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Rep. Jay Inslee (D)
Rep. Jay Inslee (D)
According to the Huffington Post's sources, Democratic Rep. Jay Inslee will resign his 1st Congressional District seat so that he can concentrate on his run against Republican state Attorney General Rob McKenna for Washington's open governor's mansion. While the most recent polls have shown the race a tossup, Inslee's need to keep a foot in each Washington—DC and state, six hours apart by plane—was putting him at a disadvantage. Now he'll be able to campaign full-time.

The move is a bit of a surprise, given that less than a month ago, Inslee was reportedly telling Democratic operatives that he had no intention of stepping down. But as David Jarman wrote at the time, there was a reason for Inslee to stiff-arm the media and wait just a little bit:

If Inslee does decide to resign, but he can hold out until early March (but before May's filing deadline), we'd enter a window where, under Washington election law, the primary and general special elections would take place at the same time as the regularly scheduled primary and general.
That right there is key. Local and national Democrats were undoubtedly eager to avoid another special election in the Pacific Northwest this year, after having to spend well into the seven figures to ensure that Suzanne Bonamici would prevail in January's OR-01 special. (Looking strictly at presidential election results, that district was very similar to WA-01—both were won by Barack Obama with around 61-62%.) So it makes sense why Inslee would want to wait until now to resign.

There will, though, still formally be a special to fill the last two months of his term, but as Jarman explained, it'll now happen in November. That means that Democratic efforts to defend this seat (which became redder in redistricting, dropping to 56% Obama) won't really change in a meaningful way. One possible quirk is that the election for Inslee's unexpired term would probably take place under the old district lines, while the election for the full term would use the new borders; it's conceivable, therefore, that the main candidates vying to replace Inslee for the long haul won't want to bother with the special, since they'd rather spend time focusing on the new turf. (And most of it is, in fact, new: Only 48% of the population of the new 1st is the same as that in the old 1st.)

The cast of characters in the race is unlikely to change, though. Republicans have coalesced around Snohomish County councilman John Koster, who very nearly unseated Rep. Rick Larsen in WA-02 last cycle. The Democratic field is wide open and includes 2006 & 2008 WA-08 nominee Darcy Burner, 2010 WA-08 nominee Suzan DelBene, ex-state Rep. Laura Ruderman, state Sen. Steve Hobbs, state Rep. Roger Goodman, and businessman Darshan Rauniyar. Oh, well, I shouldn't forget that there is one possible new entrant: Dennis Kucinich. Who knows? Maybe this new development will inspire him to run!

1:23 PM PT: It's official: Inslee is stepping down.

Sun Mar 11, 2012 at 5:57 PM PT: Inslee's resignation will become effective March 20.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:16 AM PST.

Also republished by Jay Inslee WA Governor 2012 Keep WA Blue and Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Jay needs to be here in Washington to campaign (11+ / 0-)

    Go Islee!

    Republicans take care of big money, for big money takes care of them ~ Will Rogers

    by Lefty Coaster on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:36:10 AM PST

  •  I have mixed feelings about this development (10+ / 0-)

    But if it turns the tide in his favor, I'll take it.  One thing is for sure, we don't need Rob McKenna as our Governor.  I'm afraid Washington would turn into the next Wisconsin.

    "Slavery is the legal fiction that a person is property. Corporate personhood is the legal fiction that property is a person." David Korten, When Corporations Rule the World

    by Delta Overdue on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:36:39 AM PST

    •  It wouldn't (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      susanWAstate, gabjoh, ArkDem14

      Dems would still have the legislature. Still, McKenna is a conservative pretending to be a moderate. WA could turn into NJ at the very least.

      21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

      by sapelcovits on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:53:02 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  We have too damn many conservatives (10+ / 0-)

        pretending to be Democrats in our state legislature. I'm so angry with our state Senate I could spit.  Besides the budget fiasco, they totally screwed up a vote that would put Washington State on record as favoring abortion coverage under ObamaCare.  All they had to do was bring it to a vote. Instead they waited to the last minute, and it ran out the clock with the budget mess.

        We're ALL better off when we're ALL better off!

        by susanWAstate on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:25:21 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  You mean like we "have" the legislature now? (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Chinton, BachFan, Delta Overdue

        Somehow not as reassuring as it should be.

        If only donkeys could have elephant balls... Occupy!

        by chuckvw on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:31:41 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  You got gay marriage (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          HoosierD42

          that's a pretty big accomplishment in and of itself. In my home state of Rhode Island Democrats have huge majorities in both houses of the legislature and can't get it passed.

          21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

          by sapelcovits on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:33:56 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  I can't figure out (0+ / 0-)

            in RI the extent to which the church actually leaned on the legislators, or whether they acted out of 'fraidy-cat-ness?

            •  Oh trust me (0+ / 0-)

              the Catholic Church has been hard at work against gay rights.

              21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

              by sapelcovits on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 06:00:46 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  NY and NJ (0+ / 0-)

                have loads of Catholic legislators, too.

                My Protestant family from MA always looked to RI as having more secular (French, Italian, Portuguese) Catholics than the MA Irish mafia hierarchy.

                •  Part of it is leadership (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  newdem1960

                  the Senate President in RI is a disgusting conservadem who is blocking the bill. Steve Sweeney in NJ is Catholic but at least he's for gay marriage. Even Dean Skelos, the NY Senate Majority Leader who I don't think is Catholic, opposed the bill but at least didn't block it.

                  RI has plenty of Irish enclaves, and actually former State House Speaker William Murphy was another gay marriage opponent. But Senate Pres. Paiva-Weed (who is...Portuguese I think?) and Majority Leader Dominick Ruggerio (Italian) are also blocking the bill. I really hate being ruled by these conservative creeps.

                  21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

                  by sapelcovits on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 07:55:39 PM PST

                  [ Parent ]

          •  gay marriage, sure, (0+ / 0-)

            but Washington's Democrats govern one of the most economically regressive states in the country.

            I changed by not changing at all, small town predicts my fate, perhaps that's what no one wants to see. -6.38, -4.15

            by James Allen on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 09:48:47 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

        •  The turncoats will pay for this out of their hides (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          roadbear, chuckvw

          Kastama is never going to be Secretary of State. Rodney Tom is probably going to be forced out of politics because he's managed to betray both parties in a little over six years. As for Sheldon, I don't know what we can do about that bastard, but it probably starts with taking away his seniority and ends with either kicking him out of the party or running someone else against him.

      •  Re: It wouldn't (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        FininWA, myboo
        Dems would still have the legislature. Still, McKenna is a conservative pretending to be a moderate. WA could turn into NJ at the very least.
        Irregardless of you comment that he's a conservative I would like to introduce everyone to the WA GOP State Motto:
        12 In 12

        To turn the state entire state government they only need to win 12 races this year.  

        1 Governor
        3 State Senate
        8 State House

        That's the whole ballgame and we just became WI west.  For now lets put aside bickering about where Inslee is on the right/left spectrum.  He is a damn lot farther left than McKenna.  And...given a upset of major proportions he's going to win the primary and be the Democratic Candidate.  Now is the time to get behind him.  

        A bad idea isn't responsible for those who believe it. ---Stephen Cannell

        by YellerDog on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 03:22:36 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  I have a friend who is a fundraiser (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Churchill, k8dd8d

    for the Democratic Party and candidates, etc.   They have had an active account raising funds for Inslee's gubernatorial campaign from past donors for a many months now, so this is no real surprise.

  •  Dennis (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Churchill, David Nir, Em, FininWA, gabjoh

    If he wants to run in just the special he can hold two seats at once!

    •  can you really do that? Darcy Burner in GREAT (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ArkDem14

      80 % of success is JUST SHOWING UP!

      by Churchill on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:47:03 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  no, no carpetbagger would win the 1st (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      chuckvw, demimondian, FininWA, Eric Nelson

      I refuse to believe corporations are people until Texas executes one

      by k8dd8d on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:56:56 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  No urban peacenik (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Eric Nelson, ArkDem14, jsquared

        Would win the new WA-1.

        I just looked at the map and basically even a Seattlite would be disqualified as being a carpetbagger, still less some guy from Cleveland. There are pockets in NW Washington sympathetic to progressive style Democrats, particularly Bellingham which is home to Western State U, traditionally the second most liberal college in the State. But the map shows that Bellingham was carefully excluded from the new WA-1 and attached to WA-2 even as the rest of Whatcom County (very Old County conservative) was attached to similar demos in Skagit, Snohomish, and N King Co. This is not a good match for a guy best known for wanting to establish a Department of Peace.

        Of the three open seats in Washington the only one remotely sympathetic to Kucinich is the new Wa-10 anchored by Olympia and the hyper liberal Evergreen State U. Or I should say co-anchored because the east partof the District is centered around Joint Base Lewis-McChord (among other things home of the Stryker Brigades) and active duty and retired military voters are thick on the ground. Still DK might not be laughed out of the race, something I would not bet big money on in Wa-1 where the lines might as well been drawn by Koster himself.

        BTW Koster is a progressive's nightmare. Wingnut to the core but a personable guy in person (I shared elevators in the County building with him for years). And a dairyman and property rights fanatic in a District packed with both. The only hopes for Dems is that he alienates the Microsoft techies in the SW corner of the District. But even if those folk are firmly social liberals they are not particularly hostile to the military. Basically what there is of anti-war, anti-corporatist, free-trade skeptical, LGBT friendly in NW Washinton are packed in Jim McDermott's Seattle District or to a lesser degree in the new WA-2 held by Larsen and the western part of new WA-10. Otherwise the Party is dominated by people like now retiring Norm Dicks, living and dying by the success of Boeing and continued presence of multiple large military bases. Up here Blue means pro-union not anti-military, don't let the WTO-Battle for Seattle fool you.

        (Disclosure: by "up here" I mean "the place I lived from May 1993 to Nov 2011", these days I live a couple miles from dKos World Headquarters)

  •  Googling around (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Churchill, k8dd8d, susanWAstate

    Kucinich has claimed he will fill out his term and not run in Washington for 2012.

  •  A "tossup" is generous (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Churchill, Em, Eric Nelson

    What the polls have shown is a considerable KcKenna lead.

    I live in Seattle. McKenna ads are everywhere. I hope this resignation is part of a what you might call a "rope a dope" strategy on Inslee's part.

    Take the fight to them. Don't let them bring it to you. - Harry S Truman

    by jgoodfri on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:42:51 AM PST

    •  I didn't just make that up, you know (12+ / 0-)

      The last two polls of the race both had it exactly tied: PPP had it 42-42 and Grove had it 38-38. Yes, a few polls right before those showed McKenna in the lead, but that's why I specified "recent polls."

      Political Director, Daily Kos

      by David Nir on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:50:55 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I think Inslee just has (8+ / 0-)

        a name recognition issue since McKenna holds a statewide seat.

        This is a good development and will allow Jay to get out there and make himself known.

        I refuse to believe corporations are people until Texas executes one

        by k8dd8d on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:58:33 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  There is that too (10+ / 0-)

          I'd like to think it's just that, but under the circumstances I'd rather not hold anything back. My dad told me once that all Inslee needs to do to beat McKenna is stand next to him in public -- Inslee is built like an overgrown college frat-boy who played basketball in college, while McKenna is short, reedy, and looks like nothing so much as the annoying nerd that even other nerds didn't like that much in high school. That may be true, but if that's all we win the election on, I will be embarrassed.

          I am looking forward to Jay getting out there. He's good at glad-handing and talking to people. Once more people start seeing him, I think he'll not fail to make an impression.

          •  I think and hope that when people (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            JBraden, ArkDem14, roadbear

            start listening to Inslee, and his vision for Washington, they will vote on the merits rather than the appearance.

            And I hope that McKenna will be exposed for the wolf in sheep's clothing that he is.  He is nothing more than the same old Republican establishment, benefit the rich at the expense of the poor, and claim you are doing the right thing to low info voters who don't see through it because, dammit, their lottery ticket just might make them rich.

            I refuse to believe corporations are people until Texas executes one

            by k8dd8d on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:33:58 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

      •  That is true, but all the same (5+ / 0-)

        All the same, by rights it shouldn't be that close at all. It is good that things have been trending in Inslee's direction, but they trended in his direction for no discernible reason, other than that people are being reminded that Republicans are bastards. We can't rely on that. We need to remind people specifically that Washington Republicans are bastards, that McKenna is a Washington Republican, and that he is not to be trusted with the executive power of the state under any circumstance, both for that fact and because he is him. Also, while the polls do say 38-38 right now, that leaves a large number of people undecided, and Inslee's support seems to be softer than McKenna's at the moment.

        Believe me, I want Inslee to win. I just don't want other people to underestimate this race. I live here, and I wish people would stop thinking of Washington as a very liberal place, because in some ways, it really isn't. On the converse, in other ways, it really is. It's a very schizophrenic sort of place. The liberal side is resurgent and fairly strong right now, but there have been plenty of times in the not-too-distant past where the Republicans absolutely ate us for lunch; the massive losses in 1980 and 1994 come readily to mind. We have to be ready for that, and be ready to counter it.

    •  Not true. Early polls gave McKenna big lead (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ArkDem14

      The last 2 have shown a tie. Only Elway's mid-Feb poll still gave McKenna a big lead and showed 15% of Ds crossing over to support McKenna. The PPP poll was in the field one week later and gave each McKenna and Inslee 46% of the vote with 32% undecided. In the PPP poll Inslee had managed to capture the same percentage of the D vote that McKenna had of the R. Now the fight is over the independents.

      I live in Lakewood and see more Inslee support than McKenna.

  •  I luv Dennis; but... 16 YRS=no legislative bills (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Eric Nelson, ArkDem14, askew

    except naming 2 post offices, some guy is a good guy bill, and some Ukrainian bill about not much.  He was a cameras-seeker, and made excellent points, but got not much done.  But I still like him, and gave him $ in 2004

    80 % of success is JUST SHOWING UP!

    by Churchill on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:46:20 AM PST

    •  He was talking about not needing elective office (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      susanWAstate, Churchill, Eric Nelson

      To challenge wars and such.  I like the guy and I voted for him in the '08 primary, but he's too unwilling to compromise on a lot of issues - he might get more done as an activist.

    •  I don't luv Dennis, (0+ / 0-)

      but the number of sponsored bills that are passed into law is not a valid criterion for a politician's effectiveness.  Once upon a time, individual bills were passed as separate laws, but today that mostly happens with unimportant legislation such as naming post offices or awarding Congressional Gold Medals to persons such as the Dalai Lama or Arnold Palmer.

      Important legislation is enacted into law as part of an omnibus bill or as an amendment to other bills.  For example, the rewrite of the college student loan system was enacted as part of Obama's health reform bill.  I worked for a Member of Congress for 24 years, and the overwhelming number of his achievements were enacted in this way.

      In addition, there is the problem that was on display this week in the House when Barney Frank's words taken down.  Frank was protesting the fact that legislation that had been sponsored by Dave Schweikert and Jim Himes was hijacked by the Republicans and given to Ben Quayle.  That happens more than one can imagine.  

  •  The only political signs I see are (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    susanWAstate, FininWA

    Ron Paul signs.  Haven't seen anything about the gubernatorial race locally, but I live in Wingnuttia land, also known as Northeast Washington.

    The county Republicans did go for Ron Paul in the caucus, which tells you Inslee's chance here.

    •  That's because all it takes is 4 Paulies (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gabjoh, ArkDem14

      to put up 10,000 signs.

      Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07. http://www.ewaynepowell.com/

      by anastasia p on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:25:38 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  I have my Jay Inslee bumper sticker (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Em, BachFan, YellerDog, myboo, ArkDem14

      Right next to my Obama 2012 sticker!  But yes, Inslee has a lot of campaigning to do and I'm glad he's coming home to do it.  Some of people I talk to think it's time to 'shake up the Olympia bureaucracy' by electing a Republican governor and that scares me to death.

      Decades of Tim Eyman's conservative initiatives have the state budget in lock-jaw. Voters kill every attempt at an income tax by wide margins (even on just the rich) so we're stuck with a regressive tax structure.  Governor Gregoire did what she could but the recession killed most of the progress she might otherwise have made.  

      We're ALL better off when we're ALL better off!

      by susanWAstate on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:40:30 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Is there no way to reframe this and beat it? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        susanWAstate

        Washington isn't that much different than Oregon, and Oregon, in 2010, despite loads of conservative money, easily passed a initiative increasing corporate taxes and regularly votes down the Bill Sizemore anti-tax crap.

        "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles

        by ArkDem14 on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 06:12:28 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  We even had Bill Gates' support (0+ / 0-)

          And it went down 35/65.  Both sides spent $6 M.  Opponents warned of a 'slippery slope' - tax the rich today and YOU tomorrow!!!  We have a lot of paranoid people I guess.
          http://www.king5.com/...

          I'm glad you've had better luck in Oregon - and it is fun to come shopping down there and have the sales price be the price I pay at the register!

          We're ALL better off when we're ALL better off!

          by susanWAstate on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 08:43:25 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  I've seen mostly Ron Paul signs here in (0+ / 0-)

      Bellevue/Redmond. I saw one or two Santorum signs, I thought that amusing. I'm sure we'll see more Inslee/McKenna signs as the state primary draws closer.

    •  My local caucuses (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jsquared

      in some of the bluest Seattle precincts went for Paul, too.

  •  Didn't Dem Wash Guv win 2 very close victories? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Eric Nelson

    80 % of success is JUST SHOWING UP!

    by Churchill on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:48:42 AM PST

  •  Things are confusing enough (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    k8dd8d

    It's the right decision, but, boy, with that added simultaneous vote, things are getting really confusing around here. Is anyone going to bother to campaign? Will the R's even put up a candidate?

    What worries me most is that huge Koster signs are already proliferating, even here in the blue parts of the new WA-01, while the two Snow Whites and umpteen dwarves (sorry, Roger) are still in the holding pen. Koster's name rec is going to be there from now until November, it seems. Talk about handicapping yourself.

    Use every man after his desert, and who should 'scape whipping?

    by UncleDavid on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 11:51:46 AM PST

  •  Well, in one way, I'd say "It's about time" (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jncca, susanWAstate, nom de plume, Inkpen

    It is a little sad he had to resign, but for whatever reason Inslee seemed incapable of really focusing himself on the governor's race, and it's telling in the polls. He really hasn't even started to campaign in earnest, and given how well McKenna has positioned himself, he will have to. While our candidate is better than in 2004, when Gregoire faced Rossi for the first time, the contest will still be hotter because the competition is fiercer as well. This won't be something that we can snooze through and expect to win. It is probably going to be a very, very ugly election campaign. Someone is going to have to play the bad cop and remind voters in this state of why we it's been 28 years since a Republican was elected to the governor's office. And with the way the local media keep fronting for McKenna, it's going to be very hard going.

    Kucinich running for Congress in Washington isn't going to happen. The state party has made it clear to him that he is not welcome, and I think most people feel the same way. Some of us admired the work he did, but we would have preferred that if he were to continue that work, that he do it from Cleveland, not North Seattle.

    •  yes, WA will be ugly tough (0+ / 0-)

      and a Kucinich move would make it even tougher

      •  He has no chance here. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Inkpen

        Basically he came, he saw, and he was shown the door.  The state party isn't interested and the local party in the 01 even less so.  We have strong democrats here.  We don't need imports.  I do wish him well and believe he will land somewhere but not in WA at least not in 12.  If he moved here and hung out he might get enough cred to make a run somewhere but not in the first.  In fact the only prescient anywhere near left enough for him is downtown Seattle.  We already have our flaming liberal there.

        A bad idea isn't responsible for those who believe it. ---Stephen Cannell

        by YellerDog on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 10:56:00 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  Isn't McKenna stuck unable to raise money... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    susanWAstate, Eric Nelson, gabjoh, myboo

    because of a special session or something?  This could give Inslee a leg up.  

    •  Yeah, he is (7+ / 0-)

      The silver lining of the budget debacle and the special session is that it will hamstring McKenna, in more ways than one. He will be unable to raise money, and the antics of the Republicans in the legislature will make him look bad. The fact that the budget passed in the Senate by the Republican minority makes even more cuts to education gives the lie to McKenna's supposed commitment to raising education funding.

      •  Was this a trap by Dems... (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Eric Nelson, gabjoh

        Or did the three Dems who voted with the GOP on the budget really support it?

        •  The latter (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Eric Nelson, PhilW, gabjoh

          They are longtime DINOs.

          If only donkeys could have elephant balls... Occupy!

          by chuckvw on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:41:42 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

        •  If it was a trap, it was an elaborate one (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Eric Nelson, ArkDem14, roadbear

          I think the three Dems who voted with the GOP on the budget really supported it, for the usual stupid reasons. They're the kind that would. One of them, Tim Sheldon, is hardly even a Democrat and just about every other Democrat in the state senate wishes he'd get it over with and switch parties. Another, Kastama, is basically a Blue Dog/New Democrat/Third Way sort of Dem who represents a working class, suburban district in South King. And the third, Rodney Tom, who I previously had high hopes for, used to be a Republican. He switched parties a few years back.

          The head of Ways and Means in the state senate, Ed Murray, knew that the Republicans were up to something and that they were courting the votes of conservative Democrats to make it happen. However, it was still something of a shock when it happened.

          I would say it's more accurate to say that the Republicans may have been hoist by their own petard, and have fallen into a trap of their own making.

  •  Awesome! We NEED Inslee and MUST defeat McKenna! (6+ / 0-)

    This is a great development. We need Inslee to focus on winning the governor's mansion, and his WA-01 seat is pretty safely Dem.

    WA is one of those presidentially blue states that elects Repubs for statewide office sometimes. McKenna is a much, much more credible threat for Gov than we've had in many cycles -- and recent races (WA-Gov '04, '08) were wins for Dem Gregoire on the very narrowest of margins!

    We need to defeat McKenna. WA schools and higher ed, environment, social programs, worker rights and/or any semblance of tax fairness -- all struggling/threatened already currently -- would go into the sh*tter with McKenna in power. He is a wolf in sheep's clothing, a well-spoken, geeky/smarty-pants technocrat who is just as much of a retrograde corporate tool as any of the crappy state-level actors out there around the country!

    In Obama/Gregoire grassroots work in '08, I personally felt it was all about giving Gregoire all the help possible. (Obama had it in the bag here, not double digit margins but healthy and consistent single digit ones.)

    I think I personally persuaded only like 5 people to vote Gregoire (instead of their leaving that oval blank out of some malcontentment w/her) in the course of my making some 500 phone calls, but it was worth it -- and there were 100 of us phonebank/canvass volunteers there any given day, at that one of a dozen campaign offices, so do the math!

    GO INSLEE!!

    Reality - Humanity - Sustainability

    by Em on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:02:13 PM PST

    •  I might do a diary on this (8+ / 0-)

      I think I might write a diary on reasons why McKenna should never be elected to the governor's office, to be used when talking to people who want to vote for him.

      •  Please do! (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Eric Nelson, princesspat

        Would be very helpful!

        Reality - Humanity - Sustainability

        by Em on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:23:17 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  I'll second that! (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        princesspat, Em, Eric Nelson

        Daves Redistricting: 50 states + DC & PR w/ 2010 data. 42 states + DC w/ election data.

        by dgb on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:37:48 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  And here is a 3rd (5+ / 0-)

        McKenna presents himself as a good administrator and a moderate on his website.  We need to know what he's telling his BASE about his plans for our State, to help convince the folks we talk to.  And I think it's going to take more than just Wisconsin anecdotes - we need McKenna-specifics.

        There are too many people who think it's time to shake up Olympia.

        We're ALL better off when we're ALL better off!

        by susanWAstate on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:52:07 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Posted it up (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          susanWAstate

          Although I don't have too many McKenna specifics written up yet. However, I have heard that he has been courting the Teabaggers like crazy, because despite his generally good image, he doesn't really have his own crowd within the Republican Party. I forget where exactly, but in some article I read a Republican operative was quoted as saying that McKenna doesn't really have a faction in the Republican Party that will stand strongly behind him, and so he has been appealing to the one that is most up for grabs, the Teabaggers. I might have to do some investigation on the matter; it would be fairly easy to do, since I could probably pass for a Republican until I open my mouth, lol.

          •  At the annual Dem crab feed in Olympia (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            roadbear, jsquared, Zack from the SFV

            Last month we had a presentation by Dem 'Tracker', Zach Wurtz, whose job is to attend and record Republican events, especially in Eastern WA - since they tend to give very different speeches in liberal Seattle than they give to their base wing-nuts east of the mountains.  

            With the video, we hope to call them on their hypocrisy.  Of course, they know who he is and often invite him to leave, with police escort at times.  He had a video of Rob McKenna ordering him to turn off his camera and leave a public event at a public community college.  McKenna's staff made three 911 calls, but no arrest was made since the Tracker was not breaking any laws.

            It really makes me wonder what McKenna says when the cameras aren't rolling . . . . Here's a story about it from the Repub viewpoint. http://www.washingtonstatewire.com/...
            who_is_zach_wurtz_and_why_won%E2%80%99t_he_shut_off_that_camera.htm

            And thank you very much for posting your diary! Tipped and Rec'd!

            We're ALL better off when we're ALL better off!

            by susanWAstate on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 07:55:32 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

      •  This Wisconsinite seconds that motion (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Eric Nelson, Em

        Like all too many people in my state, I had no idea how bad Scott Walker would be until last February. The ads against him were just the same sort of stuff that is run against any Republican, plus some parochial stuff that meant little outside Milwaukee County. Heck, I thought the guy was moderate! We can't have another wingnut governor elected due to this sort of ignorance.

        Male, 21, -4.75/-6.92, born and raised TN-05, now WI-02, unapologetic supporter of Obama and Occupy. Tammy Baldwin for Senate and Recall Walker!

        by fearlessfred14 on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 01:22:43 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  Goose all these downticket would-be abstainers! (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ArkDem14, redrelic17

      From phonebanking in 2008, I remember repeatedly talking to everyday (non-politically engaged) Dems of the mindset of "Am totally voting for Obama, but Gregroire not so much" citing XYZ small-ish reason, insert your pet peeve here.

      All it took was a little bit of "If you like Obama, you would NOT like a Gov. Rossi, and truly, w/0.001% margin last time -- you could be in effect throwing it to Rossi" and just citing the fundamental good things Gregoire protects to persuade folks to cast a vote. (It was mostly GOTV Dem-to-Dem calling).

      Generally, positive messaging works best, I think. There were 8 gzillion slimy things one could've said about Rossi, but people appreciate an earnest fellow citizen with positive messaging, and don't necessarily trust the words of a stranger calling them up and stirring up smack about a candidate (if even the guy's truly totally blech).

      Reality - Humanity - Sustainability

      by Em on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 02:14:24 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Who fills the seat until the special election? (0+ / 0-)

    Would Gregoire appoint that person, and if so who's she most likely to?

    "Liberty without virtue would be no blessing to us" - Benjamin Rush, 1777

    by kovie on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:10:23 PM PST

  •  Wash Key in Dem Takeback (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Eric Nelson, roadbear

    With the Wash. CD 1st now up for grabs, Dems must unite behind the winner and come out in droves during the special/ general election. They must beat GOP wing nut Koster who nearly defeated Larsen in 2010, although in the much more marginal 2d CD. Wash. State also has a key race in the "swingy" 6th CD where powerhouse Dicks is "hanging it up" and up -and- coming Derek Kilmer is in the race. We can take nothing for granted in the Evergreen State or nationally to get to the "magic number 25" for a 2012 Dem. House takeback. I'm glad to see Inslee is now neck and neck with McKenna. For more on the CD 6th, Dicks,Kilmer, and GOP rivals, read    this

    •  Actually (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Eric Nelson

      the old 2nd CD isn't much more marginal than the new 1st. In fact I think Patty Murray lost the new 1st which would make it redder than the old 2nd.

      21, male, RI-01 (voting) IL-01 (college), hopeless Swingnut

      by sapelcovits on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:36:44 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yes my read of the new map (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Eric Nelson

        Shows WA-1 as much more Red even as WA-2 becomes more Blue.

        Western Washington from Sound to Cascades runs Blue to Red much as the State as a whole does. And where the old WA 1&2 mostly were oriented W to E the new Districts are much more N to S which among other things took Koster's entire geographic AND demographic base out of old WA-2 into new WA-1. Larsen would laugh at a Koster challenge based on the new lines despite how close it was the last time around. But Koster has a solid shot at a newly open new WA-1. And he is dangerous. Kind of like a Santorum with better self-control, Jon rarely lets the mask drop entirely.

    •  Calling the 6th "swingy" is gross overstatement (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ArkDem14

      I'm not suggesting that we take anything for granted but the 6th lCongressional combines the 27th, 29th and 26th legislative districts and the 27th and 29th are very deep blue. Only the 26th can be light blue bordering on purple.

      I live in the old 6th but am in a part of Lakewood that is in the new 10th.

  •  Announcement at 1pm PST (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    chuckvw, Eric Nelson

    Daves Redistricting: 50 states + DC & PR w/ 2010 data. 42 states + DC w/ election data.

    by dgb on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 12:40:08 PM PST

  •  Go Jay go, (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    chuckvw, Eric Nelson

    although here in E. Wash. the Repug will get all of the votes of course. Ugh. :-(

  •  The new WA-01 district is quite bizarre (3+ / 0-)

    This is a non-partisan way of making the seat more competitive. Although I like Darcy Burner, I'm beginning to wonder if she might be competitive in the northern and eastern parts of the new district.

    •  She won't (4+ / 0-)

      When people talk about carpetbaggers from DC, I think they mean Burner, not DK. Yes, her "home" is here, but it's the image that matters. Koster-Burner would be a disaster.

      Use every man after his desert, and who should 'scape whipping?

      by UncleDavid on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 01:45:57 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I hate you being right here (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        gabjoh, ArkDem14, roadbear

        But you are.

        I love me some Darcy but going from being Executive Director of the Progressive Caucus Policy Foundation to representing the New Wa-1 is a tough proposition. Obviously the old Wa-8 was a tough stretch, the southern part of the district not being that sympathetic while the old Wa-1 would have been a great fit. New Wa-1? Well I'll keep my fingers crossed and a candle in the window. Because there are big differences between Bothell and Blaine that make the new District a much different animal.

        Darcy is smart and energetic but the question is whether she can look natural in the cattle barns at the Evergreen State Fair come August in Monroe. Whereas I bet Koster has pictures of him showing animals at the Fair as a young FFA (Future Farmer of America-Boy Scouts for manure kickers) lad.

        I wish her all the luck but the whole 'Microsoft millionaire' label starts losing its luster once you cross the Snoqualamie River and head north.

        •  do you know about the Daily Kos Elections subsite? (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          gabjoh

          I feel like you're giving some of the type of analysis that would be very welcomed over there.

          19, D, new CA-18 (home) new CA-13 (college). Economic liberal, social libertarian, fiscal conservative. -.5.38, -3.23 Check out my blog at politicohen.com

          by jncca on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 02:38:40 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Just moved from Wash to SF Bay Are (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            ArkDem14

            Meaning my feel for Wa politics is likely approaching its stale date. By Nov even pigeons and seagulls will be turning up their noses at the hardened or moldy crust of my analysis.

            But thanks.

            •  we talk about all parts of the country (0+ / 0-)

              don't worry :) feel free to start commenting there if you desire.

              19, D, new CA-18 (home) new CA-13 (college). Economic liberal, social libertarian, fiscal conservative. -.5.38, -3.23 Check out my blog at politicohen.com

              by jncca on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 04:05:50 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Among its abundance of riches (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                ArkDem14

                The SF Bay Area certainly has plenty of commenters on politics. I spent a lot of my boy hood in Marin and graduated from Los Gatos in what is now called Silicon Valley (though not yet then) and spent almost 20 years in the Berkeley/Oakland area so it is not like I don't have some knowledge, at least of things before 1993. And as I regain familiarity with local political and demographic developments will be more than willing to add my two cents where there seems to be some information gap.

                But FSM Almighty I suspect an ebb in the flow of informed ans semi-informed political commentary in the SF-Oakland-Berkeley zone demanding backfill by me will come along with the same regularity as local total eclipses of the sun.

                People around these parts have opinions. And an amazingly large net number know stuff that actually informs those opinions.

                Besides when I lived in the Pacific Northwest I used to tell a joke that was not really a joke at all:

                "when I left Berkeley I was the most conservative person I knew, when I got here I was the most leftist, funny thing my political views never changed"

                If I see an opening to add value I'll jump in. But it is not like I am in the same position as the only liberal in Kalispell Montana. In the Bay Area my political stance is equivalent to milk toast made with Wonder bread and non-fat milk. Neither filling nor stirring.

      •  I think so, too. (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        FininWA, Inkpen

        I'm in WA-01 and I don't want to be saddled with Koster.  He's truly abysmal.  Driving around today I saw that there are already a lot of Koster signs up.  None for any of the Democrats.  Which is okay since the Primary isn't here yet and the Republicans around here really do invest in sinage over pretty much everything else (other than negative slime ads).  Anyway, not sure who I'll be voting for among the Dems.  I really don't think Darcy can carry this district.  She's too much of a celebrity progressive and that will leave all but the true believers in this district less than impressed with her.  I really have to watch the others more closely and try to figure out which one has the best chance of beating Koster.  It sucks that they did this to my district.  Time to move, I guess.

        They have created a world where everything is an opinion, and nothing is a fact, everybody is entitled to an opinion, and every opinion is equally valid.

        by SlowNomad on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 02:28:37 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  She's not the only choice... (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Inkpen, Zack from the SFV

          What annoys me about Darcy-mania is that it's as if she were the only progressive in the race. I know I'm a Goodman groupie, but he is a fine progressive too, while tempered by having had Actual Legislative Experience and by being a practicing lawyer (his pro-marijuana stance is one I disagree with though, and may give him problems district-wide).

          But he doesn't stand a chance against the name rec of Laura Ruderman, or the money of Suzanne Delbene, let alone the netroots-love of Darcy. I'm having trouble getting enthusiastic about my district this time round (and, to repeat my disclaimer, I phone-banked, gave, and walked for Darcy last time).

          I want to remind everyone: 2012 isn't about electing Darcy Burner. It's much more crucially about electing Nancy Pelosi, which means even Laura would count.

          Use every man after his desert, and who should 'scape whipping?

          by UncleDavid on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 03:43:02 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  It's official (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Em, Eric Nelson, itskevin, askew

    Daves Redistricting: 50 states + DC & PR w/ 2010 data. 42 states + DC w/ election data.

    by dgb on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 01:32:22 PM PST

  •  As a WA-1 resident, I'm a little peeved that (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    FininWA

    the powers-that-be decided that we're better off having no Congressional rep for 9 months rather than have to spend some money on a special election..

  •  Dennis Kucinich (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    FininWA

    Oh, that would be wonderful if Dennis would move here and replace Larsen.

    •  Yes because Wa-2 (7+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gabjoh, Inkpen, jncca, ArkDem14, roadbear, trowaman, R30A

      Home of Boeing's 747 and 787 assembly lines and home to Naval Base Everett with the Nimitz literally moving to its new home-port there this week is a natural fit for Department of Peace advocate Kucinich.

      I spent the 18 years from 1993 to 2011 living in the heart of WA-2, which is to say downtown Everett, and can tell you that place lives and dies on military spending, because the one-time City of Smokestacks doesn't have any left. Not at least since Kimberly-Clark formerly Scott Paper closed their plant this year. To the extent that WA-2 even has an economic base beyond the military it is based on shipping logs, fish, apples and jet liners to Asia. Plus a couple gas refineries.

      Big City ethnic politics Boy Mayor Dennis Kucinich as he was in the 70s would have been a welcome figure to the Democratic Party in NW Washington then and maybe now. The Kucinich that re-emerged starting in the mid-90s as a contrarian peacenik? Hmm, maybe not.

      Western Washington has its own Kucinich and one a lot smarter and more effective than Dennis. His name and unofficial title is Congressman for Life Dr. Jim McDermott. All you need to be represented by a true heroic progressive is to move to anyplace in Seattle, hell Republicans barely put up even token opponents. It is not like there is a gaping hole in the Party just waiting for DK to fill and frankly the whole concept is a little insulting. Or would be if I hadn't moved out of state in Dec.

      I'll be the first to admit that Larsen is not Mr. Excitement but it is hard to see why that area needs another lightning rod when they have Dr. Jim (aka Baghdad Jim for his opposition to the Iraqi War) to make Wingnut heads explode at will.

      Parachute Dennis into Idaho or Alabama or somewhere the Party might need some shakeup. But Washington ain't it.

  •  Good news on all fronts really (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ArkDem14, trowaman

    As long as Special K or Darcy Brunner do not get the nod we are in good shape here. If we go with Suzan Delbene we will be in good shape. The district is very Democratic now, it will be fairly easy to hold in a special. Then this gives Delbene incumbency for when she runs in the general, when the seat becomes significantly more swingy. Though it works both ways, if Brunner somehow gets the nod then we are pretty much screwed. Does anyone know when the special would be? June or so I would think, hopefully they do not hold off until the GE for the rest of the term.  

    "Osama bin Laden is dead and General Motors is alive." -Vice President Joe Biden

    by drhoosierdem on Sat Mar 10, 2012 at 03:59:35 PM PST

    •  There will be no special (0+ / 0-)

      according to The News Tribune and the Seattle Times. There would have been a special election called if Inslee has resigned before March 6th. Since his resignation comes after that, the state constitution allows for it to remain open until filled at the next regular election.

      There was some speculation (fueled in part by a Politico story) that there would be simultaneous special and regular elections on the normal primary and general scheduled dates with the special selecting under the old district lines just for the period from the November election through the end of the current term but both Reed and Gregoire have said that won't happen.

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