 2011 at 10:23:27 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Well, except for last year (0+ / 0-)

        Democrats could usually rely on winning Ada county in gubernatorial elections, at least.

        23, Solid Liberal Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut

        by HoosierD42 on Tue Dec 06, 2011 at 10:28:48 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  It's possible that (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen

          it's easier in general for a vote to split a ticket for Governor and President than to split a ticket for Congress and President.  Of course, it does happen, especially when the Congressional race isn't heavily contested, at least in what I've looked at.

          26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

          by Xenocrypt on Tue Dec 06, 2011 at 10:32:57 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  Do California! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen

    106 seats!

    lol just messing around, I loaded up Texas and set it to 72 seats, looked at the state and said "no"

    On a serious note thanks for the hard work

  •  Cool. I wanna play! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen

    New Mexico in 5:

    District 1 (Green)
    VAP: 35.3 White, 30.9 Hispanic, 30.9 Native. 60.2% Obama
    Native areas and other rural northwestern counties. No major cities. Probably nowhere for a non-Native Democrat to build a political base.
    District 2 (Yellow)
    VAP: 36.9 White, 53.3 Hispanic. 67.1% Obama
    Hispanic-majority Albuquerque district.
    District 3 (Pink)
    VAP: 60.8 White, 31.0 Hispanic. 58.3% Obama
    Santa Fe and eastern (white) Albuquerque and the northern suburbs of Albuquerque. It's a community of interest because it's the richest part of New Mexico.
    District 4 (Blue)
    VAP: 39.2 White, 55.5 Hispanic. 56.3% Obama
    Las Cruces-based Hispanic majority district.
    District 5 (Brown)
    VAP: 52.9 White, 41.1 Hispanic. 41.5% Obama
    The Texas part of New Mexico.

    •  oh yeah? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      HoosierD42, dufffbeer


      1st, 2nd, and 5th all majority Hispanic, 3rd is minority majority, 31.3% Native, 22% Hispanic, all at least 54% Obama.

      The 4th is under 40% Obama.

      I changed by not changing at all, small town predicts my fate, perhaps that's what no one wants to see. -6.38, -4.15

      by James Allen on Wed Dec 07, 2011 at 01:30:06 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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