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Todd Akin caricature
Todd Akin, poster boy for GOP Senate hopes.
Republican strategists are feeling increasingly grim about their prospect for taking the Senate back, Politico reports.
North Dakota and Montana, once thought to be fairly easy pickups for Republicans, have remained stubbornly close, thanks to weaker-than-expected GOP contenders and strong Democratic campaigns. Missouri’s been moved out of the sure-win column after Todd Akin’s debacle. And the GOP’s once-high hopes in New Mexico and Hawaii are fading as the party confronts daunting blue-state demographics. [...]

Speaking on condition of anonymity, a Washington-based GOP operative who has his hands in several races, offered a dimmer view.

“Republicans are undeniably in a worse spot than a few months ago,” he said. Former Hawaii Gov. Linda Lingle and former New Mexico Rep. Heather Wilson haven’t panned out, and former North Dakota Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp has exceeded expectations, the strategist added.

Upgrade the Senate bug
They've had to essentially cede Maine, a seat they held with Olympia Snowe. That's a loss for them, and Scott Brown in Massachusetts is definitely endangered. That leaves them struggling to find enough pick-up states. North Dakota and Montana aren't the sure things the GOP thought they'd be six months ago. Now, Republicans are counting on the big, battleground states of Ohio and Florida. In both those states, the Republican candidates have struggled to close the gap with Sens. Sherrod Brown and Bill Nelson, respectively. The only seat they feel pretty good about is Nebraska's, where Democrat Bob Kerrey seems to be generating about as much excitement among Cornhuskers as he does Kossacks.

Then there's Missouri, the seat Republicans thought was pure gold for them, until their candidate opened his mouth. Todd Akin is dug in, giving no indication that he'll petition to have his name removed from the ballot by Sept. 25, the deadline for the GOP to get rid of him.

Goal ThermometerDemocratic leadership is playing this close to the vest, with Chuck Schumer being the only vocal optimist who will publicly say he thinks they'll keep the Senate. But they're following the old expectations game. They know as well as anybody that the Republicans would need a perfect storm to pull off a takeover, and with Mitt Romney at the top of their ticket, they sure as all aren't going to get it.

Republicans know it, too. So let's just pile on their woes by making each of these Senate races even tougher for them. We get the added advantage of knowing that, while we're twisting that knife into the Republicans, we're upgrading the Senate while we're at it.

Make a Republican operative cry. Please donate $3 to the candidates on our Upgrade the Senate page.

Originally posted to Joan McCarter on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 10:16 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  That's this year (9+ / 0-)

    Isn't the next cycle where they'll be defending almost every seat they have?

    Not pre-counting chickens, mind you.  But DAMN, I thought our senate map this year was grim.   Only today's GOP could take a sure thing and turn it over on themselves.

    •  Alas no! (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      whenwego, Gooserock, Jim P

      Next cycle (2014) is the bumper crop we reaped in '08. It's not until '16 that we get back to a favorable position. But that's not worth very much. '10 was supposed to be a favorable cycle for us. Looking at it from the vantage point of '08 they had a lot more incumbents up. But then a few seats switched hands in between and it ended up being about half and half. And we didn't do so well then.

      "The smartest man in the room is not always right." -Richard Holbrooke

      by Demi Moaned on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 10:24:16 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Heidi Heitkamp has been the big surprise ... (12+ / 0-)

    of this campaign. And Elizabeth Warren the most disappointing, though hers is also the race I care most about and I still hope she wins.

    Have we had any good polls out of MO? Someone the other day was saying McCaskill is up 10 points. Thatt sounds to good to be true.

    "The smartest man in the room is not always right." -Richard Holbrooke

    by Demi Moaned on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 10:21:24 AM PDT

    •  Please, please, we need to win ND (15+ / 0-)

      Can you donate $3 or more to Kossacks for Heidi?

      Heidi is outperforming expectations because she is well and truly liked by North Dakotans, as well as being a great candidate.  Her opponent? Another spoiled rich brat (is that all the GOP has these days?)

      Your donation of $3 would be one/millionth of what the RNC just poured into the race, but it would be so much more valuable because it would push back against the oligarchy and help energize the grassroots volunteers who are phone banking, knocking on doors and reorganizing the state party that once brought us a 100% Democratic-NPL congressional delegation in an otherwise red state. I fear that if Heidi does not win, ND won't be represented by a Dem-NPLer for a very long time.  If she does win, she has committed to help bring back the state organization that once gave ND a Democratic legislature and 11 of 13 statewide offices.  That would be a hellluva return on a $3 investment.

      In ten years Obamacare will be as popular as Social Security and Medicare, and Mitt Romney will be demanding all the credit.

      by Fiddler On A Hot Tin Roof on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 11:05:54 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Well with BERG wanting LifeTerms for abortion... (4+ / 0-)

      It should be a no brainer. Even for Republicans.
      Yep, ALL NorthDakota women who have abortions should get life terms in prison!
      UMMM. ....Mr. Berg how about spontaneous abortions? Those are what we used to call way to tell them from back alley I guess all women who have had or will have  MISCARRIAGES get Life Terms too!
      Duh...Just imagaine someone this dense in the Senate..(no sanrk please.)

      VOTE for MEDICARE!

      by LOrion on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:33:41 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Massachusetts will be a squeaker. (13+ / 0-)

    Give all you can to oust the guy with the truck.

  •  The GOP 'Brand' sorta sucks......Did they think no (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    a2nite, terabthia2

    one would notice?

  •  I think we'll keep the Senate too (12+ / 0-)

    but Elizabeth Warren has not moved ahead of Scott Brown the way she ought and that concerns me greatly. Not only do we need to make sure no Republican continues to hold a Democratic seat but we also need her ability and intelligence in the Senate.

    While I find it hard to get excited about Tim Kaine in Virginia the fact is that we need to hold that seat too. Polling has been neck and neck every time and that is a sad state of affairs given his opponent is George frickin Allen. We're going to lose Nebraska. We can't afford to be losing Virginia too... especially if we aren't automatically picking up Massachusetts as an offset in trade.

    And think McCaskill has been saved and that is good or we'd be down 2 and maybe 3.

    Heitkamp in North Dakota and Tester in Montana are two seats we really need to defend or we'll lose the Senate plain and simple. They are putting up great campaigns but they aren't out of the woods yet. They need all the help they can get.

    I think Hawaii and New Mexico are fairly safely in our hands. Florida too I think.

    Nevada, and sadly Connecticut, are the next two we need to ensure we win. Nevada is currently looking like a loss and Ct is getting worrisome given Linda!'s money. (By the way I was in Ct the other day and was pleased to see her signs had her first name and not her last name on it. When will candidates learn not to do that?)

    And then there is our sleeper state... Indiana. Can we steal that one away from them? It is entirely possible for Democrats to come out of this election with more not less Senate seats and Indiana (and Nevada) is critical to that possibility.

    With Obama creating distance between himself and Romney and the national narrative being one of Romney's demise 2 months out that could create downballot momentum for Senate and House candidates. But that is not a given. It takes effort. The good news for the Senate is that most of the competitive races are in presidential battleground states and states competitively on the edge of being battleground states.

    But it takes effort. Strong efforts.

    "Do what you can with what you have where you are." - Teddy Roosevelt

    by Andrew C White on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 10:32:04 AM PDT

    •  Nevada is not a loss. Ras and the Survey USA (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      terabthia2, VirginiaBlue

      polls are both crap polls.  Every other poll has it tied or Heller with a nominal lead of 3 or less.   Nevada also tends to overstate Republican strength and understate Democratic strength.   Remember lots of Nevada polls had Angle beating Reid.   Guess who is still Senator?

      Feeling good about Nevada(and I think Tester and Heitkamp will win).

      If Obama can do a joint appearance with Baldwin or two in Wisconsin, that could help her close the gap.

    •  Yes Connecticut. Linda McMahon is all over the (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Andrew C White, VirginiaBlue

      airwaves... spewing absolute BS like Murphy doesn't show up to his job... and the 716B medicare crap.....

      Murphy???? Mr. Murphy???? Where are you ?????

      The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy;the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness

      by CTMET on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:18:03 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Since VA is close for both Senate and Prez... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Andrew C White

      the most strategic way to use our moderate contributions is to target House candidates we can support whole-heartedly in such states.

      In VA, the Americans for Real Prosperity ActBlue page includes E Wayne Powell in VA-07, running against "the Republican leader of the House" who can only be Eric Cantor.  So a little $$ for Powell will help regain the House, hold the Senate and the POTUS.

      This is a list of progressives who support the Prosperity Economics project of Jacob Hacker and Nate Loewenthal.  Their list of House candidates (headed by Alan Grayson) includes Better Dems running for House in competitive states NH, OH, NC, MI, FL, PA and WI.

      There's no such thing as a free market!

      by Albanius on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 11:41:15 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Is anybody good at Photoshop? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ivote2004, wuod kwatch

    I'd like to see the illustration at the header of the article to show Akin sinking in that swamp behind him instead of being in front of it...

  •  Don't forget Indiana (6+ / 0-)

    Donnelly has a good shot at winning without Lugar there to fight him.

    --Enlighten the people, generally, and tyranny and oppressions of body and mind will vanish like spirits at the dawn of day. - Thomas Jefferson--

    by idbecrazyif on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 10:46:52 AM PDT

  •  What can we do about Nebraska? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ivote2004, Ectoras
    The only seat they feel pretty good about is Nebraska's, where Democrat Bob Kerrey seems to be generating about as much excitement among Cornhuskers as he does Kossacks.
  •  Bob Kerrey better not get any money! (0+ / 0-)

    Have people seen his campaign. It is just GOP trash. He could have gone down fighting and building a decent set of principles. President Clinton set the model. The Democratic Party stands for commerce and sound economy. The GOP hurt us all.

  •  Never In Doubt (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    In my mind, the Senate was never in doubt.  We should take back the House from those charlatans.

    •  still very much in doubt (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      Wisconsin, Montana, Missouri, North Dakota, Nebraska, Virginia, and Florida are all tough holds.  Even if Democrats take back Maine and Massachusetts (Nevada and Indiana are possible but unlikely pickups at this point), Republicans can get to 52 by running the table on the contested Democratic-held seats.    

      If Pres. Obama wins re-election and we get 50 Senate seats (plus Biden as tie-breaker), it will be a great night for Democrats.  Anything more is a bonus.  

      •  I am not worried about Nelson beating Connie (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        "Charlie Sheen" Mack IV.   Florida looks great for us in the Senate.

        Heitkamp is a great candidate and has much better favorability numbers than Berg.    So North Dakota is looking like a close win for us.

        A Nevada win is not unlikely.   Heller has about a nominal 2 or 3 lead in the polls(Survey USA actually assumes that more Latinos would vote for "English only" Heller than Berkley).   Also Nevada polls understate Democratic performance(see Angle vs. Reid polling in 2010 for an example).

  •  Let's also pull some upset victories in IN & AZ (6+ / 0-)

    I really like Dr. Richard Carmona and he has a legit shot.  Joe Donnelly may be a blue dog but he's betterfor working class people than Evan Bayh was.  Plus I want the GOP to really feel a kick in the nads and what better to do that than picking up two seats in two red states.

    •  You know what? (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bgblcklab1, Woody, Dbug, wuod kwatch

      I think the constant sniffing at Blue Dogs gets us nowhere. We need to look at where these people are. In Ohio's 6th congressional district, Blue Dog Charlie Wilson is making a return match against Teabaggin' Bill Johnson. And I for one will be cheering on election night if he wins because it's a conservative district. (I'll be cheering louder if Betty Sutton, Joyce Healy-Abrams, Angela Zimmann and/or Sharen Neuhardt wins because they are all fine, progressive, pro-choice women running either against teabaggers or rubber-stamp nonentities.

      Of course, I want to entomb Josh Mandel's Senate hopes. He's just a nasty little piece of work.

      Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07.

      by anastasia p on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:14:54 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Akin is achin for a beat down (0+ / 0-)

    The radical Republican party is the party of oppression, fear, loathing and above all more money and power for the people who robbed us.

    by a2nite on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 01:25:00 PM PDT

  •  If Republicans are counting on Ohio (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    badger1968, terabthia2, Woody

    they needed to have recruited a better candidate nearly two years ago instead of letting Josh "The Empty Suit" Mandel play candidate this cycle. He is the sleaziest, most dishonest, most vacuous piece of garbage I have ever seen on the campaign trail here. And I've seen Ken Blackwell! Yes, more outside money has been poured into Ohio by far than any other state. And despite the panicky sounding fundraising emails from Sherrod Brown's campaign, it hasn't done much — and now they're in "shut up" backlash territory. The Empty Suit hasn't led in a single poll. A few have been tied — primarily Rasmussen — but most not.

    I want nothing more than to see Joshie go down and take his political future with him because this desperately ambitious youngster who is a bought-and-paid-for puppet of corporate interests wants to be President. And if you took George Bush and Mitt Romney, mooshed them together and multiplied by ten, you still would not have any idea of how band Josh Mandel would be. (I hate to say this but as a Jew he probably has no chance on the GOP side. Actually, after the "mosque" ad he ran against his opponent for state treasurer, pandering to the Islamophobia of the GOP base, no, I don't hate to say it. It's karma).

    Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07.

    by anastasia p on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:11:58 PM PDT

  •  We need to keep VA too (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    badger1968, madmojo

    It's tied, and I'm optimistic that Obama coattails will help, but Kaine needs all the help we can give him.

    All your vote are belong to us.

    by Harkov311 on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:12:04 PM PDT

  •  I think our Act Blue needs work (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Really, we should focus resources efficiently before  its too late.

    A few examples:

    Heinrich is going to win. He's ahead in every single poll, and by a lot. Spend the money elsewhere.

    Tammy Baldwin, who I love love love, is going to lose. She's not just behind but way way behind.  I'm sad about. I think we have to be realistic.

    Warren is close enough to win but needs help. This is the kind of race we should be focuses the limited grassroots money on.

    I know this won't be a popular comment. C'est la vie.

    Confusing stuff in italics at the end of my comment.

    by tremayne on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:12:06 PM PDT

    •  This is the first I've heard that Tammy Baldwin is (0+ / 0-)

      certain to lose or that she's way way behind.  She's got some damn hard hitting ads out that I'd think would help her a great deal.  And I believe she's quite well liked.  I doubt Thompson's recent homophobic activities are going to help him at all - in fact, I suspect they might help Tammy.  

      "If you trust you are not critical; if you are critical you do not trust" by our own Dauphin

      by gustynpip on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:24:01 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  the August polling is horrible (0+ / 0-)

        I would like to see a September poll to see if any DNC vibes affect the race.

        There two teanutty Republicans who split the crazy vote and allowed Tommy Thompson to slip by. Bad news for us, Thompson is pretty popular in Wisc.  I have no idea why.

        Confusing stuff in italics at the end of my comment.

        by tremayne on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:30:53 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Ugh! That's damn disappointing. This was the (0+ / 0-)

          first time I've seen ads from Wisconsin Dems that I thought were effective in a long time.  I was really hoping they'd get  her some upswing.  For whatever reason, Tommy was a popular governor, and that's probably all people are thinking of.  Man, do I HATE to see the rethugs make more headway in that state.

          "If you trust you are not critical; if you are critical you do not trust" by our own Dauphin

          by gustynpip on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:50:25 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Money is not Warren's problem (0+ / 0-)

      More money will not solve her problem.

      The old-fashioned Boston machine pols are NOT doing anything to help her. They are OK with seeing Scott Brown get reelected.

      What to do? Get them in an old-fashioned smoke-filled room with ole Joe Biden and young Joe Kennedy, along with Harry Reid and Richard Trumka, to get things explained?

      But sending more money to Elizabeth Warren just isn't gonna do it. Isn't gonna do it. Wish it were so easy.

      •  Warren's problem.... (0+ / 0-) not related to some caricature of ancient political history.

        Her problem is that Brown has defined himself as a good old boy one-of-us you'd want to have a beer with and her as an elist out of touch Harvard professor, and she is incapable of or unwilling to challenge that utter bullshit.

        She needs to come up with some quirky self-deprecating humor pivoting to some acerbic mockery of the phoney-baloney Brown. But, even when given huge openings by sympathetic interviewers on this subject, she responds with eye-glazing robotic platitudes.

        She gets smaller day by day, which is exasperating, since there is no one on earth who can more clearly and cogently lay out the the history and causes of the financial disaster that engulfed us in 2008. She is a treasure and she is throwing herself away.

        We have to pray that up-ticket pulls her over the line, which is absurd. I want to scream.

        •  I only know what I read in the papers (0+ / 0-)

          ... and in the Comments at dKos.

          I said, "The old-fashioned Boston machine pols are NOT doing anything to help her. They are OK with seeing Scott Brown get reelected."

          Mayor Menino ducks chance to endorse Elizabeth Warren
          By Marie Szaniszlo, the Bostob Herald
          Tuesday, September 4, 2012

          Democratic Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren was looking for a little political love at yesterday’s Labor Day breakfast, but Mayor Thomas M. Menino wasn’t ready to give her everything she wanted ... passing up on an ideal opportunity to bestow his much sought-after endorsement, and turning away from a kiss.

          The mayor did graciously accept a peck on the cheek from the Senate hopeful earlier at the Greater Boston Labor Council Labor Day breakfast, but when Warren made the rounds of the head table doling out handshakes and busses after her speech, Menino shared a brief laugh with her but turned away when she moved in for more mayoral sugar.

          Menino said at the union event he will decide “very shortly” whether to endorse Warren or U.S. Sen. Scott Brown. Menino has said Brown has an inconsistent record of voting for working families, but he is on good terms with Brown and has worked with him on several issues.

          And I said Elizabeth Warren's problems will not be fixed by more money. You choose to disagree on this?
          •  ok, I stand corrrected... (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:

            ...and as a citizen of Boston am appalled if that is Menino's position.  It seems highly inconsistent with his normal stances.

            On the bright side, I will only say that Massachusetts Senate campaigns -- like those in most states now -- are far removed from "machines", real or imagined.  Her real problem is not lack of love from Menino, but rather her inability to break out of the box Brown built around her, as noted above.

            In some ways it is Coakley redux, even though Warren is far superior in credentials and campaign energy to Coakley.

            •  Still time for Menino (0+ / 0-)

              Maybe he can still get religion, so to speak.

              And still time for Elizabeth Warren to learn how to be a better pol. She is very smart and a quick learner -- and without previous campaign experience.

              But like you, I want to scream.

  •  Is there a lack of down-ticket at DKos? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bruh1, Woody

    Maybe it's my memory failing, but it does seem that in previous Presidential elections there were a large percentage of diaries about races other than the Presidential.

    Is that true? And do the other races need to be highlighted more here? After all, if we don't nail both chambers, we're pretty much looking at the same crap we've just been through, even with the Presidency.

    The Internet is just the tail of the Corporate Media dog.

    by Jim P on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:17:46 PM PDT

    •  You are right (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Jim P

      The site, and the Party , has become Obama 24/7.

      This is similar to what happened to the party in the 1990s with CLinton.

      The problem with this approach is (1) all policies that are obama come to define was is the left although obama himself is a centrist/neoliberal and (2) there is very little except diaries like this in the way of analysis of how one can have better democrats. Its occasionally raised, but it is clearly not the central focus.

      I think the GOP is the same. Under Bush, they became the Bush Party.

      This may be flaw in modern electoral politics as much as intentionally sucking the air  out of the room based on presidential politics. Regardless, I expect in 2016 the Democratic party will have to rebuild barring the GOP putting up another dud like Romney

      •  Hey (0+ / 0-)

        Long time no see, and glad to see you again. Not much thinking or foresightedness around here these days.

        Been book-reading a lot lately about Stalin. Not the famous books, but those from 1930s defectors and the like. How "Stalin = Leader = The Party = The Best of All Possible Worlds for All." The constancy of human nature, especially human nature as expressed in politics, continues as it has through the centuries.

        Thanks for reminding about the Clinton era, where also the down-ticket, iirc, got forgotten amidst passion for the eloquent leader.

        The Internet is just the tail of the Corporate Media dog.

        by Jim P on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 08:02:37 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Hey back at you (0+ / 0-)

          (1) I scroll through a lot of head lines here shaking my head before moving on. I barely read anything here anymore.

          (2) I think there was a decision made after everyone realized Obama is a Centrist conservative and that the GOP is freaking nuts to given the choices go with Obama as the non insane voice in DC and here. If you look at parts of his speech from last week, I am trying figure out what exactly is anyone who claims to be progressive happy about. He hints, for example, that he will be still wiliing to compromise on things like budget with the GOP (which to me=entitlement sheenigans again). Not a good thing for a second term, but that's where we are.

          (3) I am hoping that if the Senate remains Democratic or theHouse becomes Democratic this decreases the desire to touch entitlements, but I am probably deluding myself at this point.

  •  Admittedly, we also have a sad :( (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    cybersaur, Woody

    How in the bluest-of-blue-state HELL is Elizabeth freaking Warren in a dogfight with a right-wing assclown with 1-term of incumbency and only has THAT because he had the shameless temerity to snatch Mr. Kennedy's seat during a GOP wave year.

    This should have been a simple matter of CORRECTION by our friends in the Bay State and instead its a barn-burner.


    I was looking forward to this being a walk-away and SENATOR WARREN swaggering into DC with a mandate.

    I still think we can take it, but for a state that elects Kennedys, put Patrick in the Mansion, gave Obama a 26-point margin of victory in '08 and has a probability of 100% to vote for Obama in Novemeber....  well, lets just say I expected better!

    Красота спасет мир --F. Dostoevsky

    by Wisper on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:22:41 PM PDT

  •  Thanks for the reminder. I just donated. You make (0+ / 0-)

    it so easy to do here. I like that.

  •  Let's not get too ahead of ourselves (0+ / 0-)

    Many of these races are way closer than they should be.  We are going to have to scrap and fight to hang on to the Senate.  I am feeling a bit more optimistic that we will hold it and gain some ground in the House as well as retain the White House of course.  But there's still a long way to go.  What is a good sign is that we are hanging in there money wise.

    "The real wealth of a nation consists of the contributions of its people and nature." -- Rianne Eisler

    by noofsh on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 04:42:06 PM PDT

  •  We have to discourage ticket splitting (0+ / 0-)

    A vote for Obama and then for a GnoP Congressman and/or Senator is a vote for the status quo.  A gain in either chamber for them is increasingly unlikely due to the surreal Monty Pythonesque tactics of Mitt and his main advisors Curly, Larry and Moe.  eg. the quick and damaging flip flop on health care yesterday.  His base is already praying for his death if elected so they can have Ryan and he riles them up over health care.  SNL may have a problem making fun of this guy since he is great comedy all on his own.

    Never promote men who seek after a state-established religion; it is spiritual tyranny--the worst of despotism. It is turnpiking the way to heaven by human law, in order to establish ministerial gates to collect toll. John Leland

    by J Edward on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 05:04:02 PM PDT

  •  Republican Senate takeover hopes fading (0+ / 0-)

    Republicans couldn't help but let their inner racism and misogyny out of the bag. What they're still attempting to hide from the American people is that they don't have a coherent and specific economic policy to get America out of the mess they created in the first place. That's why Karl Rove has admonished Republicans to "keep it vague".

  •  Will donate to most, but Tester can go eat ratshit (0+ / 0-)

    Gave to Tester in the past and watched in horror as he proceeded to enable a GOP filibuster. Fuck Tester. He is nothing to me now.

    I'll give twice to Sherrod Brown.

  •  Recalcitrance (0+ / 0-)

    I know that this is crazy and that I shouldn't post this.  But I just had a thought cross my mind.

    Congress is back in session.  Would the thought ever occur to the Republicans that they might improve their chances of increasing their numbers if they cooperated with the Democrats from now until the election?  Congress's approval ratings are in the tank, and it is generally held that it is due to the Republicans' refusal to work in any way with Obama and the Democrats.  I believe that their recalcitrance is too deep for any cooperation to do anything to improve their approval numbers, but I think that it is a fascinating idea anyway.

  •  Think back to the 2006 Senate elections… (0+ / 0-)

    The Democrats did very, very well that year (midterm elections are often bad for the sitting President, which was GWB in 2006). We took six Senate seats away from Republicans, so the total in the Senate changed from 45 Dem/55 Rep to 51 Dem/49 Rep. Technically, two of the Senators were independents who caucused with the Dems (Bernie Sanders, who is an angel, and Joe Lieberman, who is a devil). Harry Reid became the Majority Leader.

    Those are the Senate seats up for election this year.

    There are a total of 33 Class 1 Senators whose seats are being contested. Senators have six-year terms. Before 2006, The Class 1 Senators were split 15 Rep to 18 Dem. After the 2006 election, it was 9 Republicans to 24 Democrats, including the two independents. Currently, in the 2012 Senate elections, there are 10 Republican seats and 23 Democratic seats up for grabs.

    So we Democrats are defending more than twice as many states as the Republicans. We already have 23. They have 10. I think we might lose a seat or two or three.

    But I’m cheered up by Elizabeth Warren (MA) and Heidi Heitkamp (ND).  And Akin screwed things up royally in MO, so I’m hoping McCaskill will win there. We even have a chance in IN and TN.

    There’s a pretty good chance we’ll hold the Senate. My optimistic opinion.

    But the angle said to them, "Do not be Alfred. A sailor has been born to you"

    by Dbug on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 09:43:51 PM PDT

  •  And, (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    dammit, if we'd get behind the Democratic nominees in AZ and IN and spend some $ on voter registration and GOTV, we might have a shot at picking up those seats, too.

    Looking at the Washington Post run-down of the Senate races, a 55-seat majority is within reach.

    "The test of our progress is not whether we add to the abundance of those who have much. It is whether we provide enough to those who have little. " --Franklin D. Roosevelt

    by jg6544 on Mon Sep 10, 2012 at 10:33:48 PM PDT

  •  Why all the Kerrey slamming (0+ / 0-)

    the hasn't been any polling in several months. So we don't really know how far behind he is.

  •  Come 2014 the terrain (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Will have repubs on the defensive with the Dems poised to pluck off a few seats in the Senate and also the house

  •  Kyl's AZ seat will go to a Dem, I believe. (0+ / 0-)

    Dr. Carmona has all the credentials for a lot of crossover voting.  

    Remember, you can't have crazy without az.

    by Desert Rose on Tue Sep 11, 2012 at 12:55:42 PM PDT

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