Skip to main content

Uploaded with

Another great poll I must say.  Trying not to post diaries every time a new poll comes out but this one is important.  Along with today's Missouri Senate poll, PPP is also making me smile with it's new Arizona Senate poll released today that has Democrat Dr. Richard Carmona beating Jeff Flake, 45-43:

Carmona leads with Independents, 52/37 advantage over Flake, and winning 14% of Republican voters.  Flake only gets 7% of Democratic voters.  The poll also shows Mitt Romney beating Barack Obama by nine points and shows both Jan Brewer and John McCain's approval ratings improving.

Now, PPP does offer this cautionary message in it's latest poll:

There are still reasons to think this race could shift back in Flake's favor. The 12% of voters who are undecided prefer Mitt Romney over Barack Obama for President by a 58/37 margin, so there's reason to think they might end up breaking toward Flake in the end. Also Arizona voters would generally prefer that Republicans be in control of the Senate rather than the Democrats by a 50/40 spread. That Carmona leads anyway is a function of him being superior to Flake as a candidate, but that still leaves open the possibility that if Republicans can effectively nationalize the election Flake's standing will improve.
Luckily, the DSCC is pouring money into this race and this poll confirms why.  All Carmona needs to do is convince the undecideds that he is the right choice for the U.S. Senate, especially on veterans issues, even if they want the Senate to be in the GOP's control.  With powerful ads like this one from the Carmona campaign, he might be able to just do that:

According to Politico, Carmona has raised over $2.2 million this quarter:

Flake has been calling up his Club Of Growth buddies to help him buy this Senate race.  Flake thinks he can win by just filling the airwaves with negative ads trying to tie Carmona to Obama.  Well I say lets help Dr. Carmona, a decorated war hero and former Surgeon General become Arizona's first Latino Senator:

Originally posted to pdc on Wed Oct 03, 2012 at 01:20 PM PDT.

Also republished by Baja Arizona Kossacks.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site