Skip to main content

President Obama and Elizabeth Warren
President Obama and Elizabeth Warren, winning Massachusetts.
A new poll of the Massachusetts Senate race from Republican-aligned Kimball Political Consulting is good news for Elizabeth Warren.
Brown leads Warren 46 percent to 45 percent in a poll by GOP-aligned Kimball Political Consulting. The survey of 756 likely voters was conducted Sep. 7-9, and has a 3.5 percent margin of error. In the previous Kimball poll from three weeks ago, Brown led 49 percent to 43 percent.
She's closed the gap, a 5-point gain for Warren since the last poll on Aug. 12. But there's even more good news when you delve into the internals of the poll, as pointed out by Daily Kos diarist schobel94. First of all, the age distribution of the poll's sample is hugely skewed older, with just 12 percent of respondents 18-39, 40 percent 40-59, and a whopping 48 percent over age 60, which doesn't correspond with the 2008 exit polling for Massachusetts.

Even more encouraging is President Obama's 16-point lead in the state, where his coattails can make a difference. The problem for Warren here is that 12 percent of Obama voters say they'd split their ticket and vote for Brown, whereas only three percent of Romney voters would consider voting for Warren. Warren needs to appeal to those Obama/Brown ticket splitters. The last PPP poll showed the way: tie Brown to the unpopular Republican Party.

Goal Thermometer

There's some evidence that Brown's supposed party independence is getting a closer look by Massachusetts voters. For example, this surprising column in the Brown-boosting Boston Herald, that scrutinizes his voting record and finds him not really all that bipartisan when it comes to the War on Women and on big money in politics.

Warren can most definitely take this race. She can take her convention bump and run with it, overcoming the stealth Republican Brown. Help her do it.

Please donate $3 to Elizabeth Warren on ActBlue.

Originally posted to Joan McCarter on Tue Sep 11, 2012 at 12:26 PM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site