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First things first. I have been pretty sure Obama will win for months now. I see no reason to revise that prediction.

But I see us losing ground in Congress. THIS is what keeps me up at night. As of now we are likely to lose the Senate and lose ground in the House if we don't fight hard to reverse current trends. Although I firmly believe Obama will have a second term, I fear it will be dominated by a right wing extremist Congress.

Let's do our best to keep that from happening.

If you just want to cut to the chase:

CLICK HERE FOR MY SENATE 2012 ACT BLUE SITE

CLICK HERE FOR MY HOUSE 2012 ACT BLUE SITE

See below for key races.

Let' start with the Senate.

Tammy Baldwin
WI-Sen

This is one I particularly want to win. I want to see Democrats really sweep Wisconsin to show the Repubs we do NOT appreciate their anti-women, anti-union, anti-working class and anti-middle class "values."

Republicans are gunning hard for Tammy and may well win. We have to fight HARD for this one.

Elizabeth Warren
MA-Sen

A top Progressive and one of our best pick up shots.

Claire McCaskill
MO-Sen

McCaskill is fighting against Mr. "Legitimate Rape" Akin. Need I say more?

Tim Kaine
VA-Sen

Virginia is a big battleground state, as always these days. Winning this race is part of the overall strategy of pushing Virginia more solidly Blue. This is one of the main tossup races for the Senate this year and we HAVE to win it.

Joe Donnelly
IN-Sen

Another Blue Dog and quite conservative. But I have had something of a soft spot for Donnelly. Plus this is one of the few chances of actually winning more Senate seats. Next to Virginia, this is the closest Senate race this year and one we have to win.

Jon Tester
MT-Sen

A Blue Dog but if we want to keep the Senate we need him.

Shelley Berkley
NV-Sen

Something of a longshot but worth fighting for. Plus Nevada is a swing state so pushing it Bluer is a worthy goal.

Bill Nelson
FL-Sen

This race is looking pretty good for Nelson, but given that it is Florida, who knows what crap the Repubs will pull. We need to solidly win to avoid the Greedy Oil Party from stealing it.

Now let's turn to the House. There are LOTS of races. These are the ones I choose to focus on because they are close races, they are in critical districts and/or they include really good candidates.

Christie Vilsack
IA-04

This is one of the most critical races in 2012. A key swing district in a key swing state, this race also pits the excellent Christie Vilsack against Teabagger extremist Steven King who is so mean spirited he even was one of only eleven Congressmen (all Republicans) who voted AGAINST giving aid to the victims of Hurricane Katrina. This is a clear cut choice between Vilsack's effective and compassionate leadership and King's disgusting right wing extremism.

Bill Foster
IL-11

Bill Foster is an excellent candidate. A brilliant scientists and successful entrepreneur he brings much needed expertise to Congress...something that we desperately need. He is very much a moderate running in a moderate district. A perfect fit.

Bill Foster has been endorsed by the Associated Firefighters of Illinois, AFL-CIO State Federation of Illinois, Illinois Federation of Teachers, Amalgamated Transit Union Local #308, and many others.

Pat Kreitlow
WI-07

Patrick Kreitlow is the Democratic Candidate in this seat. Another key swing district in a key swing district. This seat is currently held by Sean Duffy (R). Wisconsin has been such a major battlefield this really is a seat we need to win. Let's show the Republicans that Wisconsin is going blue.

Patrick Kreitlow has been endorsed by the Intl. Association of Firefighters, Steelworkers Union, National Farmers Union, NARAL Pro-Choice America Intl. Brotherhood of Teamsters, AFL-CIO, League of Conservation Voters, Planned Parenthood Action Fund Sierra Club, United Auto Workers, WI Federation of Nurses, and WI Alliance for Retired American, among others.

Charlie Wilson
OH-06

One of the most critical districts in the country...the Presidency and the House could ride on this one district. It is considered a weak Repub hold but we can knock that out.

Charlie Wilson has been endorsed by International Association of Fire Fighters, International Association of Iron Workers (IPAL), Building and Construction Trades - AFL-CIO, International Association of Machinists, International Brotherhood of Teamsters, United Steel Workers and many others.

Betty Sue Sutton
OH-16

Another critical swing district in Ohio. It is considered a weak Repub hold but we can win if we try.

Betty Sue Sutton has been endorsed by Cleveland Stonewall Democrats, Ohio Association of Professional Fire Fighters, Cleveland Building & Construction Trades Council C.O.P.E., Tri-County Regional Labor Council, AFL-CIO, Fraternal Order of Police, Districts 1 & 8, Coalition of Women Voters, North Shore AFL-CIO, and many others.

Ami Bera
CA-07

A great candidate running against entrenched Republican incumbent Dan Lungren. Ami Bera is a doctor and formerly former Chief Medical Officer for the County of Sacramento. He would be an excellent addition to Congress.

Joe Miklosi
CO-06

Another swing district in a key swing state. Joe Miklosi is the Democratic candidate in this district. This is considered a very weak hold by the GOP and very likely a pick up by Democrats if we fight hard. This seat is currently held by Mike Coffman (R).

John Oceguera
NV-03

NV-3 is another critical swing district this year and this is a very weak Repub seat. John Oceguera has a good shot at winning if we fight hard for it. He is a firefighter and paramedic, someone we definitely could use in Congress!

Jose Hernandez
CA-10

Jose Hernandez is a former astronaut running for Congress against a right wing extremist. What more could you want?? Weakly held Repub district.

Carol Shea-Porter
NH-01

NH-1 is another swing district in a swing state and another weakly held Repub district. This would be a great one to win.

Ann McLane Kuster
NH-02

NH-2 is a swing district we have real shot of winning.

Paul Hirschbiel
VA-02

VA-2 is a key swing district in Virginia, a key swing state. Very business oriented, but that may be what we need to win this district. And his opponent is anti-choice, anti-women's rights, anti-gay, bigoted and has always spent hundreds of thousands of his own money to buy elections. We can do better. Paul Hirschbiel will give us better.

Alan Grayson
FL-09

Alan Grayson is one of the most powerful progressive voices in America, and he has a real shot at defeating a Teabagger incumbent. Yet another swing district in a swing state.

Keith Fitzgerald
FL-16

Aiming to defeat Vern Buchannan, one of the WORST teabaggers out there.

Patrick Murphy
FL-18

Aiming to defeat yet another horrible teabagger, Alan West.

Joe Garcia
FL-26

Joe Garcia is one of our best candidates this year. This is a close race and one we need to focus HEAVILY on.

Herb Rule
AR-02

This seat is currently held by Tim Griffin (R). I was born in this district and would love to see it flip true blue.

YOU CAN MAKE THE DIFFERENCE. 2012 is going to be a pivotal year in history because it is NOW we decide whether we keep following the failed republican vision or start refocusing our nation's vision to something better. Obama will win. But we need Congress too and we need you to achieve that.

CLICK HERE FOR MY SENATE 2012 ACT BLUE SITE

CLICK HERE FOR MY HOUSE 2012 ACT BLUE SITE

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Comment Preferences

  •  Definitely NEED the Senate. At the VERY least. (9+ / 0-)

    With these radical right wingers, if O wins, I have no clue how he gets any decent Supreme Court justice in without a majority...

    "If these Republicans can't stand up to Rush, how can they stand up to the Iranians?" - Redmond Barry

    by xsonogall on Tue Sep 04, 2012 at 10:01:43 AM PDT

  •  Have you seen any polling to say that we stand (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Aquarius40, Lujane, FG

    to lose more ground in the House? There are a lot of seats that flipped in 2010 that should have been blue seats. I think it unlikely that we will take the House, but all indications I have seen are that we will at least make significant inroads.

    •  Yes... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      highacidity, Lujane

      I have seen polls indicating we may lose a seat or two. Though I also see polls indicating we may make some small gains. Either way, we need to make bigger gains than we currently are polling. As things stand we will NOT make significant inroads. But we still have two months to make those inroads.

      FREEDOM ISN'T FREE: That's why we pay taxes. I Had A Thought

      by mole333 on Tue Sep 04, 2012 at 10:17:31 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Where are these polls? (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Deep Texan, Aquarius40, CoyoteMarti

        I'm seriously asking, because I have no seen any polling that shows that Republicans are going to gain house seats.

        •  Varies (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Lujane

          Currently the Repub leaning polls are showing gains by GOP...but these are polls I have found worth paying attention to in the past even though they are biased.

          My tendency is to pay attention to this site to see where we have pick up chances because the races they consider "weak GOP hold" are VERY weak...so I push to take those until late Sept. After that their view of the races start looking more solid. This was part of how I was able to pick some really good pick ups in 2006 and 2008. In 2010 I saw the rout of Dems on that site first and it held pretty well. Of course they also include some Repub leaning polls.

          But don't focus on a minor point in my dairy. The key is we are looking to be in a worse position in Congress unless we work hard on BOTH Senate and House races. The races I highlight are critical races, though hopefully there are other ones we can focus on as well.

          FREEDOM ISN'T FREE: That's why we pay taxes. I Had A Thought

          by mole333 on Tue Sep 04, 2012 at 10:34:08 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Prediction last week 3:2 our favor in the House (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Deep Texan, Aquarius40, Lujane

      I do not advocate complacency but neither do I think it smart to assume doom when the outlook is encouraging. There is no reason to assume the GOP is going to dominate this election. I suggest hitting the streets to GOTV and doing so with an attitude of calm confidence.

      Confidence sells.

  •  Your headline worried me! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mole333, Lujane

    I thought you were talking about the presidential race. Alas, you have good points within your diary.

  •  The Races Karl Rove Is Most Concerned About Are: (6+ / 0-)

    Josh Mandel vs Sherrod Brown in Ohio, Charlie Summers bid to take over Olympia Snowe's seat in Maine & Scott Brown vs Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts.

    Todd Akin vs Claire McCaskell in Missouri keeps KKKKKarl up at night.  You must have heard his remark about the potential murder of Akin.  

    If they lose both the Massachusetts AND Maine seat, they're in trouble.....and Karl knows it.  

  •  there's an election coming up? (0+ / 0-)

    News to me.

    When's it happening?

    And, say, didn't we just have an election some time ago?

    What we call god is merely a living creature with superior technology & understanding. If their fragile egos demand prayer, they lose that superiority.

    by agnostic on Tue Sep 04, 2012 at 10:30:56 AM PDT

  •  One thing that I'm encouraged by (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lujane

    is that the GOP's 2010 rout got rid of quite a few Blue Dogs. Yes, I understand that we lost the House and we have to take it back.  But, - and this is big - we might be able to get some better Dems to replace them.

    Personally, I see us taking the House with a very slight majority.  If not now, then definitely in 2014.

    •  Along these lines... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Lujane

      One of my favorite groups is Progressive Majority. they help real progressives in several states win downticket races...and that means they become the next generation of upticket candidates. they have a good record of winning for a progressive organization. I recommend paying attention to their candidates and donating if you can. Some of our wining candidates in the Wisconsin recall elections got their start with Progressive Majority a couple of years before.

      FREEDOM ISN'T FREE: That's why we pay taxes. I Had A Thought

      by mole333 on Tue Sep 04, 2012 at 10:44:35 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Bill Foster IL-11 info is outdated. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mole333, Lujane

    Your copy is from pre-primary. We are running against billion-term incumbent Judy Biggert in what will be one of the more hotly contested races. She's moderate on social issues but is turning into a teaperson on economics. We expect Rove and/or Chamber money to come in against us soon. Check us out at www.billfoster.com. [I am not a paid staffer but am a passionate volunteer.]

    Rhubarb is a metaphor for finding happiness in your own back yard.

    by CoyoteMarti on Tue Sep 04, 2012 at 10:46:00 AM PDT

  •  RCP's map shows House Democrats with a .2 lead (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lujane

    over House Republicans.  That's still too close for comfort but an improvement.  Lets see what kind of bump we get after the convention.  Love that fact that Baldwin and Warren are speakers and they are going to get the chance to nationalize their races.

  •  I object (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mole333, Lujane

    to your classification of Sen. Tester as a "Blue Dog".

    He's solidly pro-choice, wasn't afraid to take Bush on about the middle class and has voted for just about every one of the President's priority bills.

    He's a moderate-to-conservative Democrat, sure. But he's not a contrarian, mean-spirited DINO who hides in the Blue Dog Caucus.

    Otherwise, this diary is a pretty good - and rather lengthy - list of reasons to vote for and donate to a group of specific Democratic candidates and incumbents. Have you considered chopping it up into mini-diaries (one for each candidate), going into a bit more depth about why that candidate must succeed, and posting those also?

    •  I like Tester (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Lujane

      He qualifies as a Blue Dog. But that doesn't mean he is bad. One of my favorite members of Congress, Loretta Sanchez, is a Blue Dog. Her sister, Linda Sanchez, is Progressive. they both rock.

      I did not mean my description to put him down...he is a good guy. I have disagreed with several of his votes but I still want him in the Senate...BIG time

      FREEDOM ISN'T FREE: That's why we pay taxes. I Had A Thought

      by mole333 on Tue Sep 04, 2012 at 12:24:03 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Chopping it up (0+ / 0-)

      Last time I did this kind of thing I was able to raise about $400. This diary raised over $700, mainly for Senate candidates.

      I may well chop it up as per your suggestion, maybe doing a state-by-state kind of thing. But first I might do a Senate-only focus since that is I think where we need the biggest fight.

      FREEDOM ISN'T FREE: That's why we pay taxes. I Had A Thought

      by mole333 on Wed Sep 05, 2012 at 06:21:48 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I worry about Stabenow vs. Hoekstra (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mole333, Lujane

    in Michigan. I hope I'm only worrying because I live in a very conservative area but here Hoekstra is well-known and many on-the-fence might go for him.  

    Re-elect Senator Debbie Stabenow (MI). Screw Pete Hoekstra.

    by BitterEnvy on Tue Sep 04, 2012 at 12:47:02 PM PDT

    •  Looks good from where I stand... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Lujane

      But I know it is good to pay attention to locals on the ground. Let me know if there is something to worry about and let me know how we can deal with it.

      FREEDOM ISN'T FREE: That's why we pay taxes. I Had A Thought

      by mole333 on Tue Sep 04, 2012 at 01:42:32 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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