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Rick Santorum, Mitt Romney
It's so hard to imagine why women aren't throwing their votes at these guys. (Joshua Lott/Reuters)
The War on Women appears to be bearing rotten fruit for Republicans. A USA Today/Gallup poll of 12 all-important swing states finds President Obama taking a giant lead over Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum among women.

USA Today/Gallup. March 20-26. ±4%. Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

All voters
Obama: 51
Romney: 42

Women
Obama: 54
Romney: 36

Men
Obama: 47
Romney: 48

Obama leads Rick Santorum by a 53 to 38 margin among women and 50 to 44 among men, for an overall 52 to 41 lead. The fact that neither Republican can make up their unpopularity among women by building a lead among men is bad news for the GOP, but what's noteworthy in this poll is the shift among women voters during the past month and a half of non-stop War on Women. USA Today's Susan Page notes that:
In mid-February, just under half of [women under 50] supported Obama. Now more than six in 10 do while Romney's support among them has dropped by 14 points, to 30%. The president leads him 2-1 in this group.
One Republican strategist is quoted saying "The focus on contraception has not been a good one for us ... and Republicans have unfairly taken on water on this issue." Unfairly? There's a claim I'd be interested in hearing developed further. She admits that there has been a focus on contraception, yet somehow it's unfair when it's reflected negatively in the polls?

Like so many things, we'll likely see some movement back toward Romney when he shakes the Etch-A-Sketch and rebrands himself yet again as someone who's not really connected to the Republican party. The problem for him is, while that may work among a few low-information voters with very short memories, Romney's promises to get rid of Planned Parenthood and his support for the Blunt amendment allowing employers to exclude birth control and any other health service they religiously or morally disapprove of from insurance coverage won't be forgotten by enough women to make up the difference.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:02 AM PDT.

Also republished by Pro Choice, Sluts, and Abortion.

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Comment Preferences

  •  This is not surprising at all. (14+ / 0-)

    And I would hope that even a lot of "Republican" women, once they are voting in privacy, would have a conscience and not vote 'R'.

    "The right to be heard does not automatically include the right to be taken seriously." -- Hubert H. Humphrey

    by Candide08 on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:05:05 AM PDT

    •  At 38% it's getting close to the point with (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      sfcouple, shoeless, Candide08, Matt Z

      Bush/Cheney that never seems to budge. Is seems there is now always ~30% of the population that wants Republican policies no matter how wonked as long as they get promised low taxes. About 20% probably comes from the people who think they'll be millionaires one day (even though the number who achieve it is closer to 2%) the rest are probably Christian fundies. No matter what Democrats say or do they probably won't sway those two groups of voters.

      "What profit a man, if he gain the world, but has to pay taxes on it?" Paul 8:36

      From the Gospel of St. Ron Paul in the Teachings and Misunderstandings of the Words of Adam Smith

      by ontheleftcoast on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:18:56 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  immaculately, their water broke over this issue (10+ / 0-)
    One Republican strategist is quoted saying "The focus on contraception has not been a good one for us ... and Republicans have unfairly taken on water on this issue."

    slutty voter for a "dangerous president"; Präsidentenelf-maßschach; Warning-Some Snark Above"Nous sommes un groupuscule" (-9.50; -7.03) "Sciant terra viam monstrare." 政治委员, 政委!

    by annieli on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:06:55 AM PDT

    •  Water Broke (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      annieli, Harkov311, shoeless, thomask, Matt Z

      Response: If you "got it" you wouldn't be a republican

      by JML9999 on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:12:07 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Nah, this is self inflicted (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        JML9999, annieli

        They tried to induce prematurely on a high risk pregnancy.

        •  Roseanne episode 1996 "Satan, Darling" (0+ / 0-)
          Roseanne, Jackie, and Nancy visit New York City's Upper West Side, where they meet celebrities and are invited to Martha's Vineyard by a woman named Astrid Wentworth. After getting drunk with Edina Monsoon (Jennifer Saunders) and Patsy Stone (Joanna Lumley), Roseanne has a Rosemary's Baby-parody nightmare of Darlene giving birth to Satan.

          slutty voter for a "dangerous president"; Präsidentenelf-maßschach; Warning-Some Snark Above"Nous sommes un groupuscule" (-9.50; -7.03) "Sciant terra viam monstrare." 政治委员, 政委!

          by annieli on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:37:37 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  strategist was feeling a bit o' bloating...? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      annieli, shoeless

      ...sorta a periodic thing?

      Cheers.

    •  Scarborough and Cook pushed this idea (0+ / 0-)

      and I don't buy it.

      Romney isn't being hurt by Santorum et al. He is hurt because in not standing up for where he actually does stand on these positions, he reveals a cowardice that disqualifies him from consideration to run the government. All we know about his guts at this point is that if we're in a conflict with some country during a romney presidency, he will a) throw a lot of money into negative advertising against the country and expect it to fold up its tent and go away, and b) slip up and refer to the country based on what it was but hasn't been in a years.

      Have you heard? The vice president's gone mad. - Bob Dylan, 1966

      by textus on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 09:15:05 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Time to do something mavericky! (6+ / 0-)

    Who will be the next female republican VP nominee?  A Sarah re-do or someone else, someone just as clueless, or more so?

    Got Social Security? Thank a Democrat!

    by Fury on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:06:59 AM PDT

  •  As I eagerly await the ham handed response (9+ / 0-)

    from the Romney Campaign to pander....

    Response: If you "got it" you wouldn't be a republican

    by JML9999 on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:07:43 AM PDT

  •  Well, maybe if the Republicans didn't treat women (8+ / 0-)

    like a vagina on legs women might respect them more.

    "What profit a man, if he gain the world, but has to pay taxes on it?" Paul 8:36

    From the Gospel of St. Ron Paul in the Teachings and Misunderstandings of the Words of Adam Smith

    by ontheleftcoast on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:08:11 AM PDT

  •  run away (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    skillet, OldDragon, quill, Matt Z, davelf2

    Why are Dems letting the Republicans ignore the Bush "legacy?"  Let's keep on reminding Americans why the economy was screwed--why we went into 2 stupid wars-- who deregulated big business--who emasculated regulatory agencies?  Romney campaigned for Bush in 2004--let's talk about "Bushcare."  Do we all feel better because of that compassionate conservative?

    Apres Bush, le deluge.

    by melvynny on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:08:40 AM PDT

  •  sidebar: PA voter ID (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Fury, Marjmar, majcmb1, Matt Z, askew

    http://thevotingnews.com/...

    Most college ID cards of no use as Pennsylvania voter ID

    When Gov. Tom Corbett signed a law this month requiring voters to present photo identification at the polls in order to cast their ballots, it looked like college students got a break.

    The voter ID law included student identification cards issued by Pennsylvania colleges on a short list of acceptable forms of identification — as long as those IDs have expiration dates. The problem is, most college IDs don’t.

    Accumulating data about you isn't just a strange hobby for these corporations [Google, Facebook] it's their whole business model, said Sen. Al Franken. And you are not their client. You are their product.

    by anyname on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:10:05 AM PDT

    •  Does the card itself have to have (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      anyname, davelf2

      an expiration date or can there be a sticker with one? When I was at one of the local community college, the card didn't expire but every term you'd get a sticker (sort of like the year sticker you put on your car to show it's registered) that would have the term it was valid for, such as SPR12 (for Spring 2012).

      The optimist sees the glass as half-full. The pessimist sees the glass as half-empty. The realist just knows she's thirsty.

      by Cali Scribe on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 09:21:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  sounds like a solution the college (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        davelf2

        can implement prior to Nov 6th election

        sticker from the U with expiration date

        Accumulating data about you isn't just a strange hobby for these corporations [Google, Facebook] it's their whole business model, said Sen. Al Franken. And you are not their client. You are their product.

        by anyname on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 09:26:56 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Could be a "solution" the dem party of PA (0+ / 0-)

          should be looking at....what about the college dems? Any coordination between the dems party of PA and the college dem bodies?

          "When fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in a flag and carrying a cross." Sinclair Lewis, 1935 --Talk of foresight--

          by tuma on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 10:18:53 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  if the dems aren't the (0+ / 0-)

            gop sure is thinking about it and how to counterattack

            Accumulating data about you isn't just a strange hobby for these corporations [Google, Facebook] it's their whole business model, said Sen. Al Franken. And you are not their client. You are their product.

            by anyname on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 12:36:06 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  Problem is, what are we doing to remedy this? (0+ / 0-)

      Trust me, if this was something affecting the GOP (granted we'd never be that cynical)  they'd be up in arms. What are the dems party in these states with voter suppression laws doing?.

      In a very close election, these may might just be what gets Romney across the line...and this election is going to be very close.
      -What might be telling is polls on those who would actually vote...

      The voter ID law included student identification cards issued by Pennsylvania colleges on a short list of acceptable forms of identification — as long as those IDs have expiration dates. The problem is, most college IDs don’t.

      "When fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in a flag and carrying a cross." Sinclair Lewis, 1935 --Talk of foresight--

      by tuma on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 09:31:36 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  It's a shame he's getting blamed (4+ / 0-)

    for all this. After all, he's been forthright and explicit in his denunciation of these anti-women proposals.

    Oh, wait a minute ...

    Fight until we win. Then we can begin arguing about the details. - Kwickkick (RIP) 2009

    by RickMassimo on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:12:10 AM PDT

  •  he's right. (11+ / 0-)
    Republicans have unfairly taken on water on this issue.
    The media unfairly had cameras and microphones on Republicans when they talked.


    may we not be strangers in the lush province of joy - Charles Wright

    by AlyoshaKaramazov on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:13:00 AM PDT

  •  To make a further point: (10+ / 0-)
    "The fact that neither Republican can make up their unpopularity among women by building a lead among men is bad news for the GOP..."
    The issue of contraception is hurting the GOP among both genders because men as well as women are overwhelmingly in favor of contraception.

    Dogs are people, but corporations aren't.

    by Greasy Grant on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:14:13 AM PDT

  •  Those poll numbers would translate to a Dukasis (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Fury, skillet

    ..type or Mondale-type defeat for the Republicans.

    We likely won't see anything like them in November.

    Here we are now Entertain us I feel stupid and contagious

    by Scarce on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:15:00 AM PDT

  •  Why Would A Woman Vote For The GOP? (7+ / 0-)

    Unless they were suffering from Stockholm Syndrome.

    This head movie makes my eyes rain.

    by The Lone Apple on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:15:17 AM PDT

  •  Hispanics will be showing up on radar soon. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Fury
  •  Not surprising but what the heck is wrong with men (5+ / 0-)

    We're not that dumb are we?  I guess so...

    •  No, not dumb. (0+ / 0-)

      Merely focused (narrowly) on self-interest.

      "The most potent weapon in the hands of the oppressor is the mind of the oppressed." ~ Steven Biko

      by Marjmar on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:23:05 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Personally... (0+ / 0-)

      I think it goes back to the '60s and Nixon and the ERA.

      Unfortunately at the time, it was generally perceived (as promulgated by the GOP) that gains by women meant loss for men.

      We've come a long way since then, and younger men definitely don't see things the same way. While the general assumption is that we just wait until all the geezers croak, I don't understand why we can't campaign that support for women is NOT a zero sum proposition.

      What separates us, divides us, and diminishes the human spirit.

      by equern on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 11:07:30 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Pffft doesn't matter. (0+ / 0-)

    This is easily solved by phase II of requiring photo ID to vote. Nationwide ban on women driving.

    I wonder if this is how easy it is to be a high powered GOP strategist because I could use the extra income.

    •  Yes, I can see this (0+ / 0-)

      GOP-controlled states mandate all women - gay, straight, single, married, young, old, whatever - to get ultrasounds on the first tuesday of November.

      Ultra-sounds or one of those women's-health things.

      Have you heard? The vice president's gone mad. - Bob Dylan, 1966

      by textus on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 09:21:47 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  The GOP has nothing to offer me as a woman, (5+ / 0-)

    nor as a mother.

    I have personally experienced the "Pro-Zygote" attitude, even with wanted pregnancies.

    Once that baby hits air, you are all on your own.

    I don't need another man in the doctor's office. I don't care what their excuses for being so intrusive might be.

    I am tired of their cluelessness, their insensitivity, their paternalistic bullshit and their short sightedness with regard to just about every issue under the sun, but most especially with regard to women's issues. Any kind of women's issue.

    I won't vote for a party that embraces policy that clearly indicates that women are not genuine human beings deserving of full citizenship, equal rights, and personal sovereignty.

    •  It depends on how old you are (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bepanda

      If you are younger, the Republicans might draft that obnoxious creep who has been pestering you for a date.

      They will send him off to die in an illegal war.

      •  Uh, I had to serve with those obnoxious creeps (0+ / 0-)

        that were hauled off to war--and don't do me or my other female or male counterparts in the service any favors.

        That whole crazy idea that criminals make the best soldiers is bunk.

        They just make the service a living hell for honest folk like me who were there to do their duty.

  •  The Republicans can read polls just as easily (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    A Runner, Cali Scribe, Matt Z

    As Democrats.  They can see the writing on the wall, re: contraception/war on women.  Why do you think that they've suddenly discovered that Trayvon was a scary black dude?  They're desperately trying to pivot from sexism to racism because it's easier to get people to fear rampaging blacks than women with birth control.  Plus there are fewer black voters to piss off than women voters.
    They're losing too many votes in the war on women.  It's our job to make sure they lose just as many votes in their war on black kids.

  •  I don't like it either (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bepanda

    Once gas goes to $6 a gallon, some women are going to vote for the candidate that makes implausible promises to lower its price.

    Even if that means making their boyfriends or husbands use condoms.

    •  If you believe gas is going to $6 this summer, (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bepanda, askew

      then you believe the gop scare tactics. Nothing points to gas prices at that level. Nothing.

      In fact, gop tears are aflowing because the gas prices has failed to rise to the $5 mark. In fact, the national average is still well below $3.90.

      "Refuse to believe in the Culture of Fear"-Thievery Corp.

      by A Runner on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 09:21:48 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Does it matter? (0+ / 0-)

        Once the gas gets to 6$ a gallon hypothetically speaking, we will be right back at 2007 again.

        Where increasing numbers of Americans cannot afford to drive to work and have no access to reliable public transportation and many do not have access to bike lanes or even sidewalks.

        The GOP isn't going to fix that either way.

        They want us fat, with no sidewalks, buses, libraries, stupid and poor.

  •  A "few" low information Voters? (6+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    annieli, majcmb1, Utahrd, skyounkin, Matt Z, asm121

    There's more than a few around. Just come hang out with the people I have to work with.

    Just another day in Oceania.

    by drshatterhand on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:27:02 AM PDT

  •  Internet makes Etch-A-Sketch shaking harder (5+ / 0-)

    Time was that many candidates could just brush off changes in their positions by claiming that they didn't remember saying it at all (Reagan) or that they don't recall "putting it quite that way" (Goldwater).  The internet I think has made that harder.

    If Romney's planning to pivot back, he'd better have a lot of very convincing reasons why he changed his mind, beyond "well I was trying to win the primary, ok!?"  And I think Obama, if anything, is counting on him tacking center.  Then they can say "See, we told you he didn't have any principles!"

    I think Romney's in trouble either way.  If he stays to the right he turns off all the moderates, if he tacks to the middle he falls right into the number one attack against him: that he's a soulless empty suit.

    All your vote are belong to us.

    by Harkov311 on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:27:49 AM PDT

  •  Republicans really hate it (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Matt Z

    when the people they are trying to hurt view them negatively. If everyone felt this way, they would be at 1% in the polls.

    I believe all Southern liberals come from the same starting point -- race. Once you figure out they are lying to you about race, you start to question everything.- Molly Ivins

    by shoeless on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:28:40 AM PDT

  •  It's "Unfair"... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    majcmb1, Utahrd, skyounkin, Matt Z

    ...when a Republican reaps the consequences of his actions.

    On the Internet, nobody knows if you're a dog... but everybody knows if you're a jackass.

    by stevemb on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:31:02 AM PDT

  •  won't be forgotten?? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    skyounkin, Matt Z

    C'mon, we are talking about the American public here - of course they will forget all of this stuff!

    Maybe I'm just a pessimist about people's attention spans on important issues like reproductive rights, but unless someone(s) relentlessly reminds the female electorate of all the ways that Romney is such a shitbag, his etch-a-sketch strategy will work. IOW it will take a serious effort to keep this stuff on people's minds, and I'm not talking about an occasional speech by Obama or Biden. Will the Dem Party or Obama re-election campaign do this, or will they take the women's vote for granted? Abortion rights and contraception are very controversial, don't ya know...

  •  Go sisters! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    majcmb1, Matt Z

    One of the interesting things about the numbers is that there are more undecideds among the women (10%) than the men (5%).  I don't know if that is typical but it might also mean there is more opportunity to pick up support for Democratic candidates among women.

    I'm not liberal. I'm actually just anti-evil, OK? - Elon James White

    by Satya1 on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:43:32 AM PDT

  •  and we'd make sure they don't... (0+ / 0-)
    The problem for him is, while that may work among a few low-information voters with very short memories, Romney's promises to get rid of Planned Parenthood and his support for the Blunt amendment allowing employers to exclude birth control and any other health service they religiously or morally disapprove of from insurance coverage won't be forgotten by enough women to make up the difference.

    "When fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in a flag and carrying a cross." Sinclair Lewis, 1935 --Talk of foresight--

    by tuma on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 08:46:02 AM PDT

  •  The same circumstances led to Palin for veep... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bepanda

    If they decide to go with another hockey mom from the Paleolithic era for their game changer, they should probably vet her this time.

    •  Sharon Angle or O'Donnell ... (0+ / 0-)

      They might chose a Sharon Angle or O'Donnell this time around. Or the lady from NH (or is it CT)? Ayotte is her name, I believe.
      Nah, there is no way Mitt RMoney doesn't select a Southerner as VP. Wouldn't make any sense at all.

    •  Sorry sir...you do not win women just (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GreenMother

      because you have a woman on your ticket...sorry not with ultra-sounds bills, personhood bills,   killing PP...McCain found that out and I remember a one time Geradine Ferraro?(sp)

      "When fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in a flag and carrying a cross." Sinclair Lewis, 1935 --Talk of foresight--

      by tuma on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 10:05:01 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Flip-flopping entered the national lexicon years (0+ / 0-)

    ago.

    mittbots unrivaled personal chamelion dance will turn off moderates.

    Yes, mittbot will tack to the center. Yes he will get a pass from the MSM who desperately want a horserace in November.

    But mittbot has some serious issues.

    1. His plans to dismantle PP. I would not be surprised if he flipped on this issue if pressed.
    2. His campaign has proved to be inept thus far, much like McPhaylin 08. Their stumbles get more scrutiny as we move closer to November.
    3. For all the hate directed at Obamacare, this issue will not sway any indies or moderates because Romneycare is a yoke around mitts neck that makes him look foolish if he criticized Obamacare.
    4. mittbots willingness to take on any position to suit the moment will cast further serious doubt on his authenticity.
    5. mittbot will continue to assault Obama is "different" and "other", which will not work with moderates and indies who voted Obama in 08. In fact, it pisses them off for being regarded as gullible.

    The race will be closer than it should be, but barring an October Surprise, the soshul1st muslim usurper wins and we watch the spectacle, yet again, of the gop blaming themsleves for lack of purity as they grind further to the far right for 2014.

    "Refuse to believe in the Culture of Fear"-Thievery Corp.

    by A Runner on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 09:12:23 AM PDT

  •  The gop "strategist" in question is (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Matt Z, GreenMother

    Sara Taylor Fagen, a KKKarl Rove protoge.

    She's trying to have it both ways, as usual. She wants the rabid rabble up in arms over free birth control for uncontrolled female sexytime AND wants to be able to deny this as rabble rousing to the MSM-to plead "we sooo misunderstood!"

    No you are not. We understand exactly what you are up to.

    "Refuse to believe in the Culture of Fear"-Thievery Corp.

    by A Runner on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 09:19:03 AM PDT

  •  36% of women would vote for RMoney? (0+ / 0-)

    This means, WE have failed to enlighten lots of women. There is still plenty of work  to do.
    I will feel more comfortable, when that number goes below 25%.

    •  Keep in mind that some of these polls are skewed (0+ / 0-)

      Huge discrepancies exist if they focus only on demographics with land lines, or where the median-age or income is higher on the whole.

      I would be looking at the sample and how they gathered these results before sweating any bullets.

  •  Why can't we win among MEN??? (0+ / 0-)

    While the point of this article seems to crow about how plush a cushion Obama has among women, I'm rather surprised at the near parity among men.

    Perhaps it's just a case of more of the same, and eventually males will catch up with women and support us, but I still wonder why we as a party lag among men.

    When it comes to defense and security, Democrats are every bit as strong as the GOP, we just do it more intelligently.

    Obama is perhaps the most athletic president we've had since George Washington.

    Traditionally, men are less religious than women, so I don't understand that one either.

    Democratic support for women does not have to be, and in fact, is not a zero sum game.

    If we can get that message across, we can blast across the partisan divide in any "battle of the sexes", recast the Democratic party as the party of everyone's best interests, and defeat the GOP at their own game.

    Plus, there'd be nothing stopping us from become the overwhelming majority party for years to come.

    The GOP has absolutely NOTHING to offer except vacuity.

    What separates us, divides us, and diminishes the human spirit.

    by equern on Mon Apr 02, 2012 at 10:53:44 AM PDT

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