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Top-Ticket Drag on Down-Ticket Races



Tonight's sampling:

[MI-Supreme Court] WEST WING REUNION: cast cuts ad for Mich. Supreme Court candidate Bridget McCormack, DFA endorses by Eclectablog - The cast of the television show West Wing stars in an ad for Michigan Supreme Court and University of Michigan law professor Bridget Mary McCormack (D). There are two positions on the court to be filled by the top two vote-getters among three Dems and three Republican candidates. A separate race between two candidates will fill an unfinished term.

[ME-Sen] ME-Sen: PPP Has Angus King (I) Up By 8 But Maine Research Group Has Him Up By 15 by poopdogcomedy - Former Maine governor Angus King (I) still has a healthy lead in polls over Charlie Summers (R) and Cynthia Dill (D), but it's not what it was. King has said he won't caucus with either Party if he gains the Senate seat.

[PA-06,08] Getting the Crazy Out of the Philly Suburbs by BooMan23 - There are two strong challengers running for newly-drawn seats in the Philly suburbs this year.  In the sixth, Dr. Manan Trivedi (D) is taking his second shot at Rep. Jim Gerlach (R).  In Bucks County, Kathy Boockvar (D) is trying to oust Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick (R).


Today's EDR covers rescued down-ticket election diaries published between noon on September 19th till noon on September 20th.

This edition of Election Diary Rescue includes the following gems dug up by our miners, for a total of (38) diaries:

Senate: (11) posts, (7) states
House: (11) posts, (8) states, (10) districts
State: (3)
Ballot Initiatives: (2)
General: (11)


More diaries and information about this project beneath the
Orange Squiggle of Down-Ticket Power

EDR compiles, describes and links election related diaries for down-ticket races through the closing months of election seasons. Down-ticket means any non-Presidential race.

This group was formed by the producers of a front page diary series that rescued election related diaries in 2006, 2008 and 2010. 2012 marks the first election since Daily Kos was born that there is blog devoted to election coverage - Daily Kos Elections.
Election Diary Rescue is proud to be a part of this project.

EDR chronicles the passion, power and effectiveness of political engagement and shines a light on candidates and issues that might be missed during an action-packed election cycle. It gives quick access to races, hopefully inspires people to write about contests that interest them, and has become an archive for thousands of election related diaries over the years.
The Diary List
for this project, founded by sidinny, links all the rescued diaries since 2006.

Format, Schedule & Tags:


Diarists can help the EDR mining team by identifying the race in the diary title, for example: (FL-14) or (GA-Gov) or (NY-Sen). New this year, you can write your first sentence or two as the synopsis you would like to see in the EDR description.

EDR's schedule for mining diaries is noon to noon. Our publishing schedule is in the evening. That means for example if you post your diary at 12:00 pm (noon) on Wednesday, we will include it in the EDR list in Thursday evening's post. If you publish your diary at 11:59 am on Thursday, it will be in the diary collection for Thursday evening as well.


Senate

[AZ-Sen] AZ-Sen: Republican Poll Has Dr. Richard Carmona (D) Beating Jeff Flake (R), 44%-39% by poopdogcomedy - Diarist has a poll for Arizona's Senate race between Dr. Richard Carmona (D) and Jeff Flake (R).

[MA-Sen] Boston Herald: If we undersample Dems, Brown is still ahead! by AnotherMassachusettsLiberal - Facing a tide of four recent polls showing Elizabeth Warren (D) leading incumbent Scott Brown (R), the Boston Herald decided to conduct its own poll. By skewing the sampling they can claim Brown still leads.

[MA-Sen] Breaking: Boston Mayor Tom Menino to Endorse Warren Tomorrow by WarrenS - The Democratic Mayor of Boston is confirmed by two sources to endorse Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren (D) on Friday, against incumbent Republican Scott Brown.

[MA-Sen] Devastating anti-Scott Brown column in Boston Globe today by firenze - Brown (R), running against Elizabeth Warren (D), has been conspicuously absent at ceremonies honoring the late Sargeant Jared Monti.

[MA-Sen] MA-Sen: Two Contrasting Polls In One Day by poopdogcomedy - Diarist compares 2 polls for Massachusetts Senate race between Elizabeth Warren (D) & incumbent Scott Brown (R).

[ME-Sen] ME-Sen: PPP Has Angus King (I) Up By 8 But Maine Research Group Has Him Up By 15 by poopdogcomedy - Former Maine governor Angus King (I) still has a healthy lead in polls over Charlie Summers (R) and Cynthia Dill (D), but it's not what it was. King has said he won't caucus with either Party if he gains the Senate seat.

[NV-Sen, NV-03] #MittpocalyseNow for Nevada Republicans? by atdnext - Mitt's bringing his road show to Las Vegas on Friday, and the Republicans running for Senate and House district 3 are in full panic mode trying to distance themselves from the top of their ticket. Incumbent Dean Heller (R) is being challenged by Shelley Berkley (D) for the Senate, Joe Heck (R) faces John Oceguera (D) for the 3rd Congressional District.

[PA-Sen] PA-Sen: Bob Casey Jr (D) Is Here To Stay by poopdogcomedy - Casey leads Tom Smith (R) by 12 points in the latest Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll.

[VA-Sen] VA-Sen: Tim Kaine (D) Leads George Allen (R(acist)) In Latest Quinnipac Poll! by poopdogcomedy - Democrat Tim Kaine has a seven-point over George "Macaca" Allen, with independents split equally.

[WI-Sen] Good news for Tammy Baldwin by RHinWI - Recent polls have Baldwin (D) polling level or better than Tommy Thompson (R) in this race.

[WI-Sen] WI-Sen: Marquette Poll Has Baldwin (D) Beating Thompson (R) By 9 & Obama Beating Romney By 14 by poopdogcomedy - Democrat Tammy Baldwin leads Tommy Thompson (R) 50-41 in this latest matchup in the Badger State.


House

[CA-49] BREAKING NEWS: AG Eric Holder cleared in Inspector General probe! by pipsorcle - It's about time House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Chairman Darrell Issa (R) issues an apology to Eric Holder. ActBlue and volunteer links included for Issa's challenger Democrat Jerry Tetalman.

[FL-09] Alan Grayson disappointed me today by Patriot4peace - Diarist is disappointed in the Grayson (D) campaign's email attack on his opponent Todd Long's (R) alcoholism.

[FL-09] Ahhh, Someone got their fee fees hurt cause Alan Grayson was mean to the Tea Bagger by James Hepburn - The diarist brings the battle over Alan Grayson's (D) Campaign to out his opponent Todd Long's (R) abusive alcohol problem to Daily Kos.

[MA-02] Floor Video: Silence on Afghanistan "shocking and offensive" by Congressman Jim McGovern - From Representative McGovern's (D) floor speech, "We owe our servicemen and women so much better.  We owe this country better. End the war and bring our troops home.  Now." He is running unopposed.

[MN-06] Get Your Date With Bachmann by Blue Bronc - Diarist got an invite to a conference call with Michele Bachmann (R). Jim Graves (D) is her opponent.

[MN-08] MN-08: Chip Cravaack Refuses To Debate On The Iron Range by keewatinrose - Cravaack (R) is reticent about agreeing to some debates. Rick Nolan (D) is his opponent in this race.

[NC-11] NC-11: "I Am Not Romney" by Joieau - Banner headline in the WNC paper of record screams, "Meadows: I'm not Romney". Ah, the down-ticket ramifications of Mittster's oral incontinence. Mark Meadows (R) is running for Heath Shuler's vacated seat against Blue Dog Dem Hayden Rogers.

[PA-06,08] Getting the Crazy Out of the Philly Suburbs by BooMan23 - There are two strong challengers running for newly-drawn seats in the Philly suburbs this year.  In the sixth, Dr. Manan Trivedi (D) is taking his second shot at Rep. Jim Gerlach (R).  In Bucks County, Kathy Boockvar (D) is trying to oust Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick (R).

[UT-03] An off balance Romney tries desperately to change media focus to "redistribution" by HoundDog - Wolf Blitzer asks Republican Jason Chaffetz (R) if the 38% of Utah state tax filers who do not pay federal income taxes are moochers or parasites as Mitt Romney claims. Chaffetz bumbles through his answer. Søren Simonsen (D) is his opponent.

[WI-01] WI-01: Who's Better Off? by PvtJarHead - A look at the serial failures of Paul Ryan's congressional career, and the likelihood that we'll be able to beat him twice this November. Rob Zerban (D) is challenging Ryan in WI-01 while Ryan's busy chasing the VPOTUS job.

[House-Gen] JUST IN: P.E.C. Predicts 74% Chance of Dem Takeover of House by CaptainAmerica - The Princeton Election Consortium [PEC] has updated its prediction on the House races this election cycle, and finds a 74% likelihood of Democratic takeover.


State

[MI-Supreme Court] WEST WING REUNION: cast cuts ad for Mich. Supreme Court candidate Bridget McCormack, DFA endorses by Eclectablog - The cast of the television show West Wing stars in an ad for Michigan Supreme Court and University of Michigan law professor Bridget Mary McCormack (D). There are two positions on the court to be filled by the top two vote-getters among three Dems and three Republican candidates. A separate race between two candidates will fill an unfinished term.

[PA-StHouse-12] "Legitimate Voters" won't be disenfranchised by Timari - As Pennsylvania’s strict voter ID law returns to the lower court for reconsideration, its original sponsor, Rep. Daryl Metcalfe (R), told KDKA Radio that his law will only disenfranchise “lazy” people, like the ones Mitt Romney was talking about in the leaked video of a private fundraiser. Unfortunately Metcalfe is running unopposed.

[SC-Var] Stubborn and Stuck They Remain - SC by wjhamilton29464 - Diarist reports on issues and down-ticket races across the board in deep red South Carolina, the difficulties Democrats have in the face of Republican hegemony.


Ballot Initiatives

[MD-Question 6] Leading African-American Pastors Announce Support for Marriage Equality by FourthOfJulyAsburyPark - In Maryland, there will be a referendum on the ballot in November to support the Civil Marriage Protection Act that allows same sex couples to obtain a marriage license. The law specifically states that religious institutions will not be required to marry same sex couples if it is inconsistent with their beliefs. Rev. Delman Coates, Senior Pastor of the Mt. Ennon Baptist Church in Clinton, MD, has convened a group of pastors to urge voters to vote "Yes" on question 6. They will hold a press conference on Friday at the National Press Club.

[Var] 2012, the year marriage equality romps in the polls by kos - Markos offers the state of play in each state and the organizations doing the heavy lifting in each one of them. ActBlue link to help with the various initiatives included.


General

Nate Silver: Senate 70.2% Chance of Staying Democratic...Major Change (UPDATE) by Gangster Octopus - fivethirtyeight.com has Democrats as big favorites at this point to retain their Senate majority.

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: A data-heavy Wednesday, on balance, favors the Democrats by Steve Singiser - Wednesday's edition of the Wrap logged more unique polls than any other day on the 2012 electoral calendar thus far. With carpel tunnel setting in for our intrepid poll-tracker, 39 separate polls on presidential and downballot races are listed.

Nate Silver: 79 percent chance Democrats hold Senate by Laurence Lewis - Polling analyst Nate Silver ran the latest data and reports that Democrats have a 79% chance of controlling the Senate come November.

Taking Back the House: List of Competitive House Races (Week of 9/17) by khyber900 - An analysis of close races for the House of Representatives.

The Mitt Tapes, A Tale of Two Parties; Democrats salivate, GOP runs for cover by gf120581 - If you needed an indication of how much Mitt Romney's Home Videos: Poor People Suck Edition is shaking up the political landscape, you only needed to look at the reactions from the respective sides of the aisle on Capitol Hill.

The House As Well Could Be In Play by VoteForObamain2012 - A short pep talk about the overall outcome in November.

Will Romney become a drag on GOP ticket? by brooklynbadboy - Things to watch for as an indication of a Romney drag on down-ticket races throughout the nation.

Wait, safe House Democrats are sitting on how much money? by Chris Bowers - An analysis by Daily Kos Elections has identified 152 Democratic House incumbents who are not listed as vulnerable by any major election prognosticator and who are also not running for higher office. According to their most recent FEC reports, these 152 Democrats have just over $87,500,000 in their campaign bank accounts, combined.  Action diary.

Sponsor of Pennsylvania Voter ID Law defends Romney, says ‘Lazy’ people also shouldn't vote by Voter123 - As Pennsylvania’s strict voter ID law returns to the lower court for reconsideration, its original sponsor, Rep. Daryl Metcalfe (R-PA), told KDKA Radio Wednesday morning that his law will only disenfranchise “lazy” people, like the ones Mitt Romney was talking about in the leaked video of a private fundraiser.

Making This a Wave Election by Michael Lux - Diarist offers good analysis of the state of the two Parties this cycle, and presents the narrative we on-the-grounders need to keep pushing in order to translate the winning Democratic message to all the congressional and state races down-ticket.

Gamechanger: Californians Can Now Register To Vote With The Click Of A Mouse (Really) by msblucow - While other states are working overtime to deny people the right to vote, California just made voting a whole lot easier. All it takes is a valid CA driver's license or state ID, which allows citizens to register via computer or mobile device.


* A big THANKS! to all our dedicated EDR volunteers (in alphabetical order): Alma, eeff, EvanInNY, foreverblue, Joieau, nomandates, Oke, randallt, Restondem, Spedwybabs, Sylv, TruthOfAngels and turbonerd.

Archive link: Election Diary Rescue - Daily Diaries

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Thu Sep 20, 2012 at 03:00 PM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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