Skip to main content

Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton (D)
Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton (D)
Public Policy Polling (PDF). 5/10-13. North Carolina voters. MoE ±3.8% (3/8-11 in parentheses):
Walter Dalton (D): 40 (35)
Pat McCrory (R): 46 (46)
Undecided: 13 (19)
The race to be North Carolina's governor hasn't looked too good for the Democrats for several years now. Dem incumbent Bev Perdue almost always trailed Republican Pat McCrory (the former mayor of Charlotte, who narrowly lost in 2008 to Perdue) in the polls, and when she decided to limit herself to one term instead of losing re-election, potential fill-in Democrats kept trailing McCrory by similarly wide margins. However, with the Democratic primary concluded, there's been notable movement in the Dems' direction... probably not enough to start thinking of the race as a tossup, but still a positive sign.

Walter Dalton, the state's Lieutenant Governor, won the Democratic primary last week in convincing fashion. He may be getting a bit of a consolidation bounce as a result, or it may be something more permanent as people finally figure out who he is; either way, he's down by only 6 instead of 11 as he was in March. Dalton's name rec is looking better, with 28/26 favorables now (up from 17/25 in January) and 47% still not sure, giving him room for growth. McCrory doesn't seem to be getting better-known, but he does start the general well-liked, at 41/28.

McCrory's definitely still starting out with the advantage here, but at least we can see that Dalton will keep this race competitive. The key numbers that should give us some hope: the GOP is already unified behind McCrory, who gets 84% of the Republican vote. Dalton only gets 68% of the Democratic vote, so undecideds are poised to break more in his direction.

The gubernatorial race, interestingly, is the Dems' weakest spot among the various statewide races; that's a good sign that the Democratic brand is still relatively healthy in North Carolina. In the Lt. Gov race (to replace Dalton), Dem nominee Linda Coleman leads both the GOPers who might emerge from runoff, Dan Forest (by a 41-40 margin) and Tony Gurley (by a 42-38 margin). Democratic incumbent state Treasurer Janet Cowell leads Steve Royal 41-37, while Walter Smith is competitive against incumbent GOP Ag Commissioner Steve Troxler, down 42-38.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site