It's the weekend, so not much change in the numbers. Iowa stays the same, with Obama getting an estimated 68% of the vote.
In North Carolina, a little less than 2000 ballots have come in since yesterday. These continue to largely come from Republicans, with Obama getting an estimated 39.5%. Dr. McDonald at George Mason University notes that 11 counties in North Carolina have not reported their ballots, and this includes 5 that are heavily African American.
The updated numbers can be found after the jump.
Estimates are made using the early voting statistics gathered by Dr. Michael McDonald at George Mason University and combining it with most recent polling in the state.
Total number of early ballots received: 32832
IOWA reports 13,812 returned ballots as of Friday morning.
MAINE reports 31 returned ballots as of Monday, Sept. 17.
NORTH CAROLINA reports 12,257 returned ballots as of Saturday morning. (Susan Myrick notes that 11 counties are non-reporting; 5 are heavily African-American, the remainder are smaller rural counties.)
OHIO 6 counties report 189 returned ballots as of Friday evening.
SOUTH CAROLINA reports 1,753 returned ballots as of Thursday afternoon.
SOUTH DAKOTA reports 4,790 returned ballots as of Saturday morning.
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North Carolina
North Carolina has received 10596 ballots. Yesterday they had 9365. So far, the early ballots in NC have been heavily Republican.
Breakdown of Early Voting Ballots to Date
GOP |
DEM |
IND/OTH |
51% |
30.3% |
18.8% |
Candidate |
Estimated votes |
Estimated % |
Obama |
4844 |
39.5% |
Romney |
6801 |
55.5% |
Iowa
No change since yesterday.
Breakdown of Early Voting Ballots to Date
GOP |
DEM |
IND/OTH |
19.3% |
64.1% |
16.6% |
Candidate |
Estimated votes |
Estimated % |
Obama |
9401 |
68% |
Romney |
3872 |
28% |
Maine
Not enough information. Maine only has 31 ballots, so far. What we do know is that 51.6% of early ballots in Maine, so far, have been from Republicans and 29% from Democrats.
Ohio
Ohio has received 189 ballots. No demographics on those ballots have been made available. The bulk of the ballots received are from Franklin county, which, in 2008, Franklin county favored Barack Obama over John McCain 60-39.
South Carolina
South Carolina has received 1753 ballots. There is not enough information about SC to make estimates at this time.
South Dakota
South Dakota has received 4790 ballots. There is no demographic information from SD.
For more information on methodology, please see my original diary here. The raw math is here.