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PPP's latest poll shows Democratic Governor Jay Nixon cruising to victory in his bid for re-election this year.  He leads Republican opponent, Dave Spence, 54% to 35%:

Nixon also happens to be one of the most popular governors in the country according to this poll.  They also found that Senator Roy Blunt (R) has mediocre poll numbers, with 37% of voters approving of him to 36% who disapprove.  This is an improvement since the last poll PPP conducted on Roy Blunt's numbers with the voters.

Since Nixon is a well-liked governor, could Nixon be the best choice for Missouri Democrats to unseat Roy Blunt in 2016?  Yes, Missouri is deeply red and 2010 was a great year for Republicans but Blunt wasn't very popular a little over a year ago:

And Missouri voters weren't crazy about him just a few months after being elected:

Blunt's under water because Democrats (73%) are more unified in their dislike of him than Republicans (66%) are in their approval. Independents split slightly against him as well by a 35/37 margin. Blunt seems like someone who would be in a lot of trouble in a neutral or Democratic leaning election cycle but his timing was certainly right last year.
I don't know what 2016 will be like.  It could be a neutral year where both Presidential candidates aren't that exciting or interesting like in 2000 where George W. Bush won Missouri but John Ashcroft lost to a dead guy.  Then again, if Hilary Clinton runs for President in 2016 and picks Julian Castro as her running mate, 2016 could be another great year for Democrats.  Plus if you look at this picture of Roy Blunt, he looks like Ashcroft's more sinister-looking twin:

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Nixon made two failed attempts at running for Senate.  First in 1988 against Republican Senator John Danforth and the second in 1998 against Republican Senator Kit Bond.  Now that Nixon has way more name recognition from his time as Attorney General and soon-to-be two terms as governor, he could be an a sure winner in 2016.  Grant it anything could happen in the next four years and Blunt's approval could greatly approve but it's never too early to start figuring out who would be great candidates to unseat these tea baggers.  There are rumors that Congresswoman Allyson Schwartz might go up against Pat Toomey and Alex Sink could be a great candidate against Marco Rubio.  Just something to think about.  What do you guys think?


Should Jay Nixon run for Senate in 2016?

82%110 votes
17%23 votes

| 134 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  No (0+ / 0-)

    He should run for President. If he can win Missouri, he'd pretty much have an electoral lock with just the Kerry states.

    GOP: The Party of Acid rain, Abortion of the American Dream, and Amnesty for Wall Street.

    by Attorney at Arms on Thu Oct 04, 2012 at 05:04:52 PM PDT

    •  NO, NO, NO (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      el dorado gal

      He may have good approval numbers in the state but he's a pretty passive governor and frequently goes along with the Republicans when it's the easier route to take.

      •  Agreed. Plus, (0+ / 0-)

        He may be popular in Mo. but with his low-key, low-polish campaign style and his unease in front of microphones, a presidential race would be a debacle.

      •  Yeah (0+ / 0-)

        I'm not saying I'd vote for him. I'm just saying, we're going to need a range of candidates in 2016, and a red-state governor who works with Republicans might be what the electorate wants then.

        My dream candidate is has been the same for 10 years: Al Gore. But, I don't think that's gonna happen.

        GOP: The Party of Acid rain, Abortion of the American Dream, and Amnesty for Wall Street.

        by Attorney at Arms on Fri Oct 05, 2012 at 10:53:32 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  We Democrats need to rebuild in Missouri (0+ / 0-)

    whether it is bottom up or top down. If Governor Nixon is in the Senate, we can get some positive ink in the Show Me State.

    •  Here's the bad thing. (0+ / 0-)

      I can't think of too many strong Dems that would do well on the national scene.  Russ Carnahan?  Maybe.  Susan Montee?  I don't have a feel for her.  Other than that, it's practically a scratch operation.  Nixon could do well in the Senate and maybe polish his presentation and his credentials as long as he wouldn't be too much of a blue dog.  My thoughts about him is that he isn't too much of a fighter.  He just kinda goes along and doesn't make any waves.

  •  It seems he has no legislative experience. (0+ / 0-)

    As Attorney at Arms said, maybe pres or vp. If he's all they've got to run against Blunt, it may be worth a try. Also, if McCaskill wins this year by carrying a huge swath of the women's vote, I'd say go for it. After all, Blunt is of the Blunt Amendment. Re: Schwartz, IMHO she's not progressive enough. Casey is already pretty rightish. And Sink: she couldn't even win against Skeletor the Criminal. I heard she ran a really bad campaign. What about DWS? She's young like Rubio.

    Your left is my right---Mort Sahl

    by HappyinNM on Thu Oct 04, 2012 at 05:28:42 PM PDT

    •  That's not really gonna be a handicap (0+ / 0-)

      when gunning for the Senate. Plenty of people go into the Senate without legislative experience, and it's generally regarded among voters that lack of legislative experience isn't really a handicap. Plenty of people switch from Governor to Senate quite easily---in fact, it's something of a traditional route for termed-out governors.

      Compassion is not weakness, and concern for the unfortunate is not socialism.

      by Zutroy on Thu Oct 04, 2012 at 05:42:36 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I believe Sink will be 68 in 2016. (0+ / 0-)

    I hate to be ageist, but it's brutally relevant in electoral politics. Sink in the Senate would be nice---unless there's a more youthful Florida Democrat waiting in the wings.

    Also, there have been murmurs about John Lynch mounting a possible challenge against Kelly Ayotte in 2016, FWIW. That would be quite something, as it was Lynch that originally appointed Ayotte to the AG position, and Lynch is hugely popular as well.

    Compassion is not weakness, and concern for the unfortunate is not socialism.

    by Zutroy on Thu Oct 04, 2012 at 05:52:50 PM PDT

  •  See me after election night. I plan of focusing (0+ / 0-)

    on THIS election between now and then!

    202-224-3121 to Congress in D.C. USE it! You can tell how big a person is by what it takes to discourage them. "We're not perfect, but they're nuts."--Barney Frank 01/02/2012

    by cany on Thu Oct 04, 2012 at 06:28:10 PM PDT

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