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The US, Israel, Saudi Arabia, and any countries in the EU who would participate in preemptive actions against Iran should take the recent missile tests and comments by the Iranian military for exactly what they are: bluster, hissing, "scary" defensive noises and shows from an animal that knows it's cornered and fears being struck in the near future.

Let's break down the recent comments coming out of Iran about the missile tests and discuss reasonably, below the squig.


An Iranian military commander said that his country has detailed contingency plans to strike nearly three dozen U.S. military bases in the region should Iran be attacked, local media reported Wednesday.

...SHOULD Iran be attacked.

Brig. Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh, the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Aerospace Force, told reporters the U.S. has 35 bases around Iran and all are "within the reach of our missiles" and could be hit "in the early minutes after an attack,"... The bases were no threat but instead an "opportunity" for the Iranian military, Hajizadeh said last month...
"Hisssss, I'm strong, you can't hurt me, buuuut when you do hurt me I can strike your bare leg before you have time to get out of the way or block me."
Hajizadeh's claims come as the IRGC conducts a major military exercise in which it has fired a barrage of missiles at "mock enemy bases" set up in the Iranian desert. Another IRGC commander, Brig. Gen. Hossein Salami, told reporters Tuesday the main aim of the drill "was to demonstrate the Iranian nation's political resolve to defend [its] vital values and national interests," according to Iran's state-run Press TV.

Press TV paraphrased Salami's description of the drills as a "firm response to those who threaten Iran with the option of military action."

"We're showing you exactly how we'll respond if you strike us, exactly what we'll use to do so, and exactly how long it will take to do so against your bases at different distances. If you're not sure yet, countries planning sneak nuke attacks don't do this first."

Personally, I think the recession beginning toward the end of Bush II's reign contributed significantly to the decision NOT to strike Iran. While I think Obama has no interest in any direct action against Iran beyond sanctions and cyber attacks, it would behoove him to use scenarios like the recent tests and the comments from Iran that followed as a reminder to his generals who head an organization that exists to kill, destroy, and conquer: they're scared, they implicitly acknowledge they're in a corner, and we don't poke snakes/feral cats/whatever with sticks or worse unless they're going to bite someone.

Iran knows that it's glass if they ever shot a nuke or let off a dirty explosive, and that their attempts at rogue actions around the world have been blunderous failures (see Thailand incident). Let's encourage our leaders to be the level-headed adults in the room about how dangerous that snake really is.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Excellent points, however... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    There is that story about two Iranian spies getting picked up in Kenya last month with thirty pounds of Semtex. Confessing to plans to target US, UK, Israeli Embassies.

    Though as you point out, these latest attempts by the Revolutionary Guard to become international terrorists again have all fizzled (Thailand, India, Georgia, Azerbaijan, that 'Zetas' sting operation.)  I suspect Iranian spycraft has never evolved to account for post-9/11 security and counterintelligence measures.

    But yeah, all in all it seems to me this bluster is the flailing of a regime that is doing its best to hide just how much the sanctions and isolation are hurting.

    Let the sanctions & sabotage do their work.

    Follow Me on Twitter!!/TarantinoDork

    by TarantinoDork on Fri Jul 06, 2012 at 08:02:33 AM PDT

  •  Rogue actions? (0+ / 0-)

    You think Israel and Western nations fear Iran's attacks on ambassador's and family? They're look ing at Iran's role in arming and funding Hezbollah in Lebanon, and how that led to a war with Israel and the takeover in lebanon by Hezbollah. Full-scale wars, not bumbling would-be assassins on motorbikes. They're looking at this bunch of crazies and what they might do if they think nuclear weapons will provide them with greater immunity and impunity to misbehave. It isn't that they might use the nukes - though, that is always a possibility -- it's how they might act if they think no one will dare attack them. Missile tests like these only feed those concerns.

    Coming Soon -- to an Internet connection near you:

    by FischFry on Fri Jul 06, 2012 at 08:15:29 AM PDT

    •  How will they act beyond how they already are? (0+ / 0-)

      And do you think the world is really moving toward more radical fundie nations? I don't believe social media will allow Egypt or Libya to develop a caliphate like Iran, and even in Iran there has been much blood spilled in the name of democracy and freedom.

      •  Yes, lots of blood.... (0+ / 0-)

        I like social media. The thing is that if someone from the goon squad is bashing you with a truncheon, your I-Phone isn't much of a defense. Yes, much blood was spilled in Iran in battering the liberal resistance into submission. The thing is force works.

        As for Egypt and Libya --- I don't know what will happen there, though I'm disturbed by a newly elected President who starts off by promising he will free the blind sheikh. I think if you were trying to tell the USA to fuck off without actually using that word, you couldn't have found a more disturbing and offensive thing to "promise." However, none of that has anything to do with Iran. I never even raised that idea.

        To answer your question, though -- Is the world moving to more radical fundie nations? Yes. As for Iran -- it's influence has grown considerably in the last decade. Lebanon. Iraq.

        Coming Soon -- to an Internet connection near you:

        by FischFry on Sat Jul 07, 2012 at 09:34:44 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  "Strike your bare leg" (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    more like  ankle biters.   yap yap.

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