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The pollster.com chart without Rasmussen and Gallup (Obama 49.4-Romney 44). Why do that? My reasoning. Here's another reason (Daily Breakdown: Gallup and Rasmussen v. World). BTW, it's worth a full point (48.9-44.5), but not more. More importantly, it's a completely different narrative. No, it is not a tie.

Jennifer Rubin:

You know it is a good Friday afternoon for the Romney-Ryan ticket when...
You know it's a hysterically funny Jen Rubin column when she talks to the Romney camp but doesn't bother to read her own paper.

The Fix:

Mitt Romney had the ‘Worst Week in Washington’ — again
AP:
Mitt Romney struggled to steady his presidential campaign on Friday, buffeted by an outbreak of sniping among frustrated Republicans, fresh evidence of a slide in battleground state polls and President Barack Obama’s accusation that he was writing off “half the country” in pursuit of the White House.

Republican running mate Paul Ryan drew boos at an AARP convention in New Orleans when he said Romney would repeal Obama’s health care law, which closed a gap in coverage for seniors’ prescription drugs. The Wisconsin congressman accused the administration of weakening Medicare and flinching from tough measures needed to stabilize Social Security’s finances, adding that the president has “put his own job security over your retirement security.”

Reuters:
Mitt Romney tried to silence questions about his taxes as the Republican presidential candidate limped to the end of a brutal week on Friday, while his running mate faced boos and heckling at a campaign stop.

Obama to AARP: who you gonna trust, me or Ayn Rand?
@DemFromCT via web

Howard Fineman:

The attack on Mitt Romney was tough, even vicious.

As expressed at a now-infamous fundraiser in Florida, the Republican nominee's "ideology, pitting the 'makers' against the 'takers,' offers nothing," the writer said. "No sympathy for our fellow citizens. No insight into our social challenge. No hope of change."

"This approach involves a relentless reductionism," the writer argued Thursday in the Washington Post. "Human worth is reduced to economic production. Social problems are reduced to personal vices. Politics is reduced to class warfare on behalf of the upper class."

It was perhaps the most thorough, full-throated denunciation of Romney this year -- and, of course, a conservative Republican wrote it.


Notice that Romney's "worst day" of the race became "his worst week" and is now becoming his worst month...?
@DemFromCT via web

Joe Conason:
With so many Republicans frantically distancing themselves from Mitt Romney over those notorious remarks about the “47 percent” of Americans he views as tax-exempt moochers, there is at least one right-wing pundit proudly claiming responsibility for what Romney said.

Complaints from the right about “lucky duckies” too poor to pay taxes are nothing new, of course.   Yet although he may have to share the credit with his pal Paul Ryan, strong circumstantial evidence supports the boasting of Charles J. Sykes.

And if Sykes is right, then the excuses offered by Romney and Ryan about “inelegant” and “inarticulate” phrasing over the past few days are laughable.

TPM:
Mitt Romney took a jab at California while speaking in Las Vegas, accusing Obama of plunging America into debt and dependency.

"I'm convinced that the path [Obama's] put us on is the path to Europe," he said. "Or, I jokingly say....to California."

What a kidder.

Margie Omero:

As you may have heard, it's been a bad week for Mitt Romney. And while he's taken a tumble in the polls, nationally it's still a fairly close race. But both nationwide and in some key swing states, Obama's lead among women has widened considerably. Women are behind the Obama surge.
Nate Cohn:
The polls are a bit of a mess right now, but the sources of disagreement seem a little clearer today. A big polling duel might be shaping up for November: Gallup and Rasmussen v. World.
Harry Enten:
Sometimes, there is a myth that simply won't die. It just gets repeated over and over, without much reason. Meet the 50% rule: this is the idea that if an incumbent is under 50%, then he could lose because undecideds break towards the challenger.

Barack Obama is polling at about 48% and up by about 3 percentage points right now. The 50% rule says Obama may be leading, but may not win if the election were today. The truth of the matter is that an Obama lead of 3 percentage points, and being at 48%, is a fine position for an incumbent. Here's why:

Sean Trende:

State of the Race, Part 1: Why Obama Wins
State of the Race, Part 2: Why Romney Wins
State of the Race, Part 3: Winning by Losing

It is always tempting for the winning party to spike the proverbial football after an election and declare that the American people have finally endorsed their agenda and rejected that of the opposing side. As I explain in “The Lost Majority,” however, those instincts are almost always wrong. If we’ve learned anything from the past two elections, it should be that the American people have very, very short memories, and that contingencies are always lurking around the corner waiting to catapult the losing side to victory.

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Comment Preferences

  •  rMoney's geniuses with their RNC bonuses (30+ / 0-)

    sending Ryan to AARP convention

    Republican running mate Paul Ryan drew boos at an AARP convention in New Orleans when he said Romney would repeal Obama’s health care law, which closed a gap in coverage for seniors’ prescription drugs. The Wisconsin congressman accused the administration of weakening Medicare and flinching from tough measures needed to stabilize Social Security’s finances, adding that the president has “put his own job security over your retirement security.”

    yksitoista ulotteinen presidentin shakki. / tappaa kaikki natsit "Nous sommes un groupuscule" (-9.50; -7.03) 政治委员, 政委‽ Warning - some snark above ‽

    by annieli on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 04:33:08 AM PDT

  •  The impact for so much of what has happened (15+ / 0-)

    over the last week or so only registers relatively quickly with the politically informed public.  It takes some time for it to filter through to the majority of even likely voters.  I'm looking forward to seeing further tanking in the near future.

    I haven't much respected Gallup for years.

    Chief neoconservative/fundamentalist allied belief: All things are possible if only you lie.

    by blueoasis on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 04:39:12 AM PDT

  •  "[T]he path to Europe" ... (26+ / 0-)

    Having recently spent time in Denmark and France, I have to say it doesn't look all that bad.

     

  •  Fineman (12+ / 0-)

    Strange style to keep saying "the writer." Finally had to go look. He eventually reveals:

    The author, Michael Gerson, has impeccable right-wing bona fides: He worked at the Heritage Foundation, served Chuck Colson and Bob Dole, and was President George W. Bush's chief speechwriter.

    Just Win, Baby. -- Al Rodgers, Feb. 24, 2012

    by OLinda on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 04:41:28 AM PDT

  •  Cohn (7+ / 0-)
    Gallup and Rasmussen v. World.
    LOL

    Just Win, Baby. -- Al Rodgers, Feb. 24, 2012

    by OLinda on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 04:45:26 AM PDT

  •  Hitler had it right about Jennifer Rubin (9+ / 0-)

    •  Haha! (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      thomask, nellgwen

      I should read all the comments before posting (I just posted it above!).
      Saw this last night and again this morning and can't stop laughing!

      “We are not a nation that says ‘don’t ask, don’t tell.’ We are a nation that says ‘out of many, we are one.’” -Barack Obama

      by skohayes on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 06:32:47 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  The real problem is the disaster for the country. (0+ / 0-)

    I can't remember a time when I've felt so disconsolate over the country's prospects and my children's future.

    LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

    by dinotrac on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 04:59:13 AM PDT

    •  best approach is to rally around the new President (10+ / 0-)

      and support a cooperative congress. You get more done that way. And these problems are solvable if you put ideology aside.

      "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

      by Greg Dworkin on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:09:50 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Well, we won't be getting a new President, and, (0+ / 0-)

        if we do, the most likely guy doesn't seem very rallyable.

        I wouldn't mind seeing a few of the 2010 crop of Congressional Republicans get thinned from the herd, along with an equivalent group of nutso Democrats.

        Might actually get something done -- but that's scary, too.

        Getting something done brought us the "stimulus", the ACA, drone attacks, the Middle East exploding (in fairness, that's just par for the course), and, looming, a series of regressive tax increases that will wallop low and middle-income earners while inconveniencing some of those at the high end.

        Wait -- My mistake. That bit about the taxes is deliberatly NOT getting something done.

        LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

        by dinotrac on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 06:44:43 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  not keen on drones (8+ / 0-)

          but to give you an idea of how slanted your comment is:

          Angry Libyans Target Militias, Forcing Flight

          Galvanized by anger over the killing of the popular American ambassador here last week, thousands of Libyans marched through this city on Friday, demanding the disarming of the militias that helped topple the dictatorship but have troubled the country with their refusal to disband.

          "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

          by Greg Dworkin on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 07:15:24 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Decent people everywhere are not the problem. (0+ / 0-)

            Terrorist groups like the folks who attacked the embassies in Libya and Egypt are a different matter.

            And...

            Oh!

            I would expect our foreign affairs folks to know that.

            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

            by dinotrac on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 01:25:51 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  i would expect you to, as well (0+ / 0-)

              so what's your point? That there are bad guys? yeah, there are. A lot of them are dead. Not all of them.

              "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

              by Greg Dworkin on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 02:21:04 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Goose and Gander. (0+ / 0-)

                Bush was assailed for his Middle East problems.
                Only fair to assail Obama.

                LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                by dinotrac on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 06:23:57 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  sure (0+ / 0-)

                  every president will be assailed. It is what it is, but sometimes the assault is pointless.

                  "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                  by Greg Dworkin on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 09:20:33 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  It is fair to question the competence of a (0+ / 0-)

                    President, especially one whose campaign and supporters strongly suggested his presence would almost magically make things better overseas.

                    I believe that Secretary Clinton is knowledgeable and smart, but, to date, the only real evidence of international competence is the killing of Bin Ladin, and we bungled the aftermath of that for the sake of re-election campaign publicity.

                    LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                    by dinotrac on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 03:58:17 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  there's plenty to criticize (0+ / 0-)

                      there always will be because of the complex nature of the region, but what you are citing (we bungled the aftermath of that for the sake of re-election campaign publicity) is a blatant, out and out partisan lie.

                      "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                      by Greg Dworkin on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 04:16:02 AM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  It can't be a partisan lie (0+ / 0-)

                        1. I don't belong to any party.
                        2. I believe it. That means, at worst, that I am mistaken. Words have meaning, Greg, and that is not the meaning of a lie.

                        LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                        by dinotrac on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 04:25:06 AM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                        •  you are repeating a partisan lie (0+ / 0-)

                          that doesn't mean you're lying. But it is a partisan lie.

                          "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                          by Greg Dworkin on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 07:52:51 AM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                          •  Repeating what? (0+ / 0-)

                            I would be interested to know.

                            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                            by dinotrac on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 11:43:21 AM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  "for the sake of re-election campaign publicity" (0+ / 0-)

                            that's your charge.

                            "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                            by Greg Dworkin on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 03:53:34 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  That's MY charge. (0+ / 0-)

                            And I'm repeating it, yes.

                            Your claim was that I'm repeating some GOP lie.
                            It may well be that the GOP believes as I do.

                            In the case that we have independently come to the same conclusion, we are in agreement, but...

                            I am not repeating their lies.

                            You are a writer, Greg.  Again -- you should know that words have meaning and meaning matters.

                            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                            by dinotrac on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 07:49:18 AM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

        •  as for the stimulus (9+ / 0-)

          it not only stopped a depression, people actually 'get it ' now.

          http://jacera.blogspot.com/...

          The implication for 2012 is that the framing for retrospective economic evaluations established during the conventions will probably be quite resilient.  Now that people have invested mentally in comparing how they feel about recent economic performance to how they felt about the economy at the end of 2008, they will be much less likely to accept arguments encouraging them to bury those old feelings in favor of some other reference frame.  It is also likely that members of the 57 percent of households that viewed part of the conventions will be biased towards accepting new information reinforcing the four-year comparison frame.  As long as we avoid another economic disaster comparable to the one that happened in 2008, trends in economic retrospections can be expected to continue favoring Obama, especially as the opinions of voters solidify in the lead-up to election day.

          "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

          by Greg Dworkin on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 07:18:38 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Yeah, sure. (0+ / 0-)

            Stopped a depression.

            Doesn't matter how many times you say that -- and, what is this? About the zillionth? -- doesn't make it true.

            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

            by dinotrac on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 01:26:49 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  of course it's true (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MadEye

              the funny thing is the public gets it, as do the economists. At this point, it doesn't matter of you don't.

              "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

              by Greg Dworkin on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 02:21:47 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Ah yes, all those grainy 1930s films showing (0+ / 0-)

                the downward trend line of the GDP.

                Oh, wait!
                They didn't.

                They showed people lining up at bread lines, selling apples, begging for work, etc.

                The don't call economics the dismal science.  

                As to the public getting it, I'll bet that depends on what part of the public you're asking. The 27 million unemployed and underemployed Americans might not share your enthusiasm.

                Yeah, they're a minorty.  We seem to differ on whether they're a minority that matters.

                LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                by dinotrac on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 04:38:02 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  flipping from what matters in a campaign (0+ / 0-)

                  to what matters in real life in the midst of a political discussion is a rhetorical device. But since you choose it, people are way better off, not even close, compared to when we were losing 800K jobs a month. That was 4 short years ago.

                  What Obama did is reverse the trend, and while a structural recession, the Great Recession will take a few more years to get over, the country will be stronger for it than in 2008.

                  That you refuse (and that's the right word) to give him credit for it is your problem, not the electorate's problem (which, btw, is why he is winning.)

                  What is also interesting is how many benefit from what he did via govt. assistance, and how many either don't know or refuse to know what govt programs benefit them, hence the classic "no socialized medicine and don't touch my medicare".

                  "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                  by Greg Dworkin on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 06:30:21 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Again, it depends on who you ask. (0+ / 0-)

                    People who are a long time out of work, facing foreclosure (or already foreclosed), etc, might not agree that we have avoided a depression.

                    Those of you who have the means to argue over dinner party drinks will see things differently.

                    LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                    by dinotrac on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 11:45:42 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  not how i feel about it (0+ / 0-)

                      how the public feels about it. And because more people agree with me than you (that the economy sucks for structural reasons, but Obama gets credit for how deep the hole was under Bush and what he's done to improve form 800K jobs lost a month, and near collapse of the finacial system) Obama is ahead in the polls and will get reelected.

                      "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                      by Greg Dworkin on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 02:57:17 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  So -- You don't consider the unemployed, the (0+ / 0-)

                        underemployed and the foreclosed to be part of the public?

                        LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                        by dinotrac on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 03:32:02 PM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                        •  "there you go again" (0+ / 0-)

                          of course i do. So what's your point? You'd blame obama if employment were 7% or 6%, or 3% because even then, whoever the underemployed and the foreclosed are, they're part of the public.

                          No one says it's a great situation. Question is who can do something about it going forward. I vote for the person that cares over the person who fucking declares he doesn't.

                          Washington (CNN) -- Mitt Romney on Tuesday didn't back away from remarks he made in a secretly recorded video casting supporters of President Barack Obama as dependent on welfare, and instead said the comments that generated more problems for him in a tight race were an honest reflection of his campaign's message.

                          "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                          by Greg Dworkin on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 03:51:55 PM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                        •  here's a balanced nonpartisan view (0+ / 0-)
                          -"For those less partisan — the independent and persuadable voters who will probably decide the election — there was less inclination to blame the president for the slow recovery and little faith that any politician, Democrat or Republican, could make a huge difference right away. So other issues came up.
                          That's in NV, where things are as bad as anywhere in the country.

                          http://www.latimes.com/...

                          "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                          by Greg Dworkin on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 04:28:24 PM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                          •  All well and good, but not the same as (0+ / 0-)

                            crediting the President with avoiding a depression.

                            Will the miserable economy cost the President this election?

                            In a normal year it should, but the GOP has looked this gift horse in the mouth and decided to kick it's teeth in.

                            John Kerry and Mitt Romney will soon be able to join a very exclusive club:

                            Silver-Spoon Massachusetts politicians who have found ways to lose to a sitting President who shouldn't be able to get elected dog-catcher.

                            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                            by dinotrac on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 04:50:07 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  romney was the best the GOP could offer (0+ / 0-)

                            but it wasn't up to the job because GOP dogma isn't suited to actual governance.

                            "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                            by Greg Dworkin on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 05:02:02 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  as to avoiding the depression, not hard to find (0+ / 0-)
                            Honeywell International Inc. Chief Executive Officer David Cote said President Barack Obama avoided a depression and has gotten little credit for doing so.

                            “I have never seen such panic consuming the markets,” Cote said today in a Bloomberg Television interview with Betty Liu. “It is like everyone forgets that stuff afterwards.”

                            http://www.bloomberg.com/...

                            "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

                            by Greg Dworkin on Sun Sep 23, 2012 at 05:04:38 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  Hmmm. A CEO. Just goes to prove what I keep (0+ / 0-)

                            saying.

                            Rich folks avoided a depression.

                            Once upon a time, the Democratic party was about the rest of us.

                            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                            by dinotrac on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 06:25:32 AM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

        •  more... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          nellgwen
          Greg Sargent makes the excellent point this week that part of what’s happening is that Obama has pulled even or ahead with Romney on the question of who would do a better job on the economy, partly because a lot of people still blame George W. Bush for creating these economic problems but also because a lot of people are newly optimistic about the current economy.
          http://www.salon.com/...

          "Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies." - Groucho Marx

          by Greg Dworkin on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 09:43:51 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  2011 would have today beat by a long shot. (5+ / 0-)

      hell, as a woman, 2012's been pretty fucking scary.

      For the record, I am not a member of Courtesy Kos. Just so you know. Don't be stupid. It's election season. My patience is short.

      by mdmslle on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:10:54 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I felt this way in 2004 (8+ / 0-)

        When 52% of the country returned to the White House an administration that pissed away the Clinton surplus on two useless wars and massive tax cuts for the wealthy.

        Good thing there's no chance of Americans putting THOSE stiffs into office again. Or is there?

      "Le ciel est bleu, l'enfer est rouge."

      by Buzzer on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:54:20 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  2004 would be a close second, but reversed. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        drumwolf

        That year, it was the Democrats who refused to field a decent alternative.  This year, it's the Republicans.

        I was soooooo hoping Howard Dean would make it through the primaries.

        LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

        by dinotrac on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 06:48:00 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  So true...and I actually heard many otherwise (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Miss Blue

        seemingly sane people say they were voting for Bushdick AGAIN --as a punishment--because they needed to clean up the mess they'd made.  At times I felt like reaching for the hemlock.  I still have moments, but not as bad.

  •  AARP (9+ / 0-)
    Obama to AARP: who you gonna trust, me or Ayn Rand?
    Clearly they trusted the guy who gave thoughtful answers with humility and grace. Nice back to back contrast of President Obama and Paul Ryan - looking forward to the next chance of seeing integrity, honesty and humbleness vs. smarmy, disconnected, arrogance. Looks like that will be Sunday on 60 Minutes w/PO and Mitt interviews.
  •  Here's Rubin yesterday....telling us how well (7+ / 0-)

    ..Romney is doing in the swing states.

  •  Americans may have short memories (14+ / 0-)

    but they seem a hell of a lot less short today than they did a decade ago.

    I'm saying.

    And, not everything is memory-based. I believe that for once in a 40-some years, people are actually asking the question: "Does this ideology make any sense?" Something that the left has been begging Americans to do since Reagan. Now, here we are, the right giving a full throated, proud exposition on what it's about. And Americans are saying, "That makes no fucking sense."

    Credit the internet. Credit the ability to actually, without much effort, compare other world systems with our own. Credit actually being able to LOOK BACK over the last 40 years and see for ourselves.

    No, I think the Age of Obama (combined with 40 years of history) has done something significant: beat back the Reagan ideology, replacing it with one that has been demonstrably more successful both here and abroad, and given people the tools to question the right fully.

    For the record, I am not a member of Courtesy Kos. Just so you know. Don't be stupid. It's election season. My patience is short.

    by mdmslle on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:03:58 AM PDT

    •  Nevermind the man behind the curtain.....I am the (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mdmslle, Texdude50, nellgwen

      Great and Powerful OZ!!!........am I getting through to you John Q. Public?................Uhhhh........no.

    •  Just proves the old adage (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      nellgwen

      about giving a man enough rope and he'll hang himself, or give them an inch, they'll take a mile.

      After 40 years of giving rope - the benefit of the doubt - to Republican policies, they have now become so comfortable with shifting gains to the top of the income scale that they will publicly proclaim how pleased they are with themselves, but that they still don't feel like they have enough.
      Consequently they are just about to hang themselves.

      "In this world of sin and sorrow there is always something to be thankful for; as for me, I rejoice that I am not a Republican." - H. L. Mencken

      by SueDe on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 07:05:49 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I have asked my tax preparer, Mr. Louis Turbotax, (11+ / 0-)

    ... to prepare a letter regarding my federal taxes for the previous ten years:

    To Whom It May Concern:

    Yep. He paid some.

    Sincerely,

    Automated Response System Unit 657C

    "So, am I right or what?"

    by itzik shpitzik on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:05:22 AM PDT

  •  The Conanson article has treasure in it (9+ / 0-)

    concerning the Sykes to Ryan to Romney Connection for a book called "A Nation of Moochers" (!) which Ryan actually wrote a blurb for.

    The article and this nugget within it needs to be unearthed and trumpeted separately far and wide. A diary on just that article would be a good thing.

    I wonder how many copies of that book he gave to his staffers.

    Future interview questions:

    So Congressman Ryan, tell us what you learned from the book "A Nation of Moochers" which you actually helped promote.  

    Congressman Ryan could you please expound on the philosophies of two of your literary heroes, Anny Rand and Charles Sykes - How would a Rand Objectivist handle the Nation of Moochers in Sykes' book? Is your budget based in part on dismantling The Nation of Moochers?

    Mr. Romney are you familiar with a book called A Nation of Moochers? Is that where you drew your (incorrect) information about the 47% from?

    “Human kindness has never weakened the stamina or softened the fiber of a free people. A nation does not have to be cruel to be tough.” FDR

    by Phoebe Loosinhouse on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:07:35 AM PDT

  •  Jennifer Rubin is a true lunatic (10+ / 0-)

    "Rick Perry talks a lot and he's not very bright. And that's a combination I like in Republicans." --- James Carville

    by LaurenMonica on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:10:39 AM PDT

  •  Can Democrats take back the House? Yes. (12+ / 0-)
    "Predicting the House outcome is challenging," says Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Consortium. But a very accurate predictor in recent elections has been the generic congressional preference poll. In 2010, for example, the polls showed the GOP with a +7 advantage, and they and beat Democrats in the nationwide House vote by 6.6 percent, seizing a whopping 63 seats. These days, the pendulum is swinging the other way, and Democrats now have a +4 advantage. If that holds, "the probability of a Democratic takeover is 74 percent, with a median 16-seat majority."
    http://election.princeton.edu/...
  •  Two points I'd like to make regarding some of (12+ / 0-)

    the commentaries summarized here:

    Regarding Ryan saying

    the president has “put his own job security over your retirement security.”
    To the extent that Seniors' retirement security is endangered, it is wholly due to irresponsible tax cuts made over the last few decades, but especially during the Bush 2 administration with tax cuts during wartime, that were specifically designed to bring about the very outcome that Ryan is bemoaning. The most important way to safeguard seniors retirement security is through true healthcare reform, of which the ACA is a good start, and which the Republican Party refuses to discuss seriously, since their ultimate goal I believe is to eliminate altogether the New Deal and Great Society programs that have lifted seniors out of poverty.

    Secondly, about Romney's taxes... First, he has almost certainly spent double my yearly salary or more sanitizing his 2011 returns, before he filed them after a request for an extension. They still reveal a guy who is pretty craven, forgoing charity deductions to just barely nudge his taxes up to the point at which he can say he "paid more than 13%".  As mentioned elsewhere, he will likely file an amended return recouping his voluntary forgone deductions as soon as the spotlight is removed.

    We need to see his non-sanitized earlier returns. If he becomes President, he will be a big player in pushing tax cuts which are a huge conflict of interest. We need to know how these will affect him, and there is not enough information in the latest tailored return. We also need to know more about his moral character, period - this judgement cannot be made based on the limited disclosures he has made so far. He has called half the country deadbeats, and that statement demands that we learn more about his approach to his own taxes. The obvious question is, what is he hiding?  His present admission, that he pays taxes at around a 13% level, is already damaging. There has to be more to it than just paying this amount for the last 5-10 years - we already know this and he has already stated it.  There is definitely more there, and anybody who would vote for a guy that is hiding information like that and asking us to just "trust him" needs their head examined. His approach to governing would be just as opaque, entitled, and non-responsive to the American People.

    "The only thing we have to fear - is fear itself." - Franklin Delano Roosevelt

    by orrg1 on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:30:59 AM PDT

  •  Mitt's secrets (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    orrg1, Ohkwai, buffie, nellgwen

    Show us the rest of the taxes, Willard! Claims from people like Harry Reid are not baseless or lies -- dirty or otherwise -- until Mitt Romney proves them to be so. The only man that has the power to do that is Mitt himself, and he is refusing. Even as the pressure from his own Republican Party mounts, and tax experts continue to be amazed at the tricks and loopholes Mitt has used to his advantage, Romney is helpless and hopeless as he blusters that he "never did anything illegal." Well, since he lied about Bain and has flipped and flopped on every political issue over the last decade, why should voters believe him on his taxes? Just show us the papers, Mitt...   -  pprogressive

  •  Thanks Greg (4+ / 0-)

    The radical Republican party is the party of oppression, fear, loathing and above all more money and power for the people who robbed us.

    by a2nite on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:38:51 AM PDT

  •  Baghdad Jennifer is really beyond the pale. (8+ / 0-)

    I don't even know how Repubs can take her seriously.

    Repubs started up the car, hit the throttle and sent it over the cliff, and now they're complaining that the black guy hasn't fixed it fast enough.

    by Bush Bites on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:39:37 AM PDT

  •  You made me give HuffPo a click! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    alrdouglas, nellgwen

    You just knew we'd have to click through the Fineman column to see who the conservative was.

    Repubs started up the car, hit the throttle and sent it over the cliff, and now they're complaining that the black guy hasn't fixed it fast enough.

    by Bush Bites on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:43:07 AM PDT

  •  Donating to your family trust is a charitable (6+ / 0-)

    deduction?

    They gave $2.6 million in cash to the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, the documents show. They gave just over $2 million in non-cash charitable contributions — including donations of stock holdings in Domino's Pizza, Dunkin Donuts and Warner Chilcott — to a family trust.
    http://www.cbsnews.com/...

    Remember, you can't have crazy without az.

    by Desert Rose on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:44:56 AM PDT

    •  It could be a Charitable Trust (0+ / 0-)

      Lots of wealthy people set up a family Charitable Trust or family Foundation and fund it through stocks and bonds.  

      I know some people that have charitable trusts that they manage internally.  

      They have to donate a calculated amount to outside charities based on the value or the income it earned on its assets during its fiscal year.  You still have control of the actual assets that earn that income.  You get a deduction for giving to your trust, but since the trust only has to donate a percentage of its earnings, you're not giving it all away, really.  

      It can be a kind of stalling tactic - you can't find a charity "worthy" enough, so you donate to your own trust in time for your own tax deadline and that buys you until the end of the next fiscal year for the trust to donate somewhere else (and probably less than what you donated, because you don't have to donate an amount equivalent to what you put in there).  

      Based on that trust's tax exempt status, you can invest in offshore accounts and hedge funds and other things that you might not be able to invest in yourself.  The only thing you can't do is leverage what's in there - you can't get a line of credit on it, stuff like that.  

      "Focusing your life solely on making a buck shows a certain poverty of ambition. It asks too little of yourself. Because it's only when you hitch your wagon to something larger than yourself that you realize your true potential." - Barack Obama

      by Ricochet67 on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 09:58:35 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  If Mitt hates Blue States so much.... (8+ / 0-)

    ....why are 4 of his 6 mansions located in them.

    Sorry......5 mansions and 1 "chalet."

    Repubs started up the car, hit the throttle and sent it over the cliff, and now they're complaining that the black guy hasn't fixed it fast enough.

    by Bush Bites on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 05:46:41 AM PDT

  •  Economic Policy Institute (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ohkwai, Ophelia

    has released its report State of Working America, and it's devastating.

    To summarize: (not the Institute's summary, but mine)
    The upper income classifications have reaped the lion's share of real income gains over the past thirty years (over 90%); the middle class has received about 12% of the gains, and the working poor have actually lost buying power.  The reasons this has happened are several:

    1)  Income distribution has been affected by economic policies instituted at the federal level, particularly through the tax code;
    2)  Gains from globalization have not been used to compensate workers who have been displaced or otherwise negatively affected by trade policies, and
    3)  Rising costs of basic commodities (gasoline, food) and medical care have most adversely affected the buying power of middle and lower income earners.

    No big surprises in the report, but it's jarring to see the facts and statistics laid out in black & white.  We're given clearer understanding about what has happened to cause such income inequality and why it is still happening.  Although it doesn't mention current political events, it gives readers a glimpse of how income inequality is sure to rise even further if the government once again falls under Republican control.

    "In this world of sin and sorrow there is always something to be thankful for; as for me, I rejoice that I am not a Republican." - H. L. Mencken

    by SueDe on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 06:19:01 AM PDT

  •  AARP Convention members walked (6+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ohkwai, Miss Blue, Vicky, askew, a2nite, nellgwen

    out on Paul Ryan who smirked when they boo'd him.  Many said that they were voting for Obama after hearing Ryan's remarks.  I hope it is true.....

    •  That was ugly (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      nellgwen

      Maybe seniors are catching on the 716 billion dollar lie and now realize that revoking ACA will actually hurt them!

      "The real wealth of a nation consists of the contributions of its people and nature." -- Rianne Eisler

      by noofsh on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 07:28:39 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Greg, you have to see this link: (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    nellgwen

    Unskewed Polls
    Since you are one of our resident poll experts, could you debunk their claim that all these polls that show Obama winning by a few points are oversampling Democrats?
    Would like to write a diary about it later.
    Found it through this site:

    Conservatives are reacting to Mitt Romney’s failing campaign by creating their own reality.

    The website “Unskewed Polls” claims that it is “erasing the bias to show an accurate picture of politics.” While other polling sources show an aggregate lead in national polls of about 2.6% for President Obama, the “unskewed polls” site shows Romney running away with the election by a whopping 7% of the vote.

    http://www.nationalconfidential.com/...

    “We are not a nation that says ‘don’t ask, don’t tell.’ We are a nation that says ‘out of many, we are one.’” -Barack Obama

    by skohayes on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 06:44:55 AM PDT

  •  lets fight like we are behind (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    nellgwen

    Look it's great to be ahead but keep in mind that we are not far ahead and there is considerable voter suppression in place.  Let's fight the next 6 weeks like we are behind!

    "The real wealth of a nation consists of the contributions of its people and nature." -- Rianne Eisler

    by noofsh on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 07:11:47 AM PDT

  •  Speaking of Ras vs the World... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    happymisanthropy

    predictably he's gone to a 46-46 draw today [but with 50+ approval], probably because MItt is doing so well what with cratering at Intrade all week and of course the day, week, month, the video that was, plus Ryan's standing ovation in New Orleans, one can see why Scotty would come to that conclusion. pff... To celebrate, our friends at RCP so fond of a horserace lobbed 0.6 of the spread from 3.9 last night to 3.3 despite 17 consecutive [nontracking] Obama national leads since August, nine of which were 50-52 leads, with Romney hitting one solitary 48.

    17 polls and now almost 5 weeks since Romey led by a point in the "horserace".

    and yes, fight to win..

    "Never trust a man who, when left alone with a tea cosy, doesn't try it on!!"

    by EcosseNJ on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 07:51:30 AM PDT

  •  Picked up by Gary Trudeau......... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    nellgwen
    "When we get [Romney and Ryan] in, you know what's going to happen? You are going to see a big change, you're going to see number one that America is going to be respected again around the world...All this turmoil that's taking place, you're going to see them look up and say guess what, the American people have spoken and maybe we need to cut it out a little bit, maybe we need to tone it down a little bit, because now we have real men in the White House. (Audience member: 'No girly men!') That's right. No girly men."

    NC state Sen. David Rouzer, running for Congress

    Think Rouzer might be a Republican?
  •  Posted first at the "60 Minutes" diary -- (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    nellgwen, Stuart Heady

    Mitt Romney is not O.K.

    Here is an example where a Romney lie about his personal biography conflicts with eye witness and photographic evidence from the scene.

    The issue at hand is whether Romney was severely injured in the June 16, 1968 automobile accident in France, where Mrs. Leola Anderson was killed. Did Mitt Romney suffer a "three day coma" ?

    We have two conflicting stories. The first is Mitt Romney's story. This comes from his authorized, fully assisted biography 2006/2007:

    Romney's injuries appeared so severe that a police officer who responded to the scene made a grave notation in the young man's passport: "Il est mort"--"He is dead." In fact, Romney was unconscious in a coma for 3 days. One passenger died. Romney recovered quickly and without surgery.
    Source: The Real Romney, by Kranish & Helman, p. 80-83 for the episode.

    Then we get a next-day 1968 report from a professional news man, Andre Salarnier. This news item was based on interviewing Willard (Mitt) Romney and photographing him at the hospital in Bazas France:

    Willard (Mitt) Romney, 21, son of Gov. George Romney of Michigan, who was serving a mission in France and who was driving the car, suffered minor head injuries and torn ligaments to one elbow. He was expected to leave the hospital in about two days.
    Source: "Wife of French Mission President Dies in Crash," Ogden Standard-Examiner, evening edition from Monday, 17 June 1968. This reporter was also a French Mormon. Romney was already blaming the other driver, first thing that Monday morning.

    The full obituary for Mrs. Anderson is imaged here:

    -- http://farm9.staticflickr.com/...

    Romney had been driving. He lied heavily to avoid responsibility. Lying again in 2006/2007 to seek sympathy? Lying to create an excuse if his "drunk priest named Albert Marie" lies collapsed? Lying because Romney thinks in lies instead of in facts?

    Whatever, Salarnier's 1968 report in the Ogden Standard-Examiner is backed up with this image taken that same Monday morning:

    Note the standard ward bed, not ICU with monitors attached for a coma. It was 1968, not 1768.

    Must have been a shock to find that Mrs. Anderson had died. We know with certainty that Romney was at fault in the Sunday accident because local residents identified the collision site. He was driving north from Pau to Bordeaux and that's the southbound Left Turn lane.

    -- http://farm8.staticflickr.com/...

    Concrete traffic separators were installed later on to prevent a repetition of Romney's accident.

    There's a zillion post-2006 press reports out there stating that the other driver was at fault. They echo the dozens of interviews and press releases that Romney and his supporters have provided over the years. The end to that additional lie came when we identified the other driver, Bishop Jean Vilnet. He is certainly not the fictional "Albert Marie" that Romney cooked up "driving drunk" (on the way back from afternoon Mass) to enhance his story.

    Dig in on Mitt Romney and you find lies, tax fraud, nouveau mega-riche pretense, irregular claims for state residence, and fabulist inventions. Claiming this "three day coma" in his authorized biography is typical for Romney's more heavily worked over untruths.

    Mitt's thinking could turn dangerous. Between Cheney, Palin, and Romney, you'd have to go with Palin. She is a garden variety self-consumed narcissist. The two boys are Malignant Narcissists - on the evidence and a giant step worse. They both can be delusional when conflicted.

    All three of them have demonstrated that they think in lies.

    You expect this John Birch Society/Tea Party/Mad Hatter/pirate crew who have taken over the Republican Party are going to do better ????? There's nothing in what the GOP are doing but a broken mess.

    •  Extremely pertinent comment (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bontemps2012

      Laissez le bontemps roulez!

      I think the GOP has lost itself in a miasma of cynical marketing, and pandering to every neurotic and fearful backward impulse out there.  The right has probably spend hundreds of millions over the past 40 years or so attempting to rig the media to create a public that will follow the supply side illusion.  

      In the end, however, what would you have if a coalition that won the election was based on such pandering?

      It would not be a basis for honestly facing up to real problems.

      This GOP needs to be roundly repudiated and forced to look honestly at itself.  That, of course, could take years.

      hope that the idiots who have no constructive and creative solutions but only look to tear down will not win the day.

      by Stuart Heady on Sat Sep 22, 2012 at 03:11:41 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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