Skip to main content

Cross-posted from

The absolutely gorgeous state of Washington is set to gain a Congressional district in 2013 based on the Census of 2010.

Up until 2010, Republicans only held three of nine seats, and had a very tenuous hold on the 8th. The retirement of centrist Brian Baird allowed for State Rep Jaime Herrera Beutler to win the 3rd district, leaving Washington's delegation at 5 Ds and 4 Rs.

Because Washington has a bipartisan commission, it is likely that we will end up with a 5-4-1 (D-R-Swing) map. However, as a celebratory start to Christmas Break, I wanted to see how far I could stretch the limits and I set out to draw a 7-3 map.

Could I do it?

Find out below the fold.



A few other pics

Here's a pic I took of Snoqualmie Falls that was featured on Dave Reichert's website for a long time :).


Incumbent: Norm Dicks (D-Bremerton), but he would not run here. Maybe DKE favorite Marko Liias could run here.
Stats: Old district: 43.8% Rossi/D+9. New district: 37.4% Rossi/D+15.
Rating: Safe D


Incumbent: Rick Larsen (D-Everett)
Stats: Old district: 49.5% Rossi/D+3. New district: 53.7% Rossi/R+1
Rating: Toss up, simply because it's hard to knock off a "moderate" incumbent.


Incumbent: Jaime Herrera Beutler (R-Camas)
Stats: Old seat: 52.6% Rossi/EVEN. New seat: 54.8% Rossi/R+2.
Rating: Likely R

Incumbent: Doc Hastings (R-Pasco)
Stats: Old seat: 66.4% Rossi/R+13. New seat: 56.3% Rossi/R+3
Rating: Safe R.

Incumbent: Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-Spokane)
Stats: Old seat: 58.6% Rossi/R+7. New seat: 58.3% Rossi/R+7
Rating: Safe R

Incumbent: Open. Norm Dicks (D-Bremerton) would run here.
Stats: Old seat: 47% Rossi/D+5. New seat: 53.7% Rossi/R+2 or R+3. While this seat and WA-02 are the exact same Rossi %, Rossi underperformed here and over-performed in WA-02.
Rating: Leans R, because Dicks is quite liberal and a 6 point shift in PVI for a very liberal Congressman may be hard to handle.

Incumbent: Jim McDermott (D-Seattle)
Stats/Rating not necessary.


Incumbent: Sheriff Dave Reichert (R-Auburn)
Stats: Old seat: 50.8% Rossi/D+3. New seat: 52.5% Rossi/D+1.
Rating: Likely R with Reichert, Tilts R when open because of its history as a socially liberal but fiscally conservative suburban seat, like PA-06 and IL-10.

Incumbent: Adam Smith (D-Tacoma)
Stats: Old seat: 47.2% Rossi/D+5. New seat: 38% Rossi/D+14.
Rating: Safe D.

Incumbent: Open (new seat). I would highly encourage State Senator Michael Baumgartner to move and run here.
Stats: 55.8% Rossi/R+3.
Rating: Likely R

There we have it, a 6-3-1 map of Washington State that should turn into a 7-3 if the Republicans beat Norm Dicks and Rick Larsen.

Originally posted to IllinoyedR on Fri Dec 16, 2011 at 07:20 PM PST.

Also republished by PacNW Kossacks.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site