In fact, the only pollsters to give Romney as much as 44 percent of the vote in the state was Rasmussen (of course), and Quinnipiac way back in March. The most recent Q-poll, in late July, had Obama winning 53-42.
The only surprise in Pennsylvania was that conservative groups were willing to keep pissing away their money in a state that clearly wasn't going anywhere. One of the few left is finished:
That leaves Mitt Romney's Super PAC as the only conservative outfit left in the state, having spent nearly a million in the Keystone State this past week. Hopefully they keep pissing their money away here, because this state ain't going nowhere.
Interestingly, AFP has started advertising in New Mexico—$115,000 this past week. It is the first presidential ad spending by anyone in the state all year. Not sure what they see there that no one else does. And Minnesota is not a swing state, which is why only the Koch Bros are wasting their money there.
Of course, Pennsylvania's gain is Wisconsin's loss. Expect the money to shift there now that Paul Ryan has given the GOP ticket a home-state boost.