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Leading Off:

NY-11: You know you haven't passed the laugh test when the Daily News is headlining their story "Grimm Fairy Tale." So what's this all about? Well, GOP Rep. Mike Grimm is claiming his campaign headquarters were vandalized over the weekend, with cement blocks thrown through the windows (okay...) and computer hard drives erased (what?). The whole story is seriously cockamamie since a cat could barely squeeze through the holes made by the alleged miscreants (pics here), so how exactly were the computers accessed and the drives wiped? And who would even do such a thing? As one Democrat says, if your goal was to actually format some hard drives, why leave the evidence of a smashed storefront?

Oh, and also, the Grimm campaign is claiming that the NYPD itself discovered the computer malfeasance... but police are refusing to confirm, saying only that they "will investigate further any assertions that computers there were tampered with." I also loved Grimm's claim that "someone installed the Linux operating system on the office's computers"—what, radical open-source hacktivists who wanted to add breaking and entering to their resume? Turns out, it's all an even bigger pile of garbage than Windows Vista:

But a law enforcement official said on Monday night that police experts had examined the campaign's computer systems and concluded that nothing had been erased or tampered with.
But this part might have been best:
"In fact, one officer said to me today they see this as a crime against the government, because I am a sitting United States congressman and they take it very seriously. You know, especially in light of what happened with Gabby Giffords, we're not in the world today where we can shrug things off," Grimm said. "Violence is violence. Throwing large stones and concrete through the window is an act of violence, and we've got to take it seriously."
Yep, just like what happened to Gabby Giffords. Jackass.

Senate:

CT-Sen: Ahh, wonderful. After trying to hammer Democrat Chris Murphy over late mortgage and tax payments, it turns out that Linda McMahon also paid some taxes late—and a lot more recently, too. She and her husband "were more than 1½ months late in paying their property tax bill on the multimillion-dollar condominium unit they co-own" this very year. In fact, they only paid up the full amount owed this past Friday. A surprising screw-up for an election year, but let's see if she has the chutzpah to keep attacking Murphy despite her own identical issues. (This also shows how stupid this kind of crap is.)

FL-Sen: Mason-Dixon: Bill Nelson (D-inc): 48 (47), Connie Mack (R): 40 (42).

IN-, NV-Sen: According to Politico's Maggie Haberman, the DSCC has upped its ad reservations in both Indiana (to the tune of $525K) and Nevada ($630K). Both are for the final week of September, and of course both races represent pickup opportunities for Democrats.

MT-Sen, MT-AL: The rest of that new Mason-Dixon poll of Montana is now available, and they find GOP Rep. Denny Rehberg leading Dem Sen. Jon Tester 48-45 in the Senate contest. (This is actually their first poll of the state all cycle, so we have no trendlines.) They also find Republican Steve Daines beating Democrat Kim Gillan in the House race, 46-38, which is a good bit wider than the 40-37 margin PPP saw earlier this month. (One side-note: Gillan was recently, and quietly, added to the DCCC's Red to Blue list.) On the presidential front, Romney is ahead of Obama 51-42 (PPP had Romney up just five).

NE-Sen: In the first poll of Nebraska in a good long while, Weise Research finds Democrat Bob Kerrey getting crushed by Republican Deb Fischer, 56-40. I have no idea what a possible path to victory for Kerrey might look like.

OH-Sen: Last month, the University of Cincinnati's so-called "Ohio Poll" showed Dem Sen. Sherrod Brown up just 48-47 over Josh Mandel, a result so much narrower than all other reputable polling that it raised a few eyebrows. (No, Gravis, you don't count.) Now, a new poll from the university (this time taken on behalf of a big consortium of Ohio newspapers, and not branded as the "Ohio Poll") features a much more in-line result, with Brown on top 52-45. That makes this one of the few polls to show Brown actually clearing the 50% mark, and as the writeup notes, it comes in spite of outside groups spending $18 million to trash the incumbent. Also, Obama's up 51-46.

WI-Sen: Here's as good an explanation as any for Democrat Tammy Baldwin's surge in Wisconsin: She and allied groups have spent twice as much on the airwaves as Tommy Thompson and his Republican friends have in the past month. And to show you just how broke the GOP primary left Tommy, Baldwin's own campaign has outspent him on TV by a ridiculous 10-to-1 ratio. Tommy may want to continue "resting."

Ads:

CT-Sen: Democrat Chris Murphy tries to tie together two attacks on Linda McMahon: that she "demeaned" women in promoting pro-wrestling's degrading violence, and that she supports the notorious "Blunt amendment" that would allow employers to deny healthcare coverage for contraception to their workers.

MA-Sen: GOP Sen. Scott Brown takes a turn for the negative, using news clips to pummel Elizabeth Warren over the whole Native American ancestry flap. Doesn't seem like the kind of move a confident campaign makes. In another ad, Brown chats with a single mom who's unemployed, then says that one of his first votes in the Senate "was for a Democratic jobs bill."

ME-Sen: Independent Angus King pushes back against a Republican ad that attacked him for supporting windmills, with a bunch of people saying how great he is. Turbines briefly spin in the background, but they aren't directly mentioned.

MT-Sen: I'm not sure whether to be amused or terrified at this new ad from Dem Sen. Jon Tester, though I admit I cracked a bit of a smile in the midst of my queasiness. A hunter places a framed photo of himself and Tester in his trophy room—as the animals he's killed and mounted all come to life and start... gosh... praising Tester for making it easier to kill them! Maybe the animals should be, like, mad at Tester or something? Meanwhile, the NRSC finds a rancher who claims that, with his father now deceased, he "could lose the whole outfit" thanks to the "death tax"—and then castigates Dem Sen. Jon Tester for allegedly voting "for" it.

ND-Sen: Patriot Majority USA attacks Rick Berg over the Ryan plan, this time by highlighting excerpts from an AARP report that investigated "serious concerns" over what Ryan's budget would do to Medicare.

NV-Sen: GOP Sen. Dean Heller features clips of local reporter/analyst Jon Ralston calling Dem Rep. Shelley Berkley's attack ads "desperate"—but he also includes clips of Elizabeth Crum saying similar stuff. Whodat? Well, I got a total Fox & Friends vibe watching her, so I wasn't surprised when I Googled her and discovered she calls herself a "conservative-libertarian blogger." Now who's looking desperate?

WI-Sen: Tommy Thompson tries to see how many times he can fit the word "liberal" into this spot attacking Dem Rep. Tammy Baldwin but winds up burying a potentially harsh clip of her saying, "I actually was for a government takeover of medicine."

WV-Sen: Dem Sen. Joe Manchin's latest ad features him getting a haircut by his wife—the "same barber" who's cut his hair for "20 years"—as a testament to just how frugal he is.

Gubernatorial:

NH-Gov: Rasmussen: Maggie Hassan (D): 44, Ovide Lamontagne (R): 48.

Ads:

WV-Gov: I love ads which attack politicians for having ties to New York—they always crack me up, Pace Picante-style. But this spot from Dem Gov. Earl Ray Tomblin is pretty good, hitting Bill Maloney not just for the fact that he's from New York but also for trying to avoid West Virginia taxes by incorporating in Delaware, and for retiring to "a gated community... in Georgia."

House:

AR-01, -02, -04: The folks down at Talk Business, relying on their usual partners at Hendrix College, have polls out of all four Congressional races in Arkansas. Only one of these seats represents anything resembling a pickup opportunity for Democrats, AR-01, but maybe not anymore: GOP freshman Rick Crawford leads Democrat Scott Ellington by a hefty 53-28. And while we long ago gave up on any hopes of a Dem hold in the 4th District, this should be the nail in the coffin: Republican Tom Cotton is beating Democrat Gene Jeffress 51-22. Surprisingly, the closest numbers come in AR-02, where Democrats experienced a recruiting fail—but it ain't that close: Republican freshman Tim Griffin tops Democrat Herb Rule 49-29. Amazing to think that just a cycle ago, the Arkansas delegation was 3-1 Dem. Now it's on the verge of becoming 4-0 GOP, and that's despite Democrats having complete control over redistricting last year.

FL-02: A very good catch by our own spiderdem: Democrat Al Lawson, who is running against GOP freshman Steve Southerland, has been added to the DCCC's Red to Blue list, which as you know highlight candidates in the most competitive races in the country. That's an unexpected development, since Lawson has raised peanuts (less than $200K), and he also beat establishment pick Leonard Bembry in the primary. Really curious to know what the D-Trip is seeing here.

FL-26: The Lamar! saga I think has unquestionably secured its spot as the craziest story of the election:

A key witness in a federal grand jury case involving U.S. Rep. David Rivera is still missing, but she left important evidence behind for investigators: at least four envelopes that had been stuffed with unreported campaign cash.

Ana Alliegro, a Republican political operative, delivered the cash-stuffed envelopes to a Hialeah mail house that sent out fliers in a congressional race against a Rivera political rival, the mail house owner told the FBI.

The FBI has the envelopes to check for fingerprints and handwriting comparisons.

Also in the hands of FBI agents: at least six invoices initially made out to the attention of David Rivera — all marked paid "cash" — to cover the mailings for Democratic primary challenger Justin Lamar Sternad, a suspected Rivera straw-man candidate. The congressman demanded that his name be removed from the invoices with Wite-Out, documents and interviews show.

And even though she's now been "missing" for two weeks, Alliegro's family still hasn't filed a missing person's report. Does anyone else think we've got a "Pop-Pop in the attic" situation?

While we're on the race, here's a third Democratic poll showing Joe Garcia manhandling Rivera: GBA Strategies (on behalf of House Majority PAC and SEIU) has Garcia up 50-41 over the incumbent, a margin identical to the nine-point spread Benenson Strategy Group saw in a Garcia internal last month, and very similar to the seven-point edge PPP gave Garcia just last week in a poll for DFA. This is well-timed pushback to a garbage Rivera internal from the other day, which also featured Mitt Romney romping in this district. GBA, however, sees the POTUS crushing, with a 54-41 edge for Obama. That's a huge difference from 2008, when the district split evenly, but Benenson had Obama up 10, so maybe there's particular enthusiasm for the president in South Florida this year.

MI-01: The House Majority PAC, along with the LCV and AFSCME, has another poll out in Michigan's 1st, showing the most dominant lead Democratic challenger Gary McDowell's seen to date. He's beating GOP freshman Dan Benishek 49-40 according to Garin-Hart-Yang, up from a 40-38 Benishek lead back in June. That's a big surge for McDowell, of course, while Benishek's remained mired in the low 40s, the same place other polling's shown him. Republicans have yet to release any surveys of their own here.

NE-02: A new survey of the state of Nebraska by local pollster Wiese Research shows GOP Rep. Lee Terry beating his underfunded challenger, Democrat John Ewing, by a sizable 51-38 spread. That's considerably worse than a strange Ewing internal from last month that showed him trailing just 46-40, but the one bright bit of news comes in Wiese's presidential toplines. There, Obama and Romney are tied at 44, though since you'd expect to see Terry running ahead of the top of the ticket, Obama coattails simply won't be enough for Ewing. Importantly, it doesn't seem like the president is making a play to steal a lone electoral vote in "Obahama"; notes the Omaha World-Herald:

In 2008, Obama became the first Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 to win an electoral vote in Nebraska. He did it after opening three campaign offices and hiring more than a dozen full-time campaign workers.

This year, Obama has opened only one office and hired one campaign worker.

Ads:

AZ-09: The DCCC, in the first of four new ads, attacks Republican Vernon Parker for his support of the Ryan plan, as well as his desire to "end the Social Security guarantee" and "abolish the Department of Education."

CA-10: Jose Hernandez attacks GOP Rep. Jeff Denham as a foot solider in the war on women and says he's "most proud of" his work "helping develop mammogram technology."

CT-05: Good to see Democrats can play this game, too: Even though Republican Andrew Roraback has cagily refused to support the Ryan budget, the DCCC ties him to it anyway, carefully describing it as the plan of "tea party Republicans" and saying that they "need Andrew Roraback's vote." Roraback's pissed, and a week-kneed media might let him get traction on this, but we have political parties in America, and Congress is run by them, not mavericky centrists.

FL-18: Democrat Patrick Murphy pushes back against Allen West's attacks on his family company, saying he "fired subcontractors who outsourced." He also attacks West for voting "to cut billions in taxes for corporations sending jobs to China and Mexico."

FL-26: Democrat Joe Garcia decries "partisan infighting" and says he has a record of working across party lines.

GA-12: The YG Action Fund attacks Dem Rep. John Barrow as two-faced, for saying he's "stood up to Nancy Pelosi" but voting "twice to elect her Speaker," which is "how we got Obamacare." Barrow voted against healthcare reform, but of course he's being tagged with it—very much a mirror image of the CT-05 ad above.

IL-10: Democrat Brad Schneider's wife says he's "not flashy, but he gets things done."

IL-12: The DCCC attacks Republican Jason Plummer for calling the benefits of the Ryan plan "pretty obvious."

IL-13: In Democrat David Gill's new spot, a narrator describes how Gill, an ER physician, tried unsuccessfully to resuscitate a 39-year-old woman who, a week earlier, had sought treatment for chest pain but "didn't have health insurance, so she went back home." Quite moving.

IN-02: Republican Jackie Walorski attacks Brendan Mullen as a carpetbagger who supports Obamacare, with the tagline "Washington address, liberal values."

NC-07: Republican David Rouzer attacks Dem Rep. Mike McIntyre for saying "Southeastern North Carolina is better off now than in 2008" and tries to link him to Barack Obama's infamous remark that the "private sector is doing fine."

ND-AL: This is taking the GOP playbook to the extreme: Republican Kevin Cramer lines up not only his parents but his wife's, too (well, three out of four, at least), saying he'll "Work to protect Social Security and Medicare for them and their generation."

NE-02: GOP Rep. Lee Terry touts his work on a piece of legislation from 2007 that would increase America's energy independence by "cutting oil imports from OPEC by 584 million barrels a year." What the spot doesn't mention is that his bill did so by increasing vehicle fuel efficiency, the sort of thing which is a ordinarily a grave sin in the Republican world.

NJ-07: Democrat Upendra Chivukula's first ad goes the introductory/bio route and finishes with him saying, "In Congress today, there are six engineers, and they could use one more—myself."

NY-01: House Majority PAC slams Republican Randy Altschuler for outsourcing jobs overseas—the main purpose of his company he ran. (Size of the buy: $260K.) Dem Rep. Tim Bishop also goes after outsourcing, as well as Altschuler's support for the "Paul Ryan budget." While the Ryan budget is the single-most common theme in Democratic campaign ads this cycle, the plan's author is rarely mentioned by name.

NY-19: This is unexpected: The DCCC is attacking GOP Rep. Chris Gibson, a guy who usually only makes the second tier of vulnerable Republicans at best. Also interesting is that they not only tie him to the Ryan plan but specifically to Mitt Romney, something I've almost never seen done. That suggests Romney must poll particularly poorly here, perhaps worse that the 49-45 edge Siena recently saw.

NY-24: A woman who's been a nurse for 40 years attacks GOP Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle on Medicare, on behalf of Dan Maffei.

PA-12: The NRCC has a bajillion new ads out (see bullet below), but I'll highlight one in particular. In PA-12, their new spot is mostly devoted to attacking a blunder by the DCCC which we've previously mentioned—a bogus reference to China in an anti-Keith Rothfus ad which forced the D-Trip to re-do their spot. The NRCC delights in calling it "Pelosi's group," as a means of tying her to Dem Rep. Mark Critz. An unforced error by Team Blue.

PA-18: In his first ad, Democrat Larry Maggi goes the introductory bio route (talking about his rise through law enforcement ranks), then offers some "pox on both houses" shtick about both Democrats and Republicans.

SD-AL: GOP Rep. Kristi Noem touts her efforts to reverse a Dept. of Labor rule that allegedly would have "ban[ned] kids from doing certain chores on farms" as she torments her young son into grooming and tacking a horse. Maybe you have to be a parent to appreciate this sort of thing, but I didn't find it very charming.

TX-23: Democrat Pete Gallego has a Spanish-language version of his first ad.

NRCC: The NRCC is out with 26 new ads in as many districts, backed by a collective $6.3 million buy. Roll Call has rounded up 25 of them at the link (not quite sure what happened to no. 26).

Other Races:

MN Ballot: The Minneapolis Star Tribune's new poll from Mason-Dixon has troubling news for supporters of marriage equality. In November, Minnesotans will vote on whether to amended the state constitution to ban same-sex marriage, and M-D finds 49% in favor of the idea and just 47% opposed. That's almost identical to the 48 supporting/47 against that PPP found earlier this month. Since these measures often seem to poll better for the good guys than they wind up performing on election day, I'm growing pretty concerned.

PA-AG: An attorney general's race ad is a little "down in the weeds," as we often say at Daily Kos Election, but, wow, they rarely blow up in your face like this one. The RSLC (a national committee that's kind of the GOP equivalent of the DLCC, handling legislative and statewide downballot races) started running a $500K ad that they probably thought was a good, hard hit on Dem nominee Kathleen Kane. The spot said that while she was a prosecutor, a judge once rejected a plea bargain she had arranged in a rape case because it wasn't tough enough. Not only did Lackawanna County say late last week that Kane had nothing to do with that plea bargain, but then the father of the rape victim also came forward to verify that and demand the ad be taken down. The RSLC sheepishly said they'd re-cut the ad to remove the reference to that case, but as of Monday, the re-done ad hadn't seemed to have surfaced yet. (David Jarman)

Ads:

ME Ballot: Mainers United for Marriage is out with their first ad in support of a ballot measure to legalize same-sex marriage in the state. Very smartly, they feature a group of firefighters (one of whom is gay) speaking out in favor of the law.

Grab Bag:

Independent Expenditures: Pro-Dem:

DCCC: CA-36: $37K; NV-03: $42K; TX-23: $125K

House Majority PAC: FL-18: $115K; NV-03: $79K; WV-03: $100K

Sierra Club: CA-07: $525K

Center Forward: UT-04: $318K

DSCC: CT-Sen: $288K

Majority PAC: CT-Sen: $502K; MT-Sen: $503K

Connecticut's Future PAC: CT-Sen: $100K

AFSCME: HI-Sen: $71K

Ohio Families United: OH-Sen: $250K

League of Conservation Voters: VA-Sen: $696K (mail)

Pro-GOP:

NRCC: AZ-01: $203K; AZ-09: $209K; CA-07: $251K; CA-09: $394K; CA-10: $251K; CA-24: $91K; CA-52: $349K; CO-06: $240K; GA-12: $41K; IA-01: $104K; IA-02: $106K; IA-03: $50K; IA-04: $87K; IL-10: $294K; IL-11: $266K; IL-12: $194K; IL-13: $72K; IL-17: $253K; KY-06: $75K; MA-06: $503K; MI-01: $118K; MN-08: $191K; NC-07: $138K; NC-08: $129K; NH-02: $134K; NV-03: $176K; NV-04: $176K; NY-18: $83K; NY-19: $141K; NY-21: $79K; NY-24: $56K; NY-27: $58K; OH-06: $95K; PA-12: $117K; TX-23: $168K; UT-04: $104K; WI-07: $100K; WI-08: $54K; WV-03: $134K

American Action Network: IL-13: $141K; IN-08: $59K; MN-08: $190K

Congressional Leadership Fund: OH-16: $442K; TX-23: $130K

YG Action Fund: FL-22: $430K; PA-12: $530K

Incumbent-vs.-Incumbent:

National Association of Realtors: CA-30: $500K (pro-Sherman)

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  WPost OH: Obama 52-44 (22+ / 0-)

    FL:  Obama 51-47.  Up 9 among RVs.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

    by Paleo on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:06:54 AM PDT

  •  RAND tracker up to 49.71 - 43.47 (5+ / 0-)

    another new low for Romney.

    One other tab is also of interest today: each day they have a focus on one specific demographic, and today it's education.  You can see from this that more or less the whole of Obama's recent surge comes among "high school or less" respondents, who have moved from a virtual tie on the 15th to a 9 point Obama advantage today.

  •  More on the Mass. Senate ads (5+ / 0-)

    You might want to link to this recommended diary for Elizabeth Warren's epic smackdown of Brown's "doesn't look like one" ad.

    The Scout Law (trustworthy, loyal, helpful...) is a GREAT liberal manifesto.

    by DaytonMike on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:24:53 AM PDT

  •  We're still laughing about the idea that (21+ / 0-)

    hackers broke into their campaign office and installed Linux.

    •  Guess the real question is: what's Grimm trying to (4+ / 0-)

      hide with the fake break in?

      Inquiring minds expect the salacious...

      Life is the ultimate economic bubble; we leave this life with all the capital we initially invested: none.

      by Superskepticalman on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:40:15 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The feeling among many Democrats I talked with.... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        bumiputera

        ...is that given it's Guy Molinari who is about as sleazy a rodent as you are ever going to meet and all the FBI investigations that this was probably an inside job to destroy records the government would be demanding and avoid being charged with "obstruction of justice."

        Or in other words, "We'd love to turn over all our records on Ofer Biton but there was this break-in and all our records on him were destroyed."

        As for the poll itself it is about where I thought it would be.  And the lack of leaking of internal polling tells you this is a stuation like 2010 with McMahon/Grimm.  Close enough that the incumbent would not leak numbers showing this a real race and far enough away that the challenger is not going to go overboard to crow about it.  Of course in 2010 in private McMahon's people were telling every Democrat who would listen that their analysis showed the race near tied and that they needed help (unfortunately many believed the leaked cherry picked McMahon polls from June instead).  Only thing we've heard from Murphy is that their polling shows a generic Democrat winning the seat by 6.  Murphy has run pretty much as a generic Democrat (high on Democratic religion, low on specifics).  So him becoming generic Democrat is very much possible.  But the Republican attack machine has started going very hard at him.  I may do a diary soon with scans of all the negative literature that has been sent in the last two weeks.

        As an aside at least according to the Murphy campaign national Democrats are starting to become believers.  Organizing for America has been sending volunteers to help.  And supposedly Nadler is telling Manhattan clubs to start focusing on Staten Island rather than Pennsylvania.

        The lady was enchanted and said they ought to see. So they charged her with subversion and made her watch TV -Spirogyra

        by Taget on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 11:34:27 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Stop laughing. (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, Woody, Amber6541

      Per TPM, Siena College poll has Grimm up ten (!) points in this race. In a seat we need to replace Boehner with Pelosi. Not so funny anymore, is it?

    •  Fedora 18 Alpha bug replaces OS on hard drive. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      tietack

      The just released Alpha of Fedora 18 mentions in the Release Notes:

      Known Issues

      The Anaconda installer for Fedora 18 Alpha will format the entire disk unless custom partitioning is selected. See Bugzilla: #855976.

      My Conspiracy Theory is that a campaign worker was just trying Fedora 18 Alpha out and did not read the Release Notes.  Then that worker broke the windows to try to blame someone else after the worker noticed that the original Operating System would not boot.'

      IOW, first someone breaks the Windows OS, and then breaks the campaign office windows.

    •  I'm laughing that at the linked article (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Angela Quattrano

      There was this from the press release:

      “This follows recent repeated thefts of “Grimm for Congress” lawn signs from the yards of supporters as well as the theft of a small billboard,” the press release said. “In one instance, a video was recorded of a middle-aged woman walking a dog and stealing signs. The Grimm campaign plans to release the video to the pubic so that she can be identified and prosecuted.”
      Someone doesn't know to check their writing for one of the worst typos you can make in a "public" document .  I can't seem to find the press release this refers to, so I don't know if the typo is by Politicker or the Congressman's office itself.
      •  That's hilarious too (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ColoTim

        I've actually seen a fair number of people make that error and get outraged when people think it's funny.

        Did they apologize and say something like, "Oh, guess I typoed"? Nope.

        Even funnier is when they could easily fix the error, but don't. They just whine about other people's understandable reaction.

  •  So what do we know about conservatives? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ardyess

    1) They're chatter-boxes
    2) they're copy cats
    3) they're cowards
    4) they're creatures of habit
    5) they can't count
    6) they are calculating

    These are characteristic behaviors. We should take note. Character does count.

    We organize governments to provide benefits and prevent abuse.

    by hannah on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:31:16 AM PDT

  •  And yet, (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ardyess, LordMike

    from the Associated Press:

    http://www.philly.com/...

    We organize governments to provide benefits and prevent abuse.

    by hannah on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:32:51 AM PDT

    •  the article itself isn't that bad (0+ / 0-)

      At least it points out that 1980 really isn't a very good year to compare with as Obama's standing is better than Carter's and, unlike Reagan, Romney has never had a lead at any point.

      Obama also looks relatively poor when you use Gallup as the benchmark as they do here, since they've consistently been underplaying his approval and head-to-head numbers relative to other polls.

  •  Adventures in Stupidity (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ardyess, LordMike

    Mitty's tiny brain
    http://www.dailykos.com/...
    Thinks we should have roll down windows on planes because he is just an engineering genius!

  •  Staten Island (5+ / 0-)

    actually has its own daily newspaper, called the Staten Island Advance. There is barely a mention of this in the Advance, and what is, doesn't even hint at something fishy on Grimm's part. Unfortunately, the Advance has been firmly in the back pockets of the Republican establishment for the past 30 years, Rudy Giuliani is revered, both in the paper and Staten Island, and many Staten Islanders only get their news from the Advance. Staten Island is very isolated from the rest of NYC, and the rest of the state, for that matter, and they pretty much resent everything. Actually, it is a perfect microcosm of Republican resentment. Staten Island gets way more in services and than it gives back in revenue to NYC, but yet Staten Island is constantly whining about seceding from the City and the State and either becoming its own city or state, or joining New Jersey, which it is geographically closer to. Never mind that New Jersey wouldn't want them, and their griping, or that they could even make it for five minutes without NY City's generous subsidies as it has an almost non existent commercial tax base.

    •  Not to mention ... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      PrahaPartizan

      ... it's the home of NY's 'families'.

      Evolution IS Intelligent Design!

      by msirt on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:03:26 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Not to mention (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ColoTim

      the whole fucking island is a dump.  The stench from the dumps would waft through the summer air and fill your lungs with its pungent odor.

      That's probably why the people from there are so fucked up.  Lest we forget some of the cast of the Jersey Shore are originally from Staten Island.  Nothing else needs be said.

      This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

      by DisNoir36 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:08:20 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Landfill Closed for Years (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ColoTim

        The landfill on Staten Island has been closed for years.  I've had the opportunity to drive across Staten Island many times during various periods of the year and it now does not suffer from the stench which used to plague it years ago.  Oddly, it no longer has the convoy of NYC sanitation vehicles which used to cruise between it and the rest of the city yet the expressway across Staten Island is jammed worse than it ever was.  

        "Love the Truth, defend the Truth, speak the Truth, and hear the Truth" - Jan Hus, d.1415 CE

        by PrahaPartizan on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:27:23 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Was it still open when 9/11 happened, or did (0+ / 0-)

          they reopen it to put the debris there?

          I remember that nasty stench and I couldn't believe people would buy land in that zone.

          •  Shortly Before (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            ColoTim, bumiputera

            The infamous Staten Island Fresh Kills Landfill was closed earlier in 2001.  The site was used for sorting through the WTC debris because it was about the only open area still in NYC.  These days, when one drives around the western side of SI, one can see how much work they've done to transform it into a park or a preserve, depending on how much any particular area had been used.  I've had a chance to drive around some of the northern areas when trying to get around the traffic jams on the Staten Island Expressway and it's like navigating a sea of reeds during the late summer and fall on a two-lane road.  You can't see where you're going or where you are.

            "Love the Truth, defend the Truth, speak the Truth, and hear the Truth" - Jan Hus, d.1415 CE

            by PrahaPartizan on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 10:26:28 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Landfills closed in 01 (0+ / 0-)

              Doesn't change the fact that large swaths of the island are landfills.  

              Also kind of cruelly ironic that they reopened up the largest one, the FRESH KILLS landfill to take the debris from 9/11 including the remains of many killed on that day.

              This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

              by DisNoir36 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 01:14:17 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

  •  Remember Cantor and the "accidental" (0+ / 0-)

    bullet that attacked his window circa 2010?
    http://voices.washingtonpost.com/...

  •  5 Signs Romney's Campaign is Crumbling (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    itskevin
    Making Up The Numbers

    At this point, conservatives' only hope is that the polls are wrong. One Republican even set up a site to “unskew” polls to weight them all with the highly suspect party weighting Rasmussen Reports uses. Then you’ll find a Romney landslide about to happen. But even Scott Rasmussen says that logic doesn’t work: "You cannot compare partisan weighting from one polling firm to another." President Ronald Reagan said, "If you're explaining, you're losing." For this case, substitute "unskewing" for "explaining."

    http://www.nationalmemo.com/...
  •  A Grimm's Christmas Tale (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ColoTim

    80 % of Success is Just Showing Up ! ! !
    Stop it. This is hard !

    by Churchill on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:51:34 AM PDT

  •  Can't you embed anthrax in Linux? (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    rja, PrahaPartizan, ColoTim

    Sounds like a terrorist act to me.

    Am I right, or am I right? - The Singing Detective

    by Clem Yeobright on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:54:00 AM PDT

  •  Gravis OH: Obama 45-44 (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sapelcovits, gigantomachyusa, askew

    Now you know Romney's in trouble.

    Brown 44-43 in this joke of a poll.

    http://www.scribd.com/...

    “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

    by Paleo on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:57:45 AM PDT

  •  Hey! 47% of us bought Vista! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    askew, ColoTim

    Yet another example of dKos's continuing campaign of contempt for the common man, and his very common errors of judgment.

    And just to be clear, I didn't buy an Edsel (I was too young, actually), I didn't go for reel-to-reel (too poor at the time to buy any sound system), and I never liked disco (that one I can actually take credit for); so it's not like I fall for all the scams.  Just most of them!

    We should have destroyed the presidency before Obama took office. Too late now.

    by gtomkins on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 05:59:08 AM PDT

  •  A guy at Politico says something smart (7+ / 0-)
  •  Starting to worry about Brown and Tester (0+ / 0-)

    Brown should be walking away with this...

    •  Not worried about Brown (8+ / 0-)

      If Obama's winning the state, no way he loses.  I still think he ends up running ahead of Obama.

      “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

      by Paleo on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 06:04:43 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Brown is safe Tester will lose (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike, Woody, SLDemocrat

        Brown is safe, they have thrown almost 20 million dollars against him and Mandel still can't get out of the low forties. Tester will lose because Obama is very unpopular in the state and will drag Tester down.
        I guess Romney could totally self destruct and drag the few endangered seats back to the democrats but as of now looks bad for Tester.

        •  The potential Tester loss is frustrating... (0+ / 0-)

          ...since Tester has positive approvals.  No one with positive approvals should still be losing.

          GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

          by LordMike on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 06:38:09 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  What if PPP's recent Montana poll (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen, bythesea, JBraden

          is right and Obama gets 45 percent in Montana? Will Tester have enough power to get to 50.01 percent?

          I'd give Tester decent odds as long as Obama is getting at least 40 percent of the vote, perhaps even less. People split their tickets all the time, and Tester is a well-liked incumbent that seems to be doing everything right.

          "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

          by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:05:09 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Tester doesn't even need 50% (4+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            bythesea, itskevin, JBraden, jncca

            there's a third party candidate.

            ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

            by James Allen on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:10:03 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  True, but unless (0+ / 0-)

              something has changed where Democrats need at least 55 percent of the vote to win, 50.01 would absolutely, positively guarantee us a victory.

              Actually, I probably shouldn't joke about this, lest I give them any "good" ideas.

              "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

              by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:16:11 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  50%+1. (0+ / 0-)

                Sorry, and I know that's what you meant, but people saying that you need "51% to win" or derivatives thereof have become my bugbear recently.

                •  No, I meant 50.01 percent. (0+ / 0-)

                  You can win with any number, I guess, as long as it's more than the other guys get, unless there's a runoff law. But if you get 50.01 percent, there's only 49.99 percent left, so nobody can get more than you.

                  Why is this a bad thing to say?

                  "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

                  by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:22:28 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  If you get 50%+1 (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    James Allen

                    there will be 50%-1 votes left, so nobody can get more than you either.

                    I was just in a class where someone was going around saying "you need 51% of votes for a bill to pass a legislative chamber", which might come as news to Bill Clinton since that would mean his 1993 budget wouldn't have passed.

                    •  So we're just arguing over nothing? :] (1+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      bumiputera

                      I'm not a sports guy, but I think there's some quote from Yogi Berra about needing more pizza and therefore cutting it up into more slices.

                      And yes, I was about to type Ami Bera there.

                      "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

                      by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:36:03 AM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

    •  Tester (0+ / 0-)

      was on Hardball last week and he said Montana was being bomarded with Karl Rove PAC money from out of state.

      What a shame.

  •  The Fix has moved Ohio into "Lean Obama" (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DCCyclone, LordMike, itskevin, askew

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    Obama now with 255 EV's
    Romney now with 206 EV's (they still have NC as Lean Romney)

  •  Ark: Romney 56-35 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Mark27

    “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

    by Paleo on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 06:08:41 AM PDT

    •  Another State Where Outcome Is Usually Worse.... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingTag

      ....than polls.  Kerry was expected to keep it close in 2004 but lost by 10.  PPP's late October 2008 poll showed McCain +9 but it ended up McCain +21.  It'll be interesting to see if the trend holds with this poll and what Romney +21 will translate to on election night.

      •  When did Kerry bail on the state? (0+ / 0-)

        If something doesn't exist that I just don't know about, it'd be nice to have a source for all of this information.

        It's my understanding that the 2004 map started out as some weird hybrid between Clinton's 1992/1996 maps and Obama's 2008 map. (I seem to remember at least one trip by Edwards to Louisiana, and not for fund raising.) But as time went on, states were naturally cut. I don't remember if Arkansas was one of them, but it would make sense if it was. If that was the case, then his 44 percent isn't that terrible.

        "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

        by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:08:40 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  He Never Fully Did..... (0+ / 0-)

          He hadn't been actively engaged in Arkansas for much of the summer of 2004, but in the final weeks of the campaign a poll came out showing the state tied and Bill Clinton convinced him to pour some extra resources there.  Pretty sure he never had any rallies in Arkansas though....at least not in the final months of the campaign.

          •  So then his total is even more impressive, then. (0+ / 0-)

            Whatever else you can say about Obama and OFA's way of thinking, the fact that they are persistent and get started early is awesome. It's of course impossible to say that Kerry would have won this or that state by doing some things differently, but had he been at work in a few places from the beginning, it might have been a different race.

            "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

            by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:38:25 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  Obama doing badly in a state he got crushed in? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      R30A

      I am shocked I tell you. Shocked!

  •  Natl Review touting GOP voter regis leads in key (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Woody

    battleground states now vs in 2008:
    Iowa: 20,000 more Rs than Ds now vs. Jan 2009 when Ds had 110,000 more
    Florida: 454,752 D voter advantage now vs. 694,147 D voter advantage in 2008
    Nevada: 47,000 D advantage now vs. roughly 100,000 D advantage 2008
    New Mexico: 196,758 D advantage now vs. 218,610 D advantage in 2008
    North Carolina: 769,926 D advantage now vs. 864,253 D advantage 2008
    Pennsylvania: 1,086,006 D advantage now vs. 1,237,467 D advantage in 2008
    Colorado:  98,000 Repub advantage now vs. 9,000 Repub advantage in 2008

    www.nationalreviewonline.com

    •  my title somewhat off - GOP advantage/disadvantag (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Woody

      GOP registered voters advantage or disadvantages are more favorable now than in 2008.  In some states, the Ds have more but the Ds' lead today is lower than the Ds' lead in 2008.  oops.  sorry for that.

    •  All worthless to GOP, a Dem wave is building (11+ / 0-)

      I feel a wave in our favor, and any GOP talk to the contrary is just a desperate attempt to maintain their own side's morale and prevent the bottom from dropping out.

      I really hope Obama can paste Romney in the debates, because that really will accelerate things in our favor.  If rank-and-file Republicans feel Romney is truly doomed, they're going to have a turnout problem, and we're going to have a turnout surge.  That's where unexpected gains come from.

      44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 06:23:13 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I agree... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone

        Obama is close landing the knock out Punch. I can't wait for that 1st Debate next week. If Obama wins this thing could be as good as done.

        •  Obama shouldn't swing for the fences (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          R30A, aamail6

          It lends itself to the possibility of an unforced error. If Obama goes into the debate with a solid lead, his objective should be not to lose the lead, as opposed to try and knock Romney out. You don't win the presidency in debates, but you sure as hell can lose it.

      •  Remember a few weeks ago when you asked me (0+ / 0-)

        why I thought there would be some sort of shift to us towards the end of the campaign? :]

        "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

        by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:09:40 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  I hope the DCCC/DSCCC/DNC/DLCC are telling our (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DLCC, askew, ColoTim, JGibson

        candidates to keep plugging along, even at the state legislative levels, knowing that the wind is at their backs.

        "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

        by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:13:43 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  I'm still not (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ColoTim

        Completely on-board with the idea of a wave forming. I think we've benefited from a very poor candidate running a very poor campaign in the Presidential race. And we've had a LOT of luck in the Senate. It just doesn't seem like everything has moved en masse to the Dems and we'll start winning races we had no business winning.

        •  Well the wave (0+ / 0-)

          Really won't happen due to the geography of the Senate races (Could there really be more rural state races where Dem hold seats) and the 2012 GOP gerrymanders were stunning.  

          But I think in terms of raw votes the wave has well and truly started.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:42:12 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I don't know about (0+ / 0-)

            Raw votes either. The president is going to get killed in Oklahoma and Romney will get killed in Maryland and I don't think anything that's happened is changing the vote totals in the 41 states that have been written off.

            Just so I don't seem too dour, there is a few senate races where Obama's coattails will help a couple of Senate candidates across the finish line. A couple of blue states in CT and MA. A weaker candidate at the top and I think VA is a very dicey race same thing with WI although Tammy has run a helluva race and just hammered Tommy Thompson. The big one is Nevada, Obama's expected strong showing in the senate plus the Nevada Democratic Party's big institutional advantage will be I think enough to help Shelley Berkley cross the finish line.

          •  Fortunately gerrymandering has no effect in (0+ / 0-)

            Senate races.  House races are affected, and I still can't believe the stories about how the Ohio Dems agreed to Republican gerrymandering plans.

        •  Now YOU'RE questioning The Wave™? (0+ / 0-)

          You'd think after seeing LordMike forced to travel to Missouri to register voters, you'd be a little more careful with your words.

          Where do you live? Actually, it doesn't matter. You WILL be going to Arizona...actually, you'll be splitting your time between Arizona and Texas.

          Seriously now, it might not happen, but if things keep going the way they are going, it probably will.

          "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

          by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:53:20 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Your "luck" notion is silly, and yes we are.. (0+ / 0-)

          ...seeing en masse movement toward Democrats.

          Baldwin, Warren, and Kaine all surged at the same time.  Bill Nelson is up double-digits in a bunch of polls again.  None of this is luck, that's just absurd.  These people are spread out over the country.  And we're seeing movement our way in what little House polling exists, both in the national generic ballot and individual races.

          It might prove only a "mini-wave," but some kind of what it definitely is.

          44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 11:50:13 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Todd Akin (0+ / 0-)

            Becoming the Republican nominee and making one of the biggest gaffes in political history, the former was foreseen by many the latter certainly was not. Tommy Thompson having no fire in the belly, Connie Mack being a complete flop as a candidate, Josh Mandel being way over his head and Olympia Snowe making what many considered a pretty surprising decision to retire. Other than Mandel none of these were really foreseen and all of them were outside the Democrats' control.

            •  But they have not better options (0+ / 0-)

              You are talking about former governors and cabinet officers, about US House Representatives, or about statewide officers.

              Who would improve their results? No-one. They are being defeated in their best (or very close to their best). They are losing because the Democratic Party has a stronger payroll of candidates, and better ideas.

              Even Snowe go out because she was unelectable in the own Republican primary, but she switch not party.

              •  I don't think (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                bumiputera

                Snowe was facing a significant primary challenge. She would've faced nominal primary and general election opposition should she have run.

                I'm not saying those were bad candidates, other than Mandel all of those were candidates who justifiably entered to much fanfare. The point I was making is that all of them entered as good candidates and have become bad candidates for reasons that have nothing to do with the opposition candidate and campaign.

            •  That's a silly rationalization (0+ / 0-)

              You can come up with equally belittling characterizations of every candidate in both parties in every year.  Some of what you say is just made up, like "no fire in the belly" and "way over his head" "complete flop"...those aren't even real things to describe people.  The people who get elected to Senate are never any more impressive than people with the resumes of Thompson, Mandel, Mack, etc.

              44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

              by DCCyclone on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:20:59 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Those aren't real things? (0+ / 0-)

                I think based on the campaigns they have run those are accurate ways to describe them and I'm certainly not the first that has ever described anyone in that way.

                I wasn't saying there resumes weren't impressive, in fact I was saying the opposite. These were candidates that looked good on papers but for various reasons don't appear to be having the success many anticipated they would and the reasons for that aren't attributable to there opponents' campaigns.

    •  Meh (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Woody

      In Nevada, the voter registration Dem lead is something like 65,000 now and will probably be around 80,000 by election day. Plus, in all other states the margin is quickly receding since the Dems are outregistering the R's. I actually think these numbers all look bad for Republicans since the erosion of Dem Party ID isn't close to enough to give them a win in any of these states save for maybe North Carolina or Florida.

      20, Male, Hispanic, originally OK-1 (Tulsa: The Art Deco, Terracotta, and Cultural Gem of the Ozarks!), currently at Princeton University

      by gigantomachyusa on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 06:28:10 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Voter Reg is signficant (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jj32, itskevin

      BUT it appears that OFA has picked it up in the last four weeks. So, those numbers will definitely change.

      2012: It's about the Supreme Court. Follow me on Twitter @farrellmcmanus

      by HarlemUSA on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 06:49:46 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Does this take into account all of the quirks (0+ / 0-)

      about the way registrations are counted? In Iowa, I believe, you can be inactive and therefore off in a separate party category until you start voting again.

      "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

      by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:10:45 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Does Romney know what the Clinton Initiative is? (0+ / 0-)

    Standing there pushing his Maker and Taker philosophy?

    •  I have to think there's some sort of (0+ / 0-)

      nth dimensional chess move here, or maybe it's just as simple as hoping Romney says something stupid yet again in a very high profile forum. That's not a bad bet, actually.

      "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

      by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:17:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Republicans love playing the victim (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Woody, ColoTim

    Part of their pathology. The simplest explanation (without the inevitable suggestion that Grimm's people manufactured this themselves to generate publicity) is "kids". But no, an elaborate conspiracy theory, an attack on par with that of Rep. Giffords, an attack on Democracy itself -- that apparently is a conclusion they're willing to leap to without any other evidence. Because it's all about them. Sheesh.

    Some people are intolerant, and I CAN'T STAND people like that. -- Tom Lehrer

    by TheCrank on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 06:32:56 AM PDT

  •  second debate dangerous for Romney (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    The Caped Composer

    That is the town hall debate. most likely Romney will be caught off guard and will say something stupid. also his aversion to people in general will show thorough and Obama's warmth will shine.

  •  This is Mainers United for Marriage's 3rd ad (0+ / 0-)

    I believe (not their 1st).

    "The 'Gay Agenda' has indeed been revealed, and it bears a remarkable resemblance to the U.S. Constitution." ~Donna Minnis

    by Decided Voter on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:10:04 AM PDT

  •  Rasmussen is Obama 47-46 again (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32

    47-47 with leaners. 48-51 on approval. The usual health warning about his R+2 samples etc.

  •  Just Which Distro Installed? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bjssp, rja

    So Grimm is claiming that the Linux OS was installed over his MS Windows OS on his office PCs.  Just which Linux OS distribution was installed?  I'd like to know which distro is the version of choice by criminal vandals?  It's a whole new category for consideration by the Linux community.  Besides, just how long did the vandals have to re-format and install the OS on these computers?  I suspect that many systems administrators would like to know how to automate the conversion as they contemplate making the move to Linux.  The vandals just might have created a whole new business for their talents.

    "Love the Truth, defend the Truth, speak the Truth, and hear the Truth" - Jan Hus, d.1415 CE

    by PrahaPartizan on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:36:29 AM PDT

  •  This is very mature (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dianamherrera

    Not.

    26, Male, CA-24 (new CA-26), DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

    by DrPhillips on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:45:40 AM PDT

  •  Rock thrown through window (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    The Caped Composer

    ...conservatives blame Obama.

    E Pluribus Unum does NOT mean "every man for himself"

    by Daddy Love on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:46:52 AM PDT

  •  Great news for Mitt Romney (6+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Audrid, sapelcovits, James Allen, askew, rja, jncca

    Daily Caller has Jack Ryan's playbook to defeat state senator Barack Obama.

    If he uses this correctly, I'm confident Romney will succeeded Peter Fitzgerald as the next senator from Illinois in 2004.

    BTW, I'm pretty sure McCain has this file in 2008.

    •  LOL (0+ / 0-)

      Now they've got us by the balls.

      "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

      by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 07:56:11 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  First Read suggests Romney might abandon Ohio (9+ / 0-)

    http://firstread.nbcnews.com/...

    If this week's bus tour doesn't move the polls in that state:

    Romney’s make-or-break week for Ohio: We noted yesterday the importance of Ohio in this presidential election and to Romney. But it’s hard to overstate it – this may be the make-or-break week for the campaign in the state. If this week’s bus tour doesn’t move the needle, as the Romney campaign might say, they very well could decide to all but write off the Buckeye State.
    •  I would be astonished if this happened. (12+ / 0-)

      Whether the move would be interpreted logistically or politically, it's about as big a white flag surrender as there is right now. It'd be one thing if this were Iowa, New Hampshire, or even Colorado, but Ohio?

      "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

      by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:04:55 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yeah I mean (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        What's the alternate path to victory?  What's the alternate path to not being criticized in perpetuity throughout history for such a non-sensical decision?

        "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

        by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:07:30 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  He quite literally has to run the table. (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          PrahaPartizan, LordMike, ColoTim

          Even if you take out New Hampshire and Wisconsin from the Kerry states and don't give Obama New Mexico, giving him Ohio puts Obama at 250. And since nobody expects Obama to lose New Mexico, that's more like 255. If he secures Nevada, which is pretty likely, and New Hampshire, which is only slightly less likely, he's at 265.

          So yeah, if Romney wins Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, and Wisconsin, he'll win...just barely. If Obama wins any of them, game over.

          If he somehow managed to win either Michigan or Pennsylvania and to a lesser extent Minnesota, he'd have a bigger lead. All of three of those, of course, look pretty safe for Obama.

          Also, what are the odds that OFA wouldn't feel even slightly emboldened to open up a new front in a few other states, like Arizona or Missouri, were Romney to cede Ohio? OFA wouldn't drop all spending in Ohio, of course, but even a little bit of spending in a new state would be big, big news.

          "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

          by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:16:36 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  He can't quit Ohio (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Paleo, askew, LordMike, abgin

        Yeah, they won't give up on Ohio. Not even McCain gave up on Ohio and he still had a chance at this point. It would be an act of capitulation of biblical proportions!

        20, Male, Hispanic, originally OK-1 (Tulsa: The Art Deco, Terracotta, and Cultural Gem of the Ozarks!), currently at Princeton University

        by gigantomachyusa on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:08:13 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Then they might as well abandon the election (11+ / 0-)

      He'd be conceding 265 electoral votes to Obama.  Which means Romney would have to win Colorado, Nevada, Iowa, Virginia, Florida and North Carolina to win.  Every one.

      “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

      by Paleo on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:06:09 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Rock And A Hard Place (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike

        Romney might have no choice but to essentially concede the election, but the real dilemma will confront the folks funding the superPACs.  Once Romney's trajectory becomes almost fore-ordained, his funding will dry up completely, but he doesn't have that much new money available anyway.  Most of the Romney support money has been going into the superPACs, but they're going to spend reluctantly if it appears certain Team Romney has lost.  At that point, they confront the decision point - continue to promote Team Romney trying to prevent a complete blow-out or spend money down-ticket, which might not get traction away from the suction of the sinking Romney campaign.  I'm sure any of us would love to be the proverbial fly on the wall in the rooms where those decisions are going to be thrashed out over the next two weeks.  I'm sure we can all agree on the date when the final decision gets made - the evening after the first Presidential debate.

        "Love the Truth, defend the Truth, speak the Truth, and hear the Truth" - Jan Hus, d.1415 CE

        by PrahaPartizan on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:38:21 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  The SuperPAC's (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          LordMike, ColoTim

          care more about control than they do about Romney.  Holding the house or taking back the Senate just slows anything progressive down, which is all they really want.  Status quo is really the order of the day, and they'll adapt.  Sudden large scale changes is what they're trying to avoid.

          I think SuperPAC's just shift to trying to take back the Senate, which at this point is much easier than a Romney win.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:44:02 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Fly on the wall. iPhone on the bar. Something (0+ / 0-)

          to convey their thoughts and plans, anyway.

      •  yeah (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike

        OH may be a longshot for Romney now but if he concedes Ohio he has to win all 3 of CO, NV, and IA which is an even bigger longshot.

        SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

        by sacman701 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:17:45 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  wow, that's amazing (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      itskevin, bjssp

      so if Romney is writing off Ohio, what is he going to do? make a desperate push in WI/NV/CO/FL? good luck with that buddy...

      Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

      by sapelcovits on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:06:27 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  oh right, VA/NC too (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        itskevin

        unless something changes in the next month, he is going to end up around where McCain did. I wouldn't be surprised if Romney only managed to flip IN and maybe NE-02.

        Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

        by sapelcovits on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:07:16 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  WI is gone, imo (5+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        bythesea, itskevin, askew, LordMike, DCCyclone

        Obama is now up the same there as in PA.

        “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

        by Paleo on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:09:14 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Pennsylvania... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          LordMike

          Remember 2008: McCain made a last ditch effort in PA and unlike McCain Romney has the money doing so.

          •  That would have to be ridiculously expensive. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            LordMike

            As much as my notion of a last minute push in Arizona, Missouri, and Indiana might be odd, next to nothing has been done in Pennsylvania throughout the entire campaign on the Republican side. The infrastructure probably isn't that weak, but at the same time, is it strong? And what about ads?

            "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

            by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:21:30 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Well they're in an ROI mode (0+ / 0-)

              What possible return could Romney get.  Obviously he can't win PA.  He can't help Smith beat Bob casey for Senate.  he might help defeat Critz or helf Fitzpatrick win in the house, so his ivnestment would be basically to possible help gain a net of 1 house seat.  

              So I'm not sure why Romney would come to PA.  If he goes intocapitulation, I'd think he'd go for NV (Heller), IN (Mourdouck), etc to help Senate candidates.  PA isn't on the board at any level, really.

              "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

              by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:30:32 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Exactly. (0+ / 0-)

                And as is the case with Wisconsin, any sort of savings from Romney conceding Ohio could probably be plowed back into Pennsylvania, negating whatever sort of advantage he thinks he might get. Except that, it might even be stronger in Pennsylvania than it is in Wisconsin.

                "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

                by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:34:31 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

          •  they called PA for Obama like a minute after (0+ / 0-)

            it closed.  Whatever McCain did didn't stick.

            ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

            by James Allen on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:26:56 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

      •  Maybe they'll come to PA (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike

        We really don't get enough political ads, especially in Philly.

        "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

        by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:09:31 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  They're in Trouble...they know that (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone
      •  You'd think they'd be hitting Ohio from (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike

        all ends, with events all over the state, and not just those with Romney and Ryan. What's Portman been doing? Why not bring in people like Christie, Martinez, and Rubio, too?

        "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

        by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:18:47 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  So you want to... (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          LordMike, DCCyclone, jncca

          ...bring a pair of Hispanic/Latino to a state hit hard by NAFTA over the years and/or bring them to heavily GOP areas.  

          I'm not sure where in Ohio Martinez and Rubio would play well for Romney; I'm guessing North NoWheresVille.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:33:46 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Well, why did McCain bring The Governator (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            LordMike

            in 2008? Part of it was about turning out the base and getting people excited.

            I'd tell them to bring their stars to the state, even if only to give passionate speeches about the same old stuff to friendly crowds. Ask them to do a few events around the state, with Romney and Ryan doing the more prominent events. Couple this with an increase in ads and then leak to the press information that supposedly/actually says your strategy is working.

            "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

            by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:41:06 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Yeah, but it didn't work (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              LordMike

              Replacing one baffling move that failed with another isn't exactly good "strategery".

              "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

              by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:46:20 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  I don't know that it didn't work. (0+ / 0-)

                For me at least, it's hard to now how to judge the effectiveness of such a move.

                Right now, Romney needs to stop the bleeding and replace this "We're fucked, fucked, FUCKED" mindset with something positive. If a few visits by some rising Republicans accomplishes this, it'll be worth it.

                Also, what else might they do?

                "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

                by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:01:03 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  They have no options (0+ / 0-)

                  That's kind of the point.  Also, Rubio and Martinez just aren't a great supporting cast in the Rust Belt.  then again, no one really is.  They'd be better fof trotting GWB than either of these 2 and we all agree he's not a positive for the GOP.

                  Most people couldn't even tell you who martinez is so she's useless, utterly, for Romney.  You might bring Christie, or hell Scott Walker.  Portman engenders about as much excitement as Martinez would.

                  Has calling in a big name elected politican to rescue a flailing campaign ever actually worked?

                  "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                  by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:06:15 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

        •  Romneys Problem is John Kasich... (0+ / 0-)

          For whatever Reason Kasich in his first two years has managed to bring the Unemployment Rate in Ohio down AND that makes it really hard for Romney to win there.

          •  I am not sure he's responsible for that. (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            sapelcovits, bumiputera

            "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

            by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:41:51 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Well, even Boehner said so over the weekend (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              LordMike

              Boehner said something like this:"Kasich doing a good Job with unemployment makes it really hard for Romney carrying Ohio"

              •  well, if the House GOP leader (3+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                R30A, bumiputera, jncca

                says that the GOP governor is doing a good job, that settles it then!

                Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

                by sapelcovits on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:53:16 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

              •  LOL (3+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                R30A, LordMike, sapelcovits

                You must be kidding.  In other news, I think my mom makes the best lasagna on Earth.

                It's amazing kasich's awesomeness only results in a 41% approval rating for kasich but somehow gets Obama a 8-10-point lead there.

                This type of Boehner says Kasich is doing great line is just not reasonable.  And his translation is even more baffling.  

                Extrapolate it nationally: "the improving unemplyment figures caused by GO governors in PA/WI/OH/MI and so on are causing everyone to vote for Obama".

                Bizarre, no?

                "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:56:28 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

              •  Put it this way: (0+ / 0-)

                if it were so easy for governors to have an influence on the economic conditions, and specifically employment rates, in their states, we'd see FAR fewer losses.

                I'm not saying he can't have any effect, one way or the other, but he's been governor for less than two years. It's unlikely he can make such a significant difference even if he were governor as long as Rick Perry has been in office, but over two years?

                "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

                by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:04:21 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

              •  it was a silly thing to say (3+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                bjssp, bumiputera, jncca

                Governors have very, very little effect on state economies in the short run. In every state but VT, the state is required by law to run a budget that is projected as balanced, so essentially they aren't allowed to use fiscal policy.

                SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

                by sacman701 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:22:33 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

          •  C'mon (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            James Allen

            Numerous states have lower unemployment rates now than in 2008 or 2010.  It's not a Kasich thing, and certainly economic optimism in Ohio isn't crushingly strong.

            "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

            by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:47:56 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  No way that happens, imo (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bythesea, LordMike

      The only way it happens is if they decide to make a big push into WI, MI, or PA.

      Interestingly, though, I think someone noted Karl Rove yesterday was running through scenarios where Romney could win without OH.

      •  But it's still a terrible move, no? (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        jj32, LordMike

        Wisconsin is their best chance, out of those three, and even that isn't looking great for Mitt, Inc.

        I would imagine whatever amount of money would be saved between what OFA is spending in Ohio now and what could be spent after Mitt, Inc's team left could easily keep things the way they are now.

        Plus, if OFA is having a good month, they could easily expand into at least one more state.

        "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

        by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:23:45 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  You can't write off that they'll be stupid (0+ / 0-)

        The 3-2-1 plan that Rove wrote up for them really is their smartest plan, and every alternative is dumber no matter how badly they poll in Ohio, which is among the "2."

        So they should stick with it.

        They will lose anyway, because it's over.

        But they'll lose worse if they abandon 3-2-1, and that will also give Obama larger coattails.

        44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 11:45:07 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Only way he could leave is to off-set the EV's (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      aamail6

      by making a new play in Michigan.  Only Michigan makes any reasonable sense for him - to make his last stand in his home state, the state his father was Governor.

      Wasn't there something about Obama leaving NC after Michelle's last visit there yesterday or something?  Sounds like the MSM is just making shit up.  

      We have a greed with which we have agreed. -Eddie Vedder "Society"

      by Jacoby Jonze on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 08:54:21 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  There's no reason at all for Obama to leave NC. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike

        If something like that were to happen, Drudge would be blaring that stupid siren as though aliens had invaded. We would never hear the end of it.

        "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

        by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:06:06 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I tend to believe the same (0+ / 0-)

          But it's also true from the opposite side.  He probably has no reason to stay.  Sure he might win, but it won't matter really.  i can't imagine he can help us defeat McCrory for Guv, or save Larry Kissell.  

          If he stays there strong through election day it's in search of extra frosting for his victory cake.  Honestly I wish he would pull out of NC and spend big $$$ juicing turnout in upstate NY, but that's me being...adventurous.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:11:21 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  There's plenty of reason to stay in NC. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            LordMike

            Look at this purely in terms of what it would cost them to do so, which is probably not all that much--and that's before fund raising (has probably) soared. And as much as it's nice to help other Democrats, OFA's goal is to elect Obama. Obama will win New York quite comfortably, probably at least as much as he did last time, and that includes upstate New York.

            "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

            by bjssp on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:17:12 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Control of the house (0+ / 0-)

              Could be determined by upstate NY.  NC has no impact on anything at the Pres, Sen or House level.  And NC-Guv is a foregone conclsuion.

              So in comparative terms, he has 0 reason to stay or go.  In terms of gaining something for Dems, upstate NY is way more relevant than NC.

              "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

              by rdw72777 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:30:51 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

  •  These numbers speak volumes: (0+ / 0-)

    DCCC: CA-36: $37K; NV-03: $42K; TX-23: $125K

    NRCC: AZ-01: $203K; AZ-09: $209K; CA-07: $251K; CA-09: $394K; CA-10: $251K; CA-24: $91K; CA-52: $349K; CO-06: $240K; GA-12: $41K; IA-01: $104K; IA-02: $106K; IA-03: $50K; IA-04: $87K; IL-10: $294K; IL-11: $266K; IL-12: $194K; IL-13: $72K; IL-17: $253K; KY-06: $75K; MA-06: $503K; MI-01: $118K; MN-08: $191K; NC-07: $138K; NC-08: $129K; NH-02: $134K; NV-03: $176K; NV-04: $176K; NY-18: $83K; NY-19: $141K; NY-21: $79K; NY-24: $56K; NY-27: $58K; OH-06: $95K; PA-12: $117K; TX-23: $168K; UT-04: $104K; WI-07: $100K; WI-08: $54K; WV-03: $134K

    Just look at all the bloody money that Pete "Taliban" Sessions, TX-32, controls around the country as Chair of the  NRCCC.  See YOUR representative or district there on that list?  Any affect on representation in YOUR state? How about the power balance in the House?

    I submit that if Pete weren't quite so comfortable in his position MIS-representing the TX 32nd district, and were obliged to spend money, time, or effort on keeping his seat, then he might not have quite so much money, effort and time to work on beating or challenging YOUR member of Congress.

    May I ask for some love for his opponent (in your own interest)?

    Katherine Sayers McGovern for Congress in TX-32:

    http://www.mcgovernforcongress.com/

    Torture is Wrong! We live near W so you don't have to. Send love.

    by tom 47 on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 09:06:59 AM PDT

  •  Georgia - Prez numbers (0+ / 0-)

    Yesterday, Rachel Maddow cited that Romney as +21 there. I had thought the state was demographically closer to North Carolina than Arkansas? FWIW, she cited Texas as +15 for him.

  •  thanks for the info about the 'breakin' (0+ / 0-)

    heard it on the news and thought it smelled fishy

    "I'm sculpting now. Landscapes mostly." ~ Yogi Bear

    by eXtina on Tue Sep 25, 2012 at 12:47:04 PM PDT

  •  Mark Kirk's girlfriend (0+ / 0-)

    says Kirk and Bob Dold are not flashy, but they get things done.

    Or if she didn't say that, perhaps she should because they do:

    http://www.tenthdems.org/...

    Using my free speech while I still have it. http://www.ellenofthetenth.blogspot.com/

    by ebgill on Fri Sep 28, 2012 at 04:11:57 PM PDT

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