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In the 1960s, Richard Nixon and Barry Goldwater developed the Southern Strategy. This divisive campaign strategy attempted to pit Americans against other Americans. It was a strategy that exploited racist sentiments in the south, and corralled southerners that harbored resentment after the passage of the Civil Rights Act. The strategy has worked for the GOP, and they seek to actively utilize it every presidential election cycle. This year the GOP has chosen to go full bore with the Southern Strategy, demolishing any sense of inclusiveness in the Republican party, and fully ignoring African-Americans. More on this subject to be found south of the Mason-Dixon squiggle.

Mitt Romney has chosen to run a divisive campaign, seeking to cast the African-American community as the antagonist to "real Americans." He is currently polling at 0% with African-Americans, and this should come as no surprise to anyone that has been following his campaign. The Romney campaign has tacitly acknowledged that they are not even going to attempt to capture a part of the African-American vote. If you go to Romney's website, and scroll over "Communities" you will find a plethora of "Identifier" for Romney communities. These identifiers fall under the categories of age, gender, employment, and race. However, there is one race that is absent, an absence that cannot be accidental considering they constitute more than 12% of the American demographics. There is no "African Americans for Romney" on his website. While there are African-Americans that are Republican (notably Allen West, Condoleeza Rice, and Micheal Steele) the Romney campaign has chosen to neither acknowledge their existence nor give them a platform in his campaign. Sure, he had Condoleeza Rice speak at the convention, but that now seems to have only been to keep up appearances.

Romney has chosen to cater to the angry, white male demographic, and has actively sought their support. He has been unabashed to blow the racial dog whistle whenever the time seemed right. These dog whistle statements are some of the most insidious types of rhetoric, used to address the unpopular thoughts of one group while simultaneously allowing them to deny any wrongdoing. His patently false statements about President Obama repealing Welfare-to-Work, and returning it to just welfare, appeal to a certain segment of Americans that believe that only lazy black people use welfare. Romney's Welfare Reform ad was designed to boil the blood of those that harbor racist feelings, it stated:

Under Obama’s plan, you wouldn’t have to work and wouldn’t have to train for a job. They just send you a welfare check. And welfare-to-work goes back to being plain old welfare.
It was an implicit attempt to cast Obama as a black man that wants to steal from white people and give the pilfered money to his black friends. This same line of thought was subtly suggested in his Medicare ad as well, which states:
You paid into Medicare for years — every paycheck. Now when you need it, Obama has cut $716 billion from Medicare, Why? To pay for Obamacare. The money you paid for your guaranteed health care is going to a massive new government program that is not for you.
Both ads allow the Romney campaign to deny racism, as neither ad mentions race, and most Americans would agree that racism is absent from those ads. However, Romney is not speaking to those Americans, he is speaking directly to those that "get it." Not all of Romney's statements have been implicit, at a campaign stop in Michigan, he attempted to appeal to the birther segment of the Republican party by saying:
No one has ever asked to see my birth certificate. They know that this is the place that we were born and raised.
Romney later attempted to spin it as a joke, and not a direct swipe at Obama's "Americanism." The only problem with that is usually people laugh at jokes, not cheer and applaud raucously as did the crowd in Michigan that day.

The GOP has claimed that Obama is the most divisive president in modern American history. They say that he is inciting class warfare, pitting Americans against Americans. Meanwhile, they attempt to do the very same thing along racial lines. This rhetoric is not only bad for America as a whole, but it is dangerous.  We have already began to experience the types of outbursts that is fomented by this subterfuge; shortly before Ann Romney took the stage at the RNC convention, two attendees were ejected for throwing nuts at an African-American camerawoman from CNN and yelling "This is how we feed animals." This deplorable act has hardly been acknowledged by those at the convention, and will probably continue to be ignored. It would show great leadership if Romney (which he is supposedly full of) were to openly condemn this act, but he will not and cannot do so, to castigate those two attendees would be akin to castigating much of the Republican base that they so desperately need in November. Stoking these racial fires is incredibly irresponsible during America's first African-American presidency, it poses great risks to the Obamas, as well as to the African-American community. Scapegoating has become a useful political tactic in tough economic times, and is used to unite the base but divide the country. Do not expect the Romney campaign to change its tune; they understand that they have a deficiency with the African-American vote, and have chosen to cast African-Americans as a problem "true Americans" must solve, instead of attempting to lure them to their side of the aisle. The inherent weakness of extreme ideologies is that they must continue to alienate and ever increasing percentage of the electorate in order to cater to the extremists in your base.

Wed Sep 19, 2012 at 7:58 PM PT: I never realized how much I underestimated Romney. I thought he had written of 12% of Americans, I guess the real number is closer to 47%.

Originally posted to CripplertheMighty on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 04:00 PM PDT.

Also republished by Community Spotlight.

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Comment Preferences

  •  This is going to come back and (18+ / 0-)

    bite them in the end.  They're 'thisclose' to writing off Hispanics too.

    “First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, and then you win.” ― Mahatma Gandhi

    by WFBMM on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 04:05:13 PM PDT

    •  If they will write off African Americans, it isn't (8+ / 0-)

      a question of if they will write off Americans of Latino descent but when.  Remember Operation Wetback.  If they could do that again, they would add it to the platform in big red letters.

      •  Make no mistake, the Republicans are (0+ / 0-)

        frantically counting upon VOTE SUPPRESSION in all Republican controlled statehouses across the Nation to be successful. Their end game is, if all other attempts to block the African American vote fails, to create so much confusion regarding the certification of the presidential election that it will take MONTHS to sort out and identify the final vote count and a winner. This scenario would be a repeat of the "hanging chad" fiasco in the Bush V Gore campaign dispute -  on steroids, and this will be the Republican's last desperate act to disrupt the presidential election.

        If this happens you can bet on the Republicans in Congress to rise up in full group mode to demand that President Obama step aside until the final results, including all court challenges to the Presidential election have been decided. They would prefer a vacant chair in the Oval office (ala Clint Eastwoods RNC on stage performance) if they fail to put Romney into the White House.    

    •  Republicans will write off Latinos. (0+ / 0-)

      They're irrational and resistant to abandoning their racist/xenophobic style for fear of losing their white base.  Many American blacks (excluding recent immigrants, although this applies to many of them, too) could fit right into even the current Republican party if the party wasn't actively tolerant of racism.  American blacks are mostly Protestant and highly religious, and distrust government (yes, they'll take government help if they are in need, but that's also true of Tea Party types).  Also, both the Republican Party and American black culture are very Southern influenced - there's a cultural affinity there.

      At the end of the day, the Republican party wrongly thinks it's a zero sum game, that they can't be accepting of both minorities and whites.  That's the only way I can explain their failure to play for the black vote, and their increasing disregard for the non-Cuban Latino vote.  It's super short sighted of Republicans, but I'm glad because their policies are crazy and I don't want them to get any more votes.

  •  If you figure the majority of Hispanics give no (16+ / 0-)

    love to Romney, and the number is not close - I'd say it is far north of 12% of the population that they are writing off.

  •  Romney writes off 12% of Americans, off the top... (8+ / 0-)

    declaring them as "ungrateful dependents"

    It seems curiosity has killed the cat that had my tongue.

    by Murphoney on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 04:29:03 PM PDT

  •  How many AAs do you know that will vote for him? (6+ / 0-)

    The numbers are roughly the same every election.. 92-95% of AAs vote for the democratic candidate every time.   Why spend campaigns funds, time and resources on a lost cause? There is just no incentive for the republican candidate to act otherwise.  That's the reality.

    In a battleground state like Ohio there might be an argument for it but.. its probably easier to just write them off and focus on other ways of getting the vote.

    To you, I'm an atheist. To God, I'm the loyal opposition.” ― Woody Allen

    by soros on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 04:58:39 PM PDT

    •  Cain said he would, so thats ONE.... (5+ / 0-)
    •  Interesting (6+ / 0-)
      Why spend campaigns funds, time and resources on a lost cause?
      Have they ever spent campaign funds, time and resources on anything other than their base?  Writing off?  They have never written on.  This isn't a new development.  The problem is they refuse to see this as a problem.  Instead they further insult and demean.

      "I am neither bitter nor cynical but I do wish there was less immaturity in political thinking." Franklin D. Roosevelt

      by djbender on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 07:45:11 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  chicken and egg conundrum (3+ / 0-)

        AAs simply won't vote for republicans because of their prejudices and republican candidates will not woo those voters for the same reason.

        So... the status quo continues.

        To you, I'm an atheist. To God, I'm the loyal opposition.” ― Woody Allen

        by soros on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 07:54:54 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  once upon a time (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Only Needs a Beat, mikejay611

          African-Americans only voted for Republicans.  Status quo.  
          None will admit they have a problem.  However, I do credit Michael Steele for acknowledging there may be a problem but it seems he has given up to.  

          "I am neither bitter nor cynical but I do wish there was less immaturity in political thinking." Franklin D. Roosevelt

          by djbender on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 08:01:16 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  When the Repugs booted Michael Steele (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            djbender

            out as RNC chairman it is a clear signal that it was the end of a timid attempt by the GOP to reach out to African American (AA) voters. Michael Steele a highly AA Republican ultra conservative was selected by the GOP to be its first black national chairman. This was done in response to Obama's election to POTUS. The expectation of the GOP was that Steele in his lofty position of RNC Chairman would attract large numbers of PROFESSIONAL AA people who were already members of organizations such as the Urban League and black fraternities into the Republican Party.

            Unfortunately Steele did not understand the subtlety regarding the type of AA people the GOP wanted to recruit into the party, and as such he went off on a rather sophmoric tangent by starting up a widely publicized  campaign to recruit AA Rappers and Hip Hop artists. This failure to understand the class specific nature of his mission ultimately cost Steele his job heading up the NRC.

            The GOP smear machine burped out a series of embarrasing money mismanagement scandals against Steele which was ultimately given as the reason for him to be voted out of his position as chairman. I believe if Steele had been mature and smart enough to have achieved positive success in obtaining the type of AA professionals that the GOP was looking for, we would be looking at a different political situation today.

      •  don't be cynical. they coughed up gas money for (3+ / 0-)

        the trip to the NAACP convention where he...

        insulted black people.

        •  If that's how it was interpreted then.. (0+ / 0-)

          there's even less reason for them to woo AA voters.   And I kind of understand it, because it seems the hard left is so totally obsessed with race that any miniscule slight is considered a national issue.   Under those circumstances why would a republican candidate even CONSIDER a discussion with AA voters?  

          The risk/reward is not worth it.

          To you, I'm an atheist. To God, I'm the loyal opposition.” ― Woody Allen

          by soros on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 08:30:07 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  the hard LEFT is so totally obsessed with race? (8+ / 0-)

            the obsession with race is a white republican strategy...///when black people or any other people point out that strategy, we are accused of being racist....or "race obsessed"......with democrats like you enabling that perspective, it confirms that we as a country are experiencing a new era of post-reconstruction jim crow....

            "Fear is the Mind Killer"--Frank Herbert

            by vmm918 on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 10:23:58 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Look at all of the diaries here on DK (0+ / 0-)

              watch msnbc, cnn, listen to air america... everything and anything is about race, no matter how slight the infraction, even if there wasn't one it's imagined and then becomes reality.  There is almost a psychotic nature to the behavior.

              To you, I'm an atheist. To God, I'm the loyal opposition.” ― Woody Allen

              by soros on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 11:41:01 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

            •  with democrats like you enabling that perspective, (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              RockyMtnLib, Only Needs a Beat

              "Soros" is no Democrat.

              •  You're correct. (0+ / 0-)

                I do not identify myself as a 'democrat' but I tend to vote that way in federal elections, and this year I might sit it out because Obama has not provided a convincing case for his reelection.    Would I vote against him? ie; for Romney? highly unlikely, and since he decided to bring that FRAUD Ryan with him, I'd decided that will never happen.

                As far local elections go, I don't judge anybody on their party but on what the incumbent has done during their term.  I've voted for the republican candidate a few times when it made sense in close elections, and I didn't do that because i endorsed their platform but it was the pragmatic decision.

                Most people here wouldn't dream of doing that but I don't have a moral or ethical problem with it, none.

                To you, I'm an atheist. To God, I'm the loyal opposition.” ― Woody Allen

                by soros on Sat Sep 01, 2012 at 10:55:39 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

          •  yes, because it was the "hard left" (5+ / 0-)

            that developed the "Southern Strategy" after all. oh, wait, um, that's not quite true.

            because it seems the hard left is so totally obsessed with race
            geez, this place really needs to raise the quality of its trolls.
          •  Hard left LOL! (6+ / 0-)

            There is no such thing as a "hard left" in American politics. There is a moderately conservative party: the Democrats, and a raving lunatic right wing party: the Republicans.
              I can guess which one you are.

          •  now you're getting trollish (0+ / 0-)
            And I kind of understand it, because it seems the hard left is so totally obsessed with race that any miniscule slight is considered a national issue.  
            this is a stupid rightwing canard which could have been written by any wingnut at Redstate. NO, the "hard left" (what ever the fuck that is) does NOT see racism in every miniscule sleight. That's a fucking lie used to cover up racism just the way you're using it here.

            America could have chosen to be the worlds doctor, or grocer. We choose instead to be her policeman. pity

            by cacamp on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 09:37:12 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  He went to to talk to (0+ / 0-)

          HIS BASE, not Obama's base.  

          To tell all those AA how it's going to be.....  Is a Republican wet dream they have over and over and over again....

          Seriously, that trip to the NAACP had nothing to do with speaking to that crowd for anything else but to speak to his base via the media that would play and replay his words over and over again, and they did.

          -6.13 -4.4 Where are you? Take the Test!!!

          by MarciaJ720 on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 09:58:45 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Alcoholics Anonymous? i dunno how many AA's (3+ / 0-)

      would vote for rmoney but, personally, i might jump screaming off the wagon if he wins.

    •  or, in the case of the GOP, (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      celdd, mikejay611, DarkLadyNyara

      focus on ways of keeping people from voting. it's one thing to have people not voting for you, but you can offset that, by keeping them from voting for anyone.

    •  incentive? (0+ / 0-)

      maybe an incentive for the GOP to act more fairly to minority groups is that the GOP's racist perception turns off a whole lot (A LOT!) of independent moderate white voters.

    •  using racism and "writing them off" are different (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      shanikka, MarciaJ720, DarkLadyNyara

      Rmoney and the GOP are employing outright racism against Black Americans in order to get support from white Americans. If they just wrote them off and ignored them it would be fine but to use the "southern strategy" of subtle and not so subtle racism to divide the electorate is ugly, disgusting and anti-American.

      America could have chosen to be the worlds doctor, or grocer. We choose instead to be her policeman. pity

      by cacamp on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 09:28:49 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  racism and "writing them off" are very different (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MrJersey

      Rmoney and the GOP are employing outright racism against Black Americans in order to get support from white Americans. If they just wrote them off and ignored them it would be fine but to use the "southern strategy" of subtle and not so subtle racism to divide the electorate is ugly, disgusting and anti-American.

      America could have chosen to be the worlds doctor, or grocer. We choose instead to be her policeman. pity

      by cacamp on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 09:31:14 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The Republican Party is not merely "writing off" (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DarkLadyNyara

        the African-American voters.  They are actively trying to disenfranchise them and suppress their vote through the bogus voter ID laws that states with Republican controlled legislatures have all enacted to solve a non existent voter fraud problem.  

        They have admitted that these laws are an attempt to deliver the vote to Romney through voter suppression, but the national media doesn't really give a shit and pretends to view the entire matter as a "process" issue rather than a threat to the Republic.

        And it feels like I'm livin'in the wasteland of the free ~ Iris DeMent, 1996

        by MrJersey on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 10:29:18 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Not accurate, Bush got ~12% of AAs in 2004. (0+ / 0-)

      There's a lot of liberal smugness on the polls on black support right now, but we can't necessarily bank on Obama levels of black support in 2016 - both in terms of percentages and turnout.  I'm actively worried about this - a lot of black voters are increasingly aware that Dems haven't done much for blacks in a while, and while they have Obama's back, I can see there be a push to demand more from the next Democratic candidate for president.  A likable Republican candidate that doesn't seem afraid of or awkward around black people (like Chris Christie or Mike Huckabee - and I'm talking demeanor, not policies here) could easily grab 12-15% of the black vote.  Yeah, that's still low, but it's still a big swing from the 95% that Obama will probably get-- a swing that could be a big deal in Virginia, North Carolina and Florida.

    •  No... (0+ / 0-)

      every Rethug candidate prior to Romney always tried to pick off some in the black community here and there; I think that 1/3 of AA voters in Texas voted for the Shrub, IIRC.

      It can be done

      •  Agreed.. but, (0+ / 0-)

        was there ever a chance Bush would not win Texas?  The calculus of the black vote might prove useful in those battleground states like Ohio/florida where every vote counts but for the rest of the country? Not so much... they can safely be ignored by the republican candidate.

        I just pulled up a few stats and it says here that 10 million AAs voted in the 2000 presidential election.   A well run campaign will know just how many will vote (or not be able to vote) in Ohio and Florida, study the polling data, voter behaviour and psychology,  and then make reasonable judgements as to the worthiness of courting those voters.

        I suspect its not in their interests more often than not.

        To you, I'm an atheist. To God, I'm the loyal opposition.” ― Woody Allen

        by soros on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 07:49:45 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  well at least they aren't trying to repeal (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bnasley, Only Needs a Beat

    Prohibition. And let's go to the moon and be the first to put an NFL franchise there, the Moon Lions.

  •  That first qoute (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    maybeeso in michigan

    does not have anything to support a racial bias by itself. The second probably was an allusion to people with insurance paying for people without insurance (a lie). Now, the last one, well there is no getting around what that means, and really the second one combined with his several welfare-aids in quick succession actually really isn't that subtle. So, yeah for the most part I guess you're right.

    •  these quotes play on racial resentment (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mikejay611, cacamp

      and they work.

      You may have an innocent heart, so you only see what they say on the surface.  But for people in large swathes of the country, it takes very little to effectively play up people's sense that things are going badly for them because undeserving "others" are getting what they don't deserve.  Reagan's Cadillac-driving welfare queens are imprinted on the minds of many older working class white people.  They came of age on those images because they underscored the racism people were already feeling.  In hard times--and times are hard for ordinary folks--finding someone to blame eases the pain.  The GOP uses those tactics to round up voters who, sadly, they will then screw over with their policies.

      "Ideology offers human beings the illusion of dignity and morals while making it easier to part with them." -- Vaclav Havel

      by SottoVoce on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 05:05:50 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Working Class Whites (6+ / 0-)

        Factory and construction jobs used to pay well thanks to the unions.  These jobs didn't require a college degree, instead used an appprenticeship program that paid a percent of scale to new workers learning on the job.  

        Many of these untions were segregated by race and gender.  Integration angered whites who saw their privilege being eroded to give "lazy" blacks and "weak" women their jobs.  Reagan exploited that anger very well and the Republicans have continued to feed it.

        Government policy and non-enforcement of existing policy that led to outsourcing and unrestrained immigration busted the factory and construction untions.  It isn't just bigotry stoking their anger.  They have lost ground and they blame the wrong people.  Who told them who to blame?

        Don't look back, something may be gaining on you. - L. "Satchel" Paige

        by arlene on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 06:09:17 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  They wrote off 99%+ of us (6+ / 0-)

    The base has yet to catch up with this simple fact, in part because "simple" is an apt description of the average member of the gop base.

    "Political ends as sad remains will die." - YES 'And You and I' ; -8.88, -9.54

    by US Blues on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 08:10:37 PM PDT

  •  I don't think that they are trying that hard (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Only Needs a Beat

    to win the votes of Americans who aren't religious, either.  In 2008, they were 12% (a number that is bound to increase), and Obama won them 75-23. The 8% of Americans who were non-Christian religions had a similar margin for Obama.

    "Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the president to explain to us what the exit strategy is." - George W Bush

    by jfern on Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 10:00:54 PM PDT

  •  Only 12%? (4+ / 0-)

    I think the GOP has not only written off the AA vote, they've written off the Hispanic vote and the woman's vote.  

    I'm still trying to figure out how Romney builds a winning coalition.  Especially since the GOP voter suppression laws are being knocked down in FL.  

  •  but wait! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Only Needs a Beat, DarkLadyNyara

    herman cain! and, um, that other black guy, what's his name. oh, right, michael steele. and herman cain's evil twin, the crazy, war criminal black guy, from florida!

    see, the republican party IS inclusive, they have three black guys. they also have a couple of barking mad loon women, so there's the female vote all sewed up.

    geez, you guys just drop-kicked all those black folks and other minorities/women that today's GOP caters to.

  •  Survey of AA history in U.S. from slavery onward: (3+ / 0-)
    The U.S. electoral system, like American society at-large, is dominated by wealthy capitalists. What use, then, is electoral politics to African Americans? The Black Is Back Coalition explored that question at its national conference, in Newark, New Jersey.
    http://www.blackagendareport.com/...

    The Dutch kids' chorus Kinderen voor Kinderen wishes all the world's children freedom from hunger, ignorance, and war.

    by lotlizard on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 05:30:54 AM PDT

  •  Writing off 99% os the country (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MarciaJ720

    If people were savvy enough to look closely at what this man is all about.  It's the money and nothing else.

    If you want to look at this strictly from who is trying to win over then it's at least 12%. I would include Latinos as well.  It much be a much larger percentage.

    This is Republican strategy.  Their plan is not to get African American or Latinos to vote for them.  Their plan is to prevent them from voting!  It's disgraceful, divisive and goes against the tide of history.  Since it has lots of money behind it there is a chance it may work.  

    get to work on the campaign and let's beat these GOP bastards.

    "The real wealth of a nation consists of the contributions of its people and nature." -- Rianne Eisler

    by noofsh on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 07:44:45 AM PDT

  •  Do you have a link for Romney polling at 0% ... (0+ / 0-)

    ... with African Americans?

    McCain got 5%.  But zero for Willard?  Really?

    Close your eyes, stop your ears Close your mouth and take it slow Let others take the lead and you bring up the rear And later you can say you didn't know

    by njheathen on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 09:58:27 AM PDT

  •  They may be writing off (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DarkLadyNyara

    minority votes but the Democratic Base needs to be ENERGIZED somehow.

    We don't have the numbers of young people like in 2008.  So many were in college have now graduated and still cannot find a job.  Frustrated, they probably won't vote.

    Obama is working on the women's vote and I'm glad the pro-choice crowd is not afraid to speak again.  We were quiet way too long and look what happened....

    Which is what will happen if this country elects an obviously Corporate-Controlled and Operated man like Romney.

    -6.13 -4.4 Where are you? Take the Test!!!

    by MarciaJ720 on Fri Aug 31, 2012 at 10:07:15 AM PDT

  •  12%? (0+ / 0-)

    That's just African Americans.

    Add Latinos and other non-whites, and you're up to about 30% already.

    Add single voters, add GLBT folks, add non-Christians....it adds up, and our margins among "the others" is larger than their margins among white married Christians.

    At present, Romney needs to carry probably about 2/3 of white married Christians to win.  Now if he loses seniors because of Medicare, he's toast.

    And I'm ignoring the gender gap and the youth gap.

    The whole Republican strategy right now is based on turnout (get your vote out with fear and loathing, suppress the other guy's vote through blind obstructionism and outright illegality).  It takes more and more of this as each year goes past and all the old Confederate wannabes die off.

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