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...or how to remove the worst NJ Congressman.  The one who replaced Marge Roukema.

Since it seems that redistricting here in New Jersey may pit Congressmen Scott Garrett (R-05) of Wantage and Steve Rothman (D-09) of Fair Lawn against each other, I have decided to draw a fair fight district for them where each keeps roughly 50% of their old constituents.  I actually like this outcome because the other possible outcome (Leonard Lance vs. Rush Holt) would risk losing one of the best Congressmen or (the more likely outcome) removing a sophomore Republican backbencher.  Under a Rothman vs. Garrett map, Dems get a solid shot of beating the most offensive member of the NJ delegation.

More below the fold.

Here's my map for the new NJ-05.


It should be noted that I split no township, city, or borough.

Deviation from ideal population: -17
Approx. Number of Rothman's old constituents in the new 5th: ~360,000
Approx. Number of Garrett's old constituents in the new 5th: ~370,000

54.3% Obama / 45.7% McCain
54.3% Dem / 45.7% GOP

Although I think that this is one point to the left of what the commission may adopt, I think it is fair on two levels.  It is both competitive and it has each of the combined incumbents keeping roughly half of their constituents.

As can be seen, the bulk of this new district is in Bergen County.  This is where the real battle will be fought.  It'll also be a great next test for the rejuvenated Bergen County Democratic Party after their victories last month.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    banjolele, ChadmanFL, sapelcovits

    'It's a troublesome world. All the people who're in it are troubled with troubles almost every minute. You ought to be thankful, a whole heaping lot, for the places and people you're lucky you're not.' - Dr. Seuss

    by KingofSpades on Mon Dec 19, 2011 at 11:06:59 PM PST

  •  This is by far (4+ / 0-)

    the best possible outcome for Democrats in New Jersey redistricting; Garrett is unique among the New Jersey congressional Republicans in that he has NO redeeming qualities. All the others have some degree of moderation or common sense, even if they are faux-moderates or just occasionally vote with Democrats on minor issues. Garrett is one of the most conservative members of Congress as a whole, and I can't see him having the advantage in a 54% Obama district (or a 52 or 53% district, for that matter.)

    Not only that, but I imagine Republicans would be more willing to oust him than they would want to put Lance, Frelinghuysen, Smith, LoBiondo or whoever at risk.

    British guy with a big interest in US politics.

    by General Goose on Tue Dec 20, 2011 at 04:36:36 AM PST

  •  "Fair" (0+ / 0-)

    A true "fair fight" district would be a 51-52% Obama seat, in my opinion. That would be a toss up. This leans Democratic.

    •  53% would be fairest (0+ / 0-)

      There's a 16% gap between Rothman and Garrett's seat (61% vs. 45% O).  Split the difference and you get 53%.  I say that in my diary.

      'It's a troublesome world. All the people who're in it are troubled with troubles almost every minute. You ought to be thankful, a whole heaping lot, for the places and people you're lucky you're not.' - Dr. Seuss

      by KingofSpades on Tue Dec 20, 2011 at 08:00:38 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  I glad you mentioned Marge Roukema. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Roukema had a 100% Republican voting record on tax issues, but because she was too moderate, the party ignored her seniority and denied her a committee chair.  Chris Shays never got a chairmanship, either.  Yet, despite being treated so shabbily, GOP moderates almost never fail to fall into line on key votes when the leadership puts pressure on them.  They must be masochists.

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