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Lowndes County in Georgia
Want to win another state for Obama? How about Georgia?

Lowndes County, in far south Georgia, half way between Atlanta and Orlando, the bellweather county for Georgia in 2012, closed the gap 10% from Kerry vs. Bush in 2004 to Obama vs. McCain in 2008:


2004: Bush 60%; Kerry 39.6%
2004: Bush 60%; Kerry 39.6%; -20.4%
2008: McCain 54.7%; Obama 45.2%
2008: McCain 54.7%; Obama 45.2%; -9.5%
Source: city-data.com for Lowndes County, Georgia (GA)

If we can do that again this year, we win!


That skewed poll in the Valdosta Daily Times (Valdosta is the county seat) might lead you astray, but Lowndes County came much closer to going for Obama than for Kerry, and as Lowndes County goes, so goes Georgia.

Here's what Micah Cohen wrote for Five ThirtyEight.com 29 June 2012, Presidential Geography: Georgia,

The Bellwether: Lowndes County

For an indication of what the final margin in Georgia might be on Nov. 6, look to Lowndes County. In the last three presidential elections, Lowndes voters have given each major-party candidate within 2 percentage points of their statewide share of the vote.

Want to help Laverne and Lynette down here at the south Georgia Obama-Biden office? Give them a ring at 229-469-4381 and sign up!  Or just go down to 103 Wayne Ave, Valdosta GA 31602, and join in.


Here's a video playlist for the rest of the opening speakers. Yes, I know one of them said everybody should go to Florida, but not to worry: there's plenty of calling and canvassing going on right here in south Georgia out of the south Georgia Obama office.  You can help!


Ribbon cutting at south Georgia Obama office

If you're in Lowndes County, you can contact the Lowndes County Democratic Party (LCDP) for other campaigns and other ways to help.  Almost every nearby county also has a Democratic Party: Lanier, Berrien, Cook, Tift, and Brooks; you can find them all on facebook, and all of them can find things for you to do to help us turn Georgia blue in 2012!

-jsq


Originally posted to jayskew on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 12:21 PM PDT.

Also republished by Kos Georgia.

Poll

How many more states does Obama need if he wins Georgia?

10%5 votes
79%38 votes
6%3 votes
4%2 votes

| 48 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (10+ / 0-)

    "Reserve your right to think, for even to think wrongly is better than not to think at all." --Hypatia of Alexandria, c.400

    by jayskew on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 12:21:23 PM PDT

  •  Great diary (6+ / 0-)

    Just sent a link to my sister who lives in Valdosta.  In my conversations with her (yes, she's an R), both she and her husband have had it with the Repubs.  She thinks Romney is "slimy" - her word, not mine!

    •  Lots of Rs and Ds are sick of the turncoats, too (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      HeyMikey

      Our entire statehouse delegation was elected D and turned R (except for one who was honest enough to run R). They used to be DINOs, now the local Rs consider them RINOs. We have local Democrats running against each of the turncoats, and they're getting quite a bit of cross-party support. Maybe later we'll need to send a thank-you note to Mitt R. for helping re-elect president Obama and elect a new statehouse delegation.

      "Reserve your right to think, for even to think wrongly is better than not to think at all." --Hypatia of Alexandria, c.400

      by jayskew on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 01:41:00 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  It's great to hear from people working in the (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ardyess, HeyMikey

    deep south states ike Georgia.  I'm glad to hear there are signs of change there too!

    Keep up the good work.

    --------------------- “These are troubling times. Corporation are treated like people. People are treated like things. …And if we ever needed to vote, we sure do need to vote now.” -- Rev. Dr. William J. Barber

    by Fiona West on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 12:44:03 PM PDT

  •  There's a group of states that could usher in an (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jayskew, greenbird

    Obama landslide, and Georgia is one of them.
       North Carolina is the leading edge. The next group includes Missouri, Arizona, Montana, Indiana, and Georgia (only -5 in 2008!)
       That's a map that would put us right around 400 E.V.s., i.e., MAJOR landslide!
       

    "We the People of the United States...." -U.S. Constitution

    by elwior on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 12:49:27 PM PDT

  •  GA right behind NC (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jayskew

    Georgia is under 3% different than North Carolina.

    2008 GA  Obama 47%  McCain 52.2%
    2008 NC  Obama 49.9% McCain 49.5%

    2004 GA  Kerry 41.35%  Bush 58.09%
    2004 NC  Kerry 43.56% Bush 43.56%

    Nate Silver's polling average for North Carolina right now is Obama 45.8%      Romney 47.8 %
    That gives you a pretty good indication of where Georgia's at.

  •  The thought of Georgia going for Obama (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jayskew

    would certainly set up the biggest landslide of the last 10 or so election.

    In a pre- Citizen's United world, I would definitely think that $$$$ should be sent there.  However, we're not, and prudence has to be a concern when taking on this billionaire boyz club, and spent wisely to ensure the win where we pretty much know where we can get it.  Certainly don't want to run out of $$$$ near the end of this long, long campaign.  

    But if the residents there are doing all that they can with this..... by all means go for it.  And even with the above, if a bit of $$$ can go a long way there, well... then why not?

    It probably feels that if there is just a little bit more, that it can be done.  So keep doing it.  

    All the best in turning GA blue.......

  •  thanks for posting, and we've got some idiot (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jayskew, HeyMikey

    congressbeing.  I live in Valdosta, and this feels like the reddest of red places.  But it has great high school football, and ok college ball (we've only won the DII national title twice in the last 8 years.)

    And a great university.

    What we need (I guess really what I need) is support from out of state.  And maybe believing.

  •  Probably you read the VDT (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HeyMikey

    With it's annual "Lowndes County has always been Republican" article. But it ain't so: it's really split about 50-50 R and D, and if we Democrats can turn out the vote, we will win.

    "Reserve your right to think, for even to think wrongly is better than not to think at all." --Hypatia of Alexandria, c.400

    by jayskew on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 01:29:07 PM PDT

  •  May the day come soon! (0+ / 0-)

    I live in Cobb County, Atlanta suburbs. My corner of the county has switched in the last 15 years from solid GOP to solid Dem, but the county as a whole is still majority-GOP. As are most of the Atlanta 'burbs.

    I hate that so many of my fellow Georgians have their heads up their asses.

    "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

    by HeyMikey on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 01:46:22 PM PDT

  •  I lived here once... (0+ / 0-)

    almost 2 years...Bought a trailer , lived in a park, worked in Nashville, (the Georgia one). and loved it . If I could have made a living, I would have stayed (those right to work for less laws)...Instead , I moved back to R.I., made a boatload of green, and retired before I was 50...There is no doubt in my mind that, had I stayed there, I would have become like everyone else, TOO POOR TO LEAVE...

  •  To me, Lowndes County=football (0+ / 0-)

    Though now that I think about it, I'm not at all surprised that it isn't solidly red.

    "There is nothing more dreadful than the habit of doubt. Doubt separates people. It is a poison that disintegrates friendships and breaks up pleasant relations. It is a thorn that irritates and hurts; it is a sword that kills.".. Buddha

    by sebastianguy99 on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 01:59:53 PM PDT

  •  Don't hold your breath. (0+ / 0-)

    I live in Barrow County, where candidates run as Independents rather than Dems, even if they are pro-choice and fit neatly with the Dem platform--because they are far more likely to get elected that way.

    Sadly most of the Dems here (I went to one of the Dem group's meetings) are all anti-choice and would be mdoerate Republicans in the NE.

    The last time we mixed religion and politics people got burned at the stake.

    by irishwitch on Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 03:17:28 PM PDT

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