Skip to main content

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner
Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here.
Leading Off:

NH-Gov: The politics of New Hampshire's infamous anti-tax "Pledge"—the pledge not to institute an income tax or a sales tax that politicians from both parties are continually browbeaten into accepting—may be unfamiliar to outsiders. That makes it easy for unsophisticated meddlers to really step in things, which is exactly what EMILY's List just did. You'll recall that about a week ago, Democrat Jackie Cilley courageously opposed the pledge at the state party convention, to much adulation; her rival for the nomination, Maggie Hassan, meekly went along with it. Hassan rather controversially also scored EMILY's endorsement in April, even though it was never clear why the group chose her over Cilley, whose pro-choice record is equally strong.

EMILY never even tried to offer a satisfying answer to this question, but the Concord Monitor gamely decided to ask again—and this is where the group went off the rails:

Emily's List president, Stephanie Schriock, was in the state Thursday to campaign with Hassan. We asked her how the organization made its choice.

"When we got to looking at the New Hampshire race and recognized there were two pro-choice women, we took an incredibly serious look," Schriock said. "We look at those who can make it happen. Those who have the fortitude, the organization, the communication, the resources to pull it together and win the election. And we felt Maggie Hassan was the best candidate to win this governorship."

And about that Pledge Hassan took and Cilley refused?

"We do look at the overall political situation of the state," Schriock said.

The only way to read this is that EMILY's List, at least in part, went with Hassan because of, not in spite of, the fact that she kowtowed to the pledge, which is a tool of conservative oligarchs who want to keep their own taxes low while starving the state of needed revenue for the less well-off. (If the pledge didn't matter at all, then Schriock could have just said so.) Given how excited Democratic activists were when Cilley rejected pledge politics, and considering how much blowback EMILY received by picking sides in a race where doing so wasn't warranted, this sounds like another serious blunder that could energize progressives against EMILY's pick even further.

Senate:

HI-Sen: Well, here's a new one: Former Republican Gov. Linda Lingle isn't just purchasing a whole bunch of ads, or even a Ross Perot-style 30-minute infomercial. No, she's taking this one to 11 with the launch of her own friggin' cable channel. The station, known as "LL2012," will presumably be all-Lingle, all the time, and will be available to any Oceanic Time Warner subscribers who truly cannot find anything else to watch. (Or as Homer explained when Bart asked, "Who's up at 3:17 AM watching TV?": "Alcoholics, the unemployable, angry loners....")

Lingle's already got her first bit of programming at the ready: A minute-long spot which starts with a cheesy graphic of the earth showing just how far Hawaii is from Washington, DC (answer: far!), followed by a parade of people talking about how awesome Lingle is in pretty vague terms. It finishes with the narrator imploring people to tune into Lingle's cable channel to watch "a special video about her vision for Hawaii's future" next week. Weirdly, this program is airing at 10:30pm on a Monday night. I guess they couldn't bump "Home Videos from Linda's Trip to the Grand Canyon, 1998" from its primetime slot.

MA-Sen: Democrat Elizabeth Warren, in her newest ad, attacks Congress for giving "billions to oil companies, the most profitable corporations on earth, then try[ing] to slash students loans and Medicare."

Republican Sen. Scott Brown is also out with two new spots of his own. In the first one, Brown's wife says: "If the kids had a problem, they didn’t call me, they called Dad, because Dad was the one that was always there. And he still is." The second one also features Brown's wife and is deliberate pander to women: "Scott’s always been the one that encouraged me professionally, encouraged me to have my own life, to have my own identity." Wow, your own identity! Such progress! The last line is the real groaner, though: "He is by far the most understanding of women probably of any man I know."

MN-Sen: Paulist weirdo Kurt Bills appeared to lock down the GOP nomination last month by securing his party's endorsement at the state convention, which prompted all the other Republican no-names to drop out. But Bills' already-impossible task of defeating Dem Sen. Amy Klobuchar this year just got a bit more impossible, since Marine vet David Carlson says he'll challenge Bills in the August primary. Also amusing: In the linked article, Kurt Bills refers to himself as a "Kurt Bills Republican."

NV-Sen: Ordinarily, this kind of vague remark—Harry Reid telling reporters that a recent poll he took showed Democrat Shelley Berkley beating GOP Sen. Dean Heller by two points—is the sort of thing I'd never bother to mention. But Reid's polling warrants special attention since his pollster, Mark Mellman, was pretty much the only guy who called the 2010 Nevada Senate race correctly. I wish Reid would release some more details, though.

NY-Sen (PDF): With just a few weeks to go until New York's June 26 primary, the likely Republican nominee to get offered up for slaughter by Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is... who knows? In Siena's newest poll, Rep. Bob Turner gets a whopping 16% of the vote, while conservative activist Wendy Long is at 11, Nassau County Comptroller George Maragos at just 3, and undecideds all the way at 70—which is actually a little higher than in their last survey! But don't worry: All three candidates get obliterated by Gillibrand in general election matchups.

P.S. Did you know that the last Republican to win statewide in New York was Gov. George Pataki in 2002? And the last Democratic incumbent to lose in a statewide election was Gov. Mario Cuomo in 1994?

OH-Sen: Props to Joe Hallett of the Columbus Dispatch for hounding Republican Josh Mandel over his "oft-made claim that legions of Democrats are supporting his candidacy"—and for showing how utterly phony that claim is:

Asked by The Dispatch for evidence of the backing Mandel says he is receiving from Democratic voters and groups, the Mandel campaign offered only the names of four registered Democrats willing to comment. But one of them actually is an independent who says she has supported candidates from both parties.
Hallett also rounds up a great selection of Mandel b.s., including gems like these:
"We have a lot of people who supported (former Democratic Gov.) Ted Strickland and (former Lt. Gov.) Lee Fisher in 2006 who are supporting us now instead of Sherrod Brown," Mandel told The Dispatch late last year.

In an interview on April 5, Mandel said, "Every week we get phone calls from union leaders and Democrats who are military veterans and Democrats who are entrepreneurs who say, 'I've been a Democrat for a long time, but I just can't pull the lever for Sherrod Brown.'  "

So where's the beef? There ain't none. From a Mandel spokesman:
"There are union leaders throughout the state that are supporting our campaign. Most of them are doing it in quiet, below the radar, but you will learn more about them as Election Day gets closer."

A Dispatch analysis of campaign-finance records found no union contributions to Mandel and, so far, he has received no union endorsements. Brown's campaign has received at least $332,500 from labor unions since he was elected in 2007 and he has received money from or been endorsed by most of the state's unions.

What a joke! Hallett also goes into detail about who actually is backing Mandel—in particular, employees of Forest City Enterprises, the mega-developer owned by his wife's family. The whole thing is worth a read.

Meanwhile, SEIU COPE is up on the air with a $260K media buy attacking Republican twerp Josh Mandel. The ad features a pair of concerned-looking seniors warning that Mandel's priorities are nothing but a load of whack: he favors "deep cuts in Social Security and Medicare" while protecting "tax cuts for millionaires." (David Nir & James L)

WI-Sen: Republican ex-Gov. Tommy Thompson stands in front of a stop sign in his latest ad as he promises to "stop" all the things conservatives hate about America, like "out-of-control deficits" and "job-killing over-regulation."

Gubernatorial:

WA-Gov: There's a new union endorsement in Washington's gubernatorial race, and it's worth a mention because it's decidedly against-type: the Public School Employees union (which covers non-classroom employees like clerical and bus drivers) just gave their backing to Republican Rob McKenna. The boilerplate language in their endorsement announcement doesn't really make the reasons clear, but it may come down to a very parochial issue where they're at loggerheads with the teachers' unions. This issue, involving consolidation of all K-12 employees onto the state employees' health plan (something the PSE and McKenna support but the teachers' unions oppose), also led them to endorse Steve Hobbs, the most right-leaning candidate in the Dem field in WA-01.

Meanwhile, McKenna and Dem opponent Jay Inslee released their latest sets of fundraising numbers, reported monthly in Washington. They're at near-parity on cash-on-hand, with McKenna at $3.2 million and Inslee at $3.3 million. McKenna also released a list of Democratic endorsers on Monday, aimed at bolstering his superficial "moderate" profile. The list of a dozen names, however, consists of either the predictable aisle-crossers (retiring state Auditor Brian Sonntag, state Sen. Tim Sheldon) or the obscure. (David Jarman)

House:

AZ-08: PPP's brand-new poll of Tuesday's special election defies the CW that this is a tight race and has Democrat Ron Barber up 53-41 over Republican Jesse Kelly. One thing I'd point out is that while this sample is 12 points more pro-Obama than actual 2008 voting results, the sample in PPP's NY-26 poll last year (which nailed Democrat Kathy Hochul's final margin) swung 11 points in Obama's direction.

FL-18: GOP freshman and tea party all-star Allen West is out with his first ad in support of his re-election bid, a minute-long spot featuring ersatz rousing music, his claim to be a living embodiment of the American dream, and several attacks on "taxes and regulations that are killing job growth" and the usual conservative complaints. West ends his narration with a dare of sorts, saying: "Some say I push too hard, that I ask too much—I'm just getting started." Can't wait to see what he's got for us next.

FL-22: In another inaugural TV ad in South Florida, Democrat Kristin Jacobs promises she knows "how to work with others," in a spot that looks like it was shot on Super 8.

MI-11: Former state Sen. Nancy Cassis, fresh off an effort by local GOP officials to anoint her as the consensus write-in candidate in the primary, now says she'll put $200K of her own money behind the effort. Meanwhile, another former state senator, Loren Bennett, said he'd abandon his own write-in bid and would support Cassis. There are still a couple of other potential write-in candidates, including Rocky Raczkowski and Paul Welday, whom we haven't affirmatively heard from yet, though.

MT-AL: Republican businessman Steve Daines, looking to succeed Rep. Denny Rehberg in the House, just reserved $495K in fall airtime for the November election, a seriously hefty sum in a small state like Montana. Daines faces state Sen. Kim Gillan, who just won last week's Democratic primary.

ND-AL: That Mason-Dixon poll of the North Dakota Senate race also contained a House portion, though it's not entirely complete. The survey only tested Democrat Pam Gulleson against one of two Republicans running, Kevin Cramer, and found Cramer ahead 49-35 (with 4% going to Libertarian Eric Olsen). The omission of a general election matchup with the other Republican, Brian Kalk, may not matter, though: There was also a separate GOP primary sample, which found Cramer demolishing his rival, 60-21. A Cramer victory would be something of an upset, since Republicans formally endorsed Kalk at the state party convention in April, but Cramer has the longer political resume and his decision to avoid the convention may have been a wise strategic choice. We'll know for sure tonight.

NY-06: EMILY's List is bolstering their support of Democratic state Assemblywoman Grace Meng with $33K's worth of new expenditures split almost evenly between direct mail and online advertisements. (James L)

NY-18: Democrat Sean Maloney just scored Bill Clinton's endorsement, though for once, it's more about the fact that Maloney was an aide in the Clinton White House in the late '90s, rather than anything to do with who endorsed whom in the 2008 presidential election.

OK-01: My sworn enemies at the American Academy of Ophthalmology are out with a $39K radio ad buy supporting GOP Rep. John Sullivan. Sullivan faces a primary from Naval Reserve officer and former Tulsa Air and Space Museum executive director Jim Bridenstine. This race has largely flown under the radar, but Bridenstine has raised six figures for his campaign. (James L)

TX-23: While most of the Texas runoff endorsements by primary also-rans have been barely worth a mention, here's one that is: Attorney John Bustamante, son of ex-Rep. Albert Bustamante, gave his backing to ex-Rep. Ciro Rodriguez, who faces state Rep. Pete Gallego in the second round after edging him 46 to 40 in the first. The Democratic establishment badly wants Gallego to prevail since he's viewed as by far the stronger candidate to take on GOP freshman Quico Canseco, so I have to wonder what Bustamante, who took 13% on primary night, is thinking here.

TX-25: Some of the minor-league players in the first round of the Republican primary have issued endorsements for the two guys who've advanced to the runoff, former Secretary of State Roger Williams and tea partier Wes Riddle. But two of the most prominent losers, Cleburne Mayor Justin Hewlett (who finished third) and former Railroad Commissioner Michael Williams (who placed fifth) both say they're still making up their minds.

Other Races:

San Diego Mayor: Here's yet another SurveyUSA poll of San Diego's mayoral race, but it's the first one post-primary and also the first one to show Democratic Rep. Bob Filner ahead. Filner leads Republican city councilor Carl DeMaio (in this ostensibly nonpartisan race) 46-43 when matched head-to-head. Interestingly, Filner seems to be getting the majority of votes that previously went to San Diego County's Republican DA, Bonnie Dumanis (53-28), while the votes for the theoretically post-partisan Nathan Fletcher are evenly split (41-40 for Filner). Filner puts up decent leads among both moderates and independents. (David Jarman)

Grab Bag:

Netroots Nation: Did you attend the just-concluded Netroots Nation conference in Providence, RI? Want to give feedback on your experience? Adam Bonin, the convention's chair, is soliciting your responses in the linked diary.

NRCC/DCCC: The NRCC just rolled out a new batch of its top-tier "Young Guns" candidates, none of which are particularly surprising except for WV-03's Rick Snuffer, who has barely raised any money (and has had trouble filing his FEC reports on time). Perhaps Republicans figure Dem Rep. Nick Rahall might be in jeopardy just because of West Virginia's ever-reddening hue. You can find the full list at the link.

Meanwhile, the DCCC just named Assemblywoman Julia Brownley, who edged out Republican-turned-independent Linda Parks in a tough top-two primary in CA-26 thanks to heavy outside spending, to their Red to Blue list. Also, the D-Trip is down to half-a-dozen finalists for its "Grassroots Champion" contest. You can vote for your favorite candidate at the link.

Redistricting Roundup:

KS Redistricting: The dysfunctional Kansas legislature couldn't get it done, so the task of redrawing Kansas's four congressional districts got left to a federal court, which produced new lines on Friday. In addition to ripping the lege over its failure to act, the court also provided some (relative) sanity, by eschewing a mashup between Kansas City (on the state's eastern border) and the rural western half of the state that we'd seen in some Republican maps. In the end, though, the GOP is favored to hold all four districts:

KS-01: Tim Huelskamp's 1st remains strongly GOP at 33% Obama. It's a tad bluer due to the inclusion of all of Manhattan (Kansas, not New York, of course) and the removal of several rural counties west of Wichita.

KS-02: Lynn Jenkins' 2nd becomes several points bluer as well, with the inclusion of the entirety of Douglas County (Lawrence), which previously had been split between the 2nd and 3rd. Democrat Nancy Boyda did represent the district for two years after 2006, but a retaking is a tall order.

KS-03: The 3rd still contains the entirety of Wyandotte and Johnson Counties, but the removal of Douglas County and subsequent replacement by exurban Miami County shift the seat several points rightward to the benefit of Kevin Yoder, transforming the seat into a narrow McCain district. This seat, the state's bluest, had been held by Democrat Dennis Moore for over a decade until his retirement last cycle, so the fact that it was made redder is a major disappointment for Democrats.

KS-04: The 4th remains strongly GOP, especially with the addition of rural counties west of Wichita. If Dems are to win here, the key remains the same as before—major idiocy from incumbent Mike Pompeo.

We've also put together our usual suite of redistricting resources: a Google Maps overlay, our patented redistribution analysis, and as always, a detailed breakdown of the Obama-McCain vote according to the new congressional district lines. So at long last, that means we finally have a full set of redistricting tools for all fifty states, which you can handily find all in one place.

PA Redistricting: Although we're officially done with U.S. House redistricting, there are still a number of state legislative odds-and-ends to sweep up. One of the big ones is Pennsylvania, which went back to the drawing board after a court decision invalidated the first set of lines because they divided too many counties. On Friday, the state's Legislative Redistricting Commission (nominally independent but functionally Republican) picked new maps, opting for the Republican-drawn legislative maps.

Probably the big change is that SD-40, the one just vacated by recently-convicted Republican state Sen. Jane Orie, got picked up from Pittsburgh's suburbs and moved across state to rapidly-growing Monroe County. Two House districts also found themselves trekking west to east across the state. It's important to note, though, that these changes won't take effect until the 2014 races, seeing as how Pennsylvania already had its primaries this year... and this isn't the final word, either. The players all have to go before the state Supreme Court again, which might once again take issue with how many county splits there are. (David Jarman)

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Take New Hampshire Forward! and Daily Kos.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  I haven't contributed to Emily's list (9+ / 0-)

    for ages. Indeed, while the slogan is clever "Early Money Is Like Yeast," the emphasis on money over citizen selection and participation in the electoral process is a negative.

    Also, while I am always glad to see more candidates for any office (otherwise we don't have a choice), their gender is largely irrelevant.  If there's one lesson to take from the Tea Party, it's that frivolous people come in all varieties.

    The New Hampshire Democratic Party has a tiny authoritarian streak and the real grassroots are not totally appreciated.  Of course, if we're to have government by the people, then the purpose of political parties is in jeopardy.  Vetting candidates' qualifications would be good, but promoting "stars" is more exciting.

    "In the name of the nation, and of the dollar and of the rule of law, you and your children shall sacrifice for the good of all." Rmoney prayer

    by hannah on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:25:32 AM PDT

    •  Emily's List is providing the means to which (4+ / 0-)

      these candidates can have access to money they need. I'm all for changing the system by which candidates raise money, but bashing Emily's List hardly seems reasonable. They raise all their money directly from people like you and me. They bundle the money and send it to each individual candidate. They provide an important function. Without Emily's List there would be significantly less women in the Senate and House.

      20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:47:29 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  They are middlemen. I'm not keen on (5+ / 0-)

        middlemen.

        "In the name of the nation, and of the dollar and of the rule of law, you and your children shall sacrifice for the good of all." Rmoney prayer

        by hannah on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:55:05 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Without those "middlemen" (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          wwmiv

          we wouldn't have Barbara Mikulski and the year of the women. Without those important milestone elections where would women be today? Not at 17%. Which is a terrible number still, but it would be much worse. Don't make generalizations about "middlemen".

          20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

          by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:59:49 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  And really I'm not certain what is so (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            wwmiv, Radiowalla, Xenocrypt

            terrible about how they raise money. They have a list of candidates. An individual can chose to donate to whom ever they like. Emily's List provides a list and that's it. Is that someone from Ohio is donating to a candidate in Oregon? People do that all the time. Is it that they get to decide who's on that list? Well I think they've earned that right and so do their 1.5 million new members.

            20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

            by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 06:08:50 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Mikulski would have won anyway (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            yellowdog, susanthe

            she is spectacularly popular.

            The only election she has ever lost was when she ran for the US Senate in 1974. Charles Mathias ran to her left.

            •  Mikulski gave credit to Emily's List. (0+ / 0-)

              They provided her with the money to do a poll that showed her ahead in the Democratic primary. Before that she was having trouble raising money. The Democratic establishment wasn't opening up it's big donors to her. She was doing bake sales to raise money! After that poll the door was opened to raise larger amounts.

              Also, Emily's List raised $500,000 for her campaign.

              20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

              by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:42:40 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

      •  Traditionally, women candidates (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Xenocrypt, Odysseus, askew

        have been cut off from access to the funding that the "old boy network" provides.  EMILY'S List was established to even out the terrain by inviting women from all over the country to give a boost to emerging female candidates who are pro-choice.  

        Over the years I've had my disappointments with some of their picks and am much more careful where I send my checks.

        However, I intend to continue my support because they are the best game in town for getting pro-choice women elected to office.  

        It's the Supreme Court, stupid!

        by Radiowalla on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 07:01:25 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I agree completly. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Radiowalla

          They've made some bad choices, but every organization has and will. They've owned up to their egregious one, but I feel like people are still holding a grudge over that (Niki Tinker).

          20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

          by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:44:04 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Yes, I am holding a grudge about Niki Tinker. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            susanthe

            So should you. She ran a vilely anti-Semitic campaign, with some Hitlerian flyers, and Emily's List stuck with her for way longer than it should have. That broke the bond forever. There are plenty of better pro-Democratic outfits to support.

            •  When she aired the anti-semetic ad (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Radiowalla

              Emily's List immediately pulled their endorsement and condemmed her.

              Here's the statement:

              "We were shocked to see the recent ads run by the Nikki Tinker for Congress campaign. We believe the ads are offensive and divisive," said Malcolm. "Emily's List does not condone or support these types of attacks."
              Sure they deserved to be rebuked for endorsing her, but that was 4 years ago. It's time to move on, but obviously that's not going to happen, because it isn't just about that. It seems to be means to an end.

              20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

              by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 12:45:22 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

      •  that sounds good (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        bumiputera, stevenaxelrod, La Gitane

        except that Emily's List made a decision in my state, to endorse one pro-choice woman over another, solely based on the regressive tax system that Hassan has pledged to protect.

        That means that infrastructure and education will continue to suffer in my state, because of our over-reliance on the property tax.

        In fact, when you come right down to it, the property tax disproportionately hurts women. Women live longer, but earn less - so if their husbands die first, they often can't keep their homes.

        Please - tell me, exactly, how I'm being unreasonable for being mightily pissed off about this.

        “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

        by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:19:56 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Back in 2006 in the NY-19 primary (7+ / 0-)

      Emily's list backed the absolute worst candidate out of five: a wealthy woman who had just switched registration from Republican to Democrat so she could run. I forget all the details, but she was by far the most conservative of all the Dem candidates and not that much different from the Republican. Because she was female, she got Emily's List's backing. The second-best candidate, John Hall, ended up getting the nomination and then winning the seat.

      Hige sceal þe heardra, heorte þe cenre, mod sceal þe mare, þe ure mægen lytlað

      by milkbone on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 06:56:59 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Was she a pro-choice Democrat? (0+ / 0-)

        Of course she was. That's their criteria. They are a progressive organization (union rights, gay rights, the environment), but their main priority is electing pro-choice Democratic women. I'm not sure what people are missing here.

        20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

        by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:47:08 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  what you're missing (4+ / 0-)

          is that in the case of Emily's List endorsing a candidate in NH, they picked one pro-choice woman over another pro-choice woman. Why? Because Emily's List has made a conscious decision to support NH's regressive tax policy that (by the way) disproportionately hurts women.

          “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

          by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:12:29 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  That's utter bullshit. (0+ / 0-)

            Your not having an honest discussion, so I'm done.

            20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

            by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:17:56 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  thank you ndrwmls10 (5+ / 0-)

              Your rational, point-by-point analysis of why I'm wrong is much appreciated.

              BYE!

              “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

              by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:24:46 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Keep making ridiculous statements. (0+ / 0-)

                I'm not going to waste my time.

                20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:28:17 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  nothing (4+ / 0-)

                  Could be more ridiculous than some guy from out of state making accusatory comments (that he can't seem to back up or justify) at a genuine NH blogger.

                  “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

                  by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:32:27 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Back up yours. (0+ / 0-)

                    You keep accusing Emily's List of backing Hassan, because she signed the tax pledge. If your going to demand I back up my statements, then you better damn well back yours up.

                    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                    by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:36:03 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  prove me wrong (1+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      stevenaxelrod

                      You're the out of state expert.

                      “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

                      by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:38:16 AM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  I see, you can't. (0+ / 0-)

                        See two can play that game. We are getting nowhere.

                        20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                        by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:42:08 AM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                        •  Well, you made (3+ / 0-)
                          Recommended by:
                          stevenaxelrod, La Gitane, milkbone

                          claims you aren't able to substantiate, while attacking me and calling my POV bullshit. So, in addition to being rude, you've admitted you're playing some sort of game. You aren't from NH, so maybe you're employed by Emily's List. Maybe you went to Phillips Exeter, the exclusive prep school where Hassan's husband teaches. I don't really care. You're behaving boorishly.

                          Let's get real.

                          There are two pro-choice women, both Democrats, running for governor in the state of NH. They have similar records as far as serving in our state's legislature. Yet, Emily's List chose to endorse one of these women over the other. Why? Well, the biggest difference between them is that the candidate Emily's List endorsed has taken the Republican No Tax Pledge. The other woman refuses. You claim that EL isn't making a choice based on supporting NH's regressive tax policy. I call bullshit on that. Let us, however, dig deeper. Let us turn the Wayback Machine all the way back to late December of 2007...

                          In 2007, there was a presidential primary going on. NH is the first in the nation primary state. Jackie Cilley was an early Obama supporter. Maggie Hassan was a Hillary Clinton supporter. Naturally, Hillary was supported by Emily's List in a big way. One week before the NH primary, a number of prominent Hillary supporters sent out a letter to women that misrepresented Obama's relationship with Illinois Planned Parenthood, and his votes on choice. Misrepresented = lied.  Maggie Hassan signed that letter.

                          Some of the women who signed it didn't know that they were being asked to sign on to a dishonest mailer. Some have since apologized for it. Hassan has been publicly unapologetic. The rift created by that lying mailer continues to this very day amongst NH women.

                          What happened after all that? Well, Maggie joined No Labels along with Evan Bayh and Joe Lieberman.

                          Jackie Cilley started sending out a weekly legislative update. In 2010 the NH legislature was hijacked by a mix of teabaggers, Free Staters (a libertarian group moving to NH to take over the state and dismantle our state government), John Birchers, and other loathsome Republicans. Her weekly updates were a welcome source of information, and quickly became the go-to place for the latest info on bills, and outrageous actions by this group.

                          Did Emily's List choose Hassan because she's a better speaker? Absolutely not. Jackie Cilley is a powerhouse. At the recent NH Democratic Convention, she received 2 standing ovations during her speech. Cilley 2/Hassan 0. Hassan is not a strong speaker. Did Emily's List endorse Hassan because she's more experienced? Both women have similar experience. So what's this all about?

                          The Benjamins, tax policy, and Hillary Clinton. Maggie Hassan supported EL darling Hillary Clinton. One of Hassan's current staffers came to the campaign straight from Emily's List. Hassan comes from an affluent background. Her husband teaches at Phillips Exeter, an elite prep school. She can haul in a lot of cash.

                          It's eerily reminiscent of the 2006 Carol Shea-Porter for Congress campaign. The DCCC chose another candidate. Rahm Emmanuel told Carol to go home, she couldn't win. Well, without any help from any organized group, she won the primary. She went on to beat the incumbent - a two term multimillionaire Republican - even though she had about a quarter of a million to spend.

                          Emily's List could have chosen to help BOTH pro-choice candidates, and waited to see what happened in the primary.

                          That they chose to endorse a more establishment candidate, the candidate who took the GOP tax pledge makes it crystal clear that their intentions here are to aid those from both parties who wish to perpetuate NH's regressive tax structure.

                          “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

                          by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 10:51:57 AM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                          •  Pretty damned substantial (0+ / 0-)

                            I don't know much about NH, but assuming what you're saying is true (and at least one more poster below is backing it up), this pretty much cinches the argument.

                            Hige sceal þe heardra, heorte þe cenre, mod sceal þe mare, þe ure mægen lytlað

                            by milkbone on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:43:09 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  Good writeup, but doesn't support your reasoning (0+ / 0-)

                            Why did you conclude that with all this, the REASON Hassan got EMILY's List support was the Pledge?  Doesn't her being a known quantity to them (the staffer) make more sense than it being because she signed a pledge that someone else didn't?  But that's the claim you made (Hassan got EMILY support BECAUSE she signed the pledge and Cilley didn't) and you haven't proven THAT.

                            I do think your writeup is an excellent summary of the local issues and would make a fine diary.  I just don't see any support for your claim that the Pledge was the overriding reason EMILY backed Hassan over Cilley.  

                            Note: I have no connection to NH whatsoever, but I have given to EMILY's list in the past and have been wary because of some pre-primary choices they've made.  Yes I want female pro-choicers in office, but I won't support a ConservaDem over a Progessive even if the Progressive has a Y chromosome.  If they're otherwise equal, I'm fine with them backing the woman.  And with a case of two pro-choice women, they better have a damned good reason to fund one in a primary, and explain their reasoning to us.

                            In capitalist America, bank robs you!

                            by madhaus on Wed Jun 13, 2012 at 12:01:19 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

            •  Are you a woman in NH? (5+ / 0-)

              There are many others like susanthe who are as angry as she is about this.  One of them is me.  I am an activist and a candidate for the NH House. I decided to support Jackie Cilley because she was willing to skip The Pledge and open up the conversation. As a retiree I will be driven out of this state if we do not do something about the property taxes, our main source of funding in the state.  I have to choose between staying my house and my neighbor's children's' education.  

              If you have never lived in a state that prides itself on an ever-increasing structural deficit which means we let our roads and bridges deteriorate, shut down our rest areas when we are a tourism funded state, and refuse to support our state parks adequately, for just a few example, then don't get all high-and-mighty with me, Mister.  

              And to add insult to injury, the candidate they support, the choice of the NHDP establishment, not the grassroots nor the voters in a primary, coincidentally has a campaign manager who came directly from Emily's List.  

              We believe in prosperity & opportunity, strong communities, healthy families, great schools, investing in our future and leading the world by example.

              by bloomingpol on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:30:24 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

            •  What is wrong with you, ndr? (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              susanthe, La Gitane
    •  All politics is local (5+ / 0-)

      This is a great example of why we should let the locals educate us as to the nuances of candidate strengths and weaknesses.

      Martha Coakley comes to mind as an example of outside money influencing an election that ultimately fielded a deeply flawed  democratic candidate.

      This outside money can contribute to skewing voters' perception of the viability of a candidate.

      •  Couldn't agree more (0+ / 0-)

        National liberal activists have the party's best interest at heart. But the best laid schemes of mice and men often go awry. I know a lot of locally popular politicians aren't liberal enough for some on the netroots, but they are locally popular. Being popular among your constituents is not something outside money can replace. I am all for national fundraising, but only for candidates that can win in their respective districts and/or states. Outside activists have cost both p parties multiple seats simply because of ignorance of local sentiment.

        •  Oh, they endorsed Tarryl Clark (MN-08) (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          bumiputera

          If she were to get the nomination -- or even to set up a divisive primary battle, the Emily's list endorsement is the one thing that could allow Craaaaaaaaavack to sneak through to another term.

          http://emilyslist.org/...

          "I hope; therefore, I can live."
          For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

          by tietack on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 07:33:17 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  i am fully aware (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            bumiputera

            And Former Senator Clark is exactly who I had in mind when I typed that. Clark winning the primary would be a catastrophe. She is weak on a level that non-locals don't seem to understand.

            •  Oh, hey, I wanted to ask you a question. (0+ / 0-)

              I noticed about a month ago that Clark recieved the endorsement of the local United Steal Workers District 11 Union. Do you know what happened?

              20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

              by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:22:41 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  that was last fall (0+ / 0-)

                It was right about the time I left the Nolan campaign myself. It didn't help her with the caucus or the party endorsement. The USW got behind Clark for the same reason I left the Nolan campaign.

                Since this endorsement 8 months ago, really everything has come crashing down on Clark. And the USW is sitting on their hands right now. They can't officially abandon Clark, but thy are offing forth zero effort to help her with the primary. The focus is on November for sure. And with the entire DFL infrastructure behind Nolan, the USW is sort of laying idle until the general.

                •  Thanks. (0+ / 0-)

                  What happened with Nolan? I remember something about mining. Did that have something to do with it?

                  20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                  by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:43:31 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Ummmmmm, He decided to change his mind (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    ndrwmls10

                    That has (mostly) blown over now. And yea, there is a BIG issue right now involving mineral rights. It is far too complex to type on a Droid, but it has really divided people along strange lines locally. Do a Google news search for Minnesota Mineral Leases if you want to educate yourself.

    •  EMILY's also provides details on issues for each (0+ / 0-)

      Commenter below notes correctly that EMILY's List provides EMILY's List members with a list of candidates it prefers and the member elects to whom to contribute and how much.  The member contributes to the candidate, not to EMILY's so EMILY's can then contribute to the candidate.  In addition EMILY's provides a detailed, single-spaced two-sided description of the positions each preferred candidate takes on various issues, in order to permit its members to make an informed $ contribution decision among the various recommended female pro-choice Democratic candidates EMILY's is recommending that election cycle.

    •  Emily's List Is Counterproductive (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      susanthe, jncca, stevenaxelrod

      Emily's List is a detriment to the Democratic Party and the progressive political agenda, including women's rights.  Progressive Democrats, male and female, should avoid support of this organization.

      Emily's List will supports a LESS PROGRESSIVE, LESS ELECTABLE, female Democrat over MORE PROGRESSIVE, MORE ELECTABLE (and equally pro-choice) male Democrat in a primary race - That is crazy!

      And Emily's List causes a waste of precious financial resources as well.  Progressives, who are already at a huge financial disadvantage in today's post-Citizen's United world, should not be encouraged to divert their limited funds towards fighting excellent progressive candidates in Democratic primaries (ex: Chris Murphy in CT), simply because those candidates are male.

      •  I'm not sure your getting this. (0+ / 0-)

        Their priority is electing PRO-CHOICE DEMOCRATIC WOMEN. If the candidate has a shot, they will endorse them. Without this group many of the women elected to both chambers would not be there.

        20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

        by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:51:40 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Oh, I Get It (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          stevenaxelrod

          The problem is that Emily's List's obsession with gender, to the exclusion of ideological and practical consirerations, actually has the real world political effect of helping the GOP, and thereby electing more anti-progressive (and anti-choice) candidates to office.

          •  Obsession? Really! (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            GradyDem

            I cannot believe you just said that. Tell that to the 17% of women who are in Congress. That's an abysmal number, but it would have been a hell of a lot worse without Emily's List and similar groups.

            So fucking ridiculous. This thread truly is.... I thought the progressive movement would actually be progressive. Oh wait, it's Daily Kos.

            20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

            by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:26:48 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Wrong, Emily's list only endorse Pro-Choice Dem (0+ / 0-)

            women...that is the purpose of Emily's list, adn more pro-choice women leaders are needed.

        •  and what you aren't telling them (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          happymisanthropy, stevenaxelrod

          is that both Democratic candidates in NH are pro-choice women. Emily's List made a conscious decision to endorse one over the other. Hassan took the NH GOP tax pledge, and Emily's List endorsed her. Cilley refuses to take the pledge, and got the shaft. It's as easy as that.

          “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

          by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:28:50 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I'll say it simply. (0+ / 0-)

            Emily's List endorsed Hassan, because she's a known quantity to them. Not because she signed a tax pledge. In fact one of their former staffers works for her campaign now. If your so pissed get of the internet and help you chosen candidate. Complaining is so unbecoming. By the way, your current Democratic Governor signed it as well.

            20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

            by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:34:19 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  and of course (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              susanthe, stevenaxelrod
              because she's a known quantity to them.
              hiring EMILY staffers makes here more qualified, and the good ol' gal system is so much better than the good ol' boy system.

              all morals are relative, but some are more relative than others.

              by happymisanthropy on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 10:00:24 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  She's a highly qualified individual. (0+ / 0-)

                Lets not forget that, okay. And when women are at parity in government, we can talk about the "gold ol' gals" all you want.

                20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 10:03:45 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  when you're picking one woman over another (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  susanthe, stevenaxelrod

                  because she hired a friend of yours, don't pretend there are principles involved.  

                  "known quantity" is exactly the rationale used to discriminate against women generally, but it's ok when it's your cronies being promoted.

                  all morals are relative, but some are more relative than others.

                  by happymisanthropy on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 10:17:22 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Yeah, when it's a man vs. a woman. (0+ / 0-)

                    These are two woman. The group made its choice. Quite whining, get over it, and fight for your candidate. That's how representative Democracy works. This isn't some corporate special interest. These are woman committed to fighting for their right to choose and reaching parity in our government.

                    I think Hassan is the more electable candidate and has more potential down the road (e.g. a 2016 Senate run), but Cilley sounds like a great person. Just wanted to add that, this isn't about diminishing her. If she wins the primary, Emily's List would endorse her in a heart beat.

                    Also, understand that this race is the only chance to have a female Democratic Governor in 2013. They don't want mess around waiting. They made a calculated choice. Probably, the smart choice.

                    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                    by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 10:25:22 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                •  what's this WE business? (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  La Gitane

                  You aren't a woman - and telling women how to act, what to write, and what to think is every bit as unattractive when it comes from a man who is supposed to be on our side, ndrw.

                  “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

                  by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 01:48:48 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Is happymisanthropy a woman? (0+ / 0-)

                    The game I was referring to earlier was scoring points and you really love to play it. The comments you responded with are a clear indication of that.

                    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                    by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 02:10:12 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  would it matter? (0+ / 0-)

                      As it happens she is. The original point - that telling women what to write, how to act, and what to think is still unpalatable when it comes from a man, ndrw.

                      “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

                      by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 04:24:09 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  Your putting words in my mouth and interpreting (0+ / 0-)

                        what I said to fit your idea. I don't appreciate your disingenuous and you'll obviously never stop. Therefore I am disengaging from this conversation. Good luck with your life!

                        20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

                        by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:12:09 PM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                        •  well, ndrw (0+ / 0-)

                          I wish you continued success in not being from NH, not living in NH, and not having a clue about NH politics. I feel certain you won't let any of that get in your way!

                          “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

                          by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:48:57 PM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

      •  Women understand the choice issue better, and we (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        askew, susanthe

        need more women leaders, After all...we are the majority.

  •  ND-Sen: Web ad? Cleaned up a bit, it would (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    econdem

    make a good TV ad.

    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:36:59 AM PDT

  •  the (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike

    Lingle thing is designed to run after the local news. I would guess she is hoping for news coverage and that people will then switch over to see her. Don't think that will work out. I wonder what it will be running at the time of the election.

  •  New Obama ad. (9+ / 0-)
    The new ad will run in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. The campaign describes the ad buy as "significant."
    http://politicalwire.com/...

    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:40:35 AM PDT

    •  Good Ad (6+ / 0-)

      I love ads that use infographics. They especially appeal to youth and internet culture.

      22, Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (Taught; B.A. in Political Philosophy/Science), TX-17 (Lived); Left, right, back to the middle... Taste my skittles?

      by wwmiv on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:53:13 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  eh, color me unimpressed (0+ / 0-)

      Gotta be careful with that, as Romney will come back saying Democrats controlled the legislature to the point where Romney didn't matter, as it was veto-proof. That being said, such a retort would be a double.edged.sword for Romney, as it chips at the executive narrative, but it would also give him a soap box to.espouse his bipartisan free.

      •  Well (5+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        sulthernao, Odysseus, askew, itskevin, JBraden

        It's a double bind for him.

        He either blames the Democrats for that, which makes him look whiny and like a bad executive. It'll even out the playing field with Obama on the issue of having gridlock (I.E. Obama can't get anything done because of Republicans and Romney couldn't because of Democrats).

        Or he shuts up, so that he avoids the previous issue. This is basically accepting responsibility for the problems, but isn't as bad as doing so outright.

        22, Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (Taught; B.A. in Political Philosophy/Science), TX-17 (Lived); Left, right, back to the middle... Taste my skittles?

        by wwmiv on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:59:04 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Are you serious? That's a useless "comeback" (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        stevenaxelrod

        No, American voters aren't going to buy it with Mitt trying to punt blame to the state legislature.  Just as Obama's tanking job approvals post-debt ceiling revealed that voters weren't blaming the GOP Congress and giving Obama a pass that he actually deserved, Mitt isn't going to get any traction by blaming others for problems on his watch as Governor.  And no the issue doesn't give him any kind of soapbox.  Voters don't have the patience to listen and pay attention.

        One thing I trust is that OFA tests their messaging extensively before going full tilt with it.  It's obvious that they privately have amassed plenty enough data to establish that swing voters are concerned about whether they can trust Romney on policy and integrity, and they've identified what kinds of things make voters decide against him.

        That doesn't mean these ads move poll numbers in any immediate perceptible way, because that's not what campaign messaging is designed to do this far out from an election.  But I'm plenty confident these ads plant the seeds in voters' minds that OFA wants planted.

        44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 11:20:53 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  And if Mitt makes that argument, (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          DCCyclone, stevenaxelrod

          he essentially makes the ad MORE powerful, as he gives it more attention. I'm sure the Obama administration would love to have that debate. Anything that makes it a choice vs. a referendum campaign would be fine with them.

          •  Exactly (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            itskevin

            Mitt doesn't want to talk about his record as Governor.  He never has, and he never wants to.  He won't go down that rabbit hole unless he eventually decides he can't avoid it.

            44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

            by DCCyclone on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 12:13:08 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  I think this is why President Obama will win. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    itskevin

    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:42:42 AM PDT

    •  Yeah (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, Mark27, R30A

      But do they also believe that the GOP would continue to stall the economic recovery in they were in power? I dont think this is very important unless and until the Obama campaign makes a big issue out of it.

      22, Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (Taught; B.A. in Political Philosophy/Science), TX-17 (Lived); Left, right, back to the middle... Taste my skittles?

      by wwmiv on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 05:52:12 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Very True..... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike

        The winking narrative advanced by the Romney campaign to the business community is that as soon as Romney wins and the Republicans are no longer defined by obstruction to the Presidency, they will suddenly do a close approximation of what's necessary to keep the economy from going off the cliff....whereas as long as Obama's in the White House they will actively push it off the cliff.  A lot of voters recognize this the GOP's game here...but still reward them for it if they think it means the economy will improve.  

        The official U.S. government policy may be no negotiation with terrorists, but the Republican Party is counting on the American people having less conviction in the face of hostage-takers.

      •  I can't imagine that voters (0+ / 0-)

        would reward a party if they thought that party was purposely sabotaging the economy.

  •  The other thing about ND-AL (0+ / 0-)

    The Gulleson folks are reiterating that her numbers keep improving as her name recognition increases.  

    She is an underdog, but if she can get her name out there she could pull this one off in a squeaker.  I know the folks running her campaign and if I trust anyone, its them.  

    Her fundraising has been impressive as well, so she'll have the money for a good GOTV operation.

    It's gonna be a tough race, but the numbers are getting better each time I see them.

    My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right. -- Senator Carl Schurz(MO-1899)

    by Adam Blomeke on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 06:05:13 AM PDT

    •  I feel really good about Heitkamp's chances. (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bear83, Adam Blomeke, JBraden

      If Gulleson can tie herself to Heitkamp, she has a shot.

      20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 06:10:16 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yeah No... (4+ / 0-)

        I disagree with this assessment. I doubt that Heitkamp will win going away if she wins at all (in my mind for what its worth I do think she'll win) and is probably not so personally popular in the state as to lead another campaign to define themselves in terms of a completely separate person.

        In all likelihood, I can see this having lots of unintended consequences. Here's a good one: Gulleson attaches herself to Heitkamp but then becomes somewhat personally unpopular herself, leading to both women losing (one by a landslide and the other narrowly because of her new and probably unwanted association).

        22, Burkean Post-Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (Taught; B.A. in Political Philosophy/Science), TX-17 (Lived); Left, right, back to the middle... Taste my skittles?

        by wwmiv on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 06:17:56 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  ND-SEN remains a tossup (0+ / 0-)

          And I agree with wwmiv's assessment, though not in such stark terms.

          Heidi has a great shot, and if anyone can get Democrats off of their asses in the state to vote, it's her.  Pam can hope that Heidi's coattails help her numbers with that increased turnout, but overall, they won't be actively trying to tie themselves together.

          Not that they'll be distancing themselves from eachother either...

          My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right. -- Senator Carl Schurz(MO-1899)

          by Adam Blomeke on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:43:08 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  I think your second paragraph is dead wrong (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          jncca, Adam Blomeke

          There is no such thing, ever, as up-ballot House-Senate coattails.  That never happens.

          But your first paragraph is 100% correct, Heitkamp cannot and will not help Gulleson.

          Gulleson is going to have to catch up and make it a race on her own merits and campaign chops.  I have no idea if she can do it, even though I know she's probably as good as we've got on our thin bench up there.

          44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 11:23:03 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  It seems like only 2 or 3 weeks ago that (0+ / 0-)

    Angie's List crashed and burned at this site.

    And now Emily's List does likewise.

    Who's next?

  •  Q Poll: PA-Pres (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wwmiv, bear83, askew, DCCyclone, itskevin

    Obama 46-40.  Can't believe I was the first to post a new poll result.  http://www.quinnipiac.edu/...

    •  Paleo posted it in one of yesterday's digests. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, itskevin

      Paleo is always first.  We should all give up trying to compete with that.

    •  RMoney has cut Obama's lead a bit (0+ / 0-)

      It was 8 a month ago, but that change is within the MOE.

      The matchup compares to a 47 - 39 percent Obama lead in a May 3 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
      On the plus side, Senator Casey still looks safe at 51-32.
      •  Obama's new ad (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        itskevin

        went up in PA, so he has not put it away yet.  This poll may be about right.

      •  No, that's just noise (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        itskevin

        The Q-poll PA numbers have gone over 4 polls from 46-40 to 45-42, to 47-39 to 46-40.  This adds up to meaningless noise.  Q-poll is helpful in this regard, by polling the same states so frequently.  The temptation otherwise would be to read too much into a seeming significant movement, like from 45-42 to 46-39 as happened in that series I just posted.  As it goes, nothing at all really happened.

        Building on the private polling discussion of AZ-08 yesterday, this is the kind of thing where private polling gets a lot more precision.  They're much more sophisticated in picking samples, and their small movements mean more than small movements in Q-polls.  But of course we never get to see a series of private polls, that's why they're private!

        44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 11:26:30 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  The Pledge (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Icicle68, Odysseus, DCPatriot

    While odious, and frustrating, the political reality in NH is that, in the short term, it is impossible for a candidate to win in NH without taking "the pledge."
    Given the plethora of right-wing nutjobs in Concord, not taking the pledge diminishes our chances of re-taking the legislature and taking a more incremental approach on killing off "the pledge."
    This is something to be done in a second or third term as Governor -- not right off the bat.
    Not taking the pledge in an open election for Governor (like we have this year) would be a political gift from heaven for the GOP.

    •  interesting (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      stevenaxelrod

      Yet, Jeb Bush and other Republicans are refusing to take the Norquist pledge.

      The Loeb/Thomson NH GOP PLedge has become a tool for keeping Democrats in line.

      “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

      by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:23:18 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  PA legislative redistricting (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Adam B, Odysseus, sulthernao

    I just learned in the newspaper the other day that I was moved to a Republican district--this is clearly a "taking" by the state that diminishes my property values, so I'm thinking of suing.

    Romney '12: Bully for America!

    by Rich in PA on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 06:40:12 AM PDT

  •  Dcorps conducted two interesting focus groups (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wwmiv, LordMike, Mark27, DCCyclone, sulthernao

    It's not all roses, but Obama has some clear advantages:

    The voters are very sophisticated about the character of the economy; they know who is mainly responsible for what went wrong and they are hungry to hear the President talk about the future.  They know we are in a new normal where life is a struggle – and convincing them that things are good enough for those who have found jobs is a fool’s errand.  They want to know the plans for making things better in a serious way – not just focused on finishing up the work of the recovery.

    We are losing these voters on the economy, but holding on because Romney is very vulnerable.  They do not trust him because of who he is for and because he’s out of touch with ordinary people; he is vulnerable on the Ryan budget and its impact on people; he is vulnerable on the choices over taxes.  But in the current context, it produces a fairly diminished embrace of Obama and the Democrats, the lesser of two evils, without much feeling of hope.

    Ok, so I read the polls.

    by andgarden on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 06:54:54 AM PDT

    •  "a new normal" (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, sulthernao

      Wow. A few crappy years and we've all just capitulated to the idea that the economy is just going to suck for everyone who's not very wealthy? Sort of depressing.

      I wish OWS would come back. That was a fun couple of months when a liberal economic critique actually had a place in the national dialogue.

      •  OWS is unorgnized (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        askew

        They may have fun, but have no real focus or goals.

        •  It's also very charitable to say OWS... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          sawolf

          ...provided a "liberal economic critique."

          All anyone really saw was a lot of anger.  Understandable anger.  And with a stated target:  Wall Street!  But still just anger.

          In hindsight, OWS was a major fail.  It actually showed its potential by way of some Democrats, including Obama, latching on to the sentiment as something politically useful.  But the OWS people never "got" that latch-on as something they should follow up on.

          The teabaggers are politically much smarter than OWS.  And that is depressing, because teabaggers overall are hopelessly stupid and ignorant people.

          44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 11:30:21 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  An Emily's List endorsement (0+ / 0-)

    Is still meaningful to me, but I now consider it a fairly early step in information-gathering. I no longer contribute through them - I go to ActBlue or to the candidate's own pages, after I've made my own roster using my own criteria for where to allocate the limited support I can spare.

    I was cross for a long time after a couple of endorsements by them that seemed inappropriate to me; but I eventually just accepted the fact that they have their own agendas and vetting process that won't always mesh with mine.

    A Republican is a person who says we need to rebuild Iraq but not New Orleans. - Temple Stark

    by Christopher Walker on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 07:30:23 AM PDT

    •  Agreed! (0+ / 0-)

      I was upset about their endorsement of Tulsi Gabbard (although I've grown much more comfortable with her). The group and I share many, but not all priorities. At least we can see their importance.

      20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:56:10 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  probme wiht ACT B;ue they dontl get you canot get (0+ / 0-)

      a very liberal Democrat can not elected in conservative states. Yes Emily's list is focused on Pro-Choice , women (D). Most women do not consider being po-choice to be a very liberal issue.

  •  KS-redistricting (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    stevenaxelrod

    On a local level the redistricting process ended up with some very interesting results.  The judges completely ignored the politics of it (as they should have) which led to 25 open House seats and 46 incumbents potentially facing off with another incumbent.  

    The maps came out on Friday but Kobach refused to move the filing deadline from today at noon leading to a lot of scrambling.  I don't see any way Democrats will find legit candidates for a lot of the districts but it's still going to be a much better map than whatever the legislature could have come up with.  All of this was driven by Brownback's attempts to purge moderate Republicans from the state legislature.  After forcing through his horrific tax cut the state is already on a train headed over a cliff and he's tired of anyone trying to put on the brakes.

  •  EMILY's List did the same thing in Lowell in 2007. (4+ / 0-)

    When Lowell Congressman Marty Meehan retired, the Democratic primary for the special election to replace him featured to very strong, accomplished, progressive, pro-choice female candidates - Paul Tsongas' widow Niki, who had become an accomplished attorney and community leader in her own right, and Eileen Donoghue, a city councilor and former mayor who was perhaps the most respected local political figure since Senator Tsongas himself (known locally as "St. Paul.")

    It was really an embarrassment of riches, choosing between the two.  Either one would have made an excellent Congressman, and they both fit EMILY's List's criteria to a T.

    But instead of staying out of the race, the organization decided to endorse Tsongas over Donoghue, for no real reason they could ever articulate, but probably because the former senator's wife was a known quantity on the DC cocktail circuit, while the former mayor was an unfamiliar face.

    I didn't appreciate their unprincipled bigfooting back then, and I don't like seeing them doing it again now.

    Art is the handmaid of human good.

    by joe from Lowell on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:21:28 AM PDT

    •  Their bigfooting has helped elect (0+ / 0-)

      9 Governors, 16 Senators, and 87 Congresswoman since the beginning of the organization. This year alone will add a significant amount of women to that list. Ask these women how they feel about the group. Oh that's right everyone's "anti-establishment". When it suits them of course.

      20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:00:17 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  "unsophisticated meddlers" (0+ / 0-)

        Is that the best choice of words to describe Emily's List?

        This early funder has had better reception here in the past.

      •  Pro-choice womwn, like me suport Emily's list, as (0+ / 0-)

        women understand better  than men the affects of losing reproductive choice, and how it effects's women and their families lives.

      •  No, it did not. (0+ / 0-)

        Absolutely none of the candidates you refer to were elected because EMILY's List endorsed one progressive, pro-choice woman candidate over another.

        It's like my entire comment went over your head.  I described, in some detail, a specific set of actions that the group did, and all you read was "EMILY's List did it."

        As far as authority goes, I'm not terribly impressed by your "you need to respect them, no matter what they do, because they're an authority."  When they're wrong, they're wrong.

        Art is the handmaid of human good.

        by joe from Lowell on Wed Jun 13, 2012 at 12:30:54 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  I'm curious: What is the financial crisis facing (0+ / 0-)

    New Hampshire, and what  are the steps favored by the state's voters to overcome it?

    LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

    by dinotrac on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 08:35:54 AM PDT

    •  It's about (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      dinotrac, happymisanthropy

      NH's regressive tax structure. NH has no state income tax and no sales tax. As a result, we have an over-reliance on the property tax, and we "fee" people to death.

      The Pledge was devised by the late William Loeb; publisher of the far right Manchester Union Leader, and Meldrim Thomson; the crazy right wing nutjob who was Governor of NH in the 70's. All Republicans are expected to take the pledge.

      All Democrats who run for governor are expected to take the pledge - even though they'll still be called "tax and spend liberals" by the right, and they'll still be accused of wanting a state income tax.

      The Pledge is a form of censorship. The Pledge means that there can be no discussion about our tax structure. The Pledge means that NH revenue streams are increasingly limited. The current legislature cut revenue streams even further.

      NH has the 11th worst infrastructure in the nation. NH ranks a firm 50th in the nation in spending on our state university system. We were already solidly in 50th place when our legislature cut college funding in half, just last year.

      The pledge means we'll continue to be unable to invest in infrastructure and education, both things that we desperately need to do.

      NOT taking the pledge doesn't mean an automatic income tax. NOT taking the pledge means not bowing to the Republicans and the timid, who use the pledge as a form of control. It's impossible to know what voters want, because polling on the subject is always carefully framed - and because the pledge guarantees there can be no actual discussion. The pledge is censorship that both sides use to control their respective flocks.

      “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

      by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:21:35 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  That doesn't sound like a very regressive (0+ / 0-)

        tax structure.

        Property taxes are usually a much better way to reach the wealthy than income taxes because the wealthy are better at avoiding taxable income than the rest of us.

        The fee thing -- could be a problem, but does have the advantage of not taxing you for things you don't use.

        The real question, I guess, is why candidates believe they have to take the pledge.  My understanding is that New Hampshire is a much more conservative place than its neighbor to the south.

        LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

        by dinotrac on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 09:39:27 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  well consider this (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          stevenaxelrod

          Mitt Romney and some 27,000 other millionaires live here. You still have to pay property taxes if you lose your job. That doesn't affect Mitt - but it does affect a woman who earns less than a man to begin with - and then loses her job.

          Candidates (from both parties) are conditioned by years of Republican rule that they have to take the pledge.

          “In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” ~ Confucius

          by susanthe on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 11:07:59 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  That is a good point about unemployment. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            susanthe

            One with which I am all too familiar.

            Seems like a damned if you do/damned if you don't there.
            I doubt that Mitt Romney and most of those other millionaires are very heavily touched by income taxes.

            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

            by dinotrac on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 11:11:31 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  Emily's list purpose is to elect Pro-choice women (0+ / 0-)

    and like NARAL they look at how pro-choice candidates are and their records. Besides Emily's list look at, as they should, who has the best chance of getting elected.

  •  I worked on a campaign in San Diego (0+ / 0-)

    where Emily's list endorsed our candidate, along with PCCC and MoveOn.

    Talking with the PCCC guys, we learned that while Emily's List was barely lifting a finger for our candidate, in other races around the country where their candidate was running against the PCCC candidate, they were dumping enormous resources into the race.

    We were pretty disappointed, and left wondering how committed Emily's list is to progressive causes.

    "Mediocrity cannot know excellence." -- Sherlock Holmes

    by La Gitane on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 02:14:01 PM PDT

    •  Like NM-01? (0+ / 0-)

      It seems the perception of that race is rather screwed up. No thanks in part to groups like PCCC. Michelle Lujan Grisham is just as progressive as Eric Griego, but without the arrest warrants. The only other campaign that Emily's List and the PCCC are at odds is in the CT-05 race. By the way PCCC backed Chris Donovan's campaign was racked by scandal last week. Maybe the PCCC should vet or chose their candidates better. Of course they will never get rebuked for their endorsements.

      Oh and Lori Saldana was only "On the List", meaning she was never received their full endorsement.

      20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 02:30:28 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Emily's List is dead to me, and has been (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jncca

    Since they endorsed an anti-Semite with a vagina over a  pro-choice candidate with a circumcised penis. They still call once in a while, and I always say "no" and tell them why.

    Done with politics for the night? Have a nice glass of wine with Palate Press: The online wine magazine.

    by dhonig on Tue Jun 12, 2012 at 03:23:31 PM PDT

  •  Scott Brown's Wife... (0+ / 0-)
    If the kids had a problem, they didn’t call me, they called Dad, because Dad was the one that was always there. And he still is....
    "because hell, I'm out boozin' it up realizing who I'm married to...."

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site