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One theme that has marked this week thus far, and a theme most Democrats will find amenable, has been one in which Barack Obama has done marginally better in trial heats with Mitt Romney than he had done for most of the month of May.

Quite a bit of today's data (a new independent poll in Virginia, coupled with a GOP-sponsored poll in Wisconsin) buttresses that theme. But there was also a new poll out of Michigan (by local pollsters EPIC-MRA) that went in a dramatically different direction, while the Gallup tracker also headed in a red direction. And then, later in the day, Purple Strategies dropped their latest set of battleground polls which included an Ohio poll which recalls the old song "One of These Ones is Not Like the Others."

Ultimately, today was (yet again!) one of those days where either side could cherry-pick to their heart's content.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-45)

NATIONAL (Monmouth): Obama d. Romney (46-42)

NATIONAL (Purple Strategies): Obama d. Romney (48-46)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama tied with Romney (46-46)

COLORADO (Purple Strategies): Obama d. Romney (48-46)

COLORADO (Rasmussen): Obama tied with Romney (45-45)

FLORIDA (Purple Strategies): Romney d. Obama (49-45)

MICHIGAN (EPIC-MRA): Romney d. Obama (46-45)

MINNESOTA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (54-39)

OHIO (Purple Strategies): Romney d. Obama (48-45)

VIRGINIA (Purple Strategies): Obama d. Romney (49-46)

VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac): Obama d. Romney (47-42)

WISCONSIN (We Ask America): Obama d. Romney (48-43)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
FL-SEN (PPP): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 49, Connie Mack IV (R) 36; Nelson 48, George LeMieux (R) 35; Nelson 47, Mike McCallister (R) 33; Nelson 47, Dave Weldon (R) 31

FL-SEN—R (PPP): Connie Mack IV 34, George LeMieux 13, Mike McCallister 10, Dave Weldon 6

MI-SEN (EPIC-MRA): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 49, Pete Hoekstra (R) 38

ND-SEN (Mason Dixon): Heidi Heitkamp (D) 47, Rick Berg (R) 46; Heitkamp 46, Duane Sand (R) 38

ND-SEN—R (Mason Dixon): Rick Berg 73, Duane Sand 16

PA-07 (GBA Strategies for Badey): Rep. Pat Meehan (R) 50, George Badey (D) 30

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...

  • Speaking of prevailing themes, an old theme seems to be getting resurrected this week. Once again, we are seeing a very clear disconnect between what the Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls are doing, and what other standard-issue national polls are showing. Perhaps it is a matter of screening—Monmouth's 4-point lead for Obama among registered voters evaporated (down to a single point) when a likely voter screen was tossed onto it.
  • Purple Strategies is back for another round, where they had mixed results. President Obama did incrementally better in Colorado and Virginia, and incrementally worse in Florida. But they had a dramatic difference in Ohio, and one that begs for some data to either confirm it, or refute it. An eight-point shift is pretty damned sizable, especially when none of their other polls moved more than two points. This is definitely one of those "things that make you go hmm", because even in his best days, Mitt Romney has always looked kind of crappy in Ohio.
  • The big downballot news is an independent poll (by Mason Dixon, no less!) showing Heidi Heitkamp leading in North Dakota. That's definitely worthy of a "wow", and confirms her own optimistic internal polling earlier in the Spring. GOP calculations for reclaiming the U.S. Senate always have factored in North Dakota. Absent that one, they need to hold one of their own tougher holds, pick off another Democrat that currently looks OK, or start furiously kissing the arse of Angus King.
  • Speaking of the Senate, Democrats have to be fairly buoyant about that double-digit lead for Debbie Stabenow over Pete "Spend-it-not" Hoekstra in Michigan, given that said poll was absolutely (almost comically) brutal on the presidential level. Unless you really think Romney's carrying Michigan (and it's hard to find someone who does), then you have to be pretty certain that Stabenow really is up double digits in the state, despite underwater (43/49) job approval.
  • Finally, you might be wondering why Democrat George Badey felt the need to release an internal poll showing him getting smooshed by twenty points. The simple answer is to try to put this race on the radar by (a) showing that Meehan is still stuck at 50, and (b) showing that Barack Obama is carrying the district. Badey still needs to find a way to close that gap, of course, and that could be a tall order, absent a lot more fundraising chops than we've seen to date.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 05:00 PM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  These numbers chew (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GeorgeXVIII

    Who is Purple Strategies and ... well, that's it.  Are they Raz Lite?  I hope so.

  •  EPIC-MRA (8+ / 0-)

    have had Romney leading in all three of their polls since last year albeit back then 5-6pts, now only 1pt... I guess they are the Roanoke College of MI.....

    •  Roanoke (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Supavash

      Ah, great minds!

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 05:16:39 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Hey now (0+ / 0-)

        As a Roanoke alum (class of 1997), let me make a distinction.  Good education and people, bad recent polling.

        There's no significant political bias there, and their polls were usually good for their first decade or so of polling, which began when I was there.

        36, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

        by Mike in MD on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 06:56:51 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I don't know about the costs involved (0+ / 0-)

          with something like this, but you'd think that a college like Roanoke wouldn't mind spending some money perfecting the process so that its results would be that good. Is it really expensive, like stuff with the sciences can be? Are they really in no better position than an outfit like PPP financially? Are colleges like Roanoke really just run by a bunch of Maroons?

          Jack Donaghy: "We're nipping this in the bud. Jenna's going to issue a formal apology tomorrow on "Hardball"....you do know what that is, don't you?" Jenna Maroney: "Yes. Should I prepare a song?"

          by bjssp on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 07:02:01 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Very funny (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            LordMike, bear83

            Personally if I ran Roanoke, I'd be having a talk with the Political Science department about polling methods and sampling (asking odd questions, question order, an awful lot of undecideds.)  If, as I suspect, their polling results look really out of whack compared to the ultimate election results then I'd seriously consider finding other uses for its tuition and contributions.

            36, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

            by Mike in MD on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 07:13:23 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  Fox national is really comical (7+ / 0-)

    49-45 approve yet somehow a 43-43 tie!

    "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

    by conspiracy on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 05:21:28 PM PDT

  •  Purple Strategies FLA-Pres poll is outlier (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Supavash, Delilah, kitebro

    Looking at the cross tabs for the "Purple" poll there was something very very stricking.  Purple showed Romeny winning Indies in FLA by 20 points! (54 to 34).  Every other poll done of FLA shows nowhere near that kind of Indie enthusiasm for Romeny.  The most pessmistic FLA poll (before Purple) -- Quinn -- only showed Obama losing Indies in FLA by 8 points a week and a half ago.
    A poll that is that far off the deep end for where all the others are in demorgraphic preferences is the definition of an outlier.

    I also think the Purple poll of OH is a bit off. The reason.  Purple shows 12 percent of Dems in OH voting for Romeny.  The Quinn poll had only 7 percent of Dems voting for Romeny.  That shift by itself is worth 2 extra points to Romeny.  So with no good explanation for the sudden Dem love of Romeny in OH -- i think the Purple poll is best seen as a tie between Obama and Romeny in Ohio.

  •  The Michigan Poll Showing Romney Ahead (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MetroGnome, Supavash, pademocrat, askew, bear83

    is just not right.  They have been the only pollster that ever had Romney leading.  Also, purple strategies only had 83% of democrats in Ohio going for President Obama, but 93% of republicans going for Romney??

    "Don't Let Them Catch You With Your Eyes Closed"

    by rssrai on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 05:29:40 PM PDT

    •  Well, Ohio does have some (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike

      Appalachia-influenced areas close to and similar to Kentucky and West Virginia, where voters often consider themselves Democrats but won't vote for Obama.  But I don't think that entirely explains PS's results given that such voters probably expressed similar sentiments in other surveys.

      36, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

      by Mike in MD on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 06:59:38 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  But why abandon him now? (0+ / 0-)

        I can see some minor slippage from then and now, but I think the sort of result you are talking about was already seen last time, when he only won 89 percent of Democrats, particularly because the areas you are probably talking about aren't very big and therefore can't skew the results that much.

        Jack Donaghy: "We're nipping this in the bud. Jenna's going to issue a formal apology tomorrow on "Hardball"....you do know what that is, don't you?" Jenna Maroney: "Yes. Should I prepare a song?"

        by bjssp on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 11:09:16 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Why? (0+ / 0-)

          Why abandon him now?!  Oh, you only have to read a few "throw my toys out of the pram" diaries on this site to see why Dems will drop Obama.  HE WASN'T LIBERAL ENOUGH!!  HE WAS TOO LIBERAL!!  

          Ugh.  We are the most fickle political party on planet earth.  If the Bolsheviks had been democrats the Tsar would be celebrating his Jubilee this year...

          No one can terrorize a whole nation, unless we are all his accomplices. - Edward R. Murrow

          by CrazyHorse on Fri Jun 08, 2012 at 05:31:12 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  But that's not Appalachia. (0+ / 0-)

            My point was, anyone that had a big, big problem with Obama and was from Appalachia probably already voted against him last time. I just don't think there's that much more room for him to fall in that part of the country, so the troubles are more or less already baked into the cake.

            What you are talking about is something different.

            Jack Donaghy: "We're nipping this in the bud. Jenna's going to issue a formal apology tomorrow on "Hardball"....you do know what that is, don't you?" Jenna Maroney: "Yes. Should I prepare a song?"

            by bjssp on Fri Jun 08, 2012 at 07:03:08 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  That Michigan poll stinks (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MetroGnome, Byblis, pademocrat, askew

      The PPP poll of Michigan last week had Obama up by double digits.

      Were there 2 states that benefitted more from Obama saving the auto industry that MI and OH? I don't think so. I don't think Mr. Let-em-go-bankrupt has a chance in either one.

    •  That's not at all surprising (0+ / 0-)

      Republicans almost always have better party loyalty than Democrats. That's the only way they could possibly compete in most states.

  •  Gallup is now over a week (5+ / 0-)

    So that will impact a comparison with Rasmussen somewhat. But taken together they both have a statistical bias against the president as noted by Nate in the write-up for his new model.

    "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

    by conspiracy on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 05:34:02 PM PDT

  •  Nate Silver of 538 came out with his model today (16+ / 0-)

    If anyone missed it its here
    His heavily statistical model is very impressive and did really well in 08.
    He has Obama with a 61.6% chance of winning right now and a 1.9% lead nationally plus a lot of other cool stuff.

    •  That's a great (6+ / 0-)

      write-up. He does a good job debunking some of the pervasive myths that have taken hold here, most notably that national polls should be ignored because Obama has an inherent structural advantage in the Electoral College.

      You are reading my signature line. #hashtag

      by cardinal on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 05:43:29 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I really like the "now-cast" addition, because it (0+ / 0-)

      clarifies a distinction that is often blurred in discussing poll results.  And also clarifies why a good model has to be so wicked complicated when the election is still 5 months off.  

      Can we just have the election this month instead?  I like the 80% odds :-)

    •  Mu own model (0+ / 0-)

      had a significant change in the last week.  Right now I show a 70& chance of an Obama victory (down from 95%) and a projected national lead of 2.48%.

      The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

      by fladem on Fri Jun 08, 2012 at 05:48:03 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I was hoping we would be within reach for ND SEN (9+ / 0-)

    but leading? That's fantastic!!!

    Registered in NY-02, College CT-01, Spent most of the rest of my life on the border of NY-08 and NY-15

    by R30A on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 05:59:32 PM PDT

    •  That's the one that made me smile (0+ / 0-)

      If Heitkamp can hold that ND seat for Democrats, it's gonna be mighty hard for McConnell to become Majority Leader in 2013.

      •  It really puts the lie to (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike, bear83, pademocrat

        the Fargo Forum poll last week that put Heitkamp down by 6 points. Why would anyone poll likely primary voters for a general election race? To get the results you want, of course!  I bet the Forum was betting nobody else would be polling this sleeper anytime soon, and they could coast on their fixed numbers for a while.

        By the way, Heidi is ahead despite the fact that the airwaves are already full of Berg and PAC ads.

        And songs be heard, instead of sighs.

        by Fiddler On A Hot Tin Roof on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 10:39:46 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  I'd give her (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike, bear83

        a near-complete "pass" on her voting record, as long as she STAYS AWAY FROM ANY R FILIBUSTERS! Manchin is more than enough on that score.

        •  Has she done anything to cause you (0+ / 0-)

          any concern?

          Jack Donaghy: "We're nipping this in the bud. Jenna's going to issue a formal apology tomorrow on "Hardball"....you do know what that is, don't you?" Jenna Maroney: "Yes. Should I prepare a song?"

          by bjssp on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 11:10:30 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I fear (0+ / 0-)

            she might prove rather conservative on social issues.

            •  If she would vote for a Democrat for Majority (0+ / 0-)

              Leader, support Democratic nominees for judges and executive positions, and otherwise vote with the Democrats at least 3/4 of the time, I'd give her a pass on a few things. After all, we'd get none of that from Berg.

                •  Word. (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  bear83, Zack from the SFV

                  I was going to say last night that my litmus test has more or less been reduced to whether or not someone would ever vote for a tax increase. Depending on the state, I'm willing to make big exceptions if the person isn't a pain in the ass grandstander (cough, Lieberman, cough). And while there's far more to life than taxes, being open to voting for tax increases means that one hand isn't tied behind our backs when it comes to budgetary matters.

                  Jack Donaghy: "We're nipping this in the bud. Jenna's going to issue a formal apology tomorrow on "Hardball"....you do know what that is, don't you?" Jenna Maroney: "Yes. Should I prepare a song?"

                  by bjssp on Fri Jun 08, 2012 at 07:06:01 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

  •  EPIC (6+ / 0-)

    I always yearn to support EPIC since it's a local outfit, here (I live a few miles from them), but their presidential result finding is an EPIC...fail.  Sorry.

  •  Two Paths for Romney (0+ / 0-)

    If Romney's current fund raising successful keeps up, what will his target states be? If it doesn't, how will that list change?

    In a lot of ways, I think Romney's list is essentially the reverse of Obama's list. Florida, Virginia, and Ohio, for instance, will be targets no matter what, but Romney's reaches are probably states like Pennsylvania and Michigan, while Obama's are states like Arizona and Missouri. So, more specifically, where do you think the campaigns will reach?

    Does anyone think either campaign will go for a long shot--say, Obama in Georgia or Kentucky or Romney in Washington or New Jersey?

    Jack Donaghy: "We're nipping this in the bud. Jenna's going to issue a formal apology tomorrow on "Hardball"....you do know what that is, don't you?" Jenna Maroney: "Yes. Should I prepare a song?"

    by bjssp on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 06:30:06 PM PDT

    •  I think the reaching will be asymmetrical (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bear83

      There will be a lot more of Romney reaching into the lean/likely Dem states, mostly out of necessity given how the states are stacking up. There are more states (and more EVs) where Obama has, say, a 60-80% chance of winning - and more need for Romney to pick up a couple of them as a path to victory - than there are states where Romney's winning chances are 60-80%.

      But I don't see any states like the four you mentioned (GA, KY, WA, NJ) being realistically in either campaign's sights.

      My latest estimates (of win probability by state) are on another computer but from memory I have 16 states where the chance of victory is between 20 and 80% - and none of GA/KY/WA/NJ are in that set.

      I think my states in that 20-80% range, grouped by Democratic win probabiliity, are:

      70s: Michigan, Oregon
      60s: Colorado, New Hampshire, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin (but mostly in the high 60s)
      50s: Iowa, Ohio, Virginia
      40s: Florida, North Carolina
      30s: Missouri, Indiana
      20s: Arizona, Montana

    •  Well I think Missouri is a long shot for Obama, is (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Supavash, pademocrat

      it not?  I think Arizona is definately in play due to bagger overreach with immigration.  

    •  Pennsylvania (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, pademocrat

      Between Biden and Casey, I don't see Romney cutting it there. Michigan he seems to motivate Dems strongly to come out and vote against him, even if R's unite.

      NC I think might be one where R's make a huge push, especially if the Gov race turns out not to be the cakewalk it had seemed this past spring. I'm optimistic that VA won't be in play for them. I see them highly emboldened by Wisconsin, probably making an effort to wrest IA while they're at it.

      AZ will be the big reach for Dems, maybe GA and ... if the local party implodes enough, SC.

      Any thoughts on the Elector from Omaha?

  •  One poll that will not keep me up at night (17+ / 0-)

    is purple strategies.  I can't trust any polling outfit run by Alex Castellanos.  Also, his methodology of surveying voters for a national-like poll and then extrapolating state results seems riddled with flaws.  Bain seems to be working when you look at the bulk of polling data over the past week or so.

    Alternative rock with something to say: http://www.myspace.com/globalshakedown

    by khyber900 on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 07:46:11 PM PDT

  •  If Obama keeps all the blue states (12+ / 0-)

    minus Ohio and Florida but wins Colorado and Virginia, Obama wins.

    President Obama, January 9, 2012: "Change is hard, but it is possible. I've Seen it. I've Lived it."

    by Drdemocrat on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 08:34:20 PM PDT

  •  EPIC MRSA (4+ / 0-)

    Flesh-eating fail

    Obama is at war with radical anti-American terrorists. The radical GOP is at war with American women. Take that and run with it DNC, you inept fucking pikers.

    by GOPGO2H3LL on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 09:07:06 PM PDT

  •  RE Money... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    rennert, scamperdo

    Major Garrett (go ahead, slam me) made a good point on Hardball that I've been making myself:  All of the TV ad spots post convention have already been purchased.

    The Citizens Untied plutocrats are gonna blow their shit river of lies prior to that.

    Obama is at war with radical anti-American terrorists. The radical GOP is at war with American women. Take that and run with it DNC, you inept fucking pikers.

    by GOPGO2H3LL on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 09:09:57 PM PDT

    •  Excellent! I'm sure we the people will have had (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      rennert

      quite enough of their Dirty Angry Money by that time.  Let them blow it all during the summer when a great deal of people still aren't even paying attention.  

    •  With the popularity of the DVR (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      semanticbuzz

      TV ads sure seem like a waste of money.

      •  TV Radio, telemarketing ADs a waste of money! (0+ / 0-)

        To the collective conscious of DEM likely/leaning voters; hold those thoughts on campaign-ADs as a waste of money!

        The time has come to reassess campaign AD-fatigue; that is the topic of AD-fatigue can be noticed through well.......the "AD noise" of the November Elections.

        Airing the topic of AD-fatigue (Many of us can imagine this topic's discussion from MSNBC's Rachel Maddow, and Ed Schultz) pinpoints the very collective sentiments discouraging too many otherwise DEM voters e.g., one example of the modus-operandi of the Conservatives.

        Just by putting to words a topic like AD-fatigue, rarely discussed in the media (no surprise), we've reclaimed voters who have otherwise tuned-out participation in the democratic process, and boosted voter turnout e.g., AD-fatigue must become main modus operandi of GOTV 'Get Out The Vote' efforts!

        One topic alone, discussed in a mainly non-partisan context (no, I won't split partisan/non-partisan hairs here). The topic of AD-fatigue would resonate with (and sway) many people, as many people yearn to devote their attention to topics that steer-clear from the "same old, same-old" topics especially topics that inform, and bring plenty of laughs through this November's Election cycle!

               

    •  What's wrong with Major Garrett? (0+ / 0-)

      He worked for Fox, but before that, he worked for Mother Jones.

      Anyway, if that's true, that's kind of incredible to think about. It begs the question, just what the hell are these people going to spend their money on?

      Jack Donaghy: "We're nipping this in the bud. Jenna's going to issue a formal apology tomorrow on "Hardball"....you do know what that is, don't you?" Jenna Maroney: "Yes. Should I prepare a song?"

      by bjssp on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 11:12:08 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Power of incumbency (6+ / 0-)

    It takes a lot to dislodge an incumbent, particularly US President.  This is part of why Walker did well the other day in Wisconsin, enough people felt he was doing a decent job, (I'm not one of them).  I would think that Obama gains a few extra points just for being the incumbent.  Most undecideds wait until the very end to make up their minds.  Imagine how tired of all the politicking  the average voter will be by November.  I am already tired, and I love politics.  The constant barrage of negative stories turns a lot of people off.  At the end of the day, voters look at who they view as being more presidential.  Obama is very much a Midwesterner, calm and cool, not very dramatic.  People in the heartland will appreciate him more as the campaign drags on.  Romney is so obnoxious and wishy washy that any appeal he has will wear really thin by November.  Often times, it isn't only the candidate's views but his or her overall personality and demeanor that decide who wins.  Kerry in 2004 was a lot like Romney, a wishy washy out of touch blueblood that people didn't quite trust.  

    •  Bush Daddy (0+ / 0-)

      As a former Republican, I never understood how he could have been quite so intensely disliked to have lost so soundly? He wasn't crazy like the spawn, and seemed "likeable" enough.

      By October, folks will be tuning out political ads, and likely voting for someone being barraged against out of frustration at being barraged at!

  •  Excited for Heitkamp and ND-SEN (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    AndersonDelValle

    I'm glad Heitkamp seems to be an incredibly strong candidate in North Dakota. I know there were some doubts of her strength considering how long she's been out of office, but she's definitely showing that she's in it for the long haul.

    In fact, I've actually been very impressed by Democratic Senatorial recruitment by Murray and others this cycle. Aside from the speedbump in Texas, I think we've more or less fielded extremely strong candidates in all of the states that we could have been reasonably competitive in. I mean, I wasn't expecting any hail mary recruitments like Bredesen in Tennessee or Freudenthal in Wyoming to put deep red states into play, and we still somehow lucked out with getting Kerrey and Heitkamp on board. Although, yes, Kerrey obviously has the steepest hill to climb out of everyone, his mere existence forces the GOP to allocate funds into NE-SEN as opposed to if they were against token opposition.

    Not getting ahead of the game here, of course, but, come 2013, I'm more confident than ever that Harry Reid will continue to be Senate Majority Leader. Hopefully, this will bode well for Crit Luallen showing McConnell the exit in 2014 -- in fact, I think the Kentucky Democratic Party has almost too many options to field against him in 2014, making it all the more exciting. Wish some of the other Appalachia states were like that.

  •  Blast the past .... (0+ / 0-)

    "Four more years!" (Obama Unencumbered - The Sequel)

    by jwinIL14 on Thu Jun 07, 2012 at 11:07:53 PM PDT

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