In order to persuade voters to pick him over Mr. Obama, he must demonstrate that he would make their personal situations markedly better.Indeed, Romney's promise is actually higher than the one the Obama administration makes. Last year, the administration projected a six percent rate by the end of 2016, but subsequently said that their forecast was stale and that unemployment would drop more quickly than that, though they declined to give a specific target. And as Shear notes, a slew of respected nonpartisan and independent projections say unemployment is already on track to hit six percent by the end of 2016, if not sooner.
That argument loses power if his promise is the same as the one that Mr. Obama makes.
Those facts alone are enough to demonstrate the absurdity of Romney's claim, but it's also worth pointing out that under his policies, things would actually get worse. The core of Romney's economic plan is a dramatic $10 trillion tax cut for the wealthy coupled with enormous spending cuts and widespread regulatory rollbacks. Basically, he's proposing to double-down on Bush's trickle-down philosophy ... while simultaneously imposing severe austerity. It's a recipe for economic disaster, no matter what unemployment rate he promises.