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Overview: Voting Law Changes In 2012

Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law

A shift that could change the electoral landscape is underway -- the tightening of restrictions on who can vote and how Americans can vote. Going into the 2012 elections, there will be millions of Americans who will find that since 2008, there are new barriers that could prevent them from voting.
[...]

 * These new laws could make it significantly harder for more than five million eligible voters to cast ballots in 2012.


How many people voted in 2008 anyways ?


Well according to the NY Times:

Election Results 2008 -- December 09, 2008

66,862,039   [Obama]
58,319,442   [McCain]
125,181,481   [Total]


So if the new Voter ID laws could prevent about five million from voting in 2012 -- What is the percentage out of total voters, effected?


5,000,000 / 125,181,481 x 100 =

3.99%


4 Percent of the people may lose their right to vote -- all in the name of "preventing Voter Fraud."  That's the GOP Solution.


How big a problem is the supposed "Voter Fraud" problem anyways?

Well according to Brennan Center for Justice, it's minuscule. Microscopic.


Policy Brief on the Truth About “Voter Fraud” -- Analysis

Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law -- Updated September 2006

[...]
 Fraud by individual voters is both irrational and extremely rare. Most citizens who take the time to vote offer their legitimate signatures and sworn oaths with the gravitas that this hard-won civic right deserves. Even for the few who view voting merely as a means to an end, however, voter fraud is a singularly foolish way to attempt to win an election. Each act of voter fraud risks five years in prison and a $10,000 fine -- but yields at most one incremental vote. The single vote is simply not worth the price.

Because voter fraud is essentially irrational, it is not surprising that no credible evidence suggests a voter fraud epidemic. There is no documented wave or trend of individuals voting multiple times, voting as someone else, or voting despite knowing that they are ineligible. Indeed, evidence from the microscopically scrutinized 2004 gubernatorial election in Washington State actually reveals just the opposite: though voter fraud does happen, it happens approximately 0.0009% of the time. The similarly closely-analyzed 2004 election in Ohio revealed a voter fraud rate of 0.00004%. National Weather Service data shows that Americans are struck and killed by lightning about as often.
[...]


3.99%  / 0.00004% = 99,750  


Their ALEC-created Solution is nearly 100K times BIGGER than the supposed Voter Fraud problem, itself.

Amazing!   Talk about relying on 'Big Government' solutions.  That's our GOP.


For every loon like James O'Keefe, willing to take on the Felony Risks of actually committing Voter Fraud, 100,000 law-abiding citizens MUST be hindered from Voting, in the manner that they are accustom to, that they have done, all their lives ???


THAT is  the GOP's 4% Percent Solution, for a problem that happens as infrequent as lightning-strike deaths.

Guess what America, We've been struck!   BLAM!  

We are in the process of being Disenfranchised -- Don't Blink!  

We had better duck-&-cover ... the specter of Alberto Gonzales has spoken.


Can I vote .org   ... find out.



Originally posted to Digging up those Facts ... for over 8 years. on Mon Apr 30, 2012 at 07:08 PM PDT.

Also republished by American Legislative Transparency Project and Barriers and Bridges.

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Comment Preferences

  •  if you prefer (5+ / 0-)

    some more stats and details,

    including an updated recent study on the supposed Voter Fraud problem, check out:


    Voter Fraud happens as often as ...
    by jamess -- Apr 29, 2012


    thanks for your support


    What is necessary to change a person is to change his awareness of himself.
    -- Maslow ...... my list.

    by jamess on Mon Apr 30, 2012 at 07:12:36 PM PDT

  •  It Hits Democratic Voters Disproportionately Since (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jamess, ncarolinagirl, palantir, Egalitare

    that is its intent, so it could be say a 6% loss of Democratic votes.

    For the party that deliberately campaigns for small margin wins, could even be "significant."

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Mon Apr 30, 2012 at 07:24:24 PM PDT

  •  Better a Thousand Men Should Lose Their Rights (7+ / 0-)

    than that one ineligible man should participate.

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Mon Apr 30, 2012 at 07:25:29 PM PDT

  •  Obviously (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jamess, palantir

    If you don't vote the way Repubs want, you are a fraud and should be prevented from voting!

    I reject your reality and substitute my own - Adam Savage

    by woolibaar on Mon Apr 30, 2012 at 07:30:30 PM PDT

  •  As many as 10% of eligible voters do not have (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jethrock, Eric Nelson, Egalitare


    Policy Brief on Voter Identification -- Analysis

    Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law

    As many as 10% of eligible voters do not have, and will not get, the documents required by strict voter ID laws. Approximately ten percent of voting-age Americans today do not have driver’s licenses or state-issued non-driver’s photo ID. Based on Americans’ moving patterns, many more do not have photo ID showing their current address. And getting ID costs substantial time and money. A would-be voter must pay substantial fees both for ID cards and the backup documents needed to get them-up to $100 for a driver’s license, up to $45 for a birth certificate, $97 for a passport, and over $200 for naturalization papers. The voter may also have to take several hours off of work and travel significant distances to visit government offices open only during select daytime hours. Finally, many identifying documents cannot be issued immediately, so potential voters must allow for processing and shipping, which may take from several weeks to an entire year.


    What is necessary to change a person is to change his awareness of himself.
    -- Maslow ...... my list.

    by jamess on Mon Apr 30, 2012 at 07:40:36 PM PDT

  •  a supposed epidemic of voter fraud (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Eric Nelson


    THE RIGHT TO VOTE UNDER ATTACK: The Campaign to Keep Millions of Americans from the Ballot Box

    People for the American Way

    Introduction

    Shortly after George W. Bush took office in 2001, his administration launched a concerted effort to crack down on a supposed epidemic of voter fraud in the United States. The campaign to identify and eliminate such fraud became such a priority that escalating political pressure from the White House eventually drove the Justice Department to fire U.S. attorneys who were seen as weak on prosecuting cases of fraud, in a politically-charged purge. State legislatures across the country also embarked on a zealous mission to fight the problem of “voter fraud,” while right-wing pundits and advocacy groups [ALEC] made it their goal to expose and defeat the so-called voter fraud epidemic. Claims that corrupt organizations, illegal immigrants and political machines were stealing elections away from voters became common refrains in the right-wing media and political debates.


    What is necessary to change a person is to change his awareness of himself.
    -- Maslow ...... my list.

    by jamess on Mon Apr 30, 2012 at 07:42:44 PM PDT

  •  They're scoundrels, and they're crooks, and (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jamess

    they're genuises. They continually steal elections in front of our eyes.

    There can be no protection locally if we're content to ignore the fact that there are no controls globally.

    by oldpotsmuggler on Mon Apr 30, 2012 at 07:50:01 PM PDT

  •  I can't believe this is not getting more attention (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jamess, Eric Nelson

    I have watched this incredible travesty unfold from here on the front lines -- Wisconsin.  I am beside myself.  Partly, obviously, because of the scurrilous work of the Republicans and their ALEC co-conspirators.  But also because this has occurred in broad daylight, building steadily for years and years, with no effective, concerted, coordinated response that I can see from the national (or state) Democratic Party.  The idea that millions of citizens will be deprived of the most fundamental right in a democracy is just infuriating.  I've long ago given up hope that conscientious Republicans -- do such even exist anymore? -- would speak up and take action.  But where are the national Democrats on this??  

  •  Then we'll have to beat Romney by more than 4%.. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jamess, Egalitare

    ..and challenge every voter suppression law up to and beyond 2012 elections.

     I knew you'd nail down the numbers on this. I'd heard someone @ MSNBC do the numbers state by state that President Obama would not win if all the voter suppression laws enacted today were in place in 2008. It wasn't pretty.

    The Presidential race, though absolutely vital, is only one race. We have races from the state houses all the way down ballot to school boards.
    This is where Rove and his crossroads GPS' giant money machine: is being put to work - along with other corporate pacs, but check out Harold Simmons $:

    Mr. Simmons was a key donor for the Swift Boat veterans’ attack ads against Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry in 2004, as well as the 2008 campaign ads touting ties between Mr. Obama and Bill Ayers, co-founder of the radical Weather Underground. “If we had run more ads,” he said, “we could have killed Obama
    And why I believe down ballot races are the Rove plan:
    The very private Mr. Simmons and the well-known Mr. Rove have become unlikely partners, chatting by phone every couple of days. “Karl won’t waste my money,” Mr. Simmons said, noting that American Crossroads doesn’t sink money into hopeless or easily winnable contests. -
    “Getting control of Congress is almost as important as beating the president,” he said. “If Republicans can get control of the Senate, we can block that crap,” which he described as over-regulation of business.
    Eyes wide open aproach

    Thx jamess

    •  thanks Eric (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Eric Nelson

      there's a lot riding on this next election.


      thank goodness, Romney is Romney!

      he may cause 4% of the GOP to stay at home.


      What is necessary to change a person is to change his awareness of himself.
      -- Maslow ...... my list.

      by jamess on Mon Apr 30, 2012 at 09:49:41 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Basic "blocking and tackling" (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jamess, Eric Nelson

      Ground game is where we need to put no less than 25% of all funds raised, at all levels. That may not sound like much, but in my experience, the short term benefit of "seeing polling movement" and the need to indulge the big donors by seeing their funds used in a way they can see leads to most campaigns spending in excess of 95% of funds raised between winning a nomination and 30 days out from Election Day on media.

      I was involved in GOTV in several statewide races during the peak influence period of the DLC. The "ground game" was viewed with utter disdain by many of those folks. They preferred the comfortable digs of the media consultants, focus group experts and ad men to meeting with ground organizing specialists - until some less obtuse person "in the room" apparently looked a calendar in very late September and suggested that it might be a good idea to rustle up some live bodies to actually go vote.

      When you are right you cannot be too radical; when you are wrong, you cannot be too conservative. --Martin Luther King Jr.

      by Egalitare on Tue May 01, 2012 at 04:52:25 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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