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Leading Off:

ME-Sen: Well ugh. Late on Monday evening, independent former Gov. Angus King, as expected, threw his hat into the Senate ring. This seriously screws up Democratic hopes of capturing Olympia Snowe's seat, given that King generally seems to have more appeal on the left than the right. He endorsed both John Kerry and Barack Obama, for instance... and he also endorsed the most likely Democratic nominee in the Senate race, Rep. Chellie Pingree, when she ran for re-election last cycle.

This isn't to say Pingree can't win should she get in—quite the contrary. In a tease of a poll expected out on Tuesday, Public Policy Polling says that they show Pingree leading all Republicans "by a good margin," and they also suggest that this applies matchups which include King. But PPP nonetheless calls King "competitive," and though he hasn't held office in a decade, he still has an incredibly impressive 62-44 favorability rating. PPP's numbers also confirm that King draws more Democratic votes than Republican votes; in a nightmare scenario, he and Pingree would split the left-hand side of the electorate and allow a Republican to win—something that happened in Maine's 2010 gubernatorial race.

Of course, if King pledges to caucus with Democrats and winds up winning, that wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. And it may even turn out that Pingree will now decide not to run—her response to King's announcement was only to say that she'll "continue thinking very carefully" about the race. It's possible that the fix is in, and that power-brokers are encouraging Pingree to stand down in exchange for a promise from King to organize with the Dems in the Senate. The filing deadline is in just ten days, though, so we'll know soon one way or the other.

P.S. The state's other prominent independent, attorney and 2010 gubernatorial candidate Eliot Cutler, says he won't run, but predictably, he's throwing his support to King.

Senate:

MA-Sen, OH-Sen, VA-Sen, NC-Gov: A ton of new polling just got blasted out over the weekend—far too much to cram into the digest. Fortunately, David Jarman wraps it all up in one handy post, looking at three new Senate polls (in Massachusetts, Ohio, and Virginia), and one gubernatorial survey (of the Democratic primary in North Carolina).

WI-Sen: This is pretty funny. In his final act as George W. Bush's Secretary of Health and Human Services, ex-Gov. Tommy Thompson granted a waiver to then-Gov. Mitt Romney that allowed him to establish the universal healthcare program in the state of Massachusetts now known as Romneycare—aka the forerunner to Obamacare, aka that government program which makes veins pop out on the necks of conservatives like few other things.

Gubernatorial:

NJ-Gov: Newark Star-Ledger reported Jarrett Renshaw takes a very comprehensive look at the field of Democrats who might challenge Gov. Chris Christie next year. The eight names he looks at: state Sen. Richard Codey, state Sen. Barbara Buono, Assembly Majority Leader Lou Greenwald, Newark Mayor Cory Booker, EPA chief Lisa Jackson, state Senate President Stephen Sweeney, Rep. Frank Pallone, and state Democratic Party chair John Wisniewski.

House:

AZ-09: There aren't very many female Air Force pilots, either retired or on active duty, so it seems a bit remarkable that a second one is now running for Congress in Arizona, Wendy Rogers. (A couple of districts over, Martha McSally is seeking the GOP nomination in the AZ-08 special election.) Rogers joins three other Republicans in the race: Chandler City Councilman Martin Sepulveda, Maricopa County Supervisor Don Stapley, and Arizona Air National Guardsman Travis Grantham.

CA-21: It's about a week old, but this is still an interesting link. The Fresno Bee's John Ellis reports that former state Sen. Dean Florez, the "please save us!" candidate many Democrats have long been hoping would enter the race for the open 21st CD, recently met with former Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante to discuss the contest. Bustamante, you'll recall, began expressing interest in running here late last month, and in the wake of this meeting, he said he's "coordinating" with Florez. Ellis takes this all to mean that Florez won't make a bid and that it's "all about Bustamante and whether he's in or out." We'll know very soon, though, since California's filing deadline is on Friday.

CO-05: Robert Blaha, the wealthy businessman trying to challenge Rep. Doug Lamborn from the right (no mean feat!) in the Republican primary, is already on the air with TV and radio ads introducing himself to voters. In fact, according to Kurtis Lee at the Denver Post, he spent $75K last month and plans to spend the same this month as well. Colorado's primary isn't until June 26, so if Blaha keeps ramping up, he should have some pretty good name rec by the time election day rolls around.

FL-06: This is a little old, but a fourth Republican has jumped into the race for this red-leaning open seat along Florida's northeastern coast, Jacksonville City Councilman Richard Clark. He joins state Rep. Frank Costello, former steakhouse CEO Craig Miller, and attorney Ron DeSantis.

FL-19: Lee County Commissioner Tammy Hall, one of a large group of Republicans vying to replace Rep. Connie Mack, is dropping out of the race. You can keep tabs on the rest of the field with our handy Florida cheat sheet.

IL-10: There's nothing newsy in this piece, but it's a pretty good compare-and-contrast profile of all four Democrats seeking the nomination to run against GOP freshman Bob Dold in the 10th District.

MD-06: Bill Clinton is endorsing financier John Delaney in the Democratic primary, and at this point, you don't even have to guess why—you just automatically know that Delaney must have been a big supporter of Hillary Clinton's. Indeed, according to the Washington Post, Delaney raised over $800,000 for HRC's presidential run. Meanwhile, Delaney's opponent for the nomination, state Sen. Rob Garagiola, picked up the support of the Sierra Club.

ME-01: While we're waiting on Chellie Pingree to make up her mind, there's still some motion elsewhere in the ocean. Peter Chandler, the chief-of-staff to Dem Rep. Mike Michaud, is apparently looking at running in the 1st CD; though Michaud of course represents ME-02, Chandler lives in ME-01. Meanwhile, though Pingree still hasn't formally announced a run for Senate, she took the time to say that she thinks her daughter, former state House Speaker Hannah Pingree, is "very seriously thinking about" running to replace her in the House—should she make the jump, of course. (Otherwise, we'd have a really weird Francis H. Powers vs. Francis M. Powers situation on our hands.)

MI-03: This off-the-radar race went from "nowhere" to "huh, that might be interesting" to "okay, we've scored a really good get" in almost no time flat. Ex-state Rep. and former judge Steve Pestka announced on Monday that he'd take on dystopian freshman GOPer Justin Amash in the 3rd CD, less than a week after we first learned he was considering the race. Though Pestka hasn't served in office for some time, he's well-connected, has a good profile for this red-leaning district, and may, from what I understand, be wealthy. Pestka will first face Trevor Thomas, a gay rights activist and former staffer for ex-Gov. Jennifer Granholm, in the Democratic primary. Apparently in anticipation of Pestka's entry, Thomas rolled out endorsements Granholm and former LG John Cherry, though given that he used to work for her, would have been somewhat surprising had she not offered Thomas her backing.

NC-08: Physician John Whitley is up with his first ad of the election season, which I believe may also make him the first candidate to take to the airwaves in the Republican primary (which is on May 8). In the spot, he touts his credentials as a "conservative" and a "Christian," and his support for "repeal[ing] Obamacare" and "traditional marriage values." A spokesman says via email: "It’s a full Fox News and News 14 buy on every cable system in the 8th district. It’s about a $35,000 buy over the next two weeks."

NJ-05: This is freaking ridiculous. Just a day before he was set to announce, political commentator and former Frank Lautenberg chief-of-staff Jim McQueeny pulled the plug on his candidacy. Democrats had seemed pretty excited about him entering the race, and at least one actual candidate, Passaic County Freeholder Terry Duffy, was ready to defer to McQueeny in the event he joined the contest. But after all that, McQueeny cited "professional responsibilities" as his reason for declining—though of course I've gotta ask, did he forget about these professional responsibilities when he started telling everyone he would run? Argh, whatever.

In any event, that leaves Duffy, Teaneck deputy mayor Adam Gussen, and 30-year-old Marine Corps. vet Jason Castle (who just joined the race) still vying for the Democratic nod to take on GOP Rep. Scott Garrett.

NV-02: It looks like Republican Mark Amodei, who won the GOP nomination in last year's special election via a disputed party committee selection process rather than a primary, won't face a primary this year either. The two most likely challengers, former Assemblywoman Sharron Angle and Navy veteran Kirk Lippold, don't sound eager to take him on. Angle says only that "I’m keeping my options open" and will decide "in the near future." Lippold is even further from making a bid, saying "I don’t intend to run," but that if Amodei runs into any ethical or legal troubles, "I reserve the right to change my mind."

NY-13: Ah, sweet vindication. Local Republicans went semi-nuts with both glee and anger late last week when ex-Rep. Anthony Weiner reached out to the media to say that he informed the FBI back in 2010 that a local rabbi, Yoshiyahu Yosef Pinto, complained to him that Republican Mike Grimm, then running for Congress on Staten Island, was extorting contributions from his congregants. (This is another angle to the major story about the same congregation the New York Times broke back in January.) Indeed, ex-Rep. Guy Molinari even bellowed that Weiner was a "pervert and proven liar"... but the only problem is that the FBI has confirmed Weiner's version of events—and then some!

Indeed, the AP managed to get a source to confirm that not only did Weiner bring these allegations to them, but that the feds are also "gathering information and considering whether or not to open a formal investigation into fundraising for Grimm by Pinto's followers and associates." Of course, don't forget that Grimm himself is a former FBI agent, which makes this prospect even more delicious.

NY-21: Republican banker Bob Dieterich says he plans to run against third-term Dem Rep. Paul Tonko in whatever becomes of the 21st Congressional District, but this isn't an auspicious sign for his nascent campaign. Even though he's staging a formal announcement on Wednesday, an item in the Daily Gazette of Schenectady reports: "Dieterich wasn’t immediately available for comment."

OH-09: Ohio's congressional primaries are on Tuesday, and the race between Democratic Reps. Marcy Kaptur and Dennis Kucinich has now reached maximal hostility, so I thought this was a pretty good observation by a local strategist:

In one Kaptur radio ad that Kucinich’s campaign has called despicable and dishonest, she hits her rival for praising Jimmy Dimora, a former county commissioner now on trial in Ohio for racketeering. Kucinich’s campaign pointed out that he routinely honors constituents from his district — hundreds per year — by entering their names in the congressional record.

"You have to ask yourself whether this race is a lot closer than anybody thinks, or whether Kaptur’s people smell blood and understand that she could put him away," said Bill Burges, a Cleveland political consultant.

Burges pointed out that Kaptur must have data to back her decision to use such an odd line of attack against a politician with such obvious vulnerabilities; Kucinich is one of the most liberal members of the House, and has faced criticism for focusing too much on his national profile.

The Cleveland Plain-Dealer points out that the ad (which you can listen to at the link) targets a resolution honoring Dimora for his birthday over a decade ago, years before he faced criminal charges, so yeah, it does seem like a rather extreme attack. In any event, Kaptur has the geographic advantage in this race, and observers (myself included) have generally figured her to be favorite. But one thing we haven't seen is a single poll here, so perhaps the contest is more up-for-grabs than we've imagined.

Apart from this Dimora spot, there've been a flurry of last-minute ads from both sides. Kucinich finally seems to have gone on TV with this positive ad touting his work on behalf of "the people," while Kaptur has an ad featuring a World War II veteran praising her efforts to support vets. Kaptur also has another radio ad comparing Kucinich to Art Modell and LeBron James, two famous Clevelanders who bailed on the state—something Kaptur says Kucinich is still contemplating, given his recent refusal to rule out a second run for Congress this year in Washington state should he lose on Tuesday.

P.S. We will, of course, be liveblogging the Ohio primaries tonight, as well as all of the other Super Tuesday contests, so please join us when polls close on Tuesday evening.

PA-12: It looks like Rep. Jason Altmire has survived the legal challenge to his petitions by fellow Rep. Mark Critz—for now. A quickie post in the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette says that following a court ruling, Altmire is now just 150 over the 1,000-signature mark he needed to stay on the ballot, though you've gotta check out Altmire's wildly over-the-top language in his press release. Sample: "Mark Critz has lowered himself to tactics usually reserved for elections to high school prom king." I didn't realize that in Pennsylvania, "prom king" was usually decided at the appellate court level. Meanwhile, Critz's camp tells PoliticsPA that they're "currently exploring" their "legal options" (i.e., the possibility of an appeal).

TX-27: This seems like an incredibly tough row to hoe: Bastrop County Judge Ronnie McDonald is stepping down from the bench to consider a possible run for Congress in the redrawn 27th. McDonald is a Democrat, though, and the redrawn 27th plummeted from a district Barack Obama won by 53-46 in 2008 to one he lost by a huge 40-59 margin, so a Dem win here would be nothing short of stunning. If anything, I'd expect some action on the GOP side, given how fluky freshman Blake Farenthold's win was in 2010, plus the fact that he only represents about half of the constituents of the revised 27th. That kind of situation makes you think that some more established Republican office-holders might like to try making TX-27 their new home.

WA-06: We've got our first entrant in the race to replace Norm Dicks, who retired on Friday after 36 years in the House. And it's not surprise, but rather the guy who immediately got tagged "frontrunner" before the ink was dry on the Dicks announcement: state Sen. Derek Kilmer. Kilmer, 38, in his second term in Kitsap Co.'s swingy LD-26, knows how to win tough races; he was re-elected pretty easily in 2010 at the same time as several other Dem freshmen in the Seattle 'burbs were losing much friendlier seats.

Kilmer may not have the race to himself: The Olympian got three other Dems on the record about it over the weekend, though they all sound ambivalent. DINO-ish state Sen. Tim Sheldon says he'll "leave the door open," Tacoma mayor Marilyn Strickland said it's "something I will take into consideration," and retiring state Auditor Brian Sonntag said it's "certainly worth taking a look at." Two Democrats did decline, though: Pierce Co. Prosecutor Mark Lindquist took to Facebook to say he won't make a bid, and state Sen. Christine Rolfes from Bainbridge Island also said she wouldn't run.

As for Republicans, state Rep. Jan Angel (the only GOP state legislator anywhere in WA-06) said she "hasn't yet had time to think about" it, while both of the credible GOPers running in WA-10, Dick Muri and Stan Flemming (neither of whom live in WA-06 in any event), said they're staying in the 10th. (David Jarman)

Grab Bag:

Arkansas & Nebraska (PDF): Filing deadlines in Arkansas and Nebraska passed on March 1, and you can find complete candidate lists for each state at the respective links. You'll also want to check out the Race Tracker Wiki, which not only lists actual candidates but everyone who considered and declined as well.

Redistricting Roundup:

WA Redistricting: Jeffmd has crunched the numbers, and now we have 2008 presidential election results and gubernatorial results (from the Chris Gregoire-Dino Rossi race) for Washington's new congressional districts. Below are all the numbers in handy table form:

District Obama
(new)
McCain
(new)
Obama
(old)
McCain
(old)
Gregoire
(new)
Rossi
(new)
WA-01 56 42 62 36 50 50
WA-02 60 38 56 42 56 44
WA-03 51 47 52 46 47 53
WA-04 39 59 40 58 34 66
WA-05 46 51 46 52 46 54
WA-06 57 41 57 41 53 47
WA-07 80 18 84 15 76 24
WA-08 51 47 57 42 45 55
WA-09 69 30 59 40 63 37
WA-10 57 41 -- -- 54 45
Remember, you can find all of our pres-by-CD numbers here.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 05:00 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Probably the most important indirect election news (13+ / 0-)
    The U.S. economy is improving faster than economists had expected. They now foresee slightly stronger growth and hiring than they did two months earlier — trends that would help President Barack Obama's re-election hopes.

    Those are among the findings of an Associated Press survey late last month of leading economists. The economists think the unemployment rate will fall from its current 8.3 percent to 8 percent by Election Day. That's better than their 8.4 percent estimate when surveyed in late December.

    http://www.google.com/...

    "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

    by Paleo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 05:07:20 AM PST

  •  After King saw how he screwed Maine by letting the (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    salmo, ChadmanFL

    GOP extremist in as governor it's amazing he seems to want to do so again.

    •  That was Cutler. (10+ / 0-)

      "Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." --M. L. King "You can't fix stupid" --Ron White -6.00, -5.18

      by zenbassoon on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 05:28:11 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  That wasn't Cutler's fault (6+ / 0-)

      He came in a close second.  If you want to blame anyone, blame the Democrat Mitchell, who came in a distant third.

      "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

      by Paleo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:14:29 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I blame Cutler. (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ChadmanFL, TofG

        Fact is, there's a certain percentage of votes that's going to go to the Dem, any Dem. The same isn't true of an Independent. He knew going in that he was going to split the vote.

        "Gussie, a glutton for punishment, stared at himself in the mirror."

        by GussieFN on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:45:28 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  If Mitchell had accepted the writing on the wall.. (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Odysseus, sulthernao, HoosierD42

          And wanted to put the goal of Maine having a left-wing governor first, she wouldn't have thrown the kitchen sink at Cutler in the last week of the campaign. Days after Cutler opened up a polling lead over now-Gov. LePage, she called in a favor from President Clinton and had her loudly endorse and campaign for her - the weekend before Election Day.

          I totally blame Mitchell. Maine has a strong tradition of competitive independent politicians, Cutler had every right to run, and he turned out to be a much stronger candidate than Libby Mitchell.

          Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

          by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:52:26 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Sure, but even if she (0+ / 0-)

            hadn't thrown the kitchen sink, she was guaranteed a certain percentage of the vote. That's just the fact. Culter entered the race knowing that.

            He knew:

            1) There was going to be a Democratic candidate. Strong or weak. (As it turns out, incredibly weak.)
            2) That candidate had a non-trivial 'floor' of votes.

            Of course he had every right to run. And yeah, he was a much stronger candidate. But the result of his running was utterly predictable--almost inevitable, given what a strong candidate he was.

            "Gussie, a glutton for punishment, stared at himself in the mirror."

            by GussieFN on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:05:52 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Why wouldn't he enter? (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Odysseus

              If Mitchell hadn't decided to take Cutler down with her, he would be sitting in Blaine House right now.

              Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

              by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:11:05 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Because (0+ / 0-)

                of course the Dem was gonna go for his throat. He didn't count on that?

                The fact is that we knew, inevitably, there was going to be a Dem against a Rep. We had a chance with that, because even though Mitchell was a godawful campaigner, LePage was LePage.

                So that was the default, that race D v. R. It was carved in stone.

                Cutler entered, and ran a better race than Mitchell, etc., etc.--but he fucked with the basic contours of the race in a such a way that led directly to LePage's victory. He entered the race knowing that what, 15% of the vote was baked-in for Mitchell?

                "Gussie, a glutton for punishment, stared at himself in the mirror."

                by GussieFN on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:37:43 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  It's not a 2-party system in Maine (5+ / 0-)

                  it just isn't.  And it leads to much increased voter turnout.  It's why Maine and Minnesota routinely are 2 of the top 3 or 4 states in voter turnout.

                  You're trying to protect the Democratic party at the expense of Democracy with this argument.

                  "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                  by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:48:15 AM PST

                  [ Parent ]

        •  Libby Mitchell lost it on her own. (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          gabjoh, Odysseus, TofG

          She finished in third place, well behind the other two candidates.

          If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.

          by HairyTrueMan on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:57:25 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Yellow and blue make green. (0+ / 0-)

            Sure. Nobody's saying she didn't.

            I'm just saying that LePage didn't win it on his own. If Cutler hadn't run, he very possibly would've lost. (Though by no means necessarily, of course.)

            "Gussie, a glutton for punishment, stared at himself in the mirror."

            by GussieFN on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:10:45 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  If Mitchell hadn't run (0+ / 0-)

              Cutler very well would have won.

              See how easy that is?

              "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

              by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:22:01 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  If Mitchell had dropped out in October... (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                R30A

                As Dirigo Blue, among others, suggested, Cutler probably would have won by double digits.

                Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

                by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:23:18 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  She could have dropped out (0+ / 0-)

                  The day before the election and probably made a difference, it was only 10,000 votes.  But your point is (very) well taken.

                  "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                  by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:36:58 AM PST

                  [ Parent ]

              •  Sure, but here in reality, (0+ / 0-)

                everyone understood that there would be a Democrat running against a Republican. I'm sorry if you don't like that. I don't like it much, myself. But it's the truth. She wasn't going to drop out. Do I wish it were otherwise? Maybe so--but that doesn't matter.

                So given that she wasn't going drop out ...

                "Gussie, a glutton for punishment, stared at himself in the mirror."

                by GussieFN on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:40:59 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

            •  The point is that Cutler did better than her. (0+ / 0-)

              And not just a little bit better; He beat her by 12 points. And by October, it was pretty clear that she had no chance to win. But Cutler was surging and core Democratic voters just weren't being pragmatic.

              And now they don anti-LePage bumper stickers that say 63%, the percentage of voters who didn't vote for LePage.

              But 75% of the people didn't vote for Mitchell.

              If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.

              by HairyTrueMan on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:34:12 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Sure. He was a much better candidate. (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                IM

                Maybe core Democrats weren't being pragmatic ... except they were being completely predictable. And not recognizing that is utterly not pragmatic. It's ridiculous.

                Cutler entered a race in which to win he had to either a) convince the Democratic candidate to drop out or b) make up a deficit of 15%. He rolled the dice, and came pretty damn close--but he failed. That's on him.

                Now, Mitchell's crappy campaign is on her. And LePage is on him. But it's not like Cutler is some innocent party who couldn't possibly expect base voters to vote like ... base voters.

                "Gussie, a glutton for punishment, stared at himself in the mirror."

                by GussieFN on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:43:41 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  Fair enough... (0+ / 0-)

                  Democrats chose their candidate and stuck with her 'till the bitter end. I remember that LePage and Mitchell were in a close contest until some nonsense emerged about her calling George W. Bush an international terrorist... or something like that.

                  If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.

                  by HairyTrueMan on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:08:16 AM PST

                  [ Parent ]

  •  democrats should stand down in Maine (9+ / 0-)

    Let King win, he will never caucus with republicans. If its a competitive 3 way we end up with a tea party senator with under 40% of the vote.
    My guess is Collins may retire in 2014 so Pingree could take a senate seat then. The senate control may come down to this seat.

     

  •  CA-10: (0+ / 0-)

    Link

    This is a really amazing biographical article on Jose Hernandez. Highly recommended.

    (-7.62, -6.31), Blood type "O", Democratic-socialist, social anarchist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

    by Setsuna Mudo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 05:17:07 AM PST

  •  WI-Gov: Republican State Senator (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Christopher Walker, KingofSpades

    Dale Schultz touts Kathleen Falks record as Public Intervenor.

    http://cognidissidence.blogspot.com/...

    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 05:24:05 AM PST

  •  That's the last thing Maine needs. Cunning Angus (5+ / 0-)

    Living proof that hard work can raise your apparent skill level.

    by SpamNunn on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 05:28:38 AM PST

  •  You people get to avoid my obnoxiousness... (28+ / 0-)

    ...for most of this week!

    Today is the day, "T minus zero" as child number three enters the world.  This is my last comment before we leave for the hospital.  We'll have our iPads there and I'll likely check in periodically, but probably just to read as I'm not likely to have time to post comments.

    I might wake up tomorrow morning having no idea what happened on Super Tuesday!

    But I'll be back by this weekend when we come home and will rejoin the community in full force after that.  I'm off from work for several weeks, so it will be just baby/wife care and household chores, nothing else to keep me from here.

    Enjoy your day

    43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 05:42:07 AM PST

  •  Donald Payne has passed away (4+ / 0-)

    "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

    by Paleo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 05:47:24 AM PST

    •  Some early reaction (5+ / 0-)
      One observer notes to me, "[Rep. Bob] Turner and [Rep. Maurice] Hinchey are gone. [Rep. Gary] Ackerman doesn't really have a district either, but there are seats he could run for." (Don't say we didn't warn you about a possible consolidation of the regions represented by Ackerman and Rep. Carolyn McCarthy. Also, we've known since January that Hinchey's hanging it up after this Congress.)

      It also looks to me like the Rangel seat (NY-15) is majority Hispanic, but looks nothing like the highly calibrated Washington Heights/Bronx/Queens map advocated by those who signed on to this letter.

      Everyone's looking at the maps now... Regarding Long Island, Mike Seilback, for one, tweets, "Re: new maps, King (seaford) lives in new ny-02 while both Israel (dix hills) & Ackerman (roslyn heights) live in new ny-03"

      http://www.nydailynews.com/...

      "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

      by Paleo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:21:41 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  More on the map (4+ / 0-)
        Under her plan, the North Country district currently held by Bill Owens would now extend down into parts of Saratoga and Washington counties.

        Congressman Paul Tonko’s district would also change, expanding into Saratoga County while losing Schoharie County.

        Congressman Chris Gibson’s proposed seat loses all points north of Rensselaer County but would now stretch south into Sullivan and Ulster counties and include Kingston and New Paltz.

        The special master also draws a more compact seat for Congresswoman Nan Hayworth that would give her all of Orange and Putnam counties and parts of Dutchess and Westchester counties.

        http://hudsonvalley.ynn.com/...

        "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

        by Paleo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:37:30 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Some of the NYC impact (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          KingofSpades, IM
          At first glance, the map appears to eliminate Congressman Bob Turner’s Queens-based seat and Upstate Congressman Maurice Hinchey’s one as well. The map additionally combines Nassau County Reps. Gary Ackerman and Carolyn McCarthy’s districts.

          A new plurality-Asian district is created in Queens, which Mr. Ackerman may choose to run for. However, Congressman Joe Crowley, whose district was converted into a 48% Latino seat with more of the Bronx, might also prefer to run for that new seat as well, should the map hold.

          Notably, veteran Congressman Charlie Rangel’s district shifts out of Manhattan and into The Bronx to become not only become majority-Latino, but also more heavily African-American. In what could throw a wrinkle in his competitive primary, Congressman Ed Towns’ Brooklyn district pulls out of northern Brooklyn to absorb Russian and Irish neighborhoods from Mr. Turner’s old district.

          http://www.politicker.com/...

          "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

          by Paleo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:00:49 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Ackerman's choice (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            KingofSpades
            Downstate, Mann's map effectively confirms that the rumors about the impending demise of Gary Ackerman's district, which straddles Queens and Nassau Counties, are true. The territory that was in the district will be roughly split between districts in each the counties. Ackerman has previously said both options would be appealing to him as a candidate, but they each come with their own headaches. To the east, he would face a primary with fellow Democrat Carolyn McCarthy; to the west, he could face a primary challenge from Democratic assemblyman Rory Lancman, who quickly released a statement saying the new 6th district was nicely centered around his home in Queens.
            http://www.capitalnewyork.com/...

            "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

            by Paleo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:24:42 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

    •  Tremendous map for Rs (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Taget

      If I were Skelos, I'd walk away from the table after seeing this map. It's about all that Republicans could ask for in a special master map. They even gave Poughkeepsie to Hayworth, making the Hudson Valley seat an easier hold for Gibson.

      18. R. IL-10. Justin Amash-ite. “Freedom granted only when it is known beforehand that its effects will be beneficial is not freedom.”- F.A. Hayek

      by IllinoyedR on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:30:55 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Why does giving Poughkeepsie to Hayworth (0+ / 0-)

        help Gibson if it was in NY-22 before?

        Putting Ithaca in Reed's district definitely has to make Republicans happy though.

        21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

        by sapelcovits on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:34:10 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Because (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Taget

          Adding it to Gibson's seat, which was quite possible, would have made the HV seat even more Democratic.

          Also, Reed can handle Ithaca. The Democratic electorate in that seat is going to be prone to nominating progressives from Ithaca who probably won't play very well in the rural red parts of the seat. That's my opinion. I could be wrong.

          18. R. IL-10. Justin Amash-ite. “Freedom granted only when it is known beforehand that its effects will be beneficial is not freedom.”- F.A. Hayek

          by IllinoyedR on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:36:37 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Hayworth is the loser upstate (0+ / 0-)

            In these maps, right?  I don't have the side by sides right now but that's what it looks like to me.

            I'd also be interested to see what Owens district did in 2008 for Obama.  That's not exactly an awesome district for him, though not tragic either.  And it now includes my original hometown :-)

            "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

            by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:45:42 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Looks like Buerkle and Hochul are the losers upsta (0+ / 0-)

              Can't tell about Owens.

              Downstate, Turner is a clear loser.  There may be a game of musical chairs in Queens/Long Island, but there's a decent chance all the Dems will stay.

              "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

              by Paleo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:51:18 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Buerkle was always a loser (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                James Allen, sapelcovits

                They'd have to whip up quite a district for her to win in 2012.

                Is Hochul a loser, or is she just not a winner, I can't really tell.

                Where is jeffmd with our partisan breakdown :-)

                "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:53:12 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

              •  Owens is probably saying "meh" (0+ / 0-)

                Drawing him into Syracuse would have increased the risk of a primary. OTOH, Saratoga I think  leans R. OTOH it's a lot easier to represent and advertise in a district with one "North Country/Adirondacks" theme -- and it's easier to get there from his home town (Plattsburgh). OTOH, his HCR vote may hurt him now. OTOH, his overall voting record fits his new district well. OTOH....

                "I hope; therefore, I can live."
                For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

                by tietack on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:07:30 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  Doheny will, most likely (0+ / 0-)

                  be serious opponent. If Hoffman will "help" again - another matter

                  smoltchanov on RRH, and, formerly, SSP

                  by smm57nym26 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:12:44 AM PST

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Unless Hoffman runs for Assembly (0+ / 0-)

                    In the open race in AD-113/114 (old number/new number).

                    "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                    by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:21:37 AM PST

                    [ Parent ]

                •  I'm a little worried (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  IM

                  For Owens, I can't really tell which parts of Saratoga county got taken by NY-20, but if those are the more Dem ones, what Owens gets of Saratoga could be very Republican.

                  I think he now overlaps with Roy McDonald's state senate district (partially, at least) and McDonald would be a decent challenger in this sort of district, though Owens might be favored still.  Again, depends on how Saratoga county got split up.

                  "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                  by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:16:49 AM PST

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  McDonald could very well get Scozzafava'd. nt (0+ / 0-)

                    21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

                    by sapelcovits on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:43:29 AM PST

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  Dare to dream (0+ / 0-)

                      Which Scozzafava are you referring too, though?  :-)

                      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                      by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:45:02 AM PST

                      [ Parent ]

                    •  If I were the New York GOP (0+ / 0-)

                      I'd seek out someone who resembles, if not Scozzafava, then at least John McHugh.  If Roy McDonald fits the bill then so be it.  After all Bill Owens probably would not be the incumbent if Sarah Palin, FreedomWorks, etc., hadn't butted their ugly heads into the special election.

                      In this case I'd say that the Conservative Party is the Democrats' best friend.  It'll be interesting to see if Owens can win an majority against a competent candidate without Doug Hoffman mucking things up; at least this time Owens probably won't have a wave to sail against and the GOP candidate will be saddled with his party's House record.

                      36, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

                      by Mike in MD on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 09:14:35 AM PST

                      [ Parent ]

      •  Looks like Rep. Grimm got shafted, though (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Jake McIntyre, KingofSpades, IM, itskevin

        Eyeballing it, it looks like the South Brooklyn areas in the Staten Island district here are Democrat-friendly, while Borough Park and Ocean Parkway are in Rep. Nadler's district.

        I also don't see how Rep. Hayworth survives reelection, though I do think Rep. Gibson is in a pretty strong position.

        Rep. Hochul's district looks like it's probably 48-49% Obama under these lines. Not thrilled with that. The special master seems sympathetic to the Republican argument that it's somehow fair and equitable to pack cities.

        Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

        by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:38:35 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  Is (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gabjoh

      it still possible for a compromise to be made? Or is this set in stone? I really do not like this map. NYC looks decent for us. Everything else seems awful. How does Owens fair under this map? Obviously Hochul will be in a tough race.

      "Osama bin Laden is dead and General Motors is alive." -Vice President Joe Biden

      by drhoosierdem on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:51:19 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  I blame the new NY-6 on the DRA. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, IM

      That Asian district is created more because there it is a statistic that can be manipulated than that it is a community of interest that should be maximized.  Now to be clear.  It would be great if you could have an "Asian" seat.  But this isn't one.

      There is not a community of interest or a coalition between East Asians and South Asians.  Just because you put a lot of Indians in a district does not mean that a Chinese candidate benefits.  And you only need to see the last round of City Council elections to see different East Asian communities (such as the Chinese and the Koreans) are not on the same page as well.

      Though John Liu might still be popular enough in a broad enough cross section to perhaps get elected.  Though he'd probably be better off running in the district with Orange County since he'll be moving to Otisville soon.

      But on the whole when you have a lot of different minority groups forming a plurality or even a bare majority it almost always leads to one thing.  A white incumbent.

      I'll have to look at the numbers and a more exact map (it's hard to tell where certain cities end up such as Saratoga Springs) but some of what I see upstate I'm not liking.  Such as Ithaca placed in Reed's Republican sink. Long Island looks very much like the Common Cause plan which could potentially screw us.

      •  Do you mean the VRA? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Jake McIntyre

        I don't think Dave's Redistricting App can be blamed for the special master putting a lot of disparate people with Asian background together.  

        The term "Asian American" is indeed an oversimplification, as cultures on the continent are very different.  That can be seen even here; I live in an area with well organized communities of Chinese, Indians/Pakistanis, and others (though they pretty much all vote heavily Democratic.)

        36, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

        by Mike in MD on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:41:02 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  WA-09 is even more of a mess (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        It is "majority minority" only in population, not in registration nor the portion of the population eligible to vote.

        Not a single "community of interest" holds a majority in the district. In fact the largest group is still whites even though they aren't a majority.

        That Said Rep. Smith will likely keep his seat for as long as he wants it.

        WA-09 and the whacky split between WA-01 and WA-02 were the biggest travesties of the recent redistricting. Tim Ceis got played by Senator Gorton.

        Still that we avoided some of the acrimony seen in other states is worth something.

        WA-03, WA-05, and WA-08 are winnable by Democrats with the right candidate. WA-08 is almost certain to become more liberal over the next 10 years.

    •  I wonder if my dude (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      tietack, sapelcovits

      (now in Astoria) would be in the new NY-14.  Astoria with the Bronx?  Do I read that right?

      26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-14 (formerly PA-02/NY-12).

      by Xenocrypt on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:21:58 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  John Ashcroft endorses Mitt (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Jane Lew

    21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

    by sapelcovits on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:30:56 AM PST

  •  We should really (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    drhoosierdem, gabjoh

    recruit this kid to DKE!

    21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

    by sapelcovits on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:33:21 AM PST

  •  Dems need to run a strong challenge to King... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Christopher Walker, IM

    He's playing coy with caucusing with Dems - and I think that's where you challenge him.  

    Make an issue about committee assignments and how that where the legislation is written.  Make it about building seniority and how King wanting to be an independent outsider means he's never in the room and is nothing but a vote on issues.  

    Also King says he'll never go negative, but he already is.  When he says "I'll never be told how to vote, and will vote only in the interest of Maine" he's saying that others put party over Maine - implying that's what Pingree has done.  Pingree should call him out on this and ask him specifically which votes she made were not in the best interest of Maine at the time she made them.  

    Pingree should run on the case that her politics are very close to King's, but how she'll work within the party system to get on important for Maine committees and start building up seniority and how King wants to be some social experiment where he doesn't caucus with either side.  

    Also Pingree could run on the fact that she'd be a seat to keeping Dem majority in the Senate whereas King is unwilling to declare his intentions, wanting to have it both ways.  King demonizes the partisanship in Congress but plays the same "they both do it" game when Mitch McConnell declares his primary goal is to defeat the President, and the GOP has forced 60 vote threshold on virtually every bill now and filibustered judicial nominees for months and years only to see them pass 97-1 votes.  But King won't say any of this because he wants to appear to be above it all and declare a "pox on both houses".  

    Pingree can say her politics are the same as King's but she's a Democrat and will caucus with them which is better for Maine.  

    I think Pingree could shore up the Dem vote if she went about it this way - lock down 40% and hole King and the GOP challenger split the 60% closer to 35 to 25.  

    •  Why would he not play coy? (3+ / 0-)

      He announced like 12 hours ago. You think he should have come out immediately and said, "Well, I'm going to caucus with the Democrats?"

      He's obviously got some major progressive tendencies and no great love for the Republican Party. I think we shouldn't poke the hornets' nest, we should accept that King will be the clear favorite no matter who we run, and we should decline to attack him throughout the campaign.

      Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:40:49 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Because the Sen majority is potentially at stake (0+ / 0-)

        Dem Party can't take that chance.  If he has progressive tendencies and no love for Republican party as you say than why not just run as a Democrat? He'd still be a lock to win the election.  

        I'm not willing to risk the Senate majority on the whims of Angus King.  He runs as an indie because he likes the idea that he is a rebel or something - who knows what he'd pull once elected.  If he can't take a stand against the GOP right now, wants to play both sides are to blame than he's not nearly as progressive as you claim.  The fact that he even toys with the idea of caucusing with both sides depending on the issue tells me he'll be more a headache than he's worth.  What issues would he caucus with the GOP on?  Or would he dance around that issue as well?

        •  I'm sick and tired (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Nina Katarina, gabjoh

          of Congress being all about men, men, men.  Until they shut up about women's reproductive functions, we need to elect more women. Period. Trailing the entire developed world and much of the third world in women's participation s nothing we should be proud of.

          Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07. http://www.ewaynepowell.com/

          by anastasia p on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:00:41 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Not the entire developed world (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            SaoMagnifico, HoosierD42

            we'll always be ahead of Japan...

            21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

            by sapelcovits on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:10:44 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

          •  Gender not important (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            The Caped Composer, jncca

            I don't care what gender my Senator is, I care though how he or she votes and the stances they take. I'd rather have a progressive male, like my senators Leahy and Sanders, than a conservative female. I also rather have a moderate caucusing with the dems than a conservative.

            In the end that's what really counts.

            Obama-Biden in 2012!

            by Frederik on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:22:11 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Gender is a very important factor. (3+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Xenocrypt, James Allen, IM

              Your a man, I'm a man. It would easy for us to say gender doesn't matter.

              20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

              by ndrwmls10 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:38:29 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Linda McMahon vs. Chris Murphy? (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                The Caped Composer

                Who do you take?

                Hence, their positions matter far more than gender, which is what this poster was saying.

                "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:50:22 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  Obviously there is a difference. (0+ / 0-)

                  Frederik said gender didn't matter at all.

                  20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                  by ndrwmls10 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:52:03 AM PST

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Look at how he framed it (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    The Caped Composer

                    he framed it exactly the way you did in your mind.  you may not like his syntax, but read his post.  

                    I don't care what gender my Senator is, I care though how he or she votes and the stances they take. I'd rather have a progressive male, like my senators Leahy and Sanders, than a conservative female. I also rather have a moderate caucusing with the dems than a conservative.

                    In the end that's what really counts.

                    He'd rather have a progressive male than conservative female.  He cares more about voting stances than gender.  he doesn't care about his Senator's gender (you do, and that's okay, but its not the main issue in a Senate race with only 1 announced candidate)

                    The real problem is that some people on this baord are making this into way more of a man vs. woman fight when that's not the case.  When is Pingree's announcement happening?  After that the man vs. woman thing can matter (but won't to everyone), but it's not the main issue here, as some are trying to create.

                    "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                    by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:03:23 AM PST

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  I said to ME gender doesn't matter (0+ / 0-)

                    I don't presume or deign to speak for others.

                    Obama-Biden in 2012!

                    by Frederik on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 09:14:47 AM PST

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  it doesn't. (0+ / 0-)

                    19, D, new CA-18 (home) new CA-13 (college). Economic liberal, social libertarian, fiscal conservative. Put your age and CD here :) -.5.38, -3.23 Check out my blog at politicohen.com

                    by jncca on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 11:31:45 AM PST

                    [ Parent ]

              •  Gender isn't simply important, (0+ / 0-)

                it is crucial in the current climate. If 40 % of Congress were women, I guarantee Darrell Issa wouldn't feel as free to hold his little woman-oppressing dog-and-pony show. We've been seeing the same dog-and-pony show here in our state legislature. I am not saying individual men are not great and individual women can't be horrifically wrong on issues impacting their fellow women (Hi, Shannon Jones!) It's about the numbers and what those numbers lead to.

                Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07. http://www.ewaynepowell.com/

                by anastasia p on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 10:12:50 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

          •  Using this logic (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            tietack

            I can only assume you'd support Linda McMahon over Chris Murphy in CT-SEN.

            "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

            by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:39:06 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Yep (0+ / 0-)

              I would be saying this if she said no straight away and we were waiting on Michaud instead - I don't think Pingree should run now. Maybe if she had got in first then King doesn't. Makes me think the fix is already in.

              "There are a lot of reasons not to elect me." Mitt Romney (R-All Over The Map)

              by conspiracy on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 10:27:53 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

          •  I'm sick and tired of you assuming (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            HoosierD42

            men can't have pro-women voting records.  I'm incredibly offended.

            19, D, new CA-18 (home) new CA-13 (college). Economic liberal, social libertarian, fiscal conservative. Put your age and CD here :) -.5.38, -3.23 Check out my blog at politicohen.com

            by jncca on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 11:31:24 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

        •  I've seen even ardent progressives... (0+ / 0-)

          Peddle the "both sides are equally to blame" bullshit. I don't like it, but that doesn't mean it's reasonable to suspect King, who wrote in a recent essay that he admired his father for saying taxes are the price of living in a free society and disagreed with President Reagan that government is the problem and not the solution, fits in at all with the modern-day Republican Party.

          Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

          by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:15:16 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  The Map Block EQF is here (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SaoMagnifico, Taget

    https://www.nyed.uscourts.gov/...

    which I could import into DRA. The issue is that despite its size of only 8 MB the server is telling me it needs an hour to download. What the hell?

  •  King's approval ratings (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Christopher Walker, IM

    are 62-44?   I don't think I've ever seen numbers like that before :-)

    •  62-24. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      IM

      Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:45:11 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Palin had approval in the 70 range in Alaska... (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        gabjoh, ChadmanFL

        Hillary Clinton is well liked as well - because she's out of politics and people tend to remember you more fondly when out of office.   You can run against King with a positive campaign and bring those numbers down by simply making him take sides on issues.  Right now he's everything to everybody - as an indie folks will convince themselves that he'd vote their way on issues - make him pick sides on issues and see if he keeps that approval number or if he just pisses off all sides in his game to appear non-partisan.  

        •  Okay, so you attack King... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Odysseus

          With a candidate who has won statewide approximately zero times, you go hard negative on this man with a nice-guy image, an elder statesman, somebody who has previously given generously to Democrats and spoken out on Democratic issues.

          Then let's say King is elected anyway. He gets through this firestorm and survives this barrage of nasty attacks launched at him by his former party. Control of the Senate is split; Republicans hold 50 seats and Democrats hold 49, and he's the one independent who would give the Republicans 51 and would give the Democrats 50 (plus Vice Presiden Biden), or maybe Democrats have 50 and Republicans have 49 and the Romney administration with Vice President Thune, or Vice President Jindal, or Vice President Hutchison, is incoming. And then Sen. McConnell comes up to him as he's moving his stuff into his new office in Russell, and he says, "Well congratulations, Senator-elect. Now I heard those Democrats gave you a pretty rough go of it up in Maine. Well, I'm offering you Sen. Hutchison's seat on Appropriations, Sen. Lugar's chairmanship of Foreign Relations, and Sen. Hutchison's chairmanship of Commerce if you'll caucus with the Republicans and speak out about the vitriolic, hateful, intolerant, nasty old Democrats. Do we have a deal?"

          Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

          by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:08:44 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Or in the best situation (0+ / 0-)

            Or in the best case situation he caucuses with the Democrats but starts acting like Ben Nelson and Joe Lieberman.

            Obama-Biden in 2012!

            by Frederik on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:33:06 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  And I wouldn't even blame him (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Inkpen

              Look, the smart money says we're going to have to make nice with Angus King sooner or later. Why give him a reason to hate us before Sen. Reid or President Obama can even pick up the phone to call and congratulate him? Why burn a bridge on a risky prospect?

              Anyway, we'll have PPP's numbers soon enough.

              Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

              by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:38:04 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Why do we have to "make nice"... (0+ / 0-)

                If he's as principled as he's touting himself as being, his personal feelings shouldn't get in the way of his political decisions.  And as we've seen in the blogs from him you posted - he seems left of center.  

                So this guy will want his ego stroked and wants a coronation in order to vote our way and support Dem as majority leader?

                Truth be told I am probably pretty damn close to King politically and I'd be more than fine with him as the candidate and Senator if he was a lock to caucus with Dems.  Ie he calls me up today and says "Hey Jacoby I hear you're concerned about who I'd caucus with and are talking crap about me at DKos - I promise you I'll caucus with Dems all my 6 year term, but keep that secret for the time being" I'd be completely fine with King being elected.  I'm just not willing to risk not taking this seat for the Dems when odds are we'll need it to keep the majority with Warren fading at the moment.  

          •  Do you think King would turn down that deal... (0+ / 0-)

            Even if Dems go along with his coronation?  I bet he would.  

            And you're just making my point stronger in that you're arguing that King could be bought by the GOP Caucus.  

            If you believed King was a liberal but playing a Independent to get elected then you'd argue a tough election wouldn't sway his politics to possible sell out to GOP for power.  

            How are Dems his former party when he's an independent? He's choosing not to run as a Democrat.  It's not the Dems who kicked him out of the party here.  

    •  Hillary Clinton's at 69 or 66. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen

      Here and here.

      "Gussie, a glutton for punishment, stared at himself in the mirror."

      by GussieFN on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:51:18 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  King's numbers evidence that the default ideal... (0+ / 0-)

      ...in our politics seems to be someone presumed moderate but not a Democrat if at all possible.

      When you are right you cannot be too radical; when you are wrong, you cannot be too conservative. --Martin Luther King Jr.

      by Egalitare on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:01:13 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  NE Ohio Turnout Today Looks Light But 50-50 (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SoCalLiberal, fsbohnet, Odysseus, IM

    in our neighborhood of this generally blue part of the state.

    I have not seen one single Republican yard sign anywhere in the territory but they are turning out equal to Dems.

    I was Dem ballot #18 and voter #35.

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 06:45:27 AM PST

  •  Sen. Murkowski: I wuz tricked!! (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SoCalLiberal, gabjoh, fsbohnet, IM, itskevin

    Murkowski, who somewhat surprisingly voted for the Blunt Amendment last week despite being perhaps our best Republican, now says she regrets her vote and no longer supports the language. Story here.

    The Anchorage Daily News column says Murkowski returned to Alaska after the amendment failed and kept running into female voters unhappy with her over her vote. Murkowski told them she had voted for the amendment because she wanted to send a message that the health care law needed stronger protections for religious conscience. But public debate on the measure had changed, she said, and what was supposed to be a "messaging amendment" on religious freedom, an issue Republicans were hoping to champion, ended up becoming a vote on contraception rights.
    Come on over, Senator, the water is quite warm here.

    Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

    by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:00:10 AM PST

  •  I disagree with Bill Burges (0+ / 0-)

    I think BOTH candidates have rolled out the big (and not always 100% honest) artillery because both want to keep their seats. The particular passage praising Dimora may be a decade old, but that is probably because that was what she could find a record of. And no, it wasn't just standard speech. I have been in a room with Kucinich as recently as three years ago,when the pending charges against Dimora were out there, when Kucinich was lauding him.

    Both candidates desperately want to keep their seats, and both have pushed the pocket quite a bit. I have never seen a campaign where Dennis has gone negative, and I don't think it will work for him.

    Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07. http://www.ewaynepowell.com/

    by anastasia p on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:04:47 AM PST

  •  Once again, the Progressive Democratic candidate (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ChadmanFL

    Gets screwed by the Democratic Party?  Back room deals with the Maine independent candidate to caucus with the Dems?  Encouraging Chellie Pingree, the Progressive Democrat to step aside so that Dems will have no choice but to cast votes for a candidate that the party elites think will have a better chance of election?  So that we end up with YET ANOTHER Senator whose vote in the Senate we cant count on?  Way to shoot your own side, Dem "Leaders"!

  •  Shame about Mark Lindquest not running (0+ / 0-)

    He's not only a great prosecutor, he is also a great writer. Nevermind Nirvana and King of Methleham included great insights into the Puget Sound legal system. I would have loved to read novels informed by his experiences in DC.

  •  Update on the NY map-- (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Paleo

    I've finished downloading NY-25-27
    NY-27 comes in at 53.9% McCain.
    NY-26 comes in at 63.5% Obama.
    NY-25 comes in at 58.8% Obama.

    I guess it should be done with NY-23 pretty soon. After that I expect it to tackle NY-24, I guess.

  •  Texas 27 and Judge Ronnie McDonald (2+ / 0-)

    I agree, it does seem like a long shot for Ronnie McDonald to win this new district, in which Republicans have an advantage, but I wouldn't underestimate Judge McDonald. He received a lot of praise for his calm, competent management of the government response to the massive Bastrop wildfire. He would certainly win Bastrop and Caldwell counties. If Mr. Duckie Pajamas is the GOP candidate, Judge McDonald might give him a good challenge.

    Texas state representative District 17 was held by a Democrat until the incumbent resigned four years ago. It do did go for McCain in 2008, and Republicans took this seat in 2010 in an election in which only 33% bothered to vote. This seems like a better shot for Judge McDonald against Republican Tim Kleinschmidt, who got the "furniture" award from Texas monthly, and is known for selling water rights to water developers, something that isn't popular here in Bastrop County. Bastrop itself is heavily Democratic, and Judge McDonald is well-known and very popular here.

    Good thing we've still got politics in Texas -- finest form of free entertainment ever invented.- Molly Ivins

    by loblolly on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:16:18 AM PST

  •  This is the year for women. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ChadmanFL, James Allen

    Pingree should run. Regardless of all other considerations, this is a year for good women candidates.

    I'd rather have a buntle afrota-me than a frottle a bunta-me.

    by David54 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:17:58 AM PST

  •  62-44 is REALLY impressive (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ChadmanFL, IM, R30A

    We are the 106%! :-)

    We don't want our country back, we want our country FORWARD. --Eclectablog

    by Samer on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:39:13 AM PST

  •  How much do you think King (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    IM

    will retain his popularity once he has to take more high-profile positions on controversial issues?  If he does have to?  In most states, I could believe that King might lose, for example, many of the 25% of Republicans apparently supporting him if he still supports the ACA and so on.  But this is Maine.

    26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-14 (formerly PA-02/NY-12).

    by Xenocrypt on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:39:38 AM PST

  •  IL-10 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    IllinoyedR

    Someone please tell me how we are going to win this district?  I don't see it with any of these candidates.

    I'm not liberal. I'm actually just anti-evil, OK? - Elon James White

    by Satya1 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:40:58 AM PST

    •  Short answer is (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, sapelcovits, R30A

      that the new district voted for Pat Quinn, and the past district only narrowly elected Bob Dold even in a great Republican year with his popular predecessor (more or less) topping the ticket.  The new district is a bit more Democratic, the year should be less Republican, and Barack Obama will be topping the ticket.  Admittedly, Kirk won the old district in two great Democratic years, and Dold will have the advantages of incumbency.  But, while the Democratic candidates could indeed be stronger, that's not always the deciding factor.  

      26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-14 (formerly PA-02/NY-12).

      by Xenocrypt on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:46:20 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Yeah, how did we end up with such a medicore (0+ / 0-)

      group?

      "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

      by Paleo on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:52:37 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Thin Dem bench? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        sacman701

        The area is ancestrally Republican (except for Waukegan) so that could help explain it. Still, I wish one of Raja/Tammy Duckworth would have run here instead.

        NY-12 resident, lives across the street from NY-14

        by Bobby Big Wheel on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:15:04 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Wouldn't work. (0+ / 0-)
          Still, I wish one of Raja/Tammy Duckworth would have run here instead.
          There's no way they would have gotten out of the primary. People want a North Shore candidate and someone from the northwest suburbs would get eaten alive for carpetbagging.

          18. R. IL-10. Justin Amash-ite. “Freedom granted only when it is known beforehand that its effects will be beneficial is not freedom.”- F.A. Hayek

          by IllinoyedR on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 11:06:11 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  PPP will release it's Maine poll at 1:00 PM. (0+ / 0-)

    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 07:49:15 AM PST

    •  Not sure how instructive its horse-race numbers... (0+ / 0-)

      Will be. Genuine three-way general matchups seem to be something of a bete noire for PPP (and most pollsters), and I believe at least some of these interviews were conducted before Rep. Michaud and Eliot Cutler declined to run.

      Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:32:52 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Kind of surprising if we don't get more polls (0+ / 0-)

        And soon.  It's not like Maine is any of the major pollsters home/experienced turf but this race is a very big deal.  I'd imagine some other people have polls in the field or are prepping them as we speak.

        "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

        by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:36:53 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  Tom Swiss is a Repubican (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Delta Overdue

    A minor and local matter, but in Chicago's Wicker Park / Bucktown neighborhood, a GOP Operative, Tom Swiss, is running as /posing as a Democrat.

    I'm "blogging" about it here:  http://tomswiss.blogspot.com/

    Tom Swiss - Running for Office as a Democrat in Illinois -- Is a Republican: http://tomswiss.blogspot.com/

    by MRL on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:02:24 AM PST

  •  PA-12 (0+ / 0-)

    Altmire is terrible, a typical Western Pa "republicrat". The area is so solidily Dem it's a shame we don;t have a more liberal voice instead of the pandering say anything to get elected poseur we have now.

    •  McCain won 54% here (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      sapelcovits

      You're not going to elect Henry Waxman from this district.  Best case we get a Murtha sans the Abscam.  Which Critz may be, but Altmire fits the district's profile well.

      NY-12 resident, lives across the street from NY-14

      by Bobby Big Wheel on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:13:14 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Critz and Altmire are fairly different (0+ / 0-)

        Despite the fact that Critz voted against DADT, I think that Altmire is well to Critz's right on most issues, and on the issues which are voted on most often.  Altmire has lowest party unity score in the Democratic caucus--just for this past session--outside of Matheson, Ross, Peterson, and Boren.  There are a few more names between Critz and Altmire.  Altmire only votes with the Democratic caucus 59% of the time, and Altmire and Critz vote together rather rarely for two Democrats.

        (This doesn't directly address what you're saying--I just want to remind people that.)

        26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-14 (formerly PA-02/NY-12).

        by Xenocrypt on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:20:52 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  But perhaps a Representative like Matheson (0+ / 0-)

        or Boren is indeed what's expected in a 54% McCain district.

        26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-14 (formerly PA-02/NY-12).

        by Xenocrypt on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:22:08 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  PA-12 voted 54-45 McCain (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      sapelcovits, jncca

      That's not "solidly Dem"

      "I hope; therefore, I can live."
      For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

      by tietack on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:16:45 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Its "ancestrally" Dem (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, sapelcovits

      It is not liberal Dem or Progressive Dem by any stretch.  It's ancestral union Dem (in Critz's part) with some "we fled the horrors of Pittsburgh" Dem in Altmire's part.

      A liberal would struggle to get 40% in this district, especially a minority liberal (hence the Obama numbers).

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:28:00 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  i don't know (0+ / 0-)

        Altmire seems to be way too conservative. Western Pa really needs a shake up, the Altmire's and Onorato's have no ideologoy or loyalty to any principles. They would happily be R's if it meant they could get elected.

        •  If they were R's (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen, sapelcovits, jncca

          They would win so that idea makes no sense.  They are rural Democrats, and that is just a different animal from the national Demcoratic party.

          Also, Western PA is an absolute throwawy in Congress.  By 2018 this district will have a GOPer, just leaving Doyle in Pittsburgh.  Which is fine, because by 2022 redistricting Western PA will lose another 5% of population and yet another seat will have to shift into the eastern part of the state.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:43:58 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  Cruz Bustamante is NOT running for CA-21 (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen, sapelcovits, IM, itskevin

    Cruz Bustamante is OUT. link
    Blong Xiong is still "considering" a run.

    ex-SSP. Central Califonia. -6.75,-4.97

    by hankmeister on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:35:44 AM PST

    •  Deep sigh of relief (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      sapelcovits, itskevin

      Right now I like Xiong, hope he declares, but I really wish Bustamante declining means Florez will get in.

      Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:41:54 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  my take (0+ / 0-)

        I have been watching CA21 carefully. Reading the tea leaves of what is going on between the Parra and Florez camps is pretty cloudy right now. John Hernandez who is the Chairman of the Central California Hispanic Chamber has declared and it could be that he is considered a neutral party.
        The whole Florez & Bustamante coordinating thing and not a sound coming out of the Parras makes me believe something is going on behind the scenes.

         Xiong doesn't have any name recognition outside Fresno County. link I mean, I pay attention to this stuff and I don't even know who the guy is yet really. That combined with the heavily Hispanic nature of the district makes me think its going to be a Valadao / Hernandez race in November.
         I also have say that all this waffling around plays to Valadao's favor.

        ex-SSP. Central Califonia. -6.75,-4.97

        by hankmeister on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 09:19:13 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  It's hard to disagree with you (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          hankmeister

          I'm hoping Xiong's campaign experience will allow him to overcome an institutional advantage for Hernandez, who is a political novice and would likely get shellacked by Valadao, the GOP's top recruit. But right now I'm thinking Valadao is the likely winner here.

          Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

          by SaoMagnifico on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 10:03:50 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  The NY Special Master map--DRF file (5+ / 0-)
  •  Oregon HD-49 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    supercereal

    according to Kari at BlueOregon, we do have a recruit in this Republican-held, D+7 district.  Chris Gorsek, a former police officer.  On paper that sounds good.

    I changed by not changing at all, small town predicts my fate, perhaps that's what no one wants to see. -6.38, -4.15

    by James Allen on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:43:13 AM PST

  •  I'll be doing a liveblog today (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    R30A

    for results, though it'll be tough to keep up with all the states.  I'll also pay special attention to a certain congressional primary in Ohio.

    I changed by not changing at all, small town predicts my fate, perhaps that's what no one wants to see. -6.38, -4.15

    by James Allen on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 08:51:24 AM PST

  •  New WA congressional districts (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen

    The partisan split is less bad than I thought. Three of the seats currently held by Republicans can be won by Democrats with the right candidate and resources. The only true swing district is WA-01 with a 50/50 split.

    That said WA-02, WA-06, and WA-10 are much closer than I would like and could be won by a Republican with the right candidate and resources.

    •  WA-03 is much more red without Thurston (0+ / 0-)

      County.

      "Slavery is the legal fiction that a person is property. Corporate personhood is the legal fiction that property is a person." David Korten, When Corporations Rule the World

      by Delta Overdue on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 09:01:28 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  The Gregoire-Rossi numbers seem most apt (0+ / 0-)

      Things would look a lot better if the Congressional elections matched the Obama numbers. As it is, a 50/50 delegation looks pretty likely. I'm hoping that the November ballot measures will energize Democratic voters more and make the difference in the 1st (my district). Really, 6-4 Democratic is the best we can hope for statewide.

  •  The detail jeffmd's work shows for WA-03 is (0+ / 0-)

    depressing.  The only county that goes for Gov. Gregoire in the current configuration is Pacific.  Everything else is red.  Does not bode well for getting rid of brain-dead Jamie Herrera Beutler any time soon.

    We need to work at exposing her lack of town-hall meetings and general inaccessibility to her constituents.

    "Slavery is the legal fiction that a person is property. Corporate personhood is the legal fiction that property is a person." David Korten, When Corporations Rule the World

    by Delta Overdue on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 09:00:11 AM PST

    •  Conducting voter registration drives (0+ / 0-)

      throughout the "Indian Country" in her district would really help drive her out. Washington was a Native Vote state in 2010 but the effort lacked energy and focused mainly on  the Muckleshoot vote in the 8th.

      The Native population is 2.3% statewide but more than twice that in the 3rd district. Herrera Beutler has managed to offend the Yakama Nation and a major effort to register voters in Toppenish, White Swan, White Salmon, Wapato etc.,. could be the tipping point for Ds in this district.

  •  Votes counts in MA Gov and Senate (0+ / 0-)

    Senate race Jan 2010

    Jan 2010 Senate Race                       
    TOTAL STATEWIDE VOTES    2253727

    Brown     1168178
    Coakley     1060861   
    Kennedy    22388   
    Other    1155   
    Blanks    1145   

    Nov 2010 MA Governors Race
    TOTAL STATEWIDE VOTES       2288008

    Baker     962848   
    Cahill    183933   
    Patrick    1108404   
    Stein      32823   

    These are numbers from the MA Secretary of State's office and totals kept at the Boston Globe.  The Senate race shows a "Red MA" win, the Gov race a "blue MA" win.  Damn close.  The Baker was the R in the Gov race, Cahill was the former D turned I in the race.  Stein was the Green Party candidate.  Kennedy was the "Liberty Party" candidate in the Senate race.

  •  Does AZ-9 go to Dobson road in West Mesa? (0+ / 0-)

    I think I'm in this righty district. :(

    Counterbalance the students by having 3 of the most tony areas in town in a district. Ugh.

    I'll always be...King of Bain...I'll always be...King of Bain

    by AZphilosopher on Tue Mar 06, 2012 at 12:05:42 PM PST

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