The Beltway conventional wisdom:
If Obama is on the rebound, someone forgot to tell swing voters in the most important up-for-grabs states in 2012.
The idea is that while Obama may be up nationally, he's lagging in the battleground states. But is that true? It's not. You'll see why below.
More state results below the fold.
Colorado doesn't have any data since early December, when Obama led narrowly. Nothing recent in Iowa, either, when the race edged in Obama's favor, or New Hampshire, where Obama was closing a wide deficit near the end of last year.
So look, if the argument is that it's going to be a close race and that the battleground states will be actual battlegrounds, then no argument. This election isn't in the bag. But the notion that Obama is lagging is patently absurd, and not backed up by the data.
As things currently stand, Obama has the narrow edge in most of these states, and within striking distance of the rest. Sure, it would be nice if he was over 50 percent in states adding up to 270 electoral votes, but that was never going to happen.
But now's the time to sit back and watch the Republicans annihilate each other, stockpile material for our own attacks, and get ready to hit them the second Romney emerges as the official nominee. And if a miracle happens and Romney's not the nominee? Even better.