Okay, I'll probably be wrong but I can't resist:
Jan. 13: Washington D.C. primary gives Dean some press coverage as almost no one else is running besides Sharpton I think.
Jan. 19: Dean squeaks out a win in Iowa, Geppy a close 2nd, Kerry a close 3rd, Edwards 4th or something like that. What's interesting is given the nature of the caucus, how do these numbers move. Stories abound about how cell phones might change the nature of the caucuses. Whatever the result, the basic nature of the press post mortem will be Dean barely holds on, Gephart's done 'cause he didn't win, looks to New Hampshire and Gen. Clark.
Jan. 27: Dean wins New Hampshire but not by huge margin, Clark a tight 2nd, Kerry a bit farther back at 3rd with perhaps a late surge from Edwards or Lieberman.
Feb. 3 (Mini Tuesday): Clark wins or is 2nd in Arizona, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and South Carolina. Gep has last gasp in Missouri- maybe he doesn't even win and drops out here). Dean takes severe hit on Mini Tuesday. Press coverage very favorable to Clark and probably Lieberman as he grabs a 2nd and a couple of 3rds here. Edwards does okay with maybe a 2nd and a 3rd. Kerry does poorly, faces calls to quit but stubbornly carries on, supporters quickly leave. Sharpton gets 2nd-4th in South Caroline and makes Terry MacAuliffe go into a cold sweat.
Feb. 7: MICHIGAN CAUCUS! My home state will dump a wounded Gephart for the populist insurgent Dean. Clark does well, perhaps Detroiters give Sharpton and Braun a blip but not much. My gut says Edwards could get 3rd.
Feb. 7: Washington- Kucinich wins! Just kidding but who knows with Seattle! Actually, probably a Dean pickup here. At this point the race has the become more clearly Clark vs. Dean with Lieberman, Edwards, and maybe even Kerry all refusing to quit. The rest are still in it for the long haul, except Gephart who has to call it quits if not already gone- who will he endorse?!
Feb. 8 & 10: Maine and Tennessee. Maine goes to Dean, Tennessee to Clark with Lieberman and/or Edwards showing well.
Feb. 17: Wisconsin goes Dean 1st, Clark 2nd, Kucinich 3rd.
The following races further show the 2 man race between Dean and Clark with a 3rd dingleberry (most likely Lieberman- Kerry's campaign staff will have left for Clark if he never dropped out and Edwards will have made a deal with one or both candidates for the Attorney General slot) hanging on, hoping for a stumble or some other miracle...
Feb. 24: Idaho and Virginia.
Feb. 27: Utah.
March 3: SUPER TUESDAY! IT'S OVER! Clark wins California, Texas and Georgia. Dean wins Minnesota, Massachusetts, and Ohio. New York a toss up. Clark becomes media favorite to win. Delegate count tight but party falls in line behind Clark when Clinton endorses.
Where am I wrong? Does Clark pull off the upset in New Hampshire? What surpises are coming our way this year?