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The state, of course. We have several important elections coming up. I know that DailyKos has a specific Elections section that posts major updates, but I thought it might be worthwhile to write a series of diaries focusing specifically on elections in my state. So for fellow Washingtonians, I encourage you to fill the comments section of this with insights or local perspectives.

As you probably know, we have to big statewide elections, the US Senate seat and the race for the governor. Maria Cantwell, our current Democratic Senator who is running for re-election, seems to have her seat in the bags. She's held this seat for over a decade, and her opponent does not seem nearly as capable of mounting a serious campaign.

Instead, the big statewide election is the governor. Longtime Representative Jay Inslee has been taking a beating against Attorney General Rob McKenna, but it seems he's been doing better in recent polls. The reason, I believe, is because his grassroots campaign has taken a bit of time to pick up.

Meanwhile, we've got 10 congressional races. District 10, the new district, is our big chance for a pickup. At the same time, though, we've got to hold on to all our Democratic seats, two of which (districts 1 and 6) are now open as the incumbents are resigning and retiring, respectively.

Probably the most immediate matter is settling the democratic nominee for the 1st district race (my district). We currently have 5 candidates, while the Republicans have 2. Now one thing everyone should remember is that Washington does not have conventional primaries for the conventional races. Rather, it has a two round runoff election. That means that in the first round, everybody from all parties runs, and the top two fight it off in the second round. The result is that it's possible to end up having two teabaggers on the ballot in November for some of these races. That is why it's important to get the vote out in the August primaries and make sure that at least one Democrat ends up in the November ballot. This is particularly important for the first district, as party division might make us lose the seat and end up having two teabaggers on the ballot in November.

I'll continue to post as more updates on local elections occur. Again, I encourage fellow Washingtonians (and really, anyone interested in major races across the country) to bring up things they find interesting about these races in the comments section.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (14+ / 0-)

    Republicans are far more socialist than Democrats. Just because they want to redistribute the wealth upwards does not make it any better.

    by MrAnon on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 07:44:53 PM PDT

  •  technically... (5+ / 0-)

    ...there is 1 Republican running in WA-01, and one 'former' Republican running as an Independent.

    As noted in the diary I posted a short time ago - John Koster (the prominent Republican) is so far to the right, he denies the existence of DOMA.

    Thus far, polling makes it extremely unlikely that the race will be anything other than 1 R and 1 D, with Koster and Burner polling significantly ahead of all others.

    That doesn't mean it is impossible for the Independent to make a surge...or for the Democrats (particularly the self funder) to go scorched earth and wipe out our chances of holding the seat, but seriously unlikely.

    Are you a Proud Progressive running or thinking about running for office? Visit www.mpapolitical.com.

    by mp on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 08:01:12 PM PDT

  •  Darcy cleaned up last night Whatcom Democrats mtg (6+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mp, Chinton, nomandates, importer, MrAnon, notrouble

    And when you hear her speak, it's obvious why.  She's a clear progressive voice - she will be an excellent congresscritter.

  •  Keep an eye on the race for the 26th District (6+ / 0-)

    Now that Norm Dicks (D) is retiring.  Derek Kilmer (D) from Gig Harbor is running, but I don't know any of the challengers (need to keep up on that).  I've met Kilmer and he's a solid guy.

    (aka NobleExperiments). ‎"Those who make a peaceful revolution imposible make a violent revolution inevitable" ~ John F. Kennedy

    by smrichmond on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 08:38:39 PM PDT

    •  I like Kilmer a lot (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      nomandates, Kitsap River, MrAnon

      I've met him too.  You're right--very solid person.

      "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win". Mohandas K. Gandhi

      by DaveinBremerton on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 09:06:40 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Derek's great. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MrAnon

      He's a personal friend as well as our state senator. He's up against several deep-pockets types on the R side; on our side, he's unopposed. I intend to keep DKos up on his race.

      Organ donors save lives! A donor's kidney gave me my life back on 02/18/11; he lives on in me. Please talk with your family about your wish to donate.

      Why are war casualty counts "American troops" and "others" but never "human beings"?

      by Kitsap River on Sat Jun 23, 2012 at 12:11:43 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I get to vote twice for Congress in November (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Kitsap River, importer, MrAnon, notrouble

    I was redistricted from Inslee's district to Dick's district, so this fall I get to vote for both--in the first to fill Inslee's vacant seat through December and in the sixth to fill Dick's seat for the new congress.  Pretty weird place to be.

    I think Kilmer is a shoe-in for Dick's seat.  He has worked hard on keeping the Narrows bridge tolls down, and is good on veteran's issues.  He is not as progressive as I would like, but in this military district that makes him more electable.  He is not a blue dog by any stretch, just not a Darcy Burner.

    I hear the Democratic establishment is backing  Del Bene for the first district over Burner, because Burner couldn't beat Reichert two out of two times.

    Not all those who wander are lost.

    by Leftleaner on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 08:49:31 PM PDT

    •  The logic you present doesn't make much sense... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Wells, MrAnon

      DelBene's win percentage against Reichert was no better and she benefited from the prior work done by Darcy.

      It should be noted that Koster has also lost 2 campaigns for Congress.

      Ruderman lost her state wide campaign.

      Losing in your past isn't a guarantee of losing in your future.  The current campaign finance system is so heavily rigged for incumbents and establishment figures, running and losing is basically a pre-requisite for winning as  a challenger.

      The most common trait among Democrats who won seats as challengers in 2006 and 2008 was having lost previous campaigns for Congress.

      How about we pick the best possible candidate to deliver the change we need instead of clinging to consistently failed logic about determining the 'most electable'.

      Barack Obama took 56% in this district in 2008.  A variety of Democrats have been in the 48-50% range in the district...all of them perceived to be less progressive than Obama was perceived to be in 2008.  Seems like the party would be wise to nominate a more progressive candidate.

      Proudly working on the campaign to elect Darcy Burner.
      Are you a Proud Progressive running or thinking about running for office? Visit www.mpapolitical.com.

      by mp on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 09:06:07 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Exactly (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        importer

        And remember, congressional elections are different than Presidential elections. The purpose of Congressmen is to represent their local people, which is our chance to get hardcore progressives in. Because of the incumbent advantage, if Darcy Burner is elected, she will stay in the House for a long time.

        Republicans are far more socialist than Democrats. Just because they want to redistribute the wealth upwards does not make it any better.

        by MrAnon on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 09:25:22 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  It's not my logic (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        mp

        it's what I have heard is being said in the inner Dem circles.  I think the two races have honed Burner's skills and made her a more viable candidate.

        The district has changed a bit, and is expected to be somewhat less blue than before.  I am not sure how much of a change is expected, but there is concern that Burner may be too progressive.  I think she would be about right, but then I am not the part of the demographic the dems are worried about.

        Not all those who wander are lost.

        by Leftleaner on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 09:43:29 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  That's actually pretty interesting (0+ / 0-)

      I'm not sure why they chose to have the special election, since it's only filling the seat for one month, but I guess we'll need everyone we can get for the massive fights that are going down in December.

      For Kilmer's opponents, check here. I don't think any of them are very organized yet, but after August 7th primaries the race will heat up.

      Burner losing to Reichert seems like a pretty stupid reason to oppose her, since she's not facing Reichert (who campaigns as a "moderate" anyways and has the incumbent advantage). It would make sense to replace Jay Inslee with an equally progressive voice. To be fair though, Del Bene seems like a decent candidate, but Burner still has my support.

      Republicans are far more socialist than Democrats. Just because they want to redistribute the wealth upwards does not make it any better.

      by MrAnon on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 09:15:04 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I think they are required to fill it (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MrAnon, mp, notrouble

        by statute.  It adds to the negativity about Inslee's decision to resign his seat, which I think didn't go over well at all.  I am happy to see that he is finally catching up in the governor's race.

        Not all those who wander are lost.

        by Leftleaner on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 09:52:24 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  The Terms Shoo-In and In The Bag (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Bob Love

    can be dangerous.

    But the phrase "Who could have known?" is handy when needed.

    The Republican Party is Simply a Coalition of Greed and Hate

    by kerplunk on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 08:55:27 PM PDT

    •  Very true (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      kerplunk

      But both Cook Political and Realclearpolitics rate the Senate race "Safe D", so I'm less concerned there (Cantwell is still one of the most progressive voices in the Senate, though, so if you have donations to spare, we can't afford to take risks).

      Generally, the incumbent has a strong advantage in House and Senate races. That's why District 1, District 6, and District 10 are the most discussed races. If we can knock off a Republican incumbent though, especially Reichert (whose status as a "moderate" makes him ripe to replace with a progressive), that would be great. If you have a Democratic representative who is running for re-election though, make sure you don't ignore the race. We need every seat we can get, and that means keeping all the seats we have already.

      Republicans are far more socialist than Democrats. Just because they want to redistribute the wealth upwards does not make it any better.

      by MrAnon on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 09:21:30 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Wow, shoo-in, not shoe-in (0+ / 0-)

      I am a pretty good speller, and I had that wrong.  I googled it, and  you are right.  I thought it was based on getting a shoe in the door, or a shoe over the finish line.  Who knew?

      Not all those who wander are lost.

      by Leftleaner on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 09:58:19 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  We are finally starting to see (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    notrouble, MrAnon

    Inslee signs on the roads here this week.

    Registering here was so easy at the DMV. No party affiliation required?

    NEVER STOP READING BOOKS- Nothing else stirs the imagination or opens a mind to all possibilities.

    by Carla in Sequim on Fri Jun 22, 2012 at 10:56:47 PM PDT

    •  I've seen them a bit here in Bothell (0+ / 0-)

      and Woodinville. Most of his campaign is grassroots, so McKenna's early advantage will shrink as the race approaches November.

      Republicans are far more socialist than Democrats. Just because they want to redistribute the wealth upwards does not make it any better.

      by MrAnon on Sat Jun 23, 2012 at 08:32:25 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I've only seen a few McKenna signs (0+ / 0-)

    but, as I live in Stevens County, it will easily go for him.  We have a 70 percent Republican and 30 Democratic split. Our exciting races will be the commissioners' race.  We have five candidates, all Republicans.  There are a handful of candidates' forums, so hopefully people will have a chance to hear about the candidate before voting.  

    If you haven't been to your elections office the day after the ballots arrive in mail boxes, you are in for a surprise.  Our's usually has two full postal trays of completed ballots in already.  

    If you are doing get-out-the-vote, the emphasis has to be prior to the ballots being mailed, July 20th for the primary and October 10th for the general election.

  •  I used to be in the 1st CD (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MrAnon

    But due to boundary changes I'm in the 2nd CD now. I think that the 1st dems will have to pick Steve Hobbs if they want to win in November. He wouldn't be my first choice, but I suspect a more progressive democrat would be unable to win the rather purple district.

    I'm confident we will be the first state to say YES to gay marriage at the ballot box.

    A conservative is a man with two perfectly good legs who, however, has never learned how to walk forward. Franklin D. Roosevelt

    by notrouble on Sat Jun 23, 2012 at 09:39:38 AM PDT

  •  Looks Like The Po Dunk Washington State (0+ / 0-)

    3rd congressional district is being handed to Republican incumbent Jamie Herrera Beutler in 2012 again.

    I can't tell if this is a situation that Democrats are trying to uphold the idea  of "new AND Better Democrats" by cutting off Democratic Party funding from the only Democrat willing to run in the race.

    It sounds ugly and a total fail.  

    The 3rd congressional district is a hot bed of hard core right wingers and the most vicious of the Tea Party crowd so the success of a Democrat is slim, however shouldn't every district have a supported Democrat running?

    http://www.columbian.com/...

    The Republican Party is Simply a Coalition of Greed and Hate

    by kerplunk on Sat Jun 23, 2012 at 01:42:41 PM PDT

    •  From the Dem candidate's website (0+ / 0-)
      Jon Haugen would strengthen and protect Social Security by eliminating the current cap for incomes above $106,000.
      Why is the DNC not giving this guy money?

      Republicans are far more socialist than Democrats. Just because they want to redistribute the wealth upwards does not make it any better.

      by MrAnon on Sat Jun 23, 2012 at 01:48:29 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Of course (0+ / 0-)

      Maybe the DNC is waiting until the August 7th primary.

      Republicans are far more socialist than Democrats. Just because they want to redistribute the wealth upwards does not make it any better.

      by MrAnon on Sat Jun 23, 2012 at 01:50:25 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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