Lowndes County, in far south Georgia, half way between Atlanta and Orlando, the bellweather county for Georgia in 2012, closed the gap 10% from Kerry vs. Bush in 2004 to Obama vs. McCain in 2008:
2004: Bush 60%; Kerry 39.6%; -20.4%
2008: McCain 54.7%; Obama 45.2%; -9.5%
|Source: city-data.com for Lowndes County, Georgia (GA)|
If we can do that again this year, we win!
That skewed poll in the Valdosta Daily Times (Valdosta is the county seat) might lead you astray, but Lowndes County came much closer to going for Obama than for Kerry, and as Lowndes County goes, so goes Georgia.
Here's what Micah Cohen wrote for Five ThirtyEight.com 29 June 2012, Presidential Geography: Georgia,
The Bellwether: Lowndes County
For an indication of what the final margin in Georgia might be on Nov. 6, look to Lowndes County. In the last three presidential elections, Lowndes voters have given each major-party candidate within 2 percentage points of their statewide share of the vote.
Want to help Laverne and Lynette down here at the south Georgia Obama-Biden office? Give them a ring at 229-469-4381 and sign up! Or just go down to 103 Wayne Ave, Valdosta GA 31602, and join in.
Here's a video playlist for the rest of the opening speakers. Yes, I know one of them said everybody should go to Florida, but not to worry: there's plenty of calling and canvassing going on right here in south Georgia out of the south Georgia Obama office. You can help!
If you're in Lowndes County, you can contact the Lowndes County Democratic Party (LCDP) for other campaigns and other ways to help. Almost every nearby county also has a Democratic Party: Lanier, Berrien, Cook, Tift, and Brooks; you can find them all on facebook, and all of them can find things for you to do to help us turn Georgia blue in 2012!