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Merton's "Fine and Dangerous Season" Begins



Tonight's sampling:

[Sen-Var] Intrading the Senate, Week 7 by Buckland - Diarist takes a look at the current odds on various Senate races via Intrade, part of a series. Looks like Dems pick up one more seat at current odds than Intrade's original projectiion of 52 (plus independents) over 48 R's.

[PA-18] Better ad for Larry Maggi - PA-18 by musicsleuth - Diarist offers a video ad for Blue Dog Larry Maggi (D) in PA-18, because there really is a difference between him and any Republican, including his opponent Tim Murphy (R).

[CA-Var] California competitive districts cheat sheet: November 2012 elections by kurykh - Diarist has charts on the Dem/Rep spread, map of competitive U.S. House districts with analysis. Also offers the same for State Senate and State Assembly.


Today's EDR covers rescued down-ticket election diaries published between noon on September 30th till noon on October 1st.

This edition of Election Diary Rescue includes the following gems dug up by our miners, for a total of (30) diaries:

Senate: (7) posts, variety of states
House: (6) posts, (4) states and districts, plus various
State: (1)
Various: (3)
Ballot Initiatives: (2)
General: (11)


More diaries and information about this project beneath the
Orange Squiggle of Down-Ticket Power

EDR compiles, describes and links election related diaries for down-ticket races through the closing months of election seasons. Down-ticket means any non-Presidential race.

This group was formed by the producers of a front page diary series that rescued election related diaries in 2006, 2008 and 2010. 2012 marks the first election since Daily Kos was born that there is blog devoted to election coverage - Daily Kos Elections.
Election Diary Rescue is proud to be a part of this project.

EDR chronicles the passion, power and effectiveness of political engagement and shines a light on candidates and issues that might be missed during an action-packed election cycle. It gives quick access to races, hopefully inspires people to write about contests that interest them, and has become an archive for thousands of election related diaries over the years.
The Diary List
for this project, founded by sidinny, links all the rescued diaries since 2006.

Format, Tag, Schedule


Diarists can help the EDR mining team by identifying the race in the diary title, four example: (FL-14) or (GA-Gov) or (NY-Sen). Using the "Elections" tag is also helpful. Please do NOT use "DK Elections" as a tag, as this sends diaries to the wrong publication list. New this year, you can write your first sentence or two as the synopsis you would like to see in the EDR description.

EDR's schedule for mining diaries is noon to noon. Our publishing schedule is in the evening. That means for example if you post your diary at 12:00 pm (noon) on Wednesday, we will include it in the EDR list in Thursday evening's post. If you publish your diary at 11:59 am on Thursday, it will be in the diary collection for Thursday evening as well.


Senate

[HI-Sen] Ding Dong, The Witch is Dead (Hirono 55, Lingle 39) by HiD - Indumbent Democrat Mazie Hirono is widening her lead over challenger Linda Lingle.

[MA-Sen] Bipartisanship and the Massachusetts Senate Race by Grandma Susie - Diarist offers the text of a LtE to the local newspaper regarding the Elizabeth Warren (D) senate race against incumbent Scott Brown (R).

[MA-Sen] May the Force be with Elizabeth Warren tonight! by Neon Vincent - The second debate between Elizabeth Warren (D) and Scott Brown (R) will be held Monday night at UMass with the Boston Herald. Nate Silver currently has Warren at 64.9% probability of taking the seat.

[NE-Sen] NE Sen: Jim Webb told me to give to Bob Kerry, so i did by Ectoras - Diarist responded to a Jim Webb email seeking contributions to Bob Kerry (D) in his race against Deb Fischer (R).

[PA-Sen] Bob Casey Jr. (D) Knows The Race Is Tightening & Fights Back! by poopdogcomedy - Casey is aware that work still needs to be done in his race against Tom Smith (R).

[Sen-Var] Intrading the Senate, Week 7 by Buckland - Diarist takes a look at the current odds on various Senate races via Intrade, part of a series. Looks like Dems pick up one more seat at current odds than Intrade's original projectiion of 52 (plus independents) over 48 R's.

[Sen-Var] New Ad(s): "Slogan" by Crashing Vor - Diarist offers four video ads highlighting Republican Senators up for re-election this year who voted against the Veteran's Job Corps bill - Bob Corker, John Barrasso, Orrin Hatch and Roger Wicker.


House

[FL-13] Is Congressional Candidate Jessica Ehrlich Embellishing Her Resume? by saintpetersblog - Diarist finds reason to question Ehrlich's (D) professional resume. Her opponent for the 13th district seat is Bill Young (R).

[FL-18] New poll has Murphy leading West in FL-18 by teacherken - Democrat Patrick Murphy is reported in a new Kimball Political poll to be leading Allen West (R) by 4.

[IL-10] What Betides the 113th Congress? by LeftOfYou - Some thoughts on the next Congress, and a quick look at the state of the race for the Illinois 10th CD.

[MN-08] MN-08: Real Hunters Don't Need Assault Rifles To Shoot A Duck by keewatinrose - Chip Cravaack (R) has a confused attitude on gun control; Rick Nolan (D) is his opponent.

[PA-18] Better ad for Larry Maggi - PA-18 by musicsleuth - Diarist offers a video ad for Blue Dog Larry Maggi (D) in PA-18, because there really is a difference between him and any Republican, including his opponent Tim Murphy (R).

[House-Var] Tak'en Back The House - Part 1 by Doctor Who - First in diarist's coming series on taking back the House. Lists current poll numbers in 11 districts where Dems have a real chance for pick-ups.


State:

[AZ-LD-06] AZ-LD-06: The tough (but maybe winnable) district between Democrats and the Arizona Legislature. by Xenocrypt - The swingiest open seat in the state - LD-06 - is going to be a tough nut to crack, but it can be done. Additional info on other district races.


Various:

[CA-Var] California competitive districts cheat sheet: November 2012 elections by kurykh - Diarist has charts on the Dem/Rep spread, map of competitive U.S. House districts with analysis. Also offers the same for State Senate and State Assembly.

[NH-Var] Riding the Wave Part 1: Winning NH 2012 by mole333 - Diarist offers  info on New Hampshire races and Dem candidates for Governor and House of Representatives. ActBlue links included.

[Various] Let's Start Viral Campaign Giving $47 To Dems In Tight Races, Courtesy The 47 Percent: #GiveADem$47 by Kwik - Diarist lists the web sites for many of the Democratic candidates who could use our help in their campaigns.


Ballot Initiatives:

[FL-Amendment 5] Help Me Fight Rick Scott's 3rd ATTEMPT to Replace Supreme Court Justices by SemDem - The governor and overwhelmingly Republican legislature in Florida seeks to take direct authority over the courts, most importantly the Florida Supreme Court. Diarist offers links to sites dedicated to retaining all the SC justices on November 6th.

[MD-Question 6] Marriage Equality in Maryland by Jacovisio - Diarist offers the current state of the Marriage Equality referendum on the Maryland ballot, plus photos and videos of the Light Brigade's activities in publicizing the issue straight to voters.


General

Aledging that CO Republican Executive Leaders knowingly broke CO Voter Reg Laws by RWN - Diarist has more info on the voter registration fraud in Colorado.

Early Voting Report - Thoughts On Ohio by ThatPoshGirl - Several people have asked about a RedState article that got some attention. The article implies Democrats in Ohio are in trouble because ballot requests show a lack of enthusiasm.

More Republican voter-registration fraud, this time in California by Rolandz - It's odd that the party that always seems so concerned about voter fraud - enough to actively disenfranchise millions of Democratic-leaning voters all around the nation - turns out to be the party that is engaging in actual fraudulent activity.

My 1st time Canvassing to GOTV with OFA in Ohio by zizi - This Kentucky diarist tells of their first time canvassing experience in Ohio GOTV drive.

Please double check and triple check your registration by ThatPoshGirl - Fraudulent Republican outfits aren't just registering dead voters and changing party registrations. They are also re-registering Democratic voters under new addresses. If this has happened, those voters will not show up in their precinct's voter rolls and will be forced to vote on a provisional ballot, which may or may not be counted. Link to check and recheck your registration included.

RNC Cancels All Swing State Voter Registration Drives; UPDATE Chamber picks up slack by hungrycoyote - The expanding scandal for registration shennanigans in Florida and North Carolina has caused the RNC to back off. Don't worry - the Chamber of Commerce has picked up the ball for them.

RNC/Nathan Sproul Voter Registration Fraud Found in Nevada? by atdnext - Reporters at the Las Vegas NBC affiliate have found that many new registrations in the state have been turned in by Strategic Allied Consulting, Sproul's outfit now in so much trouble in Florida. And fraud allegations are piling up.

Small contribution strategery (w/poll) by Albanius - Diarist offers a strategy for targeting contributions to close congressional races, and links to 538 projections to help pick your targets.

Take THIS, GOP. (Repost: PSA Combats GOP Voter Fraud. Your Help Needed) by mdmslle - Diarist offers video Public Service Announcement alerting voters to the situation with Strategic Allied Consulting's voter registration fraud in key swing states. Urges voters to check personally on their registration.

The Path to a Democratic House Majority (Part 1) by ArkDem14 - Diarist has info on the Democrats chances at a majority in the US House.

The Young and the Disenfranchised by AlexPalombo - Diarist talks about the GOP efforts to disenfranchise whole blocs of voters this cycle, focusing on college students and their difficulty getting current picture ID with correct resident info in states with new voter ID laws.


* A big THANKS! to all our dedicated EDR volunteers (in alphabetical order): Alma, eeff, EvanInNY, foreverblue, Joieau, nomandates, Oke, randallt, restondem, Spedwybabs, Sylv, TruthOfAngels and turbonerd.

Archive links: Election Diary Rescue 2012 - Daily Diaries
2010 Rescues
2008 Rescues
2006 Rescues

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 03:00 PM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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